ETHUSD.PI trade ideas
ETHUSD 8H – Moving Toward Breakout After Months of AccumulationEthereum has been trading within a large ascending structure since April, forming consistent higher lows while repeatedly testing overhead resistance between $2,730 and $2,850. This is a classic example of a compressed range setup where buyers gradually gain strength beneath a defined ceiling, leading into a potential breakout scenario.
The chart highlights the key structural components of this setup:
An ascending support trendline has been respected for over two months, showing persistent bullish pressure on each dip.
A multi-month resistance zone has capped every breakout attempt since early May, with multiple upper wick rejections confirming this level as major overhead supply.
Most recently, ETH bounced cleanly off the rising trendline again, forming yet another higher low, reinforcing the bullish structure.
If this pattern holds, Ethereum is approaching a technical inflection point. A breakout above $2,850 with strong volume and follow-through could trigger a rapid move toward the $3,000–$3,200 range. That move would align with the measured move from the height of the ascending triangle formation.
However, if price is rejected again from resistance, the ascending trendline remains a key support level to watch for another potential retest. A breakdown below $2,400 would invalidate the pattern and open the door to a deeper retracement.
Key Technical Zones:
Support: Rising trendline from April lows (~$2,400–$2,500)
Resistance: Horizontal zone between $2,730 and $2,850
Breakout Target (on confirmation): $3,000–$3,200
Strategy Notes:
Bias remains bullish while higher lows continue to hold
Breakout setups often benefit from confirmation (candle close above resistance with volume)
Rejections from resistance could offer opportunities to re-enter at trendline support
$ETH Price Will Rising $3098 in Q3, Bullish Flag Inverse AngleCRYPTOCAP:ETH price will Rising $3098 in Q3 in 2025, Price Showing a Bullish Flag Inverse Angle. it's a Reversal Pattern and Manipulation Price. See more on Chart.
Crypto News: An Ethereum address holding 900 ETH started moving coins Monday after spending nearly 10 years dormant.
The holder received these genesis coins in 2015 when ETH traded below 50 cents.
These pre-mined tokens were distributed to early Ethereum contributors before mining began.
Their current value reaches 2.2 million with ETH trading around 2,529 per coin.
This represents potential gains exceeding 5,000% from the original sub-dollar entry price.
The move follows similar whale activity, including a 27.6 million Ethereum sale in April.
Last week saw a Bitcoin whale move 8 billion after 14 years of hodling.
ETH remains 48% below its 2021 all-time high of 4,878 despite recent stability.
The holder technically isn't a whale, which requires a minimum of 10,000 ETH at current prices.
#Write2Earn #BinanceSquareFamily #ETH #SUBROOFFICIAL
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Digital asset prices are subject to high market risk and price volatility. The value of your investment may go down or up, and you may not get back the amount invested.
Ethereum Bullish Rally IncomingIf Ethereum can break above that point and clear $2,840, this level will turn into a major support, where fresh supply waits. However, a drop below the 200-EMA could lead the price to retest $2,400. A break below this level would shift momentum negative and risk a slide toward the April low near $1,500.
Read More at: www.cointrust.com
ETHUSD - Decision TimeWhat do make of the current situation?
What if you are long?
Here's what to expect:
a) support at the U-MLH, further advancing up to the WL
b) open & close within the Fork. If so, there's a 95% Chance of price dumping down to the Centerline.
Taking 50% off the table is never bad.
50% money in the pocket if price falls down to the Centerline.
Or if it advances up to the WL, you still have 50% that generates profits.
Either way, you have a winner on your hands.
Don't let it dig into a Looser!
ETH Eyes Consolidation from Overbought ZoneFenzoFx—Ethereum pulled back from the daily bearish FVG. The recent candle closed with a long wick and flat body, reflecting market uncertainty. Momentum indicators remain in overbought territory, signaling a possible consolidation phase.
If resistance at $3,848.0 holds, the price may decline toward support at $3,461. However, the bullish outlook stays valid as long as ETH/USD holds above $3,848.0.
Ethereum D1 | Potential bullish bounceEthereum (ETH/USD) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 3,470.65 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 2,980.00 which is a level that lies underneath a a pullback support and the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 4,027.15 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
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Ethereum Metric Projections for $5,700-$7,500 RangeEthereum (ETH/USD) - Integrating Cowen's Cycle Top Insights: Butterfly Pattern & S&P Fractal in One Chart, Plus Risk Metric Projections for $5,700-$7,500 Range
I've consolidated key ideas from quantitative analyst Benjamin Cowen's recent analysis into a single visual framework for Ethereum (ETH/USD) on the weekly timeframe, as of July 21, 2025, with ETH hovering around $3,500 following its rebound from the "going home" phase earlier this year. By overlaying Cowen's bearish butterfly harmonic pattern and the S&P 500 fractal (1989-1992) directly onto the chart, I've made his structural predictions accessible in one cohesive view, highlighting potential cycle tops without needing separate tools for those elements. For the risk metric bands, which aren't plotted here, I've pulled in Cowen's dynamic projections below as a complementary layer. His base case dovetails with the chart's signals, pointing to a realistic top between $5,700 and $7,500 ahead of a possible 2026 bear market, barring significant economic shocks. Let's dive in.
1. Bearish Butterfly Harmonic Pattern: Core Structure and Targets (Integrated on Chart)
Drawing from Cowen's "butterfly effect" video, I've labeled the pattern (points X, A, B, C, D) right on the chart to show its Elliott Wave roots and reversal potential at highs.
X to A: The foundational low-to-high move from the early 2020s.
A to B: Culminating at the ~$4,850 peak (2021 ATH).
B to C: The pullback to ~$900 (2022 low), nailing the 0.786 Fibonacci precisely.
C to D: The ongoing rally, with C spanning the 0.382-0.886 range—Ethereum pivoted at ~0.382 first, then probed lower.
Minimum target per Cowen: A 1.618 extension from B lands at ~$5,700, a spot to consider lightening up.
Bolder projections: Extending to 2.24 from B (~$7,500) or 1.272-1.618 from X (~$6,000-$7,300).
This setup, triggered post-ETH's "home" drop in Q2 2025 (which floored ETH/BTC), remains intact on the chart and forecasts rejection at D, ushering in the marked "anticipated bear market."
2. S&P 500 Fractal Comparison (1989-1992): Historical Roadmap (Overlaid on Chart)
I've directly superimposed Cowen's favored fractal onto the ETH price action for easy comparison, capturing its "perfect" alignment down to small dips and surges.
Parallels: ETH's post-halving trajectory echoes the S&P's extended climb before peaking.
Outlook: Projecting to January 2026 (factoring in ~6 months of remaining bull phase per 4-year crypto rhythms), the fractal hints at a low-end top around $5,300.
Fuller extension: Should the uptrend stretch (mirroring ETH's delayed 2018 top relative to BTC), it could hit ~$7,500 pre-bear phase.
Cowen ties this to BTC's recurring bears in 2014, 2018, and 2022 (post-halving), suggesting ETH aligns similarly—expect ATH breaches (~$4,850) but tempered by fading cycle intensity.
3. Ethereum Risk Metric: Quantifying Overheating and Diminishing Returns (Separate Projections)
Cowen's proprietary 0-1 scale (0 low risk, 1 high) adds data-backed context, sitting at ~0.672 currently (0.6-0.7 band, signaling room for gains before excess heat).
Recurring setup:
ETH "homes" at 0.3-0.4 risk across cycles (Q4 2016, Q4 2019, Q2 2025), syncing with ETH/BTC lows and ATH-bound rallies.
Past peaks:
Touched 0.4-0.5 and 0.5-0.6 in 2017/2020; highs at ~0.7-0.9, with 2017 grazing 0.9-1 fleetingly and 2021 at ~0.8-0.9 before faltering.
Dynamic targets (evolving with price; assuming no 2020-like crash from unemployment jumps):
0.7 risk: ~$4,100 (close to range ceilings and ATH entry).
0.8 risk: ~$5,600 (cautious peak aligner with butterfly mins; limited historical dwell time).
0.85 risk: ~$6,600 (momentum-fueled midpoint if post-ATH strength holds).
0.9 risk: ~$7,700 (stretch goal; brief past visits, adjusted for cycle fade).
0.95 risk: ~$9,000 (euphoria territory; Cowen flags as exit signal, improbable baseline).
1.0 risk: ~$10,000 (absolute cap; theoretical, not expected amid history's ~4% time over 0.8).
This bolsters the $5,700-$7,500 as grounded, per Cowen: "Realistic because folks crave $10,000"—rooted in data sans overreach.
4. Key Chart Annotations Supporting the Outlook
Momentum/Volume: Carp Momentum showing divergence; declining volume on upswings (e.g., Vol 8.42M labeled).
Other Annotations: Recent drop: -2,652 (-60.64%) over 265-200d; projected declines: -3,983.89 (-81.89%) over 351 bars/274d, and -4,527.68 (-80.01%) over 31 bars/21d, -4,710.46 (-81.99%) over 31 bars/274d.
Core view: Momentum for $4,000-$4,850 breaks, but with potential consolidations or 20% dips en route (e.g., daily RSI heating up, possible August-September correction like 2017).
5. Cycle Top Predictions and Navigation Strategy
Confluence Range: $5,700 (safe, 0.8 risk/butterfly floor) to $7,500 (bold, 0.9 risk/fractal ceiling)—Cowen's "realistic" span, screaming sensibility over $10K hype.
Upside outliers: $9,000-$10,000 at 0.95-1 risk, but Cowen urges bailing there.
Horizon: Late 2025/early 2026 crest, then bear (regression retest like priors).
Cowen's Dynamic DCA Out: Sidestep top-guessing by scaling sales at bands—off original stack:
0.6-0.7 (~$3,500-$4,100 now): 1/10th.
0.7-0.8 (~$4,800 ATH): 2/10ths (30% total).
0.8-0.9 (~$5,700-$7,500): 3/10ths (60% total).
0.9-1 ($9,000+): Rest (4/10ths).
Strength-selling yields dip-buy cash, hodl remnant for surprises.
6. Trade Setup (Bearish Long-Term, Bullish Near-Term)
Long Entry: Buy dips to $3,000-$3,200 support, eyeing ATH push.
Short Entry: At $5,700+ on cues (bear engulf, >0.8 risk).
Stop Loss: Over $4,850 (bull) or $8,000 (bear void).
Take Profits: Layered—$4,800, $5,700, $7,500; bear lows $2,000-$1,500.
Risk: 1-2% trades; crypto vol demands caution. Cowen: No certainties, but patterns favor ATHs pre-drop.
Void: Volume-backed $8,000+ surge eyes $10,000+, scrapping bear case.
Not advice—DYOR on macros/ETH shifts. Cowen sees pattern repeats with softer peaks. Your ETH thoughts? Comment!
#ETH #Ethereum #CryptoCycle #BearishButterfly #PricePrediction
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Ethereum at Crucial Resistance – Will the Bulls Hold or Fade?Ethereum at Crucial Resistance – Will the Bulls Hold or Fade?”
Ethereum is currently trading near a key resistance zone around $3,800, as marked on the chart. After a strong bullish rally with clear Break of Structures (BOS) along the way, ETH has now reached an extended point where price may face selling pressure.
The Bollinger Bands are stretched, showing overextension, and the marked arrow suggests a possible correction or pullback from this level. A retest of previous support zones (~$3,400–$3,200) could be expected if the resistance holds.
⸻
Key Levels:
• 🔼 Resistance: ~$3,800
• 🔽 Support: ~$3,400 / ~$3,000
• 🔄 Price Action: Watching for rejection or breakout confirmation
This is a textbook case of price approaching a strong resistance level after a bullish wave, where caution and confirmation are key for the next move.
Bullish continuation?The Ethereum (ETH/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 3,471.00
1st Support: 3,039.91
1st Resistance: 4,094.93
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ETHUSD-SELL strategy 12 hourly chart REG CHANNELAs always crypto movements are severe, and one can never judge the corrective timings. Overall the view remains the same, and when carefully scaling in, is always warrented and proper risk management strategies.
Strategy SELL @ $ 3,675-3,750 area and take profit @ $ 3,175 area. On previous shorts if applicable, scale down slowly.
ETH Season?Well, in all of its history Ethereum’s recent lows remind me the most of December 2019 while the recovery after reminds me the most of the bull rally after March 2020. Either way I think the time for ETH and crypto as a whole is very near. Here’s my charted roadmap. If BTC hit a new high and then some over a whole year already since it hit a new high, then how do we not expect ETH to do the same and probably amplified as well as certain alt coins too. Curious to see how this thesis plays out. Not financial advice
ETHUSD – Deploying Synthetic Capital as per VolanX Protocol📈 ETHUSD – Deploying Synthetic Capital as per VolanX Protocol
1H Chart | July 20, 2025
"No ducor, duco!"
(“I am not led, I lead.”)
🧠 Market Context:
Price is holding above the 50 MA, confirming upward momentum. Liquidity has been taken from prior internal highs, and price continues pushing into the premium zone above the 1.0 Fibonacci level.
🔧 VolanX Protocol Deployment Update:
✔️ Synthetic Block Order: Placed at $3,400, with precision according to Volan X synthetic injection model.
✔️ Regression Line: Sloping upward – momentum remains in favor of bulls.
✔️ Weak High Targeted: $3,850 zone approached with clear aggression.
✔️ Volume Uptick: Observed near FVG and mitigation zones – ideal for synthetic deployment timing.
📍 Key Zones:
🚩 Block Order Zone: $3,400
🎯 First Profit Target: $3,852 – $3,961 (Premium zone)
🟡 Ultimate Target: $4,259 – $4,419
🔵 Equilibrium Support: $3,328
💬 Narrative:
"We will book some profit, Regression line is up."
Price is behaving according to expectations. The 50 MA retest confirms the continuation bias, and we now monitor for the next volatility compression before expansion. Expect smart money to aim for the inefficiencies left near the $4,100–$4,250 level.
📊 Deployment Signal: LIVE
🧬 VolanX Engine: Active
📍 Next Review: Upon 1.382 fib reaction or volatility compression
#ETHUSD #VolanX #SyntheticCapital #SmartMoney #MomentumTrading #TradingStrategy #FVG #PriceAction #CryptoAnalysis
ETH is up about 50% Since June 2025Relying on the absolute intraday low from June to claim that ETH is “up 70%” is a textbook data‑skewing mistake often found in AI‑generated headlines. A more robust approach is to average prices over several days (or even a full week). On that basis, ETH has risen roughly 50% since June— not 70%. Don’t let a distorted headline push you into adding leverage through perpetuals just because your strategy’s returns lag spot performance; that reaction only compounds impermanent‑loss risk.
Inspired my Benjamin CowenWhilst this is also high speculation and to not be used to predict the market, using Benjamin Cowen's idea of using the SPX Index's 1990's timeframes and extending them to match the potential ETHUSD cycle.
You'll see how the early parts to the moves are near 1/1 of each other. Looking into the future, you'll also see that the SPX's moves interact with the middle part of the channel multiple times, and begins to decline in the potential bear market (yellow dashing lines). This also looks pretty convincing. Charts are so fascinating.
the Inverse Golden BullrunJust a joke maybe but here some considerations...
each peak is reached in 1/0.606 * previous cycle length, which is oddly close to the inverse of the golden ratio. The Q1 peak in 2024 seems to have occurred oddly in advance.
Resistance of bear markets can be found at a common focal points and all have an angle of approx 20° on the linear scale.
this inverse golden bullrun will produce a very turbolent market with a new local top in 2025. This seems reasonable considering the whole global situation, crypto narrative, oversaturation and how we got rejection before breaking the past ATH.
the overall superstructure could break out or be confirmed after next "inverse golden bullrun"
oddly again, should the breakout occurr, it would happen around 1/3rd of the triangle, which is typical for those structures.
overall, not bullish nor bearish, don't hate.
most certainly mostly wrong ;)
not a financial advice, just for fun.
ETH on the 1H timeframe
Indicators are showing slight weakness:
MLR < SMA < BB Center
Price is trading below the 50MA
RSI is under the midpoint, and green volume is fading
This could just be a pause before the next leg up
but I’m curious whether the last high of $3,678.86 was this week’s top,
or if price will try to break it tomorrow.
Always take profits and manage risk.
Interaction is welcome.