Analysis The market has gotten to the H1 FVG and idn it. Now we need to look for short opportunity. The lq has been taken.
EURUSD trade ideas
EURUSD Possible Up Reverse zoneAccording to the current market situation EURUSD experiencing a bullish signal as sellers has been fading since last couple of weeks. Sellers tried couple of times to push more with the previous downtrend. But looks like it's failed. Buyers are pushing more than sellers here now.
# EURUSD Forecast July 2025: Complete Technical & Fundamental Analysis - 7-Day Trading Outlook
Last Updated: July 21, 2025 | Market Price: 1.1625
EURUSD Market Sentiment & Direction
The EUR/USD currency pair is currently navigating a critical juncture as we enter the final week of July 2025. With the pair trading near 1.1625, **forex traders** are witnessing a fascinating interplay between **bullish technical patterns** and **bearish fundamental pressures**. This comprehensive **EURUSD analysis** combines **sentiment analysis**, **technical indicators**, and **fundamental factors** to provide a complete 7-day trading roadmap.
Current Market Position: Key Price Levels & Trading Range
Live EURUSD Price Action
The **EUR/USD pair** has experienced significant volatility, settling around **1.1650** after bottoming at **1.1555** last week. This consolidation phase represents a crucial decision point for **currency traders** looking to capitalize on the next directional move.
Critical Support & Resistance Levels
🔻 Key Support Zones:
Primary Support: 1.1570 (Major psychological level)
Secondary Support: 1.1500 (Round number significance)
Tertiary Support: 1.1430 (Weekly low projection)
🔺 Key Resistance Zones:**
Immediate Resistance: 1.1700 (Daily pivot)
Secondary Resistance: 1.1780 (Technical confluence)
Major Resistance: 1.1900 (Multi-week high)
Technical Analysis : Chart Patterns & Trading Signals
Wedge Breakout Pattern Analysis
Our technical analysis reveals a compelling **wedge breakout formation** on the M30 timeframe, suggesting a potential buying opportunity. This **bullish pattern** indicates that despite recent weakness, the **EURUSD forecast** may favor upside momentum in the short term.
Multi-Timeframe Rating System
Daily Rating: BUY signal confirmed
Weekly Rating: BUY bias maintained
Monthly Outlook: Bullish continuation expected
Key Technical Indicators
The trading signals are currently mixed, with momentum oscillators showing:
- RSI approaching oversold territory (potential bounce)
- MACD showing bullish divergence
- Moving averages providing dynamic support
Fundamental Analysis: Economic Drivers & Market Catalysts
Bearish Fundamental Factors
1. US Dollar Strength Persists
The USD strength continues to pressure the euro, with the greenback maintaining its firm positioning across major currency pairs. This **dollar dominance** is creating headwinds for EUR/USD bulls.
2. Geopolitical Concerns & Tariff Fears
Recent developments regarding **tariff implementation and trade war concerns are weighing on European assets, creating additional selling pressure for the euro.
3. ECB Policy Expectations
The European Central Bank is expected to continue its dovish stance, with rate cuts toward the 2.0% target anticipated through mid-2025, according to economist surveys.
Bullish Fundamental Catalysts
1. German Economic Recovery Potential
Improved German governance and economic reforms could strengthen the Eurozone's largest economy, providing fundamental support for the euro.
2. Inflation Dynamics
Eurozone inflation trends and upcoming CPI data releases may shift ECB policy expectations, potentially supporting euro strength.
Sentiment Analysis: Retail vs Institutional Positioning
Retail Trader Sentiment (Contrarian Indicator)
Current market sentiment shows that 70% of retail traders are selling EURUSD, creating a potentially bullish contrarian setup. This heavy short positioning often precedes trend reversals in the forex market.
Institutional Flow Analysis
While retail sentiment suggests upside potential, institutional flows remain mixed, with smart money positioning cautiously amid fundamental uncertainties.
## Trading Strategy & Risk Management
### Short-Term Trading Setup (1-3 Days)
🎯 Buy Setup:
Entry Zone: 1.1560-1.1580 (Support confluence)
Target 1: 1.1700 (Immediate resistance)
Target 2: 1.1780 (Extended target)
Stop Loss: 1.1500 (Risk management)
📉 Sell Setup:
Entry Zone: 1.1660-1.1670 (Resistance test)
Target 1: 1.1570 (Support retest)
Target 2: 1.1500 (Extended downside)
Stop Loss: 1.1750 (Invalidation level)
Risk Factors & Event Calendar
High-Impact Events to Watch:
US Non-Farm Payrolls data
ECB policy communications
German economic indicators
CPI inflation** releases
Geopolitical developments
7-Day EURUSD Forecast: Price Predictions & Scenarios
Base Case Scenario (60% Probability)
Range-bound trading between 1.1500-1.1750 with eventual upside resolution toward 1.1800 as retail short covering accelerates.
Bullish Scenario (25% Probability)
Breakout above 1.1750 triggers momentum buying toward 1.1900, supported by improved European economic data and USD weakness.
Bearish Scenario (15% Probability)
Break below 1.1500 could accelerate selling toward 1.1400, driven by continued USD strength and deteriorating risk sentiment.
Professional Trading Tips & Best Practices
Position Sizing & Money Management
- Risk no more than 2% per trade
- Use **proper position sizing** based on stop-loss distance
- Consider **correlation** with other EUR pairs
Entry & Exit Strategies
- Wait for **price confirmation** at key levels
- Use **multiple timeframe analysis** for better entries
- Implement **trailing stops** for profit protection
Market Outlook Summary: Key Takeaways for Forex Traders
The **EURUSD outlook** for the next 7 days presents a mixed picture with slight **bearish bias** in the immediate term. Key factors to monitor include:
1. Technical support test at 1.1625-1.1605
2.Retail sentiment providing contrarian bullish signals
3. Fundamental headwinds from USD strength
4. Event risk from economic data releases
Trading Recommendation
Tactical approach: Look for buy opportunities near support with tight risk management, while remaining prepared for range-bound conditions until a clear directional catalyst emerges.
#012: LONG Investment Opportunity on EUR/USD
In this scenario, I placed a passive long order on EUR/USD at a key zone that has shown signs of accumulation and institutional defense in recent days.
The price showed bearish manipulation followed by a sharp rebound with a V-shaped pattern, often indicative of stop-loss hunting. In these phases, a direct entry is less effective than a passive strategy aimed at intercepting a possible technical pullback in the zone where abnormal volumes and algorithmic defenses have manifested.
The order was designed to be activated only if the market were to temporarily return to the previously absorbed zone, thus avoiding chasing the price after a directional candlestick.
The stop-loss placement was carefully chosen to avoid both typical retail hunting zones and areas visible to algorithms. It is positioned to ensure operational invisibility, but also consistency with the logic of institutional defense: if reached, the trade will be automatically invalidated.
The target is aligned with the superior technical structure and the normal range of movement that develops when this dynamic is respected.
This operation is designed to be left to operate completely autonomously, without the need for adjustments or active management. Either in or out. The sole objective is to align with institutional flows, with controlled risk and a favorable management structure.
EURUSD H1 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H1 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 1.1641,an overlap resistance.
Our take profit is set at 1.1601, a pullback support.
The stop loss is set at 1.1670, a swing high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
EURUSD BUY?Market is overall bullish on daily and weekly. Based on 4HR TF, the market seems to be forming a possible reversal pattern which could lead to a possible reversal.
We could see BUYERS coming in strong should the current level hold.
Disclaimer:
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is solely intended for educational and informational purposes only.The analysis provided is based on my own view of the market. Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account.
High-Risk Warning
Trading in foreign exchange on margin entails high risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. In this case, the high degree of leverage can act both against you and in your favor
trade idea fulfilledi expected EU to take out the eh above, get into the fvg and then sell off. it has done just that
EURUSD – Bearish Pressure Mounts Ahead of Triangle Breakout EURUSD is trading within a contracting triangle and currently leans toward a bearish bias. After several failed attempts to break the upper boundary, momentum is weakening, and the pair is showing signs of a potential breakdown toward lower support levels.
With several key events ahead, the euro may face additional pressure if upcoming Eurozone inflation data disappoints or if the Fed maintains a hawkish tone through upcoming speeches by U.S. officials. Unless there is a strong bullish catalyst, EURUSD is likely to correct further to the downside.
Professional Chart Analysis – EUR/USDPrice tapped into a key support zone where sell-side liquidity was swept (stop-losses below lows). This is a classic smart money move—grabbing liquidity before shifting direction. A higher low formed, showing buyers stepping in.
Technically, this suggests a bullish reversal, with price likely targeting the buy-side liquidity near 1.18000.
Fundamentally, if the U.S. dollar weakens due to poor economic data or dovish Fed tone, and the ECB remains hawkish, EUR/USD could strengthen further—supporting the technical bullish outlook.
EURUSD TRADE IDEA EURUSD pulled back for a trade to the upside.
We got involved on the trade at our Fibonacci level and we seem to be powering to the upside.
Let's see how the market does it's thing.
follow EURUSD LION & PLANE BUY SETUPTHE PRICE has moved as I explained in the last two posts
but we have some update to go along the way
the price could break failing channel
and withdrawal liquidity and filled imbalance
hence reflect from demand zone with zero reflection as i explained in last post with rock and plane
and it will go up to take liquidity in failing channel or downtrend
EURUSD has broken channal.EURUSD has broken channal. Now consolidating waiting for Global cues to strenthen dollar before EURUSD start fallimg.
EURUSD Q3 | D21 | W30 | Y25 📊EURUSD Q3 | D21 | W30 | Y25
Daily Forecast 🔍📅
Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈
Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭.
It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias.
This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us.
📈 Risk Management Protocols
🔑 Core principles:
Max 1% risk per trade
Only execute at pre-identified levels
Use alerts, not emotion
Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2
🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk.
🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight
"Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants."
Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work.
FRGNT 📊
EURUSD M15 I Bearish Reversal Based on the M15 chart, the price could rise toward our sell entry level at 1.1641, a pullback resistance.
Our take profit is set at 1.1604, a pullback support that aligns closely with the 62.8% Fib retracement.
The stop loss is set at 1.1670, an overlap resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
EURUSDThis is the EURUSD 1H chart showing a potential bullish setup. Here’s a breakdown of your market structure and what you can do:
Observations:
1. Trendline Support: Price is respecting a daily trendline, which shows potential for upward continuation.
2. Order Block: Price has tapped into a clear order block zone, indicating institutional interest and potential for a reversal.
3. BOS (Break of Structure) & CHoCH (Change of Character): Previous BOS confirms downward movement, but recent CHoCH suggests a possible shift to bullish momentum.
4. Bullish Projection: Your markup shows a forecasted bullish leg with a minor pullback before continuation.
What to do:
- Entry: Wait for a confirmation candle (bullish engulfing or strong rejection wick) within or just above the order block to go long.
- Stop Loss: Place it just below the order block or trendline for safety.
- Take Profit: You can scale out at recent highs or follow price using trailing stops. Consider targeting previous supply zones for partial exits.
EURUSD 4H - BUYOver all it's an uptrend, I believe price finish the correction by reach 61.8 Fib and price is showering Divergency in the daily Time farm, I expect price to continue with the uptrend.
Week of 7/20/25: EURUSD AnalysisLast week's price action was bearish and has finally reached the extreme daily demand level and provided some reaction. Price has swept bulls and bears, so now we follow internal structure and wait to see where price actually wants to go. If internal 1h structure breaks bearish, we have confirmation to trade bearish until price goes deeper into the daily extreme zone.
CHECK EURUSD SIGNAL READ CAPTAIN📍 Trade Setup Overview
Trade Direction: Short (sell)
Entry Point: Around 1.16600 1.16530
Stop Loss: Around 1.16900
🎯 Target Levels
Take Profit 1:
1.16250
Take Profit 2:
1.15800
Last Target:
1.15500
EUR/USD Bearish Setup as Wave C Unfolds Toward 1.1523EUR/USD Bearish Setup as Wave C Unfolds Toward 1.1523
🔴 SHORT BIAS
📅 Updated: July 18
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🔍 Description
EUR/USD appears to be unfolding a classic ABC corrective structure, with Wave B now likely completed below the key 1.1624–1.1659 resistance zone. The price action has shown clear rejection in this supply area, opening room for Wave C to extend lower toward the 1.1523 target.
This setup aligns with a broader correction within a downtrend, with technicals and short-term flows pointing toward further downside pressure. The 2H timeframe offers swing traders a favorable risk-reward scenario, with invalidation clearly above 1.1659.
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📊 Technical Structure (2H)
✅ Wave A completed
✅ Wave B rejected at resistance
✅ Wave C expected to unfold
📌 Downside Target
First & Final: 1.15233
🔻 Invalidation Zone
Above: 1.16590 (Break invalidates short bias)
EURUSD FORMING BEARISH TREND STRUCTURE IN 15 MINUTES TIME FRAMEEURUSD is forming lower lows and lower highs.
Sellers are maintaining selling pressure from late few sessions.
Market is expected to remain bearish in upcoming trading sessions.
On lower side market may hit the target level of 1.17100
On higher side 1.18100 can act as an important resistance zone.
EURUSD TRADE IDEA UPDATE We had a pullback on EURUSD. Although we didn't get a full pullback to our Fibonacci level and the market seems to have taken off to the upside.
Let's see how the market unfolds
EURUSD ALERTPrice starts ranging
No clear breakout yet — we're staying patient and waiting for a cleaner entry signal.
#EURUSD #Forex #PriceAction #Trading
