ETHUSD Is Going Up! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for ETHUSD.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 3,011.53.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 3,240.64.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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ETHUSD.P trade ideas
ETH roadmap to 5000!Ethereum Wave 3 in Play? Eyes on the $4500 Target
Ethereum may currently be progressing through a wave 3, which is often the strongest leg of an impulse. The structure so far supports that idea, and based on standard projections, the most likely target sits near $4500.
If price can break and hold above the 4k level, we could see a consolidation forming above the previous high. That would be a constructive sign and might set up the next leg higher.
But there’s still a chance ETH struggles to clear that level. If that happens, consolidation could form just underneath, which would still be acceptable within a wave 3 framework. What matters next is the shape and depth of the pullback.
Wave 4 will be the key. A shallow or sideways correction would keep bullish momentum intact. A deeper pullback doesn't ruin the structure, but it does mean we’ll need to watch support zones more closely.
If wave 4 behaves well and broader market conditions stay supportive, then a final wave 5 could bring ETH into the $5000 region. That’s the upper edge of this current roadmap, based on conservative assumptions.
Stay flexible. Let the structure guide the bias.
ETHUSD - Stretched price. Pullback to CL likelyPrice tagged the U-MLH, the stretch level.
Think of it like the 2nd STDV.
Now think Mean Reversion.
With such a stretch, price has a high chance to revert to the mean - down to the Centerline (CL).
What is this information good for?
a) take profit (...or 50% partial)
b) short on intrady signs
But if it is open and close above the U-MLH, then there's a good chance that price is advancing to the Warning Line, the extension of the Center to U-MLH.
Let's observe what happens.
Ethereum Price Rejects $3K: Is A Deeper Correction Ahead?Ethereum's Precarious Perch: Price Stumbles at $3K as Long-Term Conviction and Quantum Threats Collide
The cryptocurrency community is intently watching Ethereum as the premier smart contract platform engages in a fierce battle around the psychologically crucial $3,000 mark. Following a promising surge that breached this barrier for the first time in several months, the upward momentum has stalled, giving way to a tense period of consolidation. This raises a pivotal question for investors and market observers alike: is a more significant correction on the horizon, or is this merely a strategic pause before the next major advance toward $3,200 and potentially higher valuations?
The recent price action has been a whirlwind for traders. Ethereum climbed with bullish determination, reaching heights near $3,080 before encountering substantial selling pressure that forced a retreat. This downturn has left the price hovering near the $2,940 level, trading precariously near its 100-hourly Simple Moving Average (SMA). Exacerbating the bearish sentiment, the price has broken below a key bullish trend line that had previously offered support at the $2,980 mark, a technical development that often signals the potential for further declines.
This short-term market turbulence, however, unfolds within a much broader and more intricate narrative. While hourly charts may be flashing warning signs, an analysis of long-term on-chain data reveals a story of strengthening fundamentals, underscored by a record amount of Ethereum being locked away by confident, long-term holders. In parallel, the Ethereum developer community, with co-founder Vitalik Buterin at the forefront, is proactively strategizing for a distant yet potentially existential threat: the "Quantum Apocalypse." This unique convergence of immediate bearish technical indicators, profound long-term bullish sentiment, and forward-thinking security planning creates a fascinating and unpredictable landscape for the pioneering blockchain platform.
The Short-Term Tug-of-War: A Correction Towards $2,900 or a Rally to $3,200?
In the immediate term, the market is a battlefield of competing forces. The inability to sustain a position above the $3,000 level has emboldened sellers, and key technical indicators are suggesting a cautious approach. The hourly MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) is indicating a loss of momentum within the bullish zone, while the RSI (Relative Strength Index) has fallen below the 50 mark, suggesting that selling pressure could be gaining the upper hand.
Market analysts are now laser-focused on the $2,900 zone, viewing it as the primary line of defense for the bulls. If this support level can withstand the selling pressure, it could provide the necessary foundation for a fresh increase, enabling Ethereum to reclaim its lost ground and launch another attempt to conquer the $3,000 resistance. Conversely, a decisive break below this critical support could initiate a more substantial correction. In such a scenario, subsequent support targets would likely be found near $2,800, with the potential for further drops to the $2,720 or even $2,650 price points.
A particularly compelling theory circulating among analysts involves the concept of a "liquidity sweep." On-chain data indicates a significant concentration of liquidity—essentially, a large cluster of buy orders and stop-loss orders—residing just below the $2,900 level. Market dynamics frequently see price action gravitate toward these zones to trigger liquidations, effectively shaking out over-leveraged traders before a more sustained move in the opposite direction. Consequently, a brief dip below $2,900 to "grab" this liquidity would not be an unexpected development. Paradoxically, such a move could be the very catalyst required to fuel a durable rally toward the next major target: the $3,200 supply zone. This level is widely regarded as the next significant hurdle, a price ceiling where a large volume of sell orders is anticipated to be waiting.
The volatility surrounding key psychological levels like $3,000 is notoriously difficult to predict, as human emotions of fear and greed often drive exaggerated market reactions. For the time being, the short-term outlook remains uncertain, heavily contingent on whether the crucial $2,900 support can absorb the selling pressure or if a flush-out of liquidity is needed before the bulls can confidently reassert control.
The Bullish Undercurrent: Smart Money's Long Game and a Shrinking Supply
Looking beyond the volatile daily price charts reveals a powerful undercurrent of bullish conviction. A key metric that speaks volumes about long-term investor sentiment is the quantity of Ethereum locked in staking contracts, which has recently soared to a new all-time high.
Recent on-chain data indicates that nearly 30% of Ethereum's total supply is now staked on the network. As of mid-2025, more than 35 million ETH have been committed to validator nodes, a process that helps secure the network while allowing stakers to earn passive income. This trend, which has seen a notable acceleration in recent months, serves as a powerful indicator of long-term confidence. When investors, particularly large holders often referred to as "whales," stake their ETH, they are effectively removing it from the liquid, tradable supply. This reduction in available supply, frequently described as a "supply shock," means that any future increase in demand can have a more pronounced positive effect on the asset's price.
This staking activity is widely interpreted as "smart money" placing a long-term bet on Ethereum's continued growth and success. These are not day traders reacting to minor price swings but rather institutional investors and seasoned crypto participants who are focused on the bigger picture. Their actions signal a deep-seated belief that the intrinsic value of the Ethereum network—as the foundational layer for decentralized finance (DeFi), non-fungible tokens (NFTs), and a vast ecosystem of other applications—will continue to appreciate over time. This accumulation is not limited to staking; the number of wallets with no history of selling has also reached a record high, collectively holding over 22.8 million ETH.
This expanding pool of illiquid supply, driven by a firm belief in Ethereum's fundamental value proposition and its future roadmap, provides a strong counter-narrative to the short-term bearish technicals. It suggests that while the price may experience turbulence in the near term, a substantial and growing cohort of investors is prepared to hold through the volatility, thereby creating a solid foundation for future price appreciation.
The Existential Question: Can Ethereum Outsmart a Quantum Apocalypse?
While traders and short-term investors grapple with hourly charts and staking metrics, Ethereum's core developers are concentrating on a threat that is far more distant but infinitely more profound: the advent of quantum computing. The "Quantum Apocalypse" is a term used to describe the hypothetical future event—often called "Q-Day"—when a quantum computer becomes powerful enough to break the cryptographic algorithms that secure virtually all of our modern digital infrastructure. This includes blockchain networks like Ethereum and Bitcoin.
Such a powerful machine could, in theory, reverse-engineer a user's private key from their public key, which would grant an attacker complete and unfettered control over their digital assets. For a multi-billion dollar ecosystem built on the unwavering promise of cryptographic security, this represents an existential threat of the highest order.
However, the leadership within the Ethereum ecosystem, including co-founder Vitalik Buterin and the Ethereum Foundation, is not idly waiting for this threat to materialize. They are actively and transparently working to make the network quantum-resistant. Buterin has publicly addressed the issue, noting that prediction markets currently forecast the arrival of a cryptographically relevant quantum computer sometime between 2030 and 2035. This timeline provides a crucial window for the network to transition its security protocols to a more robust standard.
The strategy to neutralize this threat is multifaceted and is a core component of Ethereum's long-term development roadmap. Key initiatives include:
• Post-Quantum Cryptography: Researchers are diligently developing and testing new types of signature schemes that are designed to be resistant to attacks from both classical and quantum computers. Two of the most promising approaches are STARKs (Scalable Transparent Arguments of Knowledge) and lattice-based cryptography. STARKs, for instance, would allow users to prove ownership of their assets without ever exposing their private keys.
• The "Lean Ethereum" Roadmap: Buterin and fellow researcher Justin Drake have put forth a vision for a "Lean Ethereum" that aims to simplify the blockchain's base layer. This simplification would not only make the protocol easier to audit and secure but would also facilitate the integration of post-quantum-ready signatures and other advanced defensive measures.
• Emergency Hard Forks: In a worst-case scenario where a quantum threat emerges much sooner than anticipated, Buterin has suggested that an emergency hard fork could be deployed as a final line of defense. This would involve a network-wide upgrade where all users would be required to migrate their funds to new, quantum-resistant "smart" wallets, thereby rendering the old, vulnerable accounts obsolete.
Buterin remains cautiously optimistic about the network's ability to navigate this challenge. The proactive stance, the commitment to public and transparent research, and the multi-layered defense strategy all demonstrate a deep commitment to ensuring Ethereum's security for decades to come. This effort aims to transform a potential apocalypse into a manageable, albeit complex, technological evolution.
Conclusion: A Market at a Crossroads
Ethereum currently stands at a fascinating crossroads, a point where short-term technical uncertainty is juxtaposed with immense long-term fundamental strength and remarkable foresight. The immediate price action is a toss-up, delicately balanced on the crucial $2,900 support level. A sustained dip below this line could send prices into a corrective wave toward $2,800 or lower, possibly to sweep liquidity before a stronger and more convincing rebound. Conversely, if this support holds firm, it could empower the bulls to decisively conquer the $3,000 barrier and set their sights on the formidable $3,200 resistance zone.
When one zooms out from the daily noise, the picture becomes clearer and decidedly more bullish. The record-breaking amount of ETH locked in staking contracts paints a portrait of unwavering long-term conviction from sophisticated investors who are systematically reducing the available supply while simultaneously strengthening the network's security. This patient accumulation provides a powerful buffer against short-term market panic.
Looking even further into the future, Ethereum's leadership is already waging a quiet war against the quantum threat, meticulously laying the groundwork for a post-quantum world. This long-range planning, while not a direct factor in today's price movements, underpins the network's potential for longevity and resilience.
For the investor, the current dilemma—a rally to $3,200 or a pullback first?—is largely a matter of time horizon. The path of least resistance in the coming days and weeks remains ambiguous, clouded by liquidation levels and psychological barriers. But for those with a longer view, the on-chain data and the forward-thinking roadmap strongly suggest that Ethereum is not just building for the next bull run, but for the next generation of the internet. The current price turbulence, while unsettling, may ultimately be remembered as a minor tremor before a much more significant structural shift in value.
Ethereum´s local and possibly even macro bottom is in!- first ever White Stripe present on the 3W which is a very high time-frame
- Eth has experienced a more than 60% drop ever since the highs with no real relief inbetween
- at the very least, a strong bounce to 2400, 2500 is expected
- there is also the possibility that this is THE bottom before eventually Eth makes new ATHs, possibly this but probably next year
Ethereum - It's about damn time!Ethereum has been slacking for a couple of years.
The strong catalyst to excel Ethereum just seems to be lingering compared to the first 5 years.
So, it looks like it's just following suit with Bitcoin current rally, as it hits all time highs and shines confidence to the rest.
So the update with Ethereum remains to be the same.
Price>20 and 200
Cup and Handle
Breakout above brim
Target $3,794
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Strategic Long Position on Ethereum (ETH)
Ethereum's funding rates have spiked, reflecting an overcrowded long side. Such conditions often precede a long squeeze, as the market seeks to shake out overleveraged traders.
Despite this risk, the current bullish momentum justifies a tiered entry approach:
First Entry (Market Order): 3,790
Second Entry (Limit Order): 3,550
🛑 Stop Loss (for both entries): 3,400
🎯 Take Profit Target: 4,200
This setup allows participation in the upward trend while leaving room
3 Wins to Glory.You guys know my long term Targets for ETH.
What I wanted to highlight is the angle of the Banana zone has been remarkably consistent on the Log chart.
Granted we only have 2 - 2.5 data points
But note how even in 2025 the run is adhering to the approx 60 degree angle of attack, after breaking out of their respective W's.
something to monitor.
ETH — Trade Closed! Massive Profit SecuredI’m officially closing my Ethereum position — this trade is now a success story!
I posted right here that ETH was a buy at $2400, then doubled down at $1800. I even echoed the call on Reddit for good measure.
Today, I’m liquidating the entire position with a huge gain. No regrets, just clean execution. 🧠💸
To all the mad lads still holding — good luck and may your conviction be rewarded.
See you next year for the next big swing.
Take your profits, you lunatics! 😄🔥
Bullish bounce?Ethereum (ETH/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 2,810.19
1st Support: 2,361.23
1st Resistance: 3,481.42
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ETHEREUM ahead of the most critical break-out of the Cycle.Ethereum (ETHUSD) is on the cusp of a major bullish break-out as this week it is already trading above its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). If it manages to close the 1W candle above it, it will be the first time since January 06 2025 to do so.
This whole price action remains inside a massive Megaphone pattern and resembles the same structure ETH had during June 24 2019 - July 20 2020. Both patterns had a final decline of around -67% with the 2020 structure eventually starting a (green) Channel Up that broke above the Megaphone and made a first Top on the 1.382 Fibonacci extension.
As a result, if the break-out does happen this time around also, we expect the emerging Channel Up to target at least $6300 (Fib 1.382 ext).
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Ethereum can make a small correction before it continues to growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Ethereum. After a long period of consolidation within a descending triangle, Ethereum broke out and started forming a steady upward channel. The impulse move from the buyer zone gave the market fresh bullish energy. We saw the price pushing through key resistance levels, showing strong momentum and confidence from buyers. Eventually, ETH reached a local peak and is now hovering just above the current support level at 2835. This area is crucial - it previously acted as resistance and has now turned into a support area, giving bulls a chance to regroup. Based on the structure, I expect a short-term correction toward the support area, followed by a continuation to the upside. The trend remains strong, and the impulse is not yet exhausted. That’s why I set my TP at 3240 points, which aligns with the upper expansion target based on previous movement. Given the breakout, strong uptrend, and support zone now being retested, I remain bullish and anticipate further growth from the current levels. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
TRADING IDEA - ETHUSD SHORT
ETHUSD rose towards 2,700.00 level and reached the take profit. And even went further towards 2,800.00 resistance level despite my 2,700.00 retest predict! (pic 1)
So, congrats to everyone, who stayed long here, we took the cash!💵
I am preparing for the next trade. Here is the plan: if the price rises once again towards 2,800.0 resistance level and retests it, I will open the short position with
🔽 a pending sell stop order at 2796.84 with
❌a stop loss at 2818.86 and
🤑a take profit at 2740.05
Additionally, the RSI shows divergence on 30-m timeframe.
I suppose this to be quick trade. Will see how it will work out.
ETHUSD | Wyckoff Accumulation, Compression & Expansion PlaybookMapping out Ethereum’s journey through classic Wyckoff phases: from Buying Climax and Failed Test (distribution/markdown) to Spring and Accumulation (SC, creek, and “spring” event). After months of compression and failed breakout attempts, ETH unleashed its first expansion/release move, trapping late bears and rewarding patient entries.
Take note: The first expansion candle after a long coil is rarely the spot to FOMO. Best R:R comes from waiting for the retrace to the 0.618–0.786 zone, where smart money reloads and risk is tightly defined.
Key Levels:
Compression/Coil range = accumulation
Retest/retrace = sniper entry zone (purple box)
If you missed the first push, don’t chase—let the retrace come to you.
Chart markup: Wyckoff logic, supply/demand, coil/expansion, R:R zones.
Symplegades Part II – Ethereum at the Threshold of Breakout or B⚔️🌉 Symplegades Part II – Ethereum at the Threshold of Breakout or Breakdown 💥🧭
In the previous post, we explored Ethereum’s mythical challenge — the Symplegades, or Clashing Rocks. That post resonated, and now… here comes Part II.
ETH is once again caught in a narrowing passage, this time defined by:
📌 $2,805 – $2,911 resistance overhead
📌 $2,616 – $2,565 support just below
💡 Pectra could be the fuel to break out — or just another wave that crashes on the rocks. The chart shows the potential for both:
➡️ A clean breakout could spark a move to “Destination 1” (~$4.8K)
⚠️ A rejection here might drag us back under $2.6K, even toward $2.1K and $1.8K zones
The Pectra breakout box is clear. But the market won’t hand it to us easily. It rarely does.
🧠 With Vitalik still “asleep,” it’s a tight spot. But if this move gathers momentum? We could be at the very start of Ethereum’s next wave.
📽️ The full video posted earlier today dives into this thesis and why macro + micro signals are conflicting but critical.
📊 Stay tuned — Bitcoin post is up next.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈