POSSIBLE PLAY FOR THE WEEKHTF KEY LEVEL
1. Premium gap/volume imbalance (DAILY TF)
2. monthly inverted fvg premium marked in Blue lines
I'd be watching the hourly time frame to get a setup as marked in red to engage for the week.
NOTE: CPI Tuesday
USDX trade ideas
DXY: The Market Is Looking Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DXY together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 97.370 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
DXY Bearish Bias
Institutions are currently holding a net short position on the Dollar, indicating bearish sentiment. With a net position of -4,282, we may expect continued weakness in the DXY, especially if price reacts from key supply zones. Swing traders should remain cautious with long setups and prioritize opportunities aligned with USD weakness across major pairs.
Bold analysis for the most powerful currency in the world (DXY)Orange range: entering in several steps .
Green area: important support and exit point .
Important note: The gray line is the liquidity range
Watch the dance around this line carefully (bank positions are settled around this line)
And in my opinion, by increasing the price, they are emptying it on the buyers, so buy cautiously, but sell boldly.
GL
BTC vs DXYThe correlation between these two charts is striking. Now, both DXY and BTC have very completed patterns with BTC pretty high and DXY pretty low. Based on this chart it seems at least plausible that BTC should be topping in the next couple of months.
US interest rate reduction?!As you can see, the US dollar index has completed a 5-wave uptrend and after touching the top of the uptrend channel and breaking the uptrend line, it is currently in the second correction wave. I expect to see the beginning of the third correction wave soon. This may coincide with the reduction of the US interest rate in next week!!
Dollar Index Analysis [DXY]Market has show upper wicks for last 3 days which is the sign that there is still sell pressure. The daily candles for this week are range bound. 4H chart is showing short term uptrend which is maintaining higher highs and higher lows. We can use this range to have scalps in this range.
DXYInstitutions are currently holding a net short position on the Dollar, indicating bearish sentiment. With a net position of -4,282, we may expect continued weakness in the DXY, especially if price reacts from key supply zones. Swing traders should remain cautious with long setups and prioritize opportunities aligned with USD weakness across major pairs.
Dollar Index AnalysisDollar Index has been in continuous sell for last 5 Months. Has hit the demand zone and giving a pull back and short term trend in daily and 4H charts. From the 4H charts we can see that it is in short term uptrend move and has pushed higher and it is giving a pull back which is visible.
DXY Holds Above Channel Support: Next Leg Higher?Hey Traders,
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is consolidating just above a strong support cluster around 97.325, aligned with ascending channel structure and historical demand. Price action is suggesting a potential bullish continuation if this support zone holds firm.
Current Market Conditions:
* DXY is trading within a well-defined ascending channel, maintaining higher highs and higher lows.
* Price is currently hovering above the 97.325 key support area and mid-channel dynamic trendline.
* Recent candles show rejection from the lower boundary of the bullish channel, indicating buyers may be stepping in again.
* Structure remains bullish unless price closes decisively below 97.325.
Fundamental Analysis/Outlook:
The dollar remains buoyed by persistent inflation pressures and Fed Chair Powell’s continued hawkish tone. Markets are pricing in fewer rate cuts in the near term, reinforcing USD strength. Today’s USD resilience is also supported by mild risk-off sentiment ahead of U.S. CPI data and Powell’s congressional testimony, which could further move the greenback.
Targets:
* TP1: 97.756
* TP2: 98.085
* TP3: 98.373
Risk Management:
* Stop-loss: Below 97.325 to invalidate bullish structure.
* Risk-to-Reward (R\:R): Minimum 1:2 setup. Consider adjusting position size based on support behaviour and macro event volatility.
Technical Outlook:
* Price needs to hold above 97.421–97.325 zone to maintain bullish bias.
* Watch for bullish engulfing or momentum candles as confirmation for long setups.
* A break above 97.630 could accelerate the rally toward higher resistance at 98.373.
Conclusion:
DXY is at a decision point. If bulls maintain control above 97.325, the index could push higher toward the 98.00+ zone. Keep an eye on U.S. economic data and Fed commentary for directional confirmation.
Sign-off:
“In markets, clarity often lies just beyond the fear. Trade the levels, not the noise.”
💬 Let me know your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to boost and follow for more insights. Trade safe!
possibility of uptrendThe bullish pattern is expected to advance along the specified path to the specified resistance levels. Then there is a possibility of a trend change.
If the support area is broken, the continuation of the downward trend is likely.
DXY - to provide short term bounce here DXY to bounce off key double confluence here to $100 before collapsing
DXY Bearish Setup
Entry: 97.50 (current price)
Target (TP): 96.500 or below
Stop Loss (SL): ~97.80 (above recent swing high or resistance)
Risk Management: Essential — position size based on SL distance and account size
🔍 Trade Rationale:
Technical View: Price may be forming a lower high, suggesting possible downside continuation.
Fundamental Pressure:
Market cautious on Fed rate path
Tariff uncertainty could weaken USD
Upcoming FOMC minutes may add pressure if dovish signals emerge
DXY LOCAL SHORT|
✅DXY is about to retest a key structure level of 98.000
Which implies a high likelihood of a move down
As some market participants will be taking profit from long positions
While others will find this price level to be good for selling
So as usual we will have a chance to ride the wave of a bearish correction
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
DXY shortPrice had broken our support level and hence i expect i continuous downward movement in price, although price cloud retest the support level that was turn into a resistance level before continuing it bearish move.
DXY: Bears Are Winning! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DXY together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 96.860 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 96.760.and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Potential USD Strengthening Ahead | DXY vs BTCUSD Outlook
⚡ The DXY has now reached the lower boundary of its long-term ascending channel, a historically significant technical zone where rebounds have occurred in the past.
💡 If this pattern holds, a strong rebound towards the 121 level on the DXY looks probable in the coming months.
What does this mean for BTC?
Historically, a strengthening USD has often resulted in a reciprocal effect on BTCUSD, leading to downward pressure on Bitcoin prices. The chart suggests that if the DXY rebounds as expected, BTCUSD could witness a significant decline proportionate to the USD's strength.
Key Takeaways:
✅ DXY at crucial technical support – rebound likely.
✅ Target for DXY: 121 zone.
✅ BTCUSD may face downside pressure as USD strengthens.
✅ MACD showing early signs of bullish reversal potential for DXY.
Note: This is a technical analysis-based view. Always use risk management and combine multiple factors before trading decisions. For Educational purpose only.
💬 What are your thoughts? Will the USD rally put pressure on Bitcoin again? Share below!
Check the trend It is expected that a trend change will form at the current resistance level and a continuation of the downtrend will form. Otherwise, the continuation of the uptrend to the specified resistance levels will be possible and then there will be a possibility of a trend change at the specified resistance levels.
3 key reasons why the U.S. dollar is losing value📉 According to J.P. Morgan, here are 3 key reasons why the U.S. dollar is losing value:
1️⃣ Oil and energy deals are now being done in other currencies
2️⃣ U.S. banks are excluded from new global payment systems
3️⃣ Countries are reducing their USD reserves
The world is slowly shifting away from dollar dependence...
#USD #DollarDecline #JPMorgan #ForexNews #DeDollarization #OilTrade #CurrencyShift #GlobalEconomy #SmartMoney #FXForever #MarketUpdate #ForexTraders #USDBreakdown #EconomicTrends #GlobalFinance
DXY TrendlinesUnless it brakes the downtrend with a weekly candle close it should bounce back up in long run. should be closely monitored since it will give us a lot of information about current market direction. i expect bouncing back up but we will see.
DOLLAR INDEX The dxy is the measure of the united state dollar relative to basket of six majors foreign currencies, it was originally developed by U.S Federal Reserve in 1973 to provide a trade -weighted average value of the dollar against global currencies.
the six currencies are EURO 57%,JPY 13.6%,GBP 11.9%,CAD 9.1% SEK 4.2% CHF 3.6%
The index rises when the dollar strengthens against these currencies and falls when it weakens ,its used to gauge the overall strength of the us dollar in the global market.
US10Y
THE US10Y ,the treasury note yield is the interest rate the U.S government pays to borrow money for 10 years ,it serves as a crucial benchmark for other interest rates and is a key indicator of the investor sentiment about the economy, in context it reflects the return an investor expect for lending money to the U.S. government for a decade .
the interest is paid semi annually at a fixed coupon rate and the yield moves inversely to bond price; when bond price fall the yield rises, and vice versa .
this have a direct effect on borrowing cost across the economy ,including mortgage rates and corporate loans .
when yield is rising investor optimism is high about the economic growth and inflation ,while failing yield indicates economic caution and recession fear and concern
technical interpretation of the monthly chart
the dxy is in buy back position on ascending trendline line ,but price remains below supply roof and if we get monthly retest of broken demand floor we could see price selling off.
trading is 100% probability.
DOLLAR INDEX TRADING CHEACK LIST.
The dxy is the measure of the united state dollar relative to basket of six majors foreign currencies, it was originally developed by U.S Federal Reserve in 1973 to provide a trade -weighted average value of the dollar against global currencies.
the six currencies are EURO 57%,JPY 13.6%,GBP 11.9%,CAD 9.1% SEK 4.2% CHF 3.6%
The index rises when the dollar strengthens against these currencies and falls when it weakens ,its used to gauge the overall strength of the us dollar in the global market.
US10Y
THE US10Y ,the treasury note yield is the interest rate the U.S government pays to borrow money for 10 years ,it serves as a crucial benchmark for other interest rates and is a key indicator of the investor sentiment about the economy, in context it reflects the return an investor expect for lending money to the U.S. government for a decade .
the interest is paid semi annually at a fixed coupon rate and the yield moves inversely to bond price; when bond price fall the yield rises, and vice versa .
this have a direct effect on borrowing cost across the economy ,including mortgage rates and corporate loans .
when yield is rising investor optimism is high about the economic growth and inflation ,while failing yield indicates economic caution and recession fear and concern
technical interpretation of the monthly chart
the dxy is in buy back position on ascending trendline line ,but price remains below supply roof and if we get monthly retest of broken demand floor we could see price selling off.
trading is 100% probability.
DXY Bullish IdeaDXY has been printing Lows since past weeks and is currently testing a good long term support. A good bounce is expected in dollar.
