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Micro E-mini S&P 500 Index FuturesMicro E-mini S&P 500 Index FuturesMicro E-mini S&P 500 Index Futures

Micro E-mini S&P 500 Index Futures

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MES1! trade ideas

07/08/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis EOD accountability report: +220 Sleep: 7 hours Overall health: Good VX Algo System Signals from (9:30am to 2pm) 4/4 success — 9:30 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! :check: — 10:30 AM VXAlgo NQ X1 Buy Signal :check: — 12:24 PM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! :check: — 1:30 PM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3! :check: What’s are some news or takeaway from today? and What major news or event impacted the market today? After taking losses, I usually set a lock out on my account after $200 profit to build back small wins and confidence. so luckily I was locked out pretty early today and avoided most of the market whipsaw. But on days like these, if you don't walk away after you make money, you could eventually get triggered and tilted by the whipsaw. a lot of orb traders probably died today. News *HOWARD LUTNICK ON TARIFFS: EXPECT ANOTHER 15-20 LETTERS TO GO OUT OVER THE NEXT 2 DAYS- CNB *Trump announces 50% tariff on copper imports, threatens 200% tariff on pharmaceuticals and maybe chips What are the critical support levels to watch? --> Above 6280= Bullish, Under 6260= Bearish Video Recaps -->https://www.tradingview.website/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
CME_MINI:ES1!
by WallSt007
S&P 500 BULLISH BREAKOUT ABOVE ALL TIME HIGHS!Hey Traders taking a look at the S&P500 this week it is clear that we are in a strong bull market. Notice that we broke above 6300 on the ES Futures Contract last week on July 3. This level is extremely important because it was the all time high from Feburary 2025. So now that the market has closed above this level buying opportunities can be considered at the trendline. 6135-6150 look like a good place to grab this bull again by the horns. 😁 So if your bullish wait for the pullback no need to chase the market imo. Eventually it will pullback lets see what happens July 9 WED with the Tarrifs. Expect Volatility! However if your bearish be very careful I don't think there is a good risk to reward ratio to shorting at this time. Good Luck & Always use Risk Management! (Just in we are wrong in our analysis most experts recommend never to risk more than 2% of your account equity on any given trade.) Hope This Helps Your Trading 😃 Clifford
CME_MINI:ESU2025Long
by TradeTheIndex
July 9, the next key date for the S&P 5001) Caution: the S&P 500 is now in short-term technical overbought territory and may enter a retracement (without jeopardizing the underlying uptrend) Over the past two weeks, the S&P 500 future contract has technically broken above its all-time high of 6,150 points, thereby validating a signal that the underlying uptrend is continuing. The market has risen for several consecutive sessions without pausing, and is now overbought in the short term. From a purely technical point of view, the market is therefore exposed to a reversal, and a test of its former all-time high is a possible scenario for deflating short-term overboughtness and waiting for dynamic support. The chart below shows the monthly, weekly and daily Japanese candlesticks for the S&P 500 future contract. You can see that there is still potential on the long-term timeframes, but the short-term framework (daily timeframe) is overbought in terms of momentum (momentum being represented here by the RSI technical indicator). The market will need to be able to hold the 6000/6150 technical support in order to preserve the uptrend in place since the beginning of April. 2) The US labor market remains resilient according to the latest NFP report, which is good news for the macro-economic situation, but postpones the FED rate cut The US job market has just delivered an unexpected signal: the unemployment rate has fallen to 4.1% of the working population, after several months of stability around 4.2%. Although this drop may seem modest, it comes at a time when the Federal Reserve (Fed) is closely monitoring the labor market for signs of a more pronounced slowdown in economic activity. This drop in unemployment suggests that, despite the monetary tightening of the past two years, the US economy remains resilient. It is now unlikely that the FED will resume cutting the federal funds rate on Wednesday July 30. 3) BEWARE of the Wednesday July 9 deadline for trade agreements between the USA and its trading partners US President Donald Trump has confirmed that the USA plans to send a series of official notifications to several trading partners from this Friday July 4, setting unilateral tariffs that will take effect from August 1. A dozen letters will be sent initially, followed by further mailings over the next few days. This marks a new stage in his strategy of pressuring foreign countries to conclude agreements before the deadline he had announced for Wednesday July 9. At this stage, it seems unlikely that the Wednesday July 9 deadline will be extended. So it's important to bear in mind that the trend at the very beginning of next week will be directly influenced by the news coming in on the trade war/diplomacy. The S&P 500 index will react very directly to this information. We need trade agreements with China, India, the European Union and Japan if we are not to jeopardize the S&P 500's fundamental uptrend. DISCLAIMER: This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. The presented idea (including market commentary, market data and observations) is not a work product of any research department of Swissquote or its affiliates. This material is intended to highlight market action and does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice. If you are a retail investor or lack experience in trading complex financial products, it is advisable to seek professional advice from licensed advisor before making any financial decisions. 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CME_MINI:ES1!
by Swissquote
SPX inflection point: Parabolic Up or Breakdown? See here the entire futures contract (ES front contract) history for the S and P. What becomes very clear from connecting the lows is that the S and P has been growing parabolic over its futures chart *entire* history. So we are now at an inflection point in the stock market history. For the first time this year, we below the parabolic arc. It reclaimed it in May to only right now be bumping up against two major intersecting resistance lines. If we break through, hold on to your hats because we are going wayyyyy higher. Just to keep the parabolic growth curve would put us 50% higher by next year. If we breakdown, look out below. There is no support below this parabolic arc and the implosion could be catastrophic. Either way good luck and happy trading!
CME_MINI:ES1!
by CryptoTaoist
Shocking Market Move Revealed! Will Prices Soar or Crash?1. Market Context Timeframe: The chart covers late June to early July 2025, with daily candlesticks showing recent price action. Trend: The price has been in an uptrend, breaking resistance around 6,180.00 and testing 6,290.00-6,300.00. This suggests bullish momentum, but the move is nearing a key resistance zone. 2. Key Levels Support: 6,180.00-6,200.00, where prior consolidation and moving averages align, offering a potential entry or stop-loss zone. Resistance: 6,300.00 is a critical level. A break above could target 6,350.00, while failure might lead to a reversal. Stop Loss: Place below support (e.g., 6,170.00) to protect against a breakdown, adjusting for your risk tolerance. Take Profit: Aim for 6,350.00 if bullish, or scale out at 6,290.00 if you expect resistance to hold. 3. Technical Indicators Candlestick Patterns: Recent green candles indicate buying pressure, but watch for reversal signals (e.g., doji or shooting star) near 6,300.00. Volume: At 77.04K, it’s moderate. A surge on a breakout would confirm strength; a drop might signal exhaustion. Moving Averages: The chart shows multiple MAs (e.g., 50-day, 200-day). If the price is above them, it supports the bullish case; a cross below could indicate a shift. 4. Trade Plan Entry: Consider entering long near 6,290.00 if the price consolidates or breaks 6,300.00 with volume confirmation. Risk-Reward Ratio: Aim for at least 1:2 (e.g., risk 20 points to gain 40 points toward 6,350.00). Position Sizing: Calculate based on your account size and risk per trade (e.g., 1-2% of capital). Exit Strategy: Take partial profits at 6,320.00 and let the rest ride with a trailing stop, or exit fully if resistance holds. 5. Risk Management Volatility: The range (6,120.00-6,300.00) suggests moderate volatility. Adjust position size accordingly. News/Event Risk: Check for upcoming economic data or earnings that could impact the instrument. 6. Scenario Analysis Bullish Case: Break above 6,300.00 with strong volume could push to 6,350.00+. Monitor for follow-through. Bearish Case: Rejection at 6,300.00 with a red candle might drop to 6,180.00. Prepare to cut losses quickly.
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by tradingbauhaus
DIYWallSt Trade Journal: Why Price Action Beats News **07/02/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis ** EOD accountability report: +763 Sleep: 4.5 hours Overall health: sleep deprived ** VX Algo System Signals from (9:30am to 2pm) 4/4 success** — 9:57 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! :check: — 10:30 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! :check: — 11:10 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal :x: **What’s are some news or takeaway from today? and What major news or event impacted the market today? ** You can't trade on news, the only thing that matters in day trading is price action. Bad news can still make the market go up. News The U.S. economy lost 33,000 jobs in June, as per ADP, badly missing forecasts for a gain of 99,000. MICROSOFT TO LAY OFF AS MANY AS 9,000 EMPLOYEES Tesla’s NASDAQ:TSLA Q2 deliveries miss consensus expectations **What are the critical support levels to watch?** --> Above 6250= Bullish, Under 6240= Bearish Video Recaps -->https://www.tradingview.website/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
CME_MINI:ES1!
by WallSt007
S&P 500 E-Mini Futures (ES) Market AnalysisKey Observations The S&P 500 E-Mini Futures (ES) is currently trading at 6,240.00, with a high of 6,259.00 and a low of 6,244.75, based on the 4-hour chart provided. The price is approaching a significant resistance level around 6,240–6,259, where recent selling pressure is evident from the volume profile. The market has shown a strong upward trend, with higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL) forming since the last major low near 6,020, but momentum appears to be slowing. Technical Analysis Price Action: The chart indicates a consolidation phase near the current level of 6,240.00, following a rally from the support zone around 6,020–6,040. The recent red candles suggest a potential reversal or pause in the uptrend. Volume Profile: The right-hand volume profile shows high volume nodes (HVNs) between 6,180 and 6,240, with the point of control (POC) near 6,220–6,240. This indicates strong trader interest and a potential support/resistance zone. The pink bars (selling volume) dominate above 6,240, signaling rejection at higher levels. Support and Resistance: Support: 6,220–6,240 (POC), with a deeper support at 6,180–6,200 if the price breaks lower. Resistance: 6,259 (recent high), with a psychological barrier at 6,300 if bullish momentum resumes. Indicators: The chart includes Market Profile levels (e.g., HH, HL, LH, LL), suggesting a structured approach to identifying value areas. The flattening of the value area suggests a lack of directional conviction at present. Market Context The ES has been influenced by mixed economic data, including the June 2025 ADP employment report, which reported a loss of 33,000 jobs, signaling potential economic slowdown. This could pressure equity markets, including the S&P 500. The upcoming Nonfarm Payrolls report on July 03, 2025, is a critical event. A weaker-than-expected result (forecasted at 110,000 jobs) could increase bearish pressure, while a strong report might push the ES toward new highs. Recent market performance (e.g., NASDAQ 100 weakness due to Tesla news) may also be impacting the broader index, though the S&P 500 has shown relative resilience.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by tradingbauhaus
End of Month and QuarterAs we wrapped up the end of the month and the end of the quarter, it can be helpful for traders to take time and look back on how markets have performed. The second quarter of 2025 showed extreme volatility in many markets, starting off with the strong broad selloff with the tariff announcement in early April, and as that was walked back the markets have rallied and equity markets are trading near all time high prices, specifically the S&P and Nasdaq. Traders also saw the Fed keep rates unchanged at the June meeting, stating that rate cuts are available if needed depending on the data. As of now, the CME Fed Watch Tool is pricing in another pause for rates at the July meeting in a few weeks, and the first cut coming at the September meeting at a near 75% probability by 25 basis points. Powell has mentioned that the Fed does not want to be early with rate cuts, and wants to only use the cuts if necessary and as a tool. There will be imperative data looking at GDP, inflation, and jobs that may give traders an idea of the direction the Fed will go on rates for the second half of the year.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by CME_Group
TiqGPT buy setup ESJul 2, 2025 8:43 AM MARKET NARRATIVE: 1D Timeframe: The daily chart shows a strong bullish momentum with a series of green candles indicating a sustained upward move. This suggests institutional buying pressure and a lack of significant sell-side resistance. 4H Timeframe: The 4-hour chart confirms the bullish sentiment seen on the daily chart, with recent candles forming higher highs and higher lows. This is indicative of continued institutional interest in driving prices higher. 1H Timeframe: On the hourly chart, the bullish trend continues with price action showing smaller pullbacks followed by aggressive bullish candles. This pattern suggests that any dips are being used as buying opportunities by institutions. 15M Timeframe: The 15-minute chart shows more granularity in the price action, with recent bullish candles breaking past previous minor highs. This indicates that short-term liquidity is being taken on the buy-side, likely trapping late retail sellers. 5M Timeframe: The 5-minute chart shows a consolidation pattern forming at higher levels, suggesting a pause in the immediate bullish momentum. This could be a setup for another push higher as the market digests the gains. 1M Timeframe: The 1-minute chart shows choppy but generally upward-trending price action, indicating ongoing micro battles between buyers and sellers with buyers maintaining a slight edge. INSTITUTIONAL THESIS: Institutions appear to be in a phase of accumulation and upward price pressure across multiple timeframes. The consistent formation of higher highs and higher lows across these timeframes suggests a coordinated effort to drive prices higher, likely targeting overhead liquidity pools where institutional sell orders may be placed. LEARNING POINT: "Multi-timeframe confluence of bullish order flow and mitigation of lower timeframe liquidity pools." SIGNAL: BUY SYMBOL: S&P 500 E-mini Futures (ES1) ENTRY PRICE: $6,266.25 STOP LOSS: $6,250.00 (Below the recent minor low on the 15M chart) TARGET PRICE: $6,285.00 (Next potential liquidity pool on the 1D and 4H charts) CONDITION: Buy limit order at current market price with confirmation of continued bullish momentum on lower timeframes. RATIONALE: Strong bullish momentum across all timeframes, consistent institutional buying, and potential for reaching higher liquidity pools. STRATEGIES USED: Multi-timeframe bullish momentum, liquidity pool targeting. URGENCY: HIGH TIMEFRAME: Short-term to medium-term CONFIDENCE SCORE: 90% based on institutional confluence RISK/REWARD RATIO: Calculated as 1:3.8 Risk: $16.25 (Entry Price - Stop Loss = $6,266.25 - $6,250.00) Reward: $18.75 (Target Price - Entry Price = $6,285.00 - $6,266.25) Ratio: 1:3.8 (Reward ÷ Risk = $18.75 ÷ $16.25)
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by Mistermoriarty
DIYWallSt Trade Journal: Why Traders Are Rotating from Nasdaq to**07/01/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis ** EOD accountability report: +1160 Sleep: 5 hours Overall health: Need to catch up on sleep again ** VX Algo System Signals from (9:30am to 2pm) 4/4 success** 9:39 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! :check: 11:00 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3 :check: 11:24 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Buy signal :check: 12:00 PM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! :check: **What’s are some news or takeaway from today? and What major news or event impacted the market today? ** RTY and YM leading the way today NQ lagging Why is this? The answer is, Simple Supply and Demand theory. Money has to come from somewhere. If Money is going to YM and RTY, Money has to leave from NQ or ES or both. There is not an infinite amount of money, So if one index is outperforming like crazy over the other. It must be draining from it Why would it drain from NQ? Easy Because NQ and ES already hit ATH, YM and RTY has not hit ATH yet. So people are selling NQ and buying YM because it is on Discount News N/A **What are the critical support levels to watch?** --> Above 6235= Bullish, Under 6210= Bearish Video Recaps -->https://www.tradingview.website/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
CME_MINI:ES1!
by WallSt007
06/30/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis EOD accountability report: +212 Sleep: 7 hours Overall health: Good, caught up on workout and sleep over the weekend. ** VX Algo System Signals from (9:30am to 2pm) 2/4 success** — 12:20 PM VXAlgo NQ X1 Sell Signal :x: — 12:30 PM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!:check: — 1:55 PM VXAlgo NQ X1 Buy Signal :x: — 2:00 PM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3! :check: **What’s are some news or takeaway from today? and What major news or event impacted the market today? ** The X1 Signals today has been happening after market structure signals and usally that means MM is going to change the direction to the opposite way to scam us. Based on that, I decided to lock out my account after making $200 today so i don't get caught in the scam. News EU TO ACCEPT TRUMP’S UNIVERSAL TARIFF BUT SEEKS KEY EXEMPTIONS — 2:07 PM What are the critical support levels to watch? --> Above 6240= Bullish, Under 6210= Bearish Video Recaps -->https://www.tradingview.website/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
CME_MINI:ES1!
by WallSt007
S&P 500 ABOUT TO TEST CRITCAL RESISTANCE LEVEL!Hey Traders so today watching S&P500 and looks like strong resistance at 6300. Market can do 1 of 3 things like before. Pause, Reverse, or Breakthrough so if your long watch for reversals. If not watch for pullback to new support level around 6135. Can be a nice area to enter new long positions in the buy zone. Place stops under trendline around 6040. Remember trend is your friend so if bullish wait for pullback. However if bearish wait for break below trendline to confirm market wants to break lower. Also watch Nasdaq 100 because it normally leads the market higher. If S&P rises but Nasdaq is holding back it's not a good sign for breakout. Always use Risk Management! (Just in we are wrong in our analysis most experts recommend never to risk more than 2% of your account equity on any given trade.) Good Luck & Hope This Helps Your Trading 😃 Clifford
CME_MINI:ESU2025Long
by TradeTheIndex
Stock Index Futures - ES, NQ, YM - Weekly AnalysisS&P 500 / ESU2025 Key drivers: Rebounding from April’s tariff-induced lows, boosted by optimism around U.S.–China trade, easing geopolitical tensions, and Fed rate‑cut expectations Market breadth strengthened as sectors beyond mega-cap tech—especially financials and industrials—joined the rally Nasdaq / NQU2025 Catalysts: Continued leadership from AI/digital giants like Nvidia (which rose ~4% on Friday and regained its title as the world’s most valuable company) alongside broader tech momentum Dow Jones / YMU2025 Highlights: Strongest weekly performance since early April. Corporate earnings (e.g., Nike’s better-than-expected report) provided sector-specific tailwinds. Cross‑asset momentum: Equities rebounded strongly from April’s slump, logging back-to-back months of double-digit gains—fuelled by tariff ease, geopolitical calm, and dovish Fed signals. Vigilance required: While sentiment is strong, potential catalysts include the July 9 deadline on tariff pauses, upcoming jobs data, Fed commentary, and the tax/spending package. ------------------------------------ I will be approaching the markets differently from now on. Based on the feedback from past analysis, I will be compiling all related pairs into one video, giving you guys the ability to see how one asset affects the other. This is called inter-market relationship and it's something i've been doing for years. It gives you confidence on what pairs are 'Hot Picks' and the ones that have a high chance of not delivering the way you want.
CME_MINI:ESU2025Long
by LegendSince
SP500 - Cycle Analysis; New V-Bottom24 Dec 2018 - V-Bottom Trough: This marks a clean V-bottom. Both the 227-ROC and 114-ROC showed simultaneous positive acceleration after price reacing its low. Shortly after, both crossed their 57-SMA almost in sync — increasing the probability of a sustained bullish move. Price confirmed this by breaking resistance and forming a V pattern. This was further validated by the centered moving average crossover (114-CMA crossing above 227-CMA). 25 Mar 2020 - Deep COVID Crash Trough: During this phase the priced broke below the support, creating a deep trough. Altough both ROC lines initially showed strong negative acceleration due to the COVID-19 crash, they soon reversed above their 57-SMAs, signaling a major shift in momentum. This coincided with the price breaking above the key resistance which was also crossed in 2019 when confirming the old V-pattern. After this breakout, a brief pullback followed before the uptrend resumed with increasing strength. 22 Jun 2021 to 19 Dec 2023 - Pattern During the initial period a bearish divergence was visible in the ROC, nevertheless price and rate of change both declined making a low in early October 2022. A technical pattern began to form, which appears to align more closely with a symmetrical triangle; So when measuring its height and projecting it from the breakout point aligns with the new all-time highs that were reached on 27 June 2025. 21 Mar 2025 - New Cycle Trough A new V-bottom formed shortly after the current cycle began. Both ROC indicators had already crossed their SMAs to the upside, showing early signs of positive acceleration, days before of price broke through the resistance and reached the new record high. The 227-SMA is likely to cross from below the fast SMA while a possibility of a pullback increase. Following that, the 114-CMA will probably has the chance to cross back the 227-CMA, with the price potentially confirming a new support level and resuming its uptrend - in line with the broader cycle timeline.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by AFCapital21