DAX flirts with ATHs againAfter breaking out of the triangle formation a couple of days ago, the DAX is now flirting with the previous record hit in early June at 24490. With Trump's tariffs uncertainty at the forefront again, there is a possibility we could potentially see a double top or a false break reversal formation here, so do watch out for that. However, we will continue to focus on the long side until we see an actual, confirmed, reversal. With that in mind, dip-buying remains the preferred trading strategy.
Key support levels to watch:
24,278, marking yesterday's high
24,176, broken resistance from last week
23,927, the base of this week's breakout
The technical picture would turn bearish in the event we go back below the support trend of the triangle pattern.
In terms of upside targets,
24,750, marking the 127.2% Fib extension of the big drop from March
24,890, marking the 127.2% Fib extension of the most recent drop from June high
25,000, the next big psychological level
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
GERMANY40CFD trade ideas
Elliott Wave Outlook: DAX Set to Rally Higher in Wave 5Since April 7, 2025, the DAX Index has been advancing in a clear impulsive cycle, originating from a low that has set the stage for a structured upward movement. The initial advance, wave 1, concluded at 20468.43. It was followed by a corrective pullback in wave 2, which found support at 19384.39. The subsequent rally in wave 3 was robust, peaking at 24479.42, as depicted on the 1-hour chart. Wave 4 unfolded as a zigzag Elliott Wave pattern, characterized by a decline in wave ((a)) to 23360.16. A recovery in wave ((b)) took place to 23711.73, and a final dip in wave ((c)) to 23047.13, completing the corrective wave 4.
The Index then resumed its upward trajectory in wave 5, structured as an impulse in a lesser degree. From the wave 4 low, wave (i) reached 23481.97. A minor pullback in wave (ii) followed which ended at 23080.29. The rally then continued with wave (iii) peaking at 23812.79, a slight correction in wave (iv) to 23466.73, and the final leg, wave (v), concluding at 241200.82, marking the completion of wave ((i)).
A corrective wave ((ii)) found support at 23620.42, and the Index has since turned higher in wave ((iii)). As long as the pivot low at 23407.13 holds, the DAX is expected to extend its gains, with pullbacks likely finding support in a 3, 7, or 11 swing structure. This analysis suggests continued bullish momentum in the near term, with key support levels providing opportunities for further upside.
DAX (Ger40): Defying Global TensionsDespite all this tariff drama, the DAX hit another record high. What gives? Markets seem to be betting that Trump enjoys the threat of tariffs more than the implementation. Some traders are pricing in yet another extension beyond the August 1 deadline.
The DAX is riding momentum from both global AI enthusiasm, thanks to Nvidia’s $4 trillion market cap milestone, and the assumption that European exporters might dodge the worst of Trump’s trade penalties, at least for now. However, this rally is precarious. If a tariff letter hits Brussels, or copper tariffs ripple into industrial demand expectations, we could see a swift correction.
Technically, near term resistance is sitting around. 24,700. However as stated, should sentiment change. A correction back down, to the support level at 24,200, which also aligns with the 50 Fibonacci retracement level, could be on the cards. Or even all the way down to 23,800, aligning with the 88% Fibonacci level.
Is the Trend Intact? Key Signal Emerging on GER40 4H ChartHey Guys,
We could see a pullback on the GER40 index from the 24,060 level. If that happens, the 23,824 – 23,675 zone could present a potential buying opportunity. The primary trend still points upward, and bullish momentum remains intact.
Also worth noting—the rise in volume is quite striking, which supports my target level of 24,500.
I meticulously prepare these analyses for you, and I sincerely appreciate your support through likes. Every like from you is my biggest motivation to continue sharing my analyses.
I’m truly grateful for each of you—love to all my followers💙💙💙
DAX: Target Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DAX together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 24,193.11 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Make German Index Great Again? DAX Moves in Silence While the World Screams 📊⚡
It’s loud out there — tariffs flying, currencies shifting, old alliances shaking.
We’ve got Trump hinting at tariffs against U.S. allies and China, the Euro flexing, the dollar facing devaluation talk, and a tangled mess of energy politics with Russia and Germany in the middle. All of this creates layers of macro uncertainty…
But in the middle of all that chaos?
📈 The chart speaks. And it’s speaking clearly.
🎯 What We’re Watching
On the 8H and 30M chart, DAX has printed a beautiful technical structure. And regardless of how things unfold on the political stage, the price action is offering us a clean framework.
🔹 Key S/R at 20,552
We are hovering around this pivotal level. Above it? Bulls regain control. Below it? Things get choppy, fast.
🔹 Main Support: 18,896
This is the level to hold. It’s structurally valid and tested. A break below here triggers the deeper scenario.
🔹 Scenario Breakdown:
Bullish Case (60%) — If 20,552 holds, DAX can re-ignite a rally toward:
22,248: interim resistance
23,870: all-time high zone
28,035: macro extension target
Bearish Case (40%) — If the key level is lost and we fall through 18,896, look out below:
16,978 minor support
14,408 becomes the "bad scenario" support
🔄 So… What Now?
We're not fortune tellers, and this isn't about guessing what the next political headline will be. We don’t need to understand the full implications of the euro/dollar dynamic or predict whether Germany will pivot on energy policy.
This is about the chart. Period.
📌 Above 20,552? I’m long toward 22K+
📌 Below it? I prepare for the slide
⚠️ Key decision zone right now. Market structure is everything.
Don’t get caught up in macro debates. The world may be unstable — but price action remains our anchor.
Trade the level, not the noise.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Quick take on DAXTariffs, no tariffs, tariffs, no tariffs... Let's look at the technical picture...
XETR:DAX
MARKETSCOM:GERMANY40
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
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Technical Weekly AnalysisStart your week by identifying the key price levels and trends.
The SpreadEx Research team has analysed the most popular markets, including stocks, indices, commodities & forex.
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Analysis
Germany 40 is currently in a neutral trend, moving within a range phase. It's trading at 23,851, holding above its VWAP of 23,582, suggesting limited directional conviction. The RSI at 53 indicates a balanced market. Support is at 22,985, while resistance is at 24,179.
UK 100 remains in a neutral trend and range phase, hovering around its VWAP at 8,800, with price at 8,805. This shows a lack of strong momentum. The RSI at 53 confirms indecision. Support lies at 8,734, while resistance is at 8,881.
Wall Street continues its bullish trend and is in an extended impulsive phase, trading at 44,681, significantly above its VWAP of 43,119. This highlights ongoing upside strength. The RSI at 72 suggests the market has entered overbought conditions. Support is seen at 41,002, with resistance at 45,236.
Brent Crude is in a neutral trend and range phase, trading at 6,802, still below the VWAP of 7,045 following the steep correction. This implies modest weakness. The RSI at 48 supports the lack of strong momentum. Support is at 6,217, while resistance is at 7,873.
Gold remains in a neutral range-bound trend underneath record highs, currently priced at 3,310, just under its VWAP of 3,347. The RSI at 46 signals a lack of directional conviction. Support is at 3,262, with resistance at 3,432.
EUR/USD is bullish and in an impulsive phase, with price at 1.1748, well above its VWAP of 1.1646 and at a multi-year high. The RSI at 65 after reaching overbought conditions is a warning sign. Support is at 1.1402, with resistance extending to 1.8897.
GBP/USD holds a bullish trend and is in a pullback phase after hitting a multi-year high, trading at 1.3606, right in line with its VWAP. RSI at 51 indicates neutral momentum with signs of bearish divergence from price. Support is seen at 1.3373, with resistance at 1.3818.
USD/JPY is in a neutral trend and range phase, trading at 145.06, matching its VWAP level. This equilibrium reflects indecision. The RSI at 53 aligns with a directionless market. Support sits at 143.28, with resistance at 146.34.
Technical Weekly AnalysisGermany 40 remains in a bullish trend but has entered a pullback phase. It is trading at 24,239, slightly above its VWAP of 24,180. The RSI at 55 suggests a neutral momentum with potential for a continuation of the uptrend. Support is found at 23,631 and resistance at 24,604
U K 100 continues its bullish trend in an impulsive phase, trading at 8,984, above its VWAP of 8,886 but still below the key 9k level. This shows underlying strength. The RSI at 61 reflects continued buying interest. Support lies at 8,708 and resistance at 9,064.
Wall Street remains bullish but is experiencing a pullback just under the March highs, trading at 44,429 just above the VWAP of 44,400. The RSI at 58 suggests moderate bullish momentum. Support is at 43,894, and resistance is at 44,788.
Brent Crude is in a neutral trend, currently in a tight range which fits inside a bigger range - with price at 6,849 and VWAP at 6,847. The RSI at 49 indicates balanced sentiment. Key support lies at 6,637, with resistance at 7,054.
Gold is in a neutral range phase, trading at 3,364 and below the VWAP of 3,332. The RSI of 55 shows slight bullish bias. Support is at 3,283, with resistance at 3,391.
EUR/USD continues in a bullish trend but is correcting, with price at 1.1643 below its VWAP of 1.1704. The RSI at 50 implies neutral momentum. Support stands at 1.1571, and resistance is at 1.1837
GBP/USD remains in a bullish trend but is undergoing a correction. Price is at 1.3455, slightly below the VWAP of 1.3559. RSI at 42 shows weakening momentum. Support is at 1.3316 and resistance at 1.3802.
USD/JPY is in a neutral trend and ranging as it tests the upper limits of the range for a possible breakout. It trades at 147.78, above the VWAP of 146.25. The RSI at 59 suggests slightly bullish momentum. Support is at 142.57, and resistance is at 149.94.
DAX / GER40: Double Long tradeGood morning traders,
I just received an alert from my LuBot Ultimate indicator of a Long signal on a good uptrend structure.
From the weekly chart I see that we are surfing on the wave of the second swing after the last bearish retracement, however on the daily the first swing has just begun after a slight minimum made in the last few days.
On the 4H this opportunity presents itself which I take advantage of in a doubly way, that is:
-I insert a trade on correction with stop at the level suggested by the indicator and TP to be defined based on the trend.
-I insert a second trade, again on correction, but with stop below the latest lows and take profit on the latest highs, the invested capital is much lower in this case in order to contain the loss but optimize any profit.
👍 If you want to see other similar posts, like/boost
🙋♂️ Remember to follow me so you don't miss my future analyses
⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your research before making investment decisions.
AMEX:EWG BMFBOVESPA:DAX1! FPMARKETS:GER40 PEPPERSTONE:GER40 ACTIVTRADES:GER40 XETR:DAX
GER 30 endless possibilitiesMy most immediate outcome is reversal 24,140 price area. TP:24,600
Possibility 1: If Ger 30 holds the 24,000 price area i would consider a buy to 24,600.
Possibility 2: If Ger30 holds the 23,730 price area that would be another possibility for a buy. TP 24,600.
WCS: Worst case scenario, continuation downwards from the 24140 PL. Consider the red arrow. The 24,140 is a important price area please wait for confirmation
Please follow your trading plan.
THOUGHTS????
Germany 40 – Preparing For A Short Term Range BreakoutTariff worries, including new comments from President Trump stating that he is likely to impose fresh import charges on pharmaceuticals, have continued to dominate the thinking of Germany 40 traders this week. This has lead to some choppy price action for the index, which after opening on Monday at 24140, has bounced between a Tuesday high of 24293 and a Wednesday low of 23923, before settling back into the middle of that range.
Throw into the mix, the start of Q2 earnings season for European corporates and an upcoming ECB interest rate decision in a week's time and you can see how price action could become increasingly volatile moving forward into the end of July.
Earnings season has so far got off to a slow start in Europe and Germany 40 traders may have to wait until SAP, the company carrying the highest market capitalisation ($352 billion) and index weighting (14.5%), reports its results next Tuesday (after the close) for further insight into where prices may move next.
In terms of the ECB rate decision next Thursday (July 24th), market expectations may currently be indicating that another rate cut is unlikely, although it could be a close call. Traders seem to be focusing on recent commentary from policymakers which suggests the balance of power for the time being has shifted to the more hawkish committee members, who have stated that with inflation sitting on the central bank's target of 2% there is no need to cut rates further. Choosing instead to wait for more clarity on the outcome of trade negotiations with the US, which could decide whether a trade war between the world's first and third biggest economies may be something they need to navigate.
Technical Update: Assessing Current Pirce Action
Having posted a new all-time high at 24639 on July 9th the Germany 40 index has entered a corrective period in price. However, while much will depend on future market sentiment and price trends, traders may well be asking, whether current price declines can develop into a more extended phase of weakness, or if the downside move could be limited as buyers return once again.
Time will tell, but in the meantime, technical analysis may help pinpoint potential support and resistance levels which can aid traders in establishing the next possible trends and directional risks.
Potential Support Levels:
Having recently posted a new all-time high at 24639, it might be argued this is still a positive price trend, especially as the Bollinger mid-average is currently rising. The mid-average stands at 23954, so may mark the first support focus for traders over coming sessions.
However, if closing breaks of this 23954 level materialise, it might lead towards a further phase of price weakness towards 23013, the June 19th session low, even 22406, which is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of April to July 2025 price strength.
Potential Resistance Levels:
If the 23954 mid-average successfully holds the current price setback, it could prompt further attempts to extend recent strength.
The first resistance might then stand at 24282, which is equal to half of the latest weakness, with successful closing breaks above this level possibly opening scope back to the 24639 all-time high and maybe further, if this in turn gives way.
The material provided here has not been prepared accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients.
Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
Germany 40 – Preparing For A Short Term Range BreakoutTariff worries, including new comments from President Trump stating that he is likely to impose fresh import charges on pharmaceuticals, have continued to dominate the thinking of Germany 40 traders this week, leading to some choppy price action for the index, which after opening on Monday at 24084, has bounced between a Tuesday high of 24293 and a Wednesday low of 23925, before settling back into the middle of that range.
Throw into the mix, the start of Q2 earnings season for European corporates and an upcoming ECB interest rate decision in a week's time and you can see how price action could become increasingly volatile moving forward into the end of July.
Earnings season has so far got off to a slow start in Europe and Germany 40 traders may have to wait until SAP, the company carrying the highest market capitalisation ($352 billion) and index weighting (14.5%), reports its results next Tuesday (after the close) for further insight into where prices may move next.
In terms of the ECB rate decision next Thursday (July 24th), market expectations may currently be indicating that another rate cut is unlikely, although it could be a close call. Traders seem to be focusing on recent commentary from policymakers which suggests the balance of power for the time being has shifted to the more hawkish committee members, who have stated that with inflation sitting on the central bank's target of 2% there is no need to cut rates further. Choosing instead to wait for more clarity on the outcome of trade negotiations with the US, which could decide whether a trade war between the world's first and third biggest economies may be something they need to navigate.
Technical Update:
Having posted a new all-time high at 24639 on July 9th the German 40 index has entered a corrective period in price. However, while much will depend on future market sentiment and price trends, traders may well be asking, if current price declines can develop into a more extended phase of weakness, or if downside is just a limited move before buyers return to extend price strength.
Time will tell, but in the meantime, technical analysis may help pinpoint potential support and resistance levels, aiding in establishing next possible trends and directional risks.
Potential Support:
Having recently posted a new all-time high at 24639, it might be argued this is still a positive price trend, especially as the Bollinger mid-average is currently rising. This for Thursday stands at 23954, so may mark the first support focus for traders over coming sessions.
If closing breaks of this 23954 level materialise, it might lead towards a further phase of price weakness towards 23013, the June 19th session low, even 22406, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of April to July 2025 price strength.
Potential Resistance:
If the 23954 mid-average successfully holds the current price setback, it could possibly prompt further attempts to extend recent strength.
First resistance might then stand at 24282, equal to half latest weakness, with successful closing breaks possibly then opening scope back to the 24639 all-time high and maybe further, if this in turn gives way.
The material provided here has not been prepared accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients.
Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
Germany 40 – Preparing For A Short Term Range BreakoutTariff worries, including new comments from President Trump stating that he is likely to impose fresh import charges on pharmaceuticals, have continued to dominate the thinking of Germany 40 traders this week, leading to some choppy price action for the index, which after opening on Monday at 24084, has bounced between a Tuesday high of 24293 and a Wednesday low of 23925, before settling back into the middle of that range.
Throw into the mix, the start of Q2 earnings season for European corporates and an upcoming ECB interest rate decision in a week's time and you can see how price action could become increasingly volatile moving forward into the end of July.
Earnings season has so far got off to a slow start in Europe and Germany 40 traders may have to wait until SAP, the company carrying the highest market capitalisation ($352 billion) and index weighting (14.5%), reports its results next Tuesday (after the close) for further insight into where prices may move next.
In terms of the ECB rate decision next Thursday (July 24th), market expectations may currently be indicating that another rate cut is unlikely, although it could be a close call. Traders seem to be focusing on recent commentary from policymakers which suggests the balance of power for the time being has shifted to the more hawkish committee members, who have stated that with inflation sitting on the central bank's target of 2% there is no need to cut rates further. Choosing instead to wait for more clarity on the outcome of trade negotiations with the US, which could decide whether a trade war between the world's first and third biggest economies may be something they need to navigate.
Technical Update:
Having posted a new all-time high at 24639 on July 9th the German 40 index has entered a corrective period. However, while much will depend on future unknow market sentiment and price trends, traders may well be asking, if current price weakness can develop into a more extended phase of weakness, or if downside is just a limited move before buyers return to extend price strength.
Time will tell, but in the meantime, technical analysis may help pinpoint potential support and resistance levels, aiding us establish next potential trends and directional risks.
Potential Support:
Having recently posted a new all-time high at 24639, it might be argued this is still a possible positive trend, especially as the Bollinger mid-average is currently rising. This for Thursday stands at 23897, so may mark the first support focus for traders over coming sessions.
If closing breaks of this 23965 level materialise, it might lead towards a further phase of price weakness towards 23013, the June 19th session low, even 22406, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of April to July 2025 price strength.
Potential Resistance:
If the 23965 mid-average successfully holds the current price setback, it could possibly prompt further attempts to extend recent strength.
First resistance might then stand at 24282, equal to half latest weakness, with successful closing breaks possibly then opening scope back to the 24639 all-time high and maybe further, if this in turn gives way.
The material provided here has not been prepared accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients.
Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
DAX: Will Go Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DAX together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 24,193.45 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 24,258.97 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
DAX Wave Analysis – 15 July 2025
- DAX reversed from the resistance area
- Likely to fall to support level 23675.00.
DAX index recently reversed down the resistance area between the pivotal resistance level 24500.00 (former top of wave 3 from June) and the upper daily Bollinger Band.
The downward reversal from this resistance zone stopped the earlier short-term ABC correction B.
Given the strength of the resistance level 24500.00, DAX index can be expected to fall further to the next support level 23675.00.
GER40 is BullishPrice was in a downtrend, however the bullish divergence with a double bottom reversal formation hints the return of bulls. If previous lower high is broken along with the descending trendline, then we can expect a bullish reversal as per Dow theory. Targets are mentioned on the chart.
DAX pause at the ATH The DAX remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a resistance breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 24335 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 24335 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
24800 – initial resistance
24900 – psychological and structural level
25000 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 24335 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
24175 – minor support
24090 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the DAX holds above 24335. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GER40 Breaks Resistance – Eyes Set on 25,000 The index has broken above the key resistance at 24,367 🔼, turning it into fresh support. This breakout confirms bullish momentum, with strong upward structure and follow-through candles.
Support Levels: 24,367 🔽, 23,718 🔽
Resistance Levels: 25,000 🔼
Bias:
🔼 Bullish: If price holds above 24,367, we may see a continued push toward 25,000.
🔽 Bearish: A drop below 24,367 could invalidate the breakout and shift momentum back to 23,718.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
DAX40 uptrend continuation support at 23850The DAX40 remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 23850 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 22850 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
24410 – initial resistance
24500 – psychological and structural level
24650 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 23850 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
23700 – minor support
23520 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the DAX40 holds above 23850. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.