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ETHUSD trade ideas

ETH relative to AltcoinsI fee like at this current point as we see altcoin pairs bleed against ETH and BTC while putting in lower lows while Eth puts in higher highs we will not see the altseason we are hoping for until altcoin pairs hit here range lows which I can see happen end of Q3 into the start of Q4 but until then they can still rise as ETH.D continues its rally but I feel until altcoins reach its range lows being the .25 lvl on (TOTAL3-USDT)/BTC we will not see that face melting rally we are looking for.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD
by SleeperPete
1
### **Bearish Analysis of Ethereum (ETH)**### **Bearish Analysis of Ethereum (ETH)** Here is a bearish outlook on Ethereum (ETH) based on current market dynamics, incorporating technical, liquidity, and fundamental factors: --- ### **1. Technical Resistance & Topping Signals** - **Key Resistance Zone**: ETH has repeatedly tested the **$3,000–$3,080** resistance level but failed to sustain a breakout. If it cannot hold above this range, a pullback toward **$2,865** or even **$2,710** is likely. - **Daily Chart Topping Pattern**: Some analysts suggest the current rally may form a "daily top." While an immediate reversal is unlikely, the trend could shift to bearish dominance, with potential resistance near **$3,160**. - **Overbought Risk**: The RSI has exceeded 70, indicating short-term overbought conditions. A loss of momentum could trigger a correction. --- ### **2. Heavy Shorting by Hedge Funds & Basis Arbitrage** - **Surge in Short Positions**: CFTC data shows hedge funds have amassed **$1.73 billion** in ETH short positions on CME, marking a record high in net leveraged short exposure. - **Basis Arbitrage Strategy**: Institutions are executing delta-neutral strategies by shorting futures while buying spot ETFs (annualized arbitrage ~9.5%). However, heightened volatility (e.g., a "Black Thursday"-like event) could trigger a short squeeze. - **Whale Shorting Activity**: High-leverage (4.1x) short positions by whales (e.g., 0xSifu) reflect market skepticism about ETH's long-term competitiveness. --- ### **3. Fundamental Weaknesses** - **Ecosystem Underperformance**: In 2025, ETH was among the worst-performing top-five crypto assets (down 51% YTD), lagging behind competitors like Solana. DeFi TVL has dropped **43%**, signaling declining user engagement. - **Staking Risks**: While **29% of ETH is staked**, reducing liquid supply, high staking ratios may constrain market liquidity. A price drop could trigger panic unstaking. - **Institutional Selling Pressure**: The Ethereum Foundation recently sold **1,206.7 ETH (~$3.6 million)**, fueling concerns about insider divestment. --- ### **4. Market Sentiment & Capital Flows** - **BTC Dominance Pressure**: Bitcoin’s recent all-time high (**$118,000**) may divert capital away from ETH and other altcoins. - **Extreme Short Positioning**: ETH’s open interest shows **62% short bias**, the highest since 2021. While this raises short-squeeze risks, it also reflects doubts about the sustainability of the rally. --- ### **5. Key Risks & Outlook** - **Downside Triggers**: - A break below **$2,865** could accelerate a drop toward **$2,530**. - A Fed policy shift or global liquidity tightening. - Competitors (e.g., Solana) gaining further market share. - **Potential Reversal Signals**: - A sustained breakout above **$3,080** may force short covering. - If the **ETH/BTC ratio** surpasses **0.026 BTC**, an altcoin season could emerge. --- ### **Conclusion** In the short term, ETH faces headwinds from technical resistance, institutional shorting, and capital rotation into Bitcoin. The bearish thesis holds for now, but extreme short positioning raises the risk of a squeeze. Traders should monitor: - The **$3,080** resistance and **$2,865** support levels. - Bitcoin’s market dominance and macroeconomic policy shifts.
OANDA:ETHUSDShort
by trade1638
1
Major Breakout– Ethereum Broke Free from 'Clashing Resistances'🚀💥 Major Breakout – Ethereum Broke Free from the Clashing Resistances 🔓🟣 ETH has finally done it. After months of battling overlapping resistances — the Clashing Stones, as we called them — Ethereum has broken out, and $2,912 is now acting as support, not resistance. This breakout isn't just technical, it’s structural. The previous 1-2-3 rejection setup has now been invalidated. 🔎 Chart Summary: ✅ $2,912 = confirmed breakout zone 🎯 Destination 1: $4,881 (if Vitalik’s asleep 😴) 🚀 Destination 2: $6,443 (if he wakes up 💡) 🔭 Scroll up for Destination 3 This is the real ETH breakout we’ve waited for — not hopium, not chop. This is clear structure. If BTC stabilizes near 114,921+, ETH could enter outperformance mode and gain serious traction on the ETH/BTC chart. 📢 Keep your eyes on narrative catalysts: ETH ETF, L2 growth, and Vitalik waking up... We are officially off the resistance — and heading to where few have charted before. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 📌 Long — as long as $2,912 holds. If it fails, you already know what to do. Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by FX_Professor
2
Ethereum at the Crossroads: Can Bulls Maintain the WMA 50 Grip?- Technical Pulse: - Current price flirting with the WMA 50 ($2,521.54), suggesting a possible make-or-break moment. - Highlight convergence zones: WMA 21 ($2,296.75) and EMA 200 ($2,277.07) forming a soft cushion below. - Volume Snapshot: 69.19K weekly—enough activity to suggest accumulation - Sentiment Analysis: Gauge prevailing investor sentiment amid consolidation and macro uncertainty. - Scenario Forecasts: - Bullish Path: Sustained hold above WMA 50 opens room toward $2,800+. - Bearish Reversal: Rejection from current level could retest EMA 200 support zone.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by fadhil228
12
ETHUSD h4 next move downThe resistance at 1.36554 may be weak due to: Multiple taps already Reduced seller interest A breakout above this zone could trigger short covering → sharp rally ✅ 2. Higher Low Structure Recent low at 1.35475 held strong Current consolidation appears like a bullish flag or accumulation range Could indicate continuation, not rejection ✅ 3. Fakeout Reversal Setup If price dips into the support at 1.35475 again, it might: Trap breakout traders Reverse and form a new impulse leg upward Target = 1.3700–1.3750 zone
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDShort
by Zara_FVG
4
ETHUSD SHAPING THE BEARISH WEDGE, READY TO DECLINE Ethereum has been forming the bearish wedge since the June 23th. The asset goes precisely according to Elliot 5-waves formation and is currently starting the wave E, rebounding from the lower border of the chart pattern. What a trader may do? We may go aggressive and trade long right immedia CAPITALCOM:ETHUSD tely with a take profit slightly below the 2,700.00 resistance level 🔼 a market buy order at 2544.19 with ❌a stop loss at 2489.90 and 🤑a take profit at 2691.35, risk-reward ratio is 1:2.71 (nice one!) However, I prefer to stay conservative and wait till the price tests the 2,700.00 level and enter the position there with 🔽 a pending sell stop order at 2691.35 with ❌a stop loss at 2759.92 and 🤑a take profit at 2409.89 risk-reward ratio here will be 1:4.1 (even better!) In mid-term, I still expect ETHUSD to trade within a 2,400.00-2,700.00 range. So after assets reaches the 2,400.00, could be reasonable to look for new long opportunities! But will see.
CAPITALCOM:ETHUSDShort
by ProfessorSingapore
4
TRADING IDEA - ETHUSD SHORT ETHUSD rose towards 2,700.00 level and reached the take profit. And even went further towards 2,800.00 resistance level despite my 2,700.00 retest predict! (pic 1) So, congrats to everyone, who stayed long here, we took the cash!💵 I am preparing for the next trade. Here is the plan: if the price rises once again towards 2,800.0 resistance level and retests it, I will open the short position with 🔽 a pending sell stop order at 2796.84 with ❌a stop loss at 2818.86 and 🤑a take profit at 2740.05 Additionally, the RSI shows divergence on 30-m timeframe. I suppose this to be quick trade. Will see how it will work out.
CAPITALCOM:ETHUSDShort
by ProfessorSingapore
4
ETHUSD | Wyckoff Accumulation, Compression & Expansion PlaybookMapping out Ethereum’s journey through classic Wyckoff phases: from Buying Climax and Failed Test (distribution/markdown) to Spring and Accumulation (SC, creek, and “spring” event). After months of compression and failed breakout attempts, ETH unleashed its first expansion/release move, trapping late bears and rewarding patient entries. Take note: The first expansion candle after a long coil is rarely the spot to FOMO. Best R:R comes from waiting for the retrace to the 0.618–0.786 zone, where smart money reloads and risk is tightly defined. Key Levels: Compression/Coil range = accumulation Retest/retrace = sniper entry zone (purple box) If you missed the first push, don’t chase—let the retrace come to you. Chart markup: Wyckoff logic, supply/demand, coil/expansion, R:R zones.
CRYPTO:ETHUSD
by Avery_Upton
4
Ethereum: Bullish Momentum Signals Broader Rally Beyond $3000Current Price: $3002.13 Direction: LONG Targets: - T1 = $3120.00 - T2 = $3203.00 Stop Levels: - S1 = $2934.00 - S2 = $2842.00 **Wisdom of Professional Traders:** This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom-of-crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in Ethereum. **Key Insights:** Ethereum shows robust uptrend momentum, underpinned by significant institutional demand and strengthening market sentiment. As the primary cryptocurrency supporting decentralized finance (DeFi) and non-fungible tokens (NFTs), Ethereum has positioned itself at the forefront of blockchain advancements. The growing adoption by institutions and favorable macroeconomic conditions further consolidate its growth prospects, especially with the increasing recognition of Ethereum as a digital inflation hedge. Positive developments in regulatory frameworks around cryptocurrencies have also been instrumental in improving market sentiment. Ethereum continues to showcase strong transactional activity on its network, bolstering demand for ETH tokens as a utility. Heightened activity ahead of protocol upgrades is another catalyst that traders are closely monitoring. **Recent Performance:** Ethereum has maintained a steady price appreciation trend in alignment with broader cryptocurrency market gains. From its previous trading range below $3000, Ethereum has breached psychological resistance, marking $3002.13 as a pivotal level. Increased trading volume and positive sentiment have allowed Ethereum to test higher resistance levels, making it well-positioned for potential upside continuation. **Expert Analysis:** Market experts remain bullish on Ethereum, citing fundamental strengths such as its adaptability, technological utility, and yield-generating capabilities through staking. With investor demand continuing to grow, Ethereum is expected to outperform many altcoins and maintain leadership alongside Bitcoin. Analysts project an intermediate target of $3200, while the longer-term objectives extend beyond $3500 given its current trajectory. Technical metrics also signal bullish momentum, including sustained moving average support and increasing RSI levels. Investors may find attractive reward-to-risk setups at current levels, supported by favorable macro and crypto-specific factors. **News Impact:** Ethereum has benefited from an improving regulatory environment in key crypto jurisdictions, which has alleviated some uncertainty. Simultaneously, positive macroeconomic trends, such as declining inflation expectations and risk-on sentiment across equity markets, have boosted overall investor confidence. Ethereum’s role in various decentralized applications (dApps) and strategic partnerships with enterprises further solidify its potential for sustained growth. **Trading Recommendation:** Traders should consider taking a long position on Ethereum, targeting $3120 and $3203 as near-term objectives while maintaining disciplined risk management with stops at $2934 and $2842. The combination of fundamental strength, technical indicators, and favorable news impacts positions Ethereum as an attractive investment opportunity amidst current market dynamics.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by CrowdWisdomTrading
2
Ethereum Breakout and Liquidations – A Lesson in Bear Traps and 📚💥 Ethereum Breakout and Liquidations – A Lesson in Bear Traps and Risk Management 🧠📈 Today, July 16th, Ethereum gave us a real-time masterclass in market psychology and risk management. Let’s start with the facts: 📊 Liquidation Data 🔻 $36.34M in long liquidations 🔺 $86.02M in short liquidations 💣 Total ETH liquidations: $122.36M (data mentioned on video might differ, i made a small mistake) 🌐 Across crypto: $351M liquidated (more shorts than longs) This imbalance tells us one thing: a bear trap played out, and it played out hard. 🧠 Educational Takeaways 1. Bear Traps Are Real — and Expensive A bear trap occurs when the market appears bearish, drawing in short sellers — only to violently reverse upward. Today’s Ethereum move was a textbook example. If you’ve been following my analysis, we discussed the regression lines, divergences, and structure that all warned against going short at support. 2. Open Interest and Sentiment Signals Open interest has been declining — which means fewer speculative positions. That often creates space for a real, organic move, not one fueled by overleveraged noise. 3. Spot vs. Leverage – Risk Control First Leverage isn’t the enemy — unmanaged leverage is. I personally use a dedicated high-risk account to trade fast setups. This keeps my core capital untouched and my psychology stable. ✅ Risk is defined before the trade. ✅ Entries are structured like bullets — small, multiple attempts. 4. The Mental Game is the Real Game Trading isn’t just technical. It’s deeply psychological. Whether you’re trading Ethereum, Bitcoin, or altcoins like AVAX and XRP, emotions must be managed before capital is deployed. 5. Like-Minded Community = Sharper Edge My best trades and insights often come from conversations with trusted, sharp minds in this space. Surrounding yourself with serious traders can be the difference between evolving — and evaporating. To my brother Vlatko (met on Tradingview, been hanging around online ever since, met in person once, now a true friend that we frequently disagree but always agree to respect and empower each other = The power of our community here on TV!) Final Word: When markets move fast, lessons appear even faster. Study the traps. Respect the levels. Structure your risk. And above all: trade with a plan that allows joy. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by FX_Professor
Ethereum can make a small correction before it continues to growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Ethereum. After a long period of consolidation within a descending triangle, Ethereum broke out and started forming a steady upward channel. The impulse move from the buyer zone gave the market fresh bullish energy. We saw the price pushing through key resistance levels, showing strong momentum and confidence from buyers. Eventually, ETH reached a local peak and is now hovering just above the current support level at 2835. This area is crucial - it previously acted as resistance and has now turned into a support area, giving bulls a chance to regroup. Based on the structure, I expect a short-term correction toward the support area, followed by a continuation to the upside. The trend remains strong, and the impulse is not yet exhausted. That’s why I set my TP at 3240 points, which aligns with the upper expansion target based on previous movement. Given the breakout, strong uptrend, and support zone now being retested, I remain bullish and anticipate further growth from the current levels. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀 Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:ETHUSDLong
by LegionQ8
1
Bullish bounce?Ethereum (ETH/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 2,810.19 1st Support: 2,361.23 1st Resistance: 3,481.42 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:ETHUSDLong
by ICmarkets
Symplegades Part II – Ethereum at the Threshold of Breakout or B⚔️🌉 Symplegades Part II – Ethereum at the Threshold of Breakout or Breakdown 💥🧭 In the previous post, we explored Ethereum’s mythical challenge — the Symplegades, or Clashing Rocks. That post resonated, and now… here comes Part II. ETH is once again caught in a narrowing passage, this time defined by: 📌 $2,805 – $2,911 resistance overhead 📌 $2,616 – $2,565 support just below 💡 Pectra could be the fuel to break out — or just another wave that crashes on the rocks. The chart shows the potential for both: ➡️ A clean breakout could spark a move to “Destination 1” (~$4.8K) ⚠️ A rejection here might drag us back under $2.6K, even toward $2.1K and $1.8K zones The Pectra breakout box is clear. But the market won’t hand it to us easily. It rarely does. 🧠 With Vitalik still “asleep,” it’s a tight spot. But if this move gathers momentum? We could be at the very start of Ethereum’s next wave. 📽️ The full video posted earlier today dives into this thesis and why macro + micro signals are conflicting but critical. 📊 Stay tuned — Bitcoin post is up next. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD
by FX_Professor
3
SELL ETHUSD for bullish divergence trend reversal STOP LOSS: 3,3SELL ETHUSD for bullish divergence trend reversal STOP LOSS: 3,337 Regular Bearish Divergence In case of Regular Bearish Divergence: * The Indicator shows Lower Highs * Actual Market Price shows Higher Highs We can see a strong divergence on the MACD already and There is a strong trend reversal on the daily time frame chart..... The daily time frame is showing strength of trend reversal from this level resistance so we are looking for the trend reversal and correction push from here ..... TAKE PROFIT: take profit will be when the trend comes to an end, feel from to send me a direct DM if you have any question about take profit or anything Remember to risk only what you are comfortable with........trading with the trend, patient and good risk management is the key to success here...
COINBASE:ETHUSDShort
by BALE_FX