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Nasdaq 100 Cash Index / US DollarNasdaq 100 Cash Index / US DollarNasdaq 100 Cash Index / US Dollar

Nasdaq 100 Cash Index / US Dollar

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NQCUSD trade ideas

USNAS100 Eyes 23350 Ahead of Powell & Earnings StormUSNAS100 The price maintains bullish momentum, as outlined in the previous idea, with a clean rejection from the 23280 zone. Today, volatility is expected to increase ahead of Jerome Powell’s speech and a wave of key earnings reports. As long as price holds above 23140, the outlook remains bullish toward 23230 and 23350. A short-term correction toward 23045 is possible if we get a 1H close below 23140. Resistance: 23230 · 23350 · 23510 Support: 23045 · 22920
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by SroshMayi
1
USNAS100 - Tech Index Pulls Back After Testing 23,295USNAS100 | OVERVIEW The index came close to registering a new ATH at 23,295 before pulling back slightly. Today, it appears to be in a bearish correction phase toward 23,200 and 23,150, as long as the price trades below 23,270. Market sentiment may remain cautious, especially with no major earnings reports scheduled before the open, although Intel’s report after the close could have a notable impact. A 1H close above 23,290 would invalidate the correction and open the way toward 23,350 and 23,500. Key Levels: Support: 23,200 · 23,150 · 23,050 Resistance: 23,350 · 23,520
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SroshMayi
Nasdaq 100: Market Optimism Builds Ahead of Big Tech EarningsNasdaq 100: Market Optimism Builds Ahead of Big Tech Earnings The earnings season is gaining momentum. This week, major technology companies such as Alphabet (GOOGL) and Tesla (TSLA) are scheduled to release their quarterly results. Given that 85% of the 53 S&P 500 companies that have already reported have exceeded analysts’ expectations, it is reasonable to assume that market participants are also anticipating strong results from the big tech names. The Nasdaq 100 index (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) set an all-time high last week — a level that may be surpassed (potentially more than once) before the end of August. Technical Analysis of the Nasdaq 100 Chart Price movements have formed an upward channel (marked in blue), with the following dynamics observed: → The bearish signals we highlighted on 7 July did not result in any significant correction. This may be interpreted as a sign of a strong market, as bearish momentum failed to materialise despite favourable technical conditions. → Buyers have shown initiative by gaining control at higher price levels (as indicated by the arrows): the resistance at 22,900 has been invalidated, while the 23,050 level has flipped to become support. → A long lower shadow near the bottom boundary of the channel (circled on the chart) underscores aggressive buying activity. Should the earnings and forward guidance from major tech firms also come in strong, this could further reinforce the sustainable bullish trend in the US equity market. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:NDQM
by FXOpen
US100 Index – Potential Bearish Reversal in Key Resistance Zone🧠 US100 Index – Potential Bearish Reversal in Key Resistance Zone Timeframe: 30-Minute | Chart Published: July 24, 2025 --- 🔍 Overview The US100 (NASDAQ) has been trading in a well-structured ascending channel, forming higher highs and higher lows. However, recent price action suggests that the index is testing a critical supply zone near 23,400, with signs of weakening bullish momentum. This may signal a potential corrective phase or bearish reversal. --- 📈 Technical Analysis Breakdown 🔵 Trend Structure: Price is respecting a clear ascending trendline (blue), connecting multiple higher lows. Multiple bullish flag/channel formations have been completed within the uptrend, showing healthy momentum until the current point. 🟥 Resistance Zone: Strong supply zone marked between 23,250 – 23,450. Price action shows stalling candles and rejection wicks within this zone, indicating buyer exhaustion. ⚠ Bearish Patterns: The red path projection suggests a head and shoulders-like structure forming at the top of the channel. This, along with divergence in wave strength and shrinking momentum, supports a potential reversal. 🔵 Key Support: First support lies around 23,000 — aligning with the ascending trendline and previous consolidation. If broken, next demand zone is around 22,835 – 22,900, where historical consolidation took place. --- 🔁 Projected Scenario (as per visual path) 1. Price may attempt one last push into the 23,400–23,450 zone (possible false breakout). 2. Rejection from this level could trigger a fall toward the ascending trendline support. 3. A confirmed break of the trendline can lead to a larger correction toward the 22,800 zone. --- 🧠 Unique Insight This chart combines multi-timeframe structure recognition with a real-time reversal formation inside a long-standing bullish trend. The analysis doesn’t just rely on textbook patterns—it recognizes real-time price behavior shifts, which makes it valuable for proactive traders. --- 📌 Conclusion While the trend remains bullish overall, caution is warranted as the US100 approaches a historically significant resistance zone. The setup offers a compelling risk-reward short opportunity for aggressive traders, especially if the price confirms a break below trendline support. --- 🔧 Next Steps for Viewers > “Watch for a clean rejection candle or lower high at resistance before entering short. If trendline breaks cleanly, 22,835 could be the next target zone.”
TVC:NDQShort
by AllyPipsExpert
1
USTEC 1H – Dual Entry Precision | TCB Trend Phase SetupUSTEC 1H – Dual Entry Precision | TCB Trend Phase Setup Market remained bullish with clear channel structure. After a pullback into the previous breakout zone, price swept liquidity and wicked below, offering two refined entries (EP 1 & EP 2) inside the demand zone. 🔸 EP 1 – Aggressive entry on first touch 🔸 EP 2 – Confirmation entry after rejection 🔸 SL placed below structural liquidity sweep 🔸 Target: Mid-channel + price inefficiency fill above Trade Summary 🧠 Trend Phase entry with TCB logic 📌 Demand zone = Key structure ⏱️ Low drawdown 💥 RRR ~1:3 📈 TP in motion (or hit, if price reached 23,267) 📎 #Hashtags: #USTEC #US100 #Nasdaq #SmartMoneyConcepts #SniperTrader #ForexTrading #PriceActionTrading #TCBSetup #TrendTrading #LiquiditySweep #RiskReward #TradingViewAnalysis
ICMARKETS:USTECLong
by J1000PIPSfx
USNAS100 signs of a potential bearish trend Nasdaq Composite ended Friday little changed, recovering from a brief dip triggered by financial reports suggesting that former President Donald Trump is pushing for new tariffs. This geopolitical uncertainty is adding pressure to tech-heavy indices, with broader market sentiment turning cautious. The price action on USNAS100 currently appears weak, showing early signs of a potential bearish trend in the upcoming week. However, before further downside, we may see the price retest key resistance levels. You may find more details in the chart Ps Support with like and comments for better analysis.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by MrMartin_11
3
USTEC 1H – Bullish Continuation Play🔥 USTEC 1H – Bullish Continuation Play Price pulled back into a strong demand zone and ascending channel support. We're in a clear bullish trend, and this retest offers a high-probability continuation setup. ✅ Demand zone confluence ✅ Previous resistance turned support ✅ Trendline + bullish wick rejection ✅ Clean structure with 1:3+ potential 🎯 Targeting 23,250+ while SL remains below 22,990 Strategy: TCB – Trend Phase (Pullback Entry) Checklist Score: 100% ✅ A+ setup Bias: Bullish – continuation expected #USTEC #NASDAQ100 #US100 #TechnicalAnalysis #TCBStrategy #PriceAction #ForexTrading #IndicesTrading #SmartMoney #BreakoutTrading #TrendTrading #ChartAnalysis #BullishSetup #TradeIdeas #TradingView Let me know if you want custom hashtags for XAUUSD, BTCUSD, USDCAD, or others.
ICMARKETS:USTEC
by J1000PIPSfx
Nasdaq Short: Completion of 5 waves with wave 5=wave 1Over here, I present a short case for Nasdaq (and S&P500 by default since their correlations are high). The main reasons are: 1. Completion of 5 waves structure both on the high degree and on low degree, as shown in the chart. 2. Fibonacci measurement where wave 1 = wave 5. The stop of this idea is to be placed slightly above the high, in this case, I placed it at around 23320. The take profit target is at the bottom of primary wave 4, around 20685. Take note that this is a positional short, meaning the strategy is to short and hold and periodically adjust your stop loss based on unfolding on wave structure. Sizing is based on your risk tolerance. Good luck!
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by yuchaosng
US 100 – All Eyes on Tariffs, Trade Deals and Tech EarningsRenewed demand for US assets has been evident throughout July so far and this has helped to lift the US 100 index to new heights with gains of over 2.5% across the month. The technology heavy index has risen from opening levels around 22650 on July 1st, then recorded several all time highs, before eventually finding some selling interest after printing the most recent record peak at 23282 yesterday afternoon. This upside has been supported by fresh trader hopes of interest rate cuts, after Federal Reserve (Fed) policymaker Waller suggested last Thursday that he would consider a 25bps (0.25%) reduction at their next meeting on July 30th, despite Fed Chairman Powell maintaining the view that the US central bank are currently pursuing a wait and see approach, as they look for more information on inflation and growth trends to assist them to determine the on-going impact of tariffs. Part of the reason for the Fed’s reluctance to cut rates has also been the resilience of US economic data. With US consumers still spending and employment yet to feel the negative impact of President Trump’s tariff policies, leading to a potential positive knock-on impact for growth and corporate earnings, when considered against prior downbeat market expectations. This all leads nicely onto what could be a key sentiment driver for the direction of the US 100 this week, the start of earnings updates from the ‘Magnificent Seven’ tech companies, two of which, Alphabet and Tesla, report their earnings after the market close tomorrow. These are then followed by Microsoft and Meta on Wednesday July 30th, then Amazon and Apple on Thursday July 31st. Traders will be keen to judge actual earnings against market expectations, alongside updates on AI spending and investment, forward guidance on the impact of tariffs and more specifically for Tesla, the time Elon Musk may dedicate to the company, rather than the distractions of politics. The technical outlook could also be important. Technical Update: Can The Positive Trend Extend Further? There appears to be no clear-cut signs of a negative sentiment shift in the US 100 index yet, as fresh buying has continued to develop above support provided by the rising daily Bollinger mid-average, currently at 22785 (see chart below). Of course, there is no guarantee this positive pattern of higher price highs and higher price lows will continue, especially given the on-going trade discussion between the US and its allies, as well as the earnings announcements from Alphabet and Tesla. However, it can be useful for traders to prepare for any future volatility by assessing potential support and resistance levels that could impact the direction of the US 100 moving forward. Potential Support Levels: It is possible the rising Bollinger mid-average, currently at 22785, represents a first support focus for traders, and as such, closing breaks below this level might lead to a more extended phase of price weakness. Such moves could see a deeper sell-off towards 22533, which is equal to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of June 23rd to July 18th 2025 price strength. Potential Resistance Levels: With fresh price strength emerging with the US 100 index above the rising Bollinger mid-average, a positive price pattern of higher highs and higher lows, may still be evident. This reflects buyers are currently willing to pay higher prices, each time a setback materialises. However, to maintain this uptrend pattern in price, the focus could now be on resistance provided by the July high at 23282 (July 21st). Closing breaks above this level might be required to suggest further strength, towards the next potential resistance level at 24084, which is the weekly Bollinger upper band, even 24482, which is equal to the 38.2% Fibonacci extension. The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by Pepperstone
NAS100 - Bullish Trend Continuation Setup• Pair: NAS100 (Nasdaq) • Bias: Bullish • HTF Overview (4H): • Strong bullish structure and momentum from last week. • Price consistently printing higher highs with no signs of reversal. • MTF Refinement (30M): • Waiting for a clean sweep of SSL (sell-side liquidity). • Looking for price to dip into 30M OB for continuation opportunity. • Entry Zone: • Watch 30M OB — once price sweeps liquidity and confirms, execute long. • Targets: • Structure highs / previous weekly highs. • Mindset Note: • Simple execution plan — ride the trend, trust the structure. • Wait for confirmation before switching from analyst to trader mode. Bless Trading!
IG:NASDAQLong
by Juicemannn
"NASDAQ 100 Heist – Scalp, Swing, or Hold? (Full Plan)🔥 NASDAQ 100 HEIST PLAN – BULLISH LOOT AWAITS! 🔥 🚨 Attention Market Robbers & Money Makers! 🚨 (Swing/Day Trade Strategy – High-Risk, High-Reward Play) 🎯 Mission Objective: Loot the NDX100/US100 (NASDAQ 100) Like a Pro! Based on Thief Trading’s ruthless technical & fundamental analysis, we’re executing a bullish heist—targeting the Red Zone (high-risk, high-reward area). ⚠️ WARNING: Overbought market, consolidation zone, potential bear traps—weak bears may get slaughtered! Strong hands only! 🔐 ENTRY: The Vault is OPEN! "SWIPE THE BULLISH LOOT!" – Any price is a steal, but smart thieves use: Buy Limit Orders (15m-30m TF) near recent swing lows/highs. DCA/Layering Strategy – Multiple limit orders for max loot. Breakout Confirmation – Don’t jump in early; wait for the real move! 🛑 STOP LOSS: Protect Your Stash! Thief’s SL Rule: Nearest 4H swing low (22,600) – WICK LEVEL ONLY! DO NOT place SL before breakout! (Patience = Profit.) Adjust SL based on risk, lot size, and number of orders. 🎯 TARGETS: Escape Before the Cops Arrive! Main Take-Profit: 24,400 (or exit early if momentum fades). Scalpers: Longs ONLY! Use trailing SL to lock in profits. Swing Traders: Ride the wave like a true market pirate! 📰 FUNDAMENTAL BACKUP: Why This Heist Will Work Bullish momentum in NDX100 driven by: Macro trends (Fed, inflation, tech earnings). COT Report & Institutional positioning. Geopolitical & Sentiment Shifts. Intermarket correlations (USD, Bonds, Tech Sector). (Stay updated—markets change FAST!) ⚠️ TRADING ALERT: News = Danger Zone! Avoid new trades during high-impact news. Trailing SL = Your best friend. Lock profits early if volatility spikes! 💥 BOOST THIS HEIST! 💥 👉 Hit LIKE & FOLLOW to strengthen our robbery crew! 🚀 More heists coming soon—stay tuned, thieves! 🚀
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by The-Thief
NASDAQ100 Hits Target at 23170 – Watch for Breakout or PullbackNASDAQ100 Tests ATH – Key Decision Zone at 23170 New ATH Achieved: NASDAQ100 recorded a new All-Time High (ATH), hitting our target at 23170 precisely as projected. Currently, price is consolidating below 23170. Sustained rejection at this level could trigger a short-term bearish pullback toward 23010. A deeper correction may extend to 22900 or even 22815. However, a clean breakout above 23170 would confirm bullish continuation, with the next target at 23350. Key Levels • Pivot: 23170 • Resistance: 23250 / 23350 • Support: 23010 / 22900 / 22815 Outlook: • Bullish above 23170 • Bearish below 23170 (short-term pullback zone)
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SroshMayi
1
NASDAQ (CASH100) SHORT - double top H6Risk/reward = 4.3 Entry price = 23 282 Stop loss price = 23 398 Take profit level 1 (50%) = 22 871 Take profit level 2 (50%) = 22 663 If current H6 goes back into range, I will open short position. All variables on checklist have been met. I was out last night so I missed my initial entry. Hoping for a second chance. Hopefully this short works because the last few higher time frame short setups have failed, although because of exit plan I have made very little losses.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by Investmentsbygraham
US100 (NASDAQ 100) 24-Hour Technical Analysis ForecastCurrent Price: 23,076.60 (Close: Friday, July 18th, 2025) Analysis Period: Next 24 Hours (July 19-20, 2025) Market Status: Weekend - Preparing for Monday Open --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- EXECUTIVE SUMMARY - 24H OUTLOOK Primary Bias: Neutral to Bullish (Short-term consolidation expected) Key Resistance: 23,150 - 23,250 Critical Support: 22,850 - 22,950 Expected Range: 22,900 - 23,200 Volatility Level: Moderate (Tech earnings season approach) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1. CANDLESTICK PATTERN ANALYSIS Friday's Close Formation --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pattern: Small-bodied candle with upper shadow at 23,076 Significance: Indecision after testing resistance near 23,150 Volume: Above-average volume suggesting institutional activity Context: Failed to break cleanly above psychological 23,100 level --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Expected 24H Patterns --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Monday Gap: Potential small gap up to 23,100-23,120 area Continuation Pattern: Bullish flag/pennant formation developing Key Reversal: Watch for hammer formation at 22,950 support if decline occurs --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pattern Probability Assessment --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Doji/Spinning Top: 40% probability (continued indecision) Bullish Engulfing: 35% probability (if gap up occurs) Bearish Reversal: 25% probability (if resistance holds) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2. HARMONIC PATTERN ANALYSIS Current Harmonic Setup --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Primary Pattern: Bullish Cypher Pattern in Development --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- X: 22,400 (previous major low) A: 23,250 (recent swing high) B: 22,800 (61.8% retracement) C: 23,150 (127.2% extension - current test area) D (Completion): 22,650-22,750 (78.6% retracement zone) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Alternative Pattern: Bull Flag --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pole: 22,400 → 23,250 (850-point move) Flag: Current consolidation 22,950-23,150 Target: 23,250 + 850 = 24,100 (extended projection) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Fibonacci Levels (24H Focus) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Golden Ratio Support: 22,950 (61.8% of recent swing) 38.2% Retracement: 23,025 23.6% Retracement: 23,050 Extension Target: 23,375 (161.8% projection) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 3. ELLIOTT WAVE THEORY - 24H COUNT Primary Wave Count (Bullish Scenario) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Macro Structure: Wave 5 of larger degree impulse in progress Current Position: Wave 4 correction completing Mini-wave Count: Flat correction pattern (A-B-C structure) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 24-Hour Wave Projection --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Wave A: 23,250 → 22,800 (Completed) Wave B: 22,800 → 23,150 (Completed - 70% retrace) Wave C: 23,150 → 22,950 (In Progress - Equal to A) Wave 5 Target: 24,000-24,200 (1.618 extension) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Alternative Count (Corrective Scenario) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Structure: Double zigzag correction Current Phase: Second zigzag development Target: 22,750-22,850 (Wave Y completion) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Critical Elliott Levels --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Wave 4 Low: 22,750 (must hold for bullish count) Invalidation: Below 22,400 (Wave 1 high) Confirmation: Break above 23,250 (Wave 3 high) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 4. WYCKOFF THEORY - 24H PHASE Current Market Phase Assessment --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Primary Phase: Reaccumulation (Phase B-C transition) Composite Operator Action: Testing supply at 23,150 area Volume Analysis: Absorption of selling pressure evident Smart Money Activity: Institutional buying on dips below 23,000 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Expected 24H Wyckoff Dynamics --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Phase Progression: Moving toward Phase D (Sign of Strength) Testing Action: Final test of support at 22,950-23,000 Volume Expectation: Declining volume on any weakness Breakout Setup: Spring action possible below 22,950 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Key Wyckoff Signals (24H Watch List) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Sign of Strength (SOS): Break above 23,150 with volume Last Point of Support (LPS): 22,950 area test No Supply: Expected on rallies to 23,100-23,150 Backup to Edge of Creek: Potential dip to 22,850 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5. W.D. GANN THEORY - 24H ANALYSIS Square of Nine Analysis --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Current Position: 23,076° on Gann wheel Next Cardinal Point: 23,100° (significant psychological resistance) Natural Support: 23,000° (perfect square - strong magnetic level) Critical Angle: 22,900° (45-degree angle support from recent low) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Time Theory - 24H Cycle --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Natural Time Cycle: 24-hour cycle from Friday's close Critical Time Windows: --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 6 hours: 02:00 UTC Monday (potential turn time) 18 hours: 14:00 UTC Monday (major turn potential) 24 hours: 20:00 UTC Monday (cycle completion) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Angle Theory Application --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Rising 45° Line: Currently at 22,950 (critical support) Rising 63.75° Line: 23,100 (steep resistance angle) Declining 26.25° Line: 23,150 (gentle resistance) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gann Price Forecasting --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Square Root Method: --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Current: √23,076 ≈ 151.9 Next resistance: 152² = 23,104 Major resistance: 153² = 23,409 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Primary Target: 23,104 (natural Gann resistance) Extended Target: 23,409 (next perfect square) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Time-Price Harmony --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Harmonic Time: 144 hours from last major low Price Harmony: 23,076 in harmony with 22,500 base Next Harmony Level: 23,400 (Fibonacci price relationship) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 6. MULTI-TIMEFRAME INTRADAY ANALYSIS 5-Minute Chart Analysis --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Micro Trend: Consolidating triangle pattern Support: 23,050-23,060 (recent lows) Resistance: 23,090-23,100 (intraday highs) Volume Profile: Balanced - no clear direction RSI (5M): 48-52 range (neutral) Pattern: Symmetrical triangle (breakout pending) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 15-Minute Chart Analysis --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Structure: Bull flag formation Flag Boundaries: 23,040-23,120 Breakout Level: Above 23,120 (bullish) Breakdown Level: Below 23,040 (bearish) Moving Averages: EMA20 at 23,065 (support) MACD: Consolidating above zero line --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 30-Minute Chart Analysis --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Primary Pattern: Ascending triangle Horizontal Resistance: 23,150 (multiple tests) Rising Support Line: From 22,950 to current levels Breakout Target: 23,350 (triangle height projection) Volume: Decreasing (typical triangle behavior) Bollinger Bands: Contracting (low volatility) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1-Hour Chart Analysis --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Major Structure: Bullish continuation pattern Cup and Handle: Handle formation in progress Handle Depth: 7% correction (healthy) Breakout Level: 23,175 (handle resistance) Target: 24,000 (cup depth projection) RSI (1H): 55 (bullish but not overbought) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 4-Hour Chart Analysis --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Macro Trend: Strong uptrend intact Correction Type: Shallow pullback (wave 4 character) Support Cluster: 22,900-23,000 (multiple confluences) Resistance Zone: 23,150-23,250 Ichimoku Cloud: Price above cloud (bullish) Volume Trend: Higher lows pattern (accumulation) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 7. TECHNICAL INDICATORS MATRIX Momentum Indicators --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- RSI (4H): 58 (Bullish momentum, room for upside) RSI (1H): 55 (Neutral-bullish) Stochastic %K: 62 (Above %D line - bullish) Williams %R: -35 (Not oversold, upside potential) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Trend Indicators --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- MACD (4H): Above signal line, histogram positive ADX: 35 (Strong trend strength) Parabolic SAR: 22,950 (supportive) Supertrend: 22,850 (strong support) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Volume Indicators --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- OBV: Rising trend (accumulation pattern) Volume Rate of Change: Positive Chaikin Money Flow: +0.15 (buying pressure) Accumulation/Distribution: Uptrend --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 8. KEY SUPPORT & RESISTANCE LEVELS (24H) Critical Resistance Levels --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- R1: 23,100 (Psychological + Gann) R2: 23,150 (Technical resistance + harmonic) R3: 23,200 (Minor resistance) R4: 23,250 (Major swing high) R5: 23,350 (Extended target) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Vital Support Levels --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- S1: 23,040 (Immediate support) S2: 23,000 (Psychological + Gann) S3: 22,950 (Critical support cluster) S4: 22,900 (Strong technical support) S5: 22,850 (Major support zone) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 9. 24-HOUR TRADING SCENARIOS Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout (50% Probability) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Trigger: Break above 23,120 with volume expansion Initial Target: 23,180-23,200 Extended Target: 23,300-23,350 Stop Loss (Longs): Below 22,990 Expected Timeline: 12-18 hours from breakout --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Scenario 2: Continued Consolidation (35% Probability) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Range: 23,000-23,150 Trading Strategy: Range-bound scalping Buy Zone: 23,020-23,040 Sell Zone: 23,120-23,140 Duration: Full 24-hour period --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Scenario 3: Bearish Breakdown (15% Probability) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Trigger: Break below 22,990 on volume Target 1: 22,900-22,950 Target 2: 22,850-22,900 Bounce Level: 22,800-22,850 Recovery Above: 23,050 negates bearish scenario --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10. RISK FACTORS & CATALYSTS (24H) Bullish Catalysts --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Tech earnings optimism building AI sector momentum continuation Institutional portfolio rebalancing (month-end flows) Strong economic data expectations Risk-on sentiment from Asia markets --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Bearish Risk Factors --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Profit-taking ahead of earnings Rising bond yields concern Geopolitical tensions impact Overbought technical condition worries Sector rotation out of tech --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- High-Impact Events (Next 24H) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Asian market opening (risk sentiment gauge) Weekend news flow analysis Pre-earnings positioning Options expiry effects Futures gap analysis --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 11. TRADING RECOMMENDATIONS (24H) For Scalpers (5M-15M Timeframes) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Primary Setup: Triangle breakout trade Entry Long: Above 23,120 Target: 23,160-23,180 Stop Loss: 23,080 Risk/Reward: 1:2 ratio --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- For Intraday Traders (30M-1H) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Strategy: Bull flag continuation Entry Zone: 23,050-23,070 (on dips) Target 1: 23,150 Target 2: 23,200 Stop Loss: 23,000 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- For Swing Setup (4H basis) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Approach: Pullback buying opportunity Optimal Entry: 22,950-23,000 Primary Target: 23,350-23,400 Extended Target: 23,600 Stop Loss: 22,850 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 12. CONFLUENCE ANALYSIS Bullish Confluence at 22,950-23,000 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gann Theory: 23,000° perfect square support Elliott Wave: Wave 4 completion zone Wyckoff: Last Point of Support (LPS) Fibonacci: 61.8% retracement level Moving Averages: EMA 50 confluence Volume Profile: High volume node support --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Resistance Confluence at 23,150-23,200 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Harmonic: Cypher pattern C-point resistance Previous Structure: Multiple test area Psychological: Round number resistance Gann Angles: 63.75° resistance line Elliott Wave: Wave B completion area Technical: Flag pattern upper boundary --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- FINAL 24H FORECAST SUMMARY Most Likely Scenario: Continued consolidation with upward bias, testing 23,150 resistance with potential breakout to 23,200+ levels. Trading Range Expectation: 22,980 - 23,180 (primary range) Breakout Levels: --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Bullish: Above 23,120 → targets 23,200-23,350 Bearish: Below 22,980 → targets 22,900-22,950 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Key Time Windows: --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Asian Open: 00:00-02:00 UTC (gap direction) US Pre-market: 08:00-13:30 UTC (institutional flows) US Cash Open: 13:30 UTC (volume confirmation) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Risk Management Notes: --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Position sizing should account for tech sector volatility Weekend gap risk considerations Earnings season positioning effects --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Probability Assessment: --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 50% - Bullish breakout scenario 35% - Range-bound consolidation 15% - Bearish breakdown --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trading involves substantial risk of loss. Always use appropriate risk management and never risk more than you can afford to lose. Past performance does not guarantee future results. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- For those interested in further developing their trading skills based on these types of analyses, consider exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. I welcome your feedback on this analysis, as it will inform and enhance my future work. Regards, Shunya Trade ⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by shoonya0000