The Gold Retrace for Ultimate Entry!looking for price to continue with its pullback to find where exactly support is. Once we see price establish support we should get some type of signal for entry and price can continue with this bullish price action to make new highs. If we get a full 71.8% pullback that should make for a nice bull run. Just need to wait for the confirmations first before reacting cause we might get a lot of chop until then.
GCZ2027 trade ideas
XAUUSD – New Week Technical Bias (Market Open)
Bias Overview:
Current outlook remains aligned with previous bullish analysis, supported by the broader Ascend Sequence on higher timeframes.
Price Expectations:
Anticipating a micro decline toward Price Zone A as a potential springboard for a bullish continuation.
While less likely, a deeper pullback into Price Zone B may occur before the rally unfolds — still within acceptable structure for HTF bullish intent.
Execution:
Will rely on micro-timeframe confirmations and reaction behavior within these zones to finalize entry decisions following market open.
Invalidation will be break and bearish structure below the ascending sequence Channel.
Summary:
Maintaining bullish bias while awaiting refined entry opportunities at defined price zones. Structural invalidation remains below key support and Sequence Line levels.
[b ]🔒 Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational and strategic insight purposes only. It is not financial advice. Always manage your own risk and confirm with your personal trading plan before executing trades.
Gold. 14.07.2025. The plan for the next few days.The nearest resistance zones are where it's interesting to look for sales. It's not certain that there will be a big reversal, but I think we'll see a correction. We're waiting for a reaction and looking for an entry point.
The post will be adjusted based on any changes.
Don't forget to click on the Rocket! =)
This is a good video7.14 . 25 this is a great video because there are so many examples of patterns to look at and there weren't that many markets that I was following and about 3 or 4 of the markets actually had dramatic movement in the direction you would expect and this is an example of setting up your pattern and letting the pattern take care of you as it gives you the probable Direction the market would take and there would have been no significant drawdowns or retest associated with stops... As was seeing in the coffee Market.
Shorting Gold again and againYep, Iam still thinking that gold should be shorted. Even though that i can see there is some huge liquidity up which should draw the money to it, but still on bigger timeframes, it shows weakness.
So here it is with targets. hopefully it goes through.
Good luck everyone.
GC Ready to Bleed? This Setup Has Teeth.As we head into the new trading week, GC presents a clean, disciplined short setup developing right below Friday’s key high. Price tapped the Previous Day High ($3,368) and supply zone before rejecting, failing to hold bullish momentum into the weekend close.
The market structure is currently defined by:
- A strong upward trend line (supporting the latest rally)
- A bearish order block/supply zone
- Two Fair Value Gaps below
- A failure to sustain above PDH
This confluence builds a narrative of exhaustion to the upside, especially with no aggressive buyers stepping in after PDH was swept. We're not short yet this setup needs confirmation. But once it breaks, it's clean.
Entry (Trigger) - $3,353.0
A clean break below the ascending trend line, ideally with a 1H close through it. This confirms structure shift and bearish intent.
- TP1: $3,344.0 → Top of the unfilled FVG zone
- TP2: $3,337.6 → Previous Day Low (PDL) and liquidity target
Kill Switch (Invalidation Level) - $3,371.6
If the market opens strong and pushes through the PDH and supply zone, the short idea is invalid. No shorts above here.
Confluences
- PDH Rejection - Strong wick and reversal from $3,368 shows supply dominance.
- Trend line Weakness – Price stalling right at the trend line heading into open. Any gap down or weak open will break it.
- FVG Below – Unfilled inefficiency sitting directly beneath current price this is a natural magnet.
- Volume & Momentum Divergence – Last push into highs had lower volume, suggesting buyer fatigue.
- Time-Based Edge – Sunday night liquidity traps often lead into London session reversals ideal timing for trend line break & FVG sweep.
- Clean Invalidator – No ambiguity: reclaim the highs = setup is off.
Timing & Execution Plan
This is not a trade to rush into at Sunday open. We want the 1H candle to close below $3,353.0 or a rejection + retest structure. The key sessions to monitor are:
- Sunday Night (Low Liquidity) - Observe gaps or traps
- London Open (8:00–9:00 UK) - Look for momentum or stop run
- NY Open (13:30 UK) - Final confirmation if London doesn't move it
Only act on confirmation. No guesswork. No front-running. Let the setup play out. If the market opens strong and climbs above $3,371.6, we’re no longer looking short. In that case:
- Supply zone is invalidated
- Trend line is reclaimed
- FVG becomes invalid magnet
We stand aside and reassess the long side on intraday demand reclaims or wait for a deeper correction to re-engage. This setup is a textbook bearish, high-probability, low-risk, confirmation-driven. It has everything we look for: structure break, inefficient price gap, prior liquidity sweep, and a defined invalidation. All that’s left is for the market to open and print.
If it confirms, it moves fast.
Gold - Bullish and here's whyPrice traveled within the Red Fork, until it broke the CIB Line, which is indicating a Change In Behavior.
From there on, sideways action, until the break of the Red U-MLH happened.
After the close above the Red U-MLH, price has tested it the 3rd time now. At the time of writing, the Bar looks like a PinBar. So it has good sepparation from the bottom, or a long Down-Wick. That's indicates good strenght.
To me this looks like a good long trade, but as everytime, play it save and don't let greed eat your brain ;-)
Gold Bulls Reloading? Smart Money Buys!The technical outlook on XAU/USD shows a well-defined bullish trend, developing within an ascending channel that started in late June. Price recently pushed toward the upper boundary of this channel, reaching a key resistance zone between 3,410 and 3,420 USD, which aligns with a previous supply area and significant daily structure. The reaction in this zone suggests a potential fake breakout, hinting at a short-term pullback before a continuation of the upward move.
The RSI oscillator supports this view, displaying bullish momentum with a breakout above the 60 level. However, the current slope hints at a possible minor correction before the next impulsive leg higher. The most relevant demand zone lies between 3,340 and 3,360 USD, at the base of the ascending channel—an ideal spot for buy orders to accumulate in anticipation of a move toward previous highs.
Backing this technical setup, the Commitment of Traders (COT) report as of July 15, 2025, paints a constructive picture. Non-commercial traders (institutional speculators) increased their long positions by over 8,500 contracts, while also cutting short positions by about 1,600 contracts, indicating a strong bullish bias. Commercials also increased their shorts (+16,448), a typical hedge during rallies, but not enough to invalidate the bullish structure.
From a seasonal perspective, July remains one of the historically strongest months for gold. According to MarketBulls data, over the past 2 years, gold has averaged gains of 105+ points in July, with solid returns also visible on the 5-year (+45 pts) and 10-year (+25 pts) averages. August also tends to be supportive, reinforcing the idea of a medium-term bullish extension.
Lastly, the retail sentiment is heavily skewed, with 72% of retail traders short, and only 28% long. From a contrarian standpoint, this is another strong bullish signal. When the majority of retail traders are short in a structurally bullish market, the potential for a short squeeze remains high.
Gold Futures Trading Plan / July 21, 2025Overview
This trade plan reflects a comprehensive view of gold futures (GC) going into the week of July 21, 2025. The analysis draws from current macroeconomic factors, positioning data, technical structure, and live order flow behavior. Every component has been evaluated to ensure the bias is not emotional or speculative but firmly evidence based.
Macro Environment
• Real US 10Y TIPS yields remain above 2.00%, historically a bearish regime for gold.
• The US Dollar Index (DXY) is firming, adding pressure to metals.
• Absence of geopolitical or systemic financial stress weakens safe-haven demand.
• The Federal Reserve maintains a hawkish tone, with no near-term easing signaled.
Positioning Overview (as of July 15, 2025)
• Funds: Net long ~213,000 contracts, increasing their long exposure.
• Commercials: Net short ~250,000 contracts, adding to short exposure.
• Retail: Net long ~37,000 contracts, aligning with fund sentiment.
This positioning suggests a crowded long environment with commercial hedging at elevated prices. Historically, such divergence has preceded local reversals in gold.
> Commercials are unloading gold to the euphoric buyers
>Retail is joining long side = late to the party
Funds are late, commercials are patient. If we break higher and fail, that’s my cue to fade.
Demand & Flows
• India: Gold imports declined to a 14-month low in June.
• China: Volume at the Shanghai Gold Exchange remains stable but subdued.
These indicators reflect softness in physical demand from key global buyers.
Technical Snapshot
• Price is compressing within 3330–3375.
• Point of control (POC) near 3358.
• Repeated rejections near 3375 with weakening volume.
• Negative divergence seen in cumulative volume delta (CVD).
Order Flow Observations
• Absorption noted near 3365–3380, with price stagnation despite aggressive buying.
• Lack of delta follow-through into highs.
• Spoofing behavior detected around 3372–3375, consistent with trap formation.
Trade Thesis
This is a macro-aligned short idea based on positioning, absorption at resistance, and weakening momentum into overhead supply.
Execution Framework (example scenario)
This is a non-binding conceptual entry framework for educational purposes only.
• Initial scale-in: ~3367.5 (light test)
• Main entry zone: ~3371.5 (if absorption continues)
• Optional add-on: ~3374.5 (if spoofing holds and no breakout occurs)
• Risk: Hypothetical invalidation above ~3385.5
• Targets:
• T1: ~3348 (value area)
• T2: ~3332 (prior support)
Note: Actual execution must depend on real-time confirmation and discipline. This example is not financial advice or a live signal.
Sentiment Bias
Currently biased short if price fails to break 3375 with conviction. Trade invalidates on sustained strength through absorption zones.
Probability: High
Gold Bulls Loading Up – Our Short Squeeze Trigger is Set!🚨 Gold Bulls Loading Up – Our Short Squeeze Trigger is Set!
We’re flipping the script on COMEX_MINI:MGC1! After a prolonged downtrend and textbook wedge compression, our breakout long is LIVE – but not without trapping the late shorts first.
💥 Entry: $3,312.1
🛑 Stop: $3,288.4
🎯 Target: $3,458.9
🧮 Risk/Reward: 6.19
Price just bounced at the retest of the wedge apex, and volume is confirming the move. If this holds, we’re riding momentum all the way up – and letting short pressure fuel the breakout.
📈 Trendline breached.
⏳ Time compression converging.
⚠️ If you’re still short, watch your stops!
Gold LongsFollowing last weeks bias. Looking for REQH target.
Want to pair longs with a weekly profile. Ideally Monday or Tuesday creates the low of week. Will look to get onside with longs once theres a clear intraweek reversal. Trade the continuation higher. A close below 3320 is invalidation. Expecting previous week low to be protected and expansion to the upside
Gold.. in the fog of global chaosNotes:
Markets for metals are at a ATH.
Global events are evolving rapidly.
Most of the time, war=raging gold prices
Markets are ripe to retrace and or maybe reverse at all. Taking setups on gold with a grain of salt.
Gold is an event driven market. I expect for now a consolidation until bearish signals show.
GOLD! Pre-Market Analysis For Friday July 18th!In this video, we'll present pre-market analysis and best setups for Friday July 18th.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
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GOLD: Pre-market PrepSo for gold today, I see a lot of confluence around the prior week's high, prior day's high, and the prior value area high. We also had a poor high last Friday that we've clearly broken through.
Right now, we're in balance up above these key levels. My immediate plan is to continue going long up to the prior month's value area high. If we get a pullback to the confluence area, I want to take it up from there.
If the market opens and we accept back into the previous area, I'll be looking to go short from that area and take it down. That's my main analysis for gold today. Let’s trade smart, peace!