EURNOK trade ideas
Care your longs, consolidation and pull back is possibleWhile I precisely saw the major bullish divergence around 8,85 low, I missed this bullish reversal and breakout trade. (I traded EURCAD long instead). But some people may still have bullish position, so I thought I share my view and a few warning signals.
Daily:
- Ichimoku is bullish. In fact it is "too bullish", price is far above 9,0150 equilibrium, marked by Kijun and forward Senkou B -> overbought condition, market should consolidate and let averages catch up, or pull back a bit towards equilibrium.
- Heikin-Ashi is bullish, but it's already clear that haDelta and haOscillator have started to build some short term negative divergence. haOscillator is below central line.
- Possible short term bearish wedge pattern is forming, as the price increase was very agressive from the lows.
- EWO is bullish, but it might print a double top in value
- MACD is bullish, with lines slowly converging
4H:
No more additional info here, just to see more precisely the supports:
9,1865 / 9,14 - 9,1560 / 9,10
Startegy: If you are long, sell covered calls and/or reduce some of your bullish exposure in 9,21-9,25 zone
EU Losing MomentumEU have had a good run lately, but it seems over, for now at least. EURNOK is a bit special to me. Won a lot, lost a bit, yet, I keep fixating on it because of the large swings and very clear formations it makes. Finally it has come to a point when it is either breaking out short or consolidating. Looking at the past six days, it couldn't make new tops, it's sliding downwards. To add on that, short-term MACD, RSI and mid-term Stochastic seems to agree on most charts, that it's going downwards.
EURNOK New BreakoutA breakout just happened on this pair. I'm only in for a small amount, because EUR has released strong numbers and volume isn't strong. It have been building up cash for over a weak now. But it's a solid breakout, with an exhausted candle yesterday. There is always the chance it might pull back a bit, in US market open, so you could wait. If RSI is diving under 25.0000 I might add to my short position.