EURUSD could see further downside potentialFundamental:
The euro slipped as mixed ECB signals and political jitters pressured sentiment. ECB President Lagarde reiterated that borrowing costs will remain restrictive 'as long as needed,' even as inflation eases and economic activity stabilizes.
Renewed political tensions in France and soft German industrial data also weighed on the euro, though stronger services PMIs offered a modest offset. At the same time, the dollar held firm after a hotter US CPI print reduced the likelihood of near-term Fed rate cuts, keeping EURUSD near a three-week low.
Technical:
EURUSD retreated below the resistance at 1.1800 and within the ascending channel. If the price extends its decline, it could approach the support at 1.1450. Conversely, a break above the resistance at 1.1800 could prompt a further rise toward the resistance at 1.1920.
By Li Xing Gan, Financial Markets Strategist Consultant to Exness
EURUSD trade ideas
DeGRAM | EURUSD fixed under the resistance level📊 Technical Analysis
● Price is stalling against the upper band of a three-month rising channel (≈ 1.1790) after producing a false break and quick rejection—marking a potential bull-trap at trend resistance.
● Bearish divergence on the 4 h RSI and the first lower-high inside a micro rising wedge suggest momentum is fading; a slide through 1.1745 should trigger profit-taking toward the mid-channel support at 1.1595.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Solid US payrolls and a hawkish tone in FOMC minutes lift two-year yields, reviving the dollar bid, while post-election coalition wrangling in France keeps a risk premium on the euro.
✨ Summary
Sell 1.1785 ± 15 pips; break below 1.1745 targets 1.1595. Invalidate on a 4 h close above 1.1810.
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EURUSD Wave Analysis – 15 July 2025- EURUSD broke daily up channel
- Likely to fall to support level 1.1470
EURUSD currency pair recently broke the support area located at the intersection of the support trendline of the daily up channel from May and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from June.
The breakout of this support area accelerated the active short-term ABC correction 4.
Given the strongly bullish US dollar sentiment coupled with significant euro pessimism seen today, EURUSD currency pair can be expected to fall further to the next support level 1.1470 (low of former wave iv).
EUR/USD drops post US CPI reportAfter gaining ground last week, the US dollar initially came under slight pressure earlier today. However, it regained momentum in the aftermath of a mixed US inflation report. Despite the nuanced inflation print, market expectations around interest rate policy remained largely unchanged. Investors continue to anticipate a slower pace of rate reductions, a sentiment that could further weigh on the EUR/USD pair—provided confidence in the Federal Reserve’s monetary approach remains intact.
Mixed Signals from US Inflation Data
The consumer price index for June presented a mixed picture. Headline CPI increased by 0.3% month-over-month and 2.7% year-over-year, surpassing both the previous 2.4% figure and the 2.6% forecast. However, core CPI (which excludes food and energy) showed a slightly softer reading, rising by only 0.2% month-on-month—below the expected 0.3%. The annual core rate stood at 2.9%, in line with expectations.
This mixed data has not allayed fears that inflation could remain sticky for longer. As a result, the Fed may hold off on aggressive rate cuts, although a possible move in September remains on the table.
Adding to the dollar’s bullish case, President Trump has proposed aggressive tariffs—35% on select Canadian goods and up to 30% on imports from Mexico and the EU—if no agreements are reached by August 1. These protectionist threats, combined with his expansive fiscal agenda, could drive inflation higher and bolster the dollar if market faith in US policy stays strong.
Euro Zone Data Shows Resilience, But the Euro Falters
Despite some encouraging macroeconomic indicators from the Eurozone, the euro slipped. Germany’s ZEW economic sentiment index rose to 52.7, outperforming both expectations (50.8) and the previous reading (47.5). Additionally, industrial production climbed 1.7% month-on-month, beating forecasts.
While these positive data points reflect a degree of resilience in the euro area, trade tensions are looming. The European Union has said it will retaliate on US products—ranging from aircraft to alcohol—should trade talks collapse or fail to yield agreements by the August 1 deadline.
Technical Outlook
Technically, EUR/USD breached the bullish trendline established since Q1, a development that bears are watching as the session wears on. Currently, the pair is testing a key support zone between 1.1570 and 1.1630—an area that served as resistance in both April and mid-June before the rally that followed.
Should prices fall decisively below this support today or in the coming days, the technical bias could shift bearish. On the upside, resistance lies at 1.1700 and 1.1750. A break above these levels would clear the way for bulls to target a fresh 2025 high above 1.1830.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
EURUSD - sell market after consolidation phase has taken control by the bears with strong support level being broken with engulfing candle (momentum candle)
we have two buy setup: wait for the market to retrace to the level of 0.382 of fib or enter instant in to the market.
TP1 and TP2 with R:R of 1:1 and 1:2
EURUSD Approaches Key Technical Breakout Point📈 EURUSD at a Critical Decision Point Between Two Trends
EURUSD is coiling between descending resistance and ascending support. A breakout from either direction will likely define the next leg of the move. This post breaks down the converging structure, high-probability levels, and what traders should watch to stay on the right side of the market.
🔍 Technical Analysis:
Price action is trapped between a downward sloping trendline (resistance) and a rising trendline (support), forming a symmetrical triangle. This compression indicates growing tension — and whichever trendline breaks first could dictate market direction in the coming weeks.
Currently, EURUSD is hovering near 1.1670, testing short-term structure while holding above prior swing supports.
🛡️ Support Zones (if downside breakout occurs):
🟢 1.1670 – 1H Support (High Risk)
First response zone on minor pullbacks.
Stop-loss: Below 1.1620
🟡 1.1470 – 1.1427 – Medium-Term Support (Medium Risk)
Confluence of diagonal and horizontal structure. Swing entry potential.
Stop-loss: Below 1.1380
🟠 1.0799 – Last 1H Support (Low Risk)
If the ascending trendline fails, this is the final zone to preserve a bullish structure.
Stop-loss: Below 1.0740
🔻 1.0242 – 1.0195 – Last Daily Support (Extreme Risk)
Loss of this zone marks a macro bearish shift.
🔼 Resistance Zones (if upside breakout occurs):
🔴 1.2094 – 1.2148: Daily Strong Resistance
Key breakout level. Strong historical supply. Clean close above here signals trend continuation.
Conclusion
EURUSD is at a technical fork — squeezed between opposing trendlines. The first decisive break will likely set the tone for Q3. Watch 1.2148 on the upside and 1.1427 on the downside for direction confirmation.
Not financial advice. Like & follow for more structured FX insights.
Euro Slips, Brussels Stalls RetaliationEUR/USD is pulling back toward 1.1620 in Thursday’s Asian session as markets await Eurozone HICP data, with eyes on US June retail sales later in the day. The dollar stays firm on expectations that the Fed will hold rates at 4.25%-4.50% in July amid tariff-driven uncertainty.
President Trump announced plans to notify over 150 countries of a 10% tariff, possibly rising to 15-20%, targeting those with minimal U.S. trade ties. He criticized Fed Chair Powell but admitted removing him might destabilize markets, while floating possible trade deals with Europe and India.
Strong June CPI has reignited concerns about prolonged high rates. Dallas Fed’s Lorie Logan and New York Fed’s John Williams both warned that tariffs may keep inflation elevated, reinforcing the case for keeping rates steady.
Resistance for the pair is at 1.1670, while support is at 1.1580.
EURUSD - BEARISH TREND CONTINUESEURUSD - BEARISH TREND CONTINUES📉
On Tuesday, despite the bullish divergence (highlighted as green on RSI), the price broke through the trendline, formed since the beginning of May. Yesterday this trendline got retested on Bloomberg's rumor that Powell may resign. Currently the price is going through the support level of 1.16000.
I see the major way is to go towards 1.15000 support level with a further rebound and possible target of 1.16000. Another option is to go straight towards 1.14000. Will see.
EURUSD(20250715) Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Sources said that after Trump's latest trade tax threat, the European Central Bank will discuss a more negative scenario next week than expected in June. The ECB is still expected to keep interest rates unchanged at its meeting on July 24. Discussions on rate cuts are still postponed to September.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.1671
Support and resistance levels:
1.1714
1.1698
1.1687
1.1654
1.1644
1.1628
Trading strategy:
If it breaks through 1.1671, consider buying in, the first target price is 1.1687
If it breaks through 1.1654, consider selling in, the first target price is 1.1644
Eurousd techinical analysis.This chart displays the EUR/USD (Euro/US Dollar) currency pair on a 1-hour timeframe, with a technical analysis setup that includes:
1. Downward Trendline (Pink): This suggests a prevailing bearish trend, with price respecting lower highs.
2. Support and Resistance Zones (Purple Boxes):
Several horizontal purple rectangles highlight areas of previous support and resistance.
These zones represent price levels where buying or selling pressure has historically emerged.
3. Price Action & Pattern (Yellow Line):
A clear "M" shape or double-top pattern formed, indicating potential bearish reversal.
The pattern breaks down below a key support zone, suggesting a continuation to the downside.
4. Projection Arrow (Yellow Arrow):
The yellow arrow
Two Brains, One Trade: Why You Freeze Under PressureBy MJTrading:
In trading, your biggest opponent isn’t volatility.
It’s your own neural wiring.
Every trader operates with two main systems:
🧠 System 2 – Rational, deliberate, planning (Prefrontal Cortex)
🧠 System 1 – Emotional, instinctive, fast (Amygdala & Limbic Brain)
Before entry, System 2 is in control. You feel calm, logical.
But the moment money is at risk—especially in drawdown or after a missed TP—System 1 takes over.
💥 Stress hormones spike
💥 Focus narrows
💥 Long-term thinking disappears
💥 You freeze, or act impulsively
You knew what to do.
But you didn’t do it.
Because in that moment, your rational mind wasn’t driving anymore.
⚖️ Set & Forget vs. Floating Managers
Different trading personalities react differently under pressure:
🔹 Set & Forget Traders
Rely on automation or predefined exits to bypass emotional hijack.
They reduce cognitive load, but often feel regret when price goes “a little more.”
🔹 Floating Management Traders
Rely on intuition and live feeling. They stay with the chart, adjusting based on flow.
When calm and trained, they shine.
But under pressure, they’re more vulnerable to emotional loops:
– hesitation
– premature exits
– revenge tweaks
– system betrayal
🧘♂️ What can you do?
✔️ Pre-plan decisions
Make the hard calls before emotions kick in.
✔️ Mental rehearsal
Visualize trade management scenarios—yes, like athletes do.
✔️ Create fallback protocols
So if you freeze, your system still knows what to do.
🧠 For Those Who Want to Go Deeper:
“Thinking, Fast and Slow” by Daniel Kahneman
Understand System 1 & 2 thinking—and how cognitive bias shapes all decisions, not just trades.
“The Hour Between Dog and Wolf” by John Coates
A stunning look at how biology, hormones, and risk-taking collide in traders' brains.
🔓 Final Thought:
If your strategy works in theory, but breaks in real-time—
It’s time to work on your neural execution layer.
Because in trading, you don’t rise to your level of analysis—
you fall to your level of emotional wiring.
— MJTrading
#NeuroTrading #TraderTypes #TradingPsychology #SetAndForget #FloatingManagement #MindOverMarkets #EURUSD #MJTrading
Previous psychology Ideas:
EURUSD BUY So we have nice weekly fvg below along with a strong pivot point we could possibly see price reach this level before the push to the upside. I’m pretty confident we will have a strong push to the upside due to the macroeconomics and positioning of key players as they are still very bullish on the euro as we still creating higher highs consistently. A lot of people are in sells right now so we could see them taken out before the move to the downside they the EurUsd buy will be in play .
Bullish bounce off 50% Fibonacci support?EUR/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci support and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.1632
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.1582
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.1738
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance.
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