EURUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on EURUSD?
EUR/USD kicked off the week with a sharp drop of nearly 200 pips, driven by renewed concerns over U.S. tariff policies. This strong bearish momentum signals intensified selling pressure across the board.
The pair is now approaching a support zone, which has previously triggered bullish reactions.
However, given the current strong bearish sentiment, there is a real risk this support may not hold.
Our bias remains bearish overall.
If the pair finds temporary support at this level, a short-term corrective bounce is possible.
But ultimately, we expect a continuation of the downtrend toward lower support levels after the correction completes.
Can this support zone stop the bleeding, or is more downside coming? Let us know your thoughts! 👇
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EURUSD trade ideas
EURUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on EURUSD?
After last week's sharp decline, EUR/USD rebounded slightly on Friday, initiating a corrective move to the upside.
We anticipate this retracement to extend over the next few days, likely reaching the broken trendline and former support zone, which now acts as resistance.
As long as the pair remains below this resistance area, the bearish outlook remains valid.
Once the pullback is complete, we expect renewed downside pressure toward the next support levels.
💬 Is this just a corrective move before another leg down? Let us know your thoughts below! 👇
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EURUSD: Double Top Pattern Ahead of FOMC MeetingEURUSD: Double Top Pattern Ahead of FOMC Meeting
EURUSD has formed a possible double top, and price action is now trading below the neckline - an indication of increasing bearish probability.
All eyes are on today's FOMC and the interest rate decision. If the Fed signals a rate cut or hints at future easing, this could trigger a sell-off, further validating the bearish scenario.
Although the USD has been weak for an extended period, the market may be changing its positioning this time. Even if EURUSD moves higher during the event, the broader setup favors a decline.
⚠️ Trading around major news events is very risky. It's better to wait for clarity after the FOMC before taking any action.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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Inside a Candle: How to Read Hidden Order Flow Without a DOM
Difficulty: 🐳🐳🐳🐋🐋 (Intermediate+)
This article is for traders who want to understand the “story” behind a candle’s shape — and learn to spot aggressive buying/selling, absorption, and traps without needing footprint or order book tools.
🔵 INTRODUCTION
Most traders see candles as static shapes — green or red, big or small. But each candle is a battlefield of orders . Even without access to a DOM or volume footprint, you can still extract valuable information from just the candle's body, wick, and context .
🔵 ORIGINS: WHERE CANDLESTICKS COME FROM
Candlestick charts trace back to 18th-century Japan, where rice traders needed a way to visualize price movements over time. A legendary trader named Munehisa Homma , who traded rice futures in Osaka, is credited with developing the earliest form of candlestick analysis.
Homma discovered that price wasn’t just driven by supply and demand — but also by trader psychology . He created visual representations of market sentiment by tracking:
The opening and closing price of rice
The highest and lowest price reached during the session
This system became known as the “Sakata rules,” and it laid the foundation for many patterns still used today — such as Doji, Engulfing, and Marubozu.
Western traders only began using candlesticks widely in the 1990s, when analyst Steve Nison introduced them to the broader financial world through his book Japanese Candlestick Charting Techniques.
Today, candlesticks remain one of the most powerful and intuitive ways to visualize order flow, momentum, and market psychology — even without a Depth of Market (DOM) or depth of book.
In this article, you’ll learn how to read hidden order flow by analyzing:
Wick length and positioning
Body-to-range ratios
Candle clustering and sequences
🔵 HOW A CANDLE FORMS
Before you can read a candle, you need to understand how it comes to life . A single candle represents the full auction process during its time window.
Here’s how it builds, step by step:
Candle opens — this is the open price .
As price moves up during the session → the high] updates.
As price moves down → the low] updates.
The final traded price when the time closes → this becomes the close price .
The wick = price areas that were tested but rejected
The body = where the majority of aggressive trades occurred
If buyers push price up quickly but sellers slam it down before the close — the candle will have a long upper wick and close near the open, revealing seller absorption.
Understanding this flow helps you recognize traps, fakeouts, and reversals in real time.
🔵 CANDLE BODY: WHO'S IN CONTROL
The body of the candle reflects the result of the battle between buyers and sellers. A wide body with minimal wicks means dominance and commitment.
Big body, small wick → clear conviction
In an uptrend: buyer aggression
In a downtrend: panic or aggressive selling
Small body, long wicks → indecision, absorption, or trap
Often appears near tops/bottoms
Indicates both sides were active but neither won clearly
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🔵 WICKS: THE SHADOWS OF REJECTION
Wicks are not just “leftovers” — they show where price was rejected after being tested.
Long upper wick = seller presence or absorption at highs
Long lower wick = buyer defense or trap spring
Double wick = liquidity sweep / false breakout
Use wick direction to spot:
Failed breakouts
Smart money traps
Exhaustion candles
🔵 HIDDEN ORDER FLOW PATTERNS
1️⃣ Absorption Candle
A large wick with little movement afterward — shows that big orders absorbed market pressure.
2️⃣ Trap Candle
A candle that sweeps above/below a key high/low and closes opposite — classic smart money fakeout.
3️⃣ Imbalance Candle
Large-bodied candle that closes near the high/low with no wick on the other end — implies one-sided aggression (and often leaves an imbalance).
🔵 CLUSTERING & SEQUENCES MATTER
Never read a candle alone. The sequence of candles tells the full story:
3+ rejection wicks near resistance? Liquidity building before breakout or trap
Bearish engulfing after long upper wick = smart money selling into retail buying
Tight-range dojis + volume spike = compression before expansion
Context + volume + structure = hidden flow decoded.
🔵 PUTTING IT TOGETHER: A REAL EXAMPLE
Price breaks above previous high
Candle closes with long upper wick and smaller body
Next candle opens, dumps fast, leaving imbalance behind
Buyers trapped — move likely to continue down
This is how you read order flow from candle anatomy .
🔵 TIPS FOR MASTERY
Use a lower timeframe (1M–5M) to see microstructure
Watch how wicks behave near S/R or OBs
Confirm with volume spikes or delta-style indicators
Use replay mode to slow down the story and study cause/effect
🔵 CONCLUSION
Every candle is a message. You don’t need expensive tools to read order flow — just your eyes, context, and curiosity.
Learn to see candles not as symbols, but as evidence of behavior . Absorption, imbalance, and traps are all visible if you look closely.
EURUSD - Major resistance ahead with the fair value gaps!The EUR/USD pair remains firmly within a prevailing downtrend, characterized by a consistent pattern of lower highs and lower lows. This bearish momentum has resulted in the formation of several significant Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) on the 4-hour chart, which now act as potential resistance zones on any pullbacks. These FVGs not only coincide with important technical structures, but also align with key Fibonacci retracement levels, adding confluence to their strength. In the analysis below, we’ll walk through these zones and discuss the most probable scenarios based on the current price action.
First resistance zone
The first major resistance lies within the 4-hour FVG in the 1.1600 to 1.1650 region. This zone coincides with the golden pocket, which is formed between the 0.618 and 0.65 Fibonacci retracement levels. This overlap strengthens the likelihood of price reacting bearishly here, should the market manage to retrace upwards into this area. Given the strong downward momentum, this level may be enough to trigger a continuation to the downside, making it a critical area to monitor for rejection signals.
Second resistance zone
The second key resistance is found in the upper 4-hour FVG, ranging from 1.1690 to 1.1750. This zone aligns closely with the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level and marks a former support zone that has now been broken, indicating a potential structure break. Price returning to this level would be retesting the underside of broken market structure, which often acts as a powerful resistance area. Given this, a deeper pullback into this region may serve as a trap for late buyers and potentially offer a high-probability short setup.
Bullish bounce area
On the bullish side, the most relevant support is currently found within the 1-hour FVG that was formed last Friday, during the release of the U.S. unemployment rate data. This zone is positioned below current price levels and is likely to act as a strong short-term demand area. It is reasonable to anticipate a bullish reaction from this zone if the market retraces downward, making it a favorable area to seek long opportunities for a potential move into the higher resistance levels described above.
Final thoughts
While the broader trend remains bearish, short-term bullish bounces are likely within defined fair value gaps. Traders should keep a close eye on the 1-hour FVG for possible long entries, while watching the 4-hour FVGs, particularly those aligning with key Fibonacci levels, for signs of bearish continuation. If resistance holds firm, the EUR/USD could resume its downtrend, but any structural breaks or sustained closes above these levels would challenge that view. As always, price action around these zones should guide the final decision-making.
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EURUSD rises again amid growing Fed rate cut expectationsEURUSD rises again amid growing Fed rate cut expectations
On Friday, U.S. job data (NFP) showed an increase of just 73,000 for July—far below forecasts. This weak result suggests deeper problems in the labor market.
Many financial institutions now expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in September. Markets are pricing in over 63 basis points of rate cuts by the end of the year.
Adding to uncertainty, President Donald Trump dismissed Bureau of Labor Statistics Commissioner Erika McEntarfer on Friday, accusing her of manipulating job data.
Investors are also concerned about the impact of Trump’s new tariffs, which could slow economic growth and push inflation higher.
Technical Analysis:
From a technical perspective, EURUSD broke below the neckline of a double top pattern, confirming the bearish setup.
The price hit the first downside target before bouncing back, likely driven by speculation around the NFP report.
Looking ahead, there's a strong chance EURUSD could begin another downward move from this zone, as suggested by our earlier chart analysis.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): LONG to the resistance area 1.17578.Colleagues, the price has made a strong downward movement, which can only mean one thing: the correction is not complete.
This means that the latest upward movement is wave “1” of medium order.
Therefore, I now expect the correction to end in wave “2” at the 50% Fibonacci level and thean upward movement to continue to at least the resistance level of 1.17578.
It is quite possible that after updating the level of 1.15570, the price will immediately begin an upward movement — this is a more risky option for entering a position.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Euro bounce from buyer zone and start to move upHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. After a prolonged upward trend which formed a large rising wedge, the EURUSD faced a significant rejection from the seller zone near the 1.1685 resistance level. This failure to continue higher marked a key turning point, exhausting the bullish momentum and initiating a new bearish market phase. This new phase has since taken the form of a well-defined downward channel, within which the price has been undergoing a series of downward corrections and impulses. The most recent market action has been a sharp downward fall, accelerating the price's descent towards a critical area of historical significance. Currently, the pair is approaching the major support level at 1.1400, which also constitutes a strong buyer zone where demand has previously stepped in. The primary working hypothesis is a long, counter-trend scenario, which anticipates that the current bearish momentum will be absorbed by the strong demand within this buyer zone. A confirmed and strong rebound from this 1.1400 support area would signal a potential temporary bottom and the start of a significant upward correction. Therefore, the tp for this rebound is logically set at the 1.1600 level, a key psychological and technical point that represents a realistic first objective for a bounce of this nature. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
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EURUSD I Daily CLS I Model 1 I KL - OB I TP 50% CLSYo Market Warriors ⚔️
Fresh outlook drop — if you’ve been riding with me, you already know:
🎯My system is 100% mechanical. No emotions. No trend lines. No subjective guessing. Just precision, structure, and sniper entries.
🧠 What’s CLS?
It’s the real smart money. The invisible hand behind $7T/day — banks, algos, central players.
📍Model 1:
HTF bias based on the daily and weekly candles closes,
Wait for CLS candle to be created and manipulated. Switch to correct LTF and spot CIOD. Enter and target 50% of the CLS candle.
For high probability include Dealing Ranges, Weekly Profiles and CLS Timing.
Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Trading is like a sport. If you consistently practice you can learn it.
“Adapt what is useful. Reject whats useless and add whats is specifically yours.”
David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter
💬 Don't hesitate to ask any questions or share your opinions
EURUSD – Will the bullish parallel channel hold?The EUR/USD currency pair is currently trading within a clearly defined bullish parallel channel, as shown on the 4-hour chart. This channel has provided consistent directional structure over recent weeks, with price respecting both its upper resistance and lower support boundaries. At present, the pair is approaching the lower end of this channel, raising the critical question: will it bounce off support and continue the bullish trajectory, or will it decisively break down, opening the door to lower price targets?
Bullish parallel channel
On the 4-hour timeframe, the EUR/USD has been consistently moving within a bullish parallel channel, characterized by higher highs and higher lows. This price structure suggests sustained upward momentum, with the top of the channel acting as dynamic resistance and the bottom as reliable support. Today, price action is testing the lower boundary of the channel once again. A successful hold at this level could confirm continued bullish structure and open the door for a potential rebound.
Bullish scenario
In the bullish scenario, the EUR/USD holds its ground at the support region around 1.164, where the lower boundary of the channel intersects with price. For upward continuation, it must overcome the short-term resistance posed by the 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 1.169 and 1.174. A reclaim and close above this zone could signal a shift in short-term momentum and lead to a move back toward the upper boundary of the channel. However, the path upward is not without resistance , price must navigate through potential supply zones and maintain higher lows to preserve the bullish structure.
Bearish scenario
On the other hand, a break and close below the channel support could indicate a change in market sentiment and invalidate the bullish pattern. In this bearish case, we would expect a structure break confirmation followed by a possible retest of the broken trendline and the 4-hour FVG. If this retest fails to reclaim the trendline, bearish continuation becomes more likely. The next significant area of interest lies around the 1.150 level, where a bullish 4-hour FVG exists. This zone could act as a potential short-term support and serve as a target for the downside move before any meaningful bounce occurs.
Final thoughts
The EUR/USD pair is currently at a technical crossroads. Traders should watch closely for price behavior around the lower channel boundary to determine whether bullish momentum will resume or whether a bearish breakout will set the tone for deeper retracement. Confirmation, either through a bounce or a breakdown with a retest, will be key in validating the next directional move.
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Thanks for your support. If you enjoyed this analysis, make sure to follow me so you don't miss the next one. And if you found it helpful, feel free to drop a like 👍 and leave a comment 💬, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
EURUSD Breaks Trendline: Bearish Momentum in PlayHello guys!
After months of climbing steadily along the ascending trendline, EURUSD has finally broken below support. The trendline breach, followed by a tight consolidation (yellow circle), hinted at a loss of bullish strength, and now the breakdown is in full motion.
Broken ascending trendline
Clear rejection after retest
Bearish continuation underway
Target area: 1.1400–1.1440 zone
If sellers maintain control, the price could descend toward the next major demand area.
EURUSD: Eu Looking to Make Gains Vs Weakened USDWelcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Aug 4 - 8th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market:
EURUSD
The USD pushed higher on keeping it's interest rate unchanged, but gave back those gains on weak job numbers. This allowed the EU to recover some of the previous weeks losses and show some resiliency.
Now analyst are betting there is a 66% chance for rate cuts in Sept by the Fed. This is negative for the USD, allowing the EURO to move higher.
It is worth mentioning, the EU inked a highly criticized tariff deal with the US, which was not at all positive for the currency.
The market is at a pivotal area that could go either way. Wait for a definitive break of structure before committing to a bias.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
"EUR/USD Bullish Reversal Setup with Key Resistance Targets"This EUR/USD 1-hour chart shows a potential bullish reversal setup. Price recently bounced from the 1.14257 support level, and the chart outlines a projected upward move with key resistance targets at 1.14810, 1.15310, and 1.15726. The final target is marked at 1.15711.
Major U.S. News Ahead—Will EURUSD Pivot?Good morning, my friends 👋
Here’s my EURUSD market analysis 📉
Currently, the pair is in a downtrend. I expect this downward move to end around 1.14899 or 1.14536, where a potential buying opportunity may emerge. I personally plan to enter a buy position once price reaches those zones 💼
Also, keep an eye on major U.S. economic reports being released today—they could trigger increased volatility 🔔
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EURO long: The "What If?" tradeHello traders
The Euro is showing signs of bottoming out at the weekly support levels against
USD, JPY, CAD and AUD.
MOST IMPORTANT:
USD:
While King Dollar is clearly reigning after the FOMC indication not to expect rate cuts any time soon and solid economic data, the "What If" factor is NFP tomorrow and to a minor extent month end settling. If the NFP print comes in significantly lower than expectations, the Euro may pop higher. If the print is above expectations, still take a moment to check where the most jobs are. if it is in hospitality and leisure, it is probably summer hiring.
JPY: The BoJ kept rates unchanged.
CAD: The loonie is under siege with Trump's renewed 35% tariffs announced today. However, IF Russian sanctions against oil sales come to fruition, the CAD may strengthen. Watch Oil prices.
AUD: CPI came in below expectations. PPI has just printed lower too.
The Euro Zone's unemployment rate ticked down and German CPI ticked higher. The impact of tariffs seems to be priced in for the moment.
The biggest "What If" ?
The decision of the Federal Appeals Court if the International Trade Court verdict is upheld. In that case, it is all but guaranteed that it will reach the Supreme Court. IF the Supreme Court declares it unlawful, the USD MAY drop like a lead balloon.
The risk assets in these charts are all at right around the weekly 20 SMA.
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Just some food for thought. Let me know what your thoughts are.
EUR/USD Setup Is Ready This is a bullish EUR/USD (Euro/US Dollar) 1-hour chart analysis. The setup indicates a potential upward reversal after a downtrend, supported by a series of higher lows.
Key elements:
Entry Point: Around 1.14044–1.14376.
Stop Loss: Placed below the recent low at 1.12770 to manage risk.
Targets:
First Target: 1.15034
Second Target: 1.15892
Third Target: 1.17238
The chart suggests a buy setup with a risk-reward strategy, aiming for a breakout and continuation towards higher resistance levels. The large upward arrow emphasizes bullish momentum expectations.
EURUSD – Retest Failed, Bearish Pressure RemainsHello, what’s your take on FX:EURUSD ?
After breaking the trendline, EURUSD attempted a retest but failed. The price is now hovering around 1.142, with selling pressure still evident.
This setup targets the 1.618 Fibonacci extension zone around 1.114. In the short term, a correction based on Dow Theory may unfold — the marked area could offer a perfect selling opportunity.
💡 Priority: SELL on RETEST – strict risk management with clear TP and SL.
Now it’s your turn — what’s your view? Share it in the comments below.
Good luck!
Simple Psychology Tips Using Volume for Better TradingMany newer traders assume that when someone says "psychology" in trading, they are referring to mindset.
It is also widely believed that trading is about the BEST entries.
Now, think of it this way. It is not about winning trades, it is actually about managing losses well to allow you to take the winners over and over again. You might think that a 3 to 1 risk-to-reward strategy is boring, you might have gone all in on your favourite crypto project. But what makes the difference between gambling and trading is actually very, very simple. So simple, in fact, many overlook it or simply ignore it.
Most seek a silver bullet - high win rates and perfectly timed entries, then they overleverage and move stops on the one "good trade" they are seeking to make.
Whilst doing this, they tend to overload the 6 monitors they have purchased to trade with a thousand indicators, which they don't really need.
The candlesticks tell a story, volume supports that story. When you learn any technique from Elliott Waves to Wyckoff, they all have a dependence on volume - even if the correlation is not apparent.
Look at this first image.
Price had moved down since the vertical line, the AD line also moved down - sell-off, in full swing. But then volume starts to shift before the AD line starts to increase.
Now, look at what happens next...
As we move forward and the new vertical line shows where volume spiked, the AD line starts to decrease as the price continues to rise.
This is enough of a story to start your analysis.
We then get a move with a lower high formed.
As this plays out, the sell-side volume rises, creating momentum for the short position.
Look a little closer and you will see, that the volume on the move up just before the drop was also decreasing. Making a divergence to price.
You might feel that the market is against you, or that the big players are single-handedly seeking your stops. But the truth is, the psychology in moves such as this one shown is where most retail traders either have greed that markets will only go up for ever or the fear that they are missing out on a market that only goes up forever.
It is that herd mentality that generates the liquidity for the professionals.
Losing 1% on a trade, is part of the process, risking 80%> on a single move will make you paper rich for about 10 minutes before the real losses set in.
This is where the psychology and the basic techniques such as risk management and understanding what candlesticks and volume bars are telling you, will make a world of difference to your results.
A/D line and volume are free on @TradingView and to be fair you don't need to overcomplicate it more than that!
Stay safe, have a great weekend all!!!
Disclaimer
This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principal trader has over 25 years' experience in stocks, ETF's, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
Lingrid | EURUSD Confluence Zone: Shorting Opportunity. The price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . FX:EURUSD is pulling back toward a confluence of resistance formed by the broken upward trendline and the descending channel boundary. Price structure suggests a lower high beneath the $1.16081 zone after a sharp sell-off from the July peak. As long as price remains below this resistance and fails to reclaim the $1.16000 level, further downside toward $1.14510 and lower remains likely. Momentum is favoring continued bearish pressure following the recent breakdown.
📉 Key Levels
Sell trigger: Rejection from $1.16000
Sell zone: $1.15800 – $1.16081
Target: $1.14510
Invalidation: Break above $1.16081
💡 Risks
A confirmed breakout above $1.16081 may invalidate the bearish setup
Momentum could stall near $1.15000 and lead to consolidation
Support at $1.14510 may attract short-term dip buyers
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
EURUSD: Support & Resistance Analysis For Next Week 🇪🇺🇺🇸
Here is my latest structure analysis and important
supports & resistances for EURUSD for next week.
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
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DeGRAM | EURUSD reached the lower boundary of the channel📊 Technical Analysis
● Price sliced through the channel mid-support and the inner trend-fan, closing below 1.1573; the break was retested (grey circle) and rejected, confirming a bear continuation from the sequence of lower-highs.
● The move unlocks the descending channel’s lower rail near 1.1450, while interim demand sits at the May pivot / 0.618 swing 1.1520.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● EZ data underwhelmed (German Ifo, EZ consumer-confidence) just as Fed officials warned rates may stay “restrictive for longer,” widening the short-rate gap and refreshing USD bids.
✨ Summary
Short 1.1590-1.1615; hold below 1.1573 targets 1.1520 ➜ 1.1450. Bias void on an H1 close above 1.1660.
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