EURUSD trade ideas
EUR/USD Eyes $1.179 If Resistance BreaksFenzoFx—EUR/USD is testing the 100-day moving average as resistance, a supply zone backed by VWAP at $1.171. The Stochastic Oscillator depicts 81.0 in the description, meaning the Euro is overpriced in the short term.
Therefore, we expect the pair to test the $1.160 demand zone before the uptrend resumes. Furthermore, the bullish outlook remains valid above $1.155, and a break above resistance at $1.171 can trigger the uptrend, targeting $1.179.
Important News for EURUSDYesterday, EURUSD continued moving sideways as the market waits for upcoming news.
Today at 1:30 PM London time, U.S. inflation data will be released.
This report has a strong impact and is likely to set the next direction for the pair.
It’s advisable to reduce your risk and avoid opening new positions before the news comes out.
The goal is to follow the trend once it resumes!
HelenP. I Euro will drop more, breaking the support levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. After analyzing the current structure of the EURUSD chart, I noticed a strong break of the ascending trend line, which had been respected for a long period. The price has now returned to test the broken trend line from below, aligning with the resistance zone between 1.1665 and 1.1700 points. This area used to serve as solid support, but after the breakout, it turned into resistance. The retest from below could become the final confirmation before the pair continues its downward movement. Right now, EUR is trading just inside this resistance zone. There is a small chance the price might move slightly higher to touch the upper boundary of the zone, but overall, the pressure looks bearish. I expect that after a minor bounce, EUR will decline again, breaking below the local support at 1.1665. Once that happens, a larger impulse down could be triggered, targeting even 1.1525 points, which is my main goal for this setup. This bearish scenario is supported by the failed attempts to recover above the trend line and the fact that previous support has already flipped to resistance. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment.❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
The euro's bearish structure remains unchanged.EUR/USD rebounded from around the three-week low of 1.1655 during the European session. However, the overall trend of the exchange rate remains within the descending channel that has been in place since early July. Market concerns over the U.S. government's new 30% tariff measures have dampened risk appetite, limiting the room for the exchange rate to rebound.
In the short term, the exchange rate is expected to contend within the 1.1650-1.1700 range. Analysts believe that if the euro fails to break through and stabilize above the 1.1700 threshold, the bearish structure will remain intact, and the exchange rate will continue to test lower support levels such as 1.1630 and 1.1600. A breakdown below these levels could open up further downside space, with the target pointing to around the lower Bollinger Band at 1.1387.
you are currently struggling with losses，or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow,You have the option to join our VIP program. I will assist you and provide you with accurate trading signals, enabling you to navigate the financial markets with greater confidence and potentially achieve optimal trading results.
EUR/USD –Bullish Flag After Long Term Trend Shift: Is 1.20 Next?📌 In my previous EUR/USD analysis, I mentioned that the long-term trend likely reversed, and we could see a move toward the 1.23 zone in the medium to longer term.
That view is playing out.
Recently, the pair printed a new local high above 1.18, confirming the trend change.
📉 After this rise, EUR/USD pulled back –but the structure is clearly corrective: overlapping and a classic bullish flag formation.
What's next?
This correction looks close to completion, and bulls may soon return to push toward the key 1.20 level.
Trading Plan:
The 1.1620–1.1650 area stands out as a strong confluence zone – ideal for looking for buying opportunities.
The trend has changed. The setup is forming. Now it’s about timing.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Long Opportunity for EURUSDEURUSD is currently in a retracement within a bullish trend with clear Bullish market structures in place.
Price is currently approaching the break and retest level at 1,16285... a potential pivot point which acted as a resistance level in the past. On the 4-hour timeframe, price is trading below the 21 and 50 SMA due to the slow nature of the retracement and we are seeing bearish momentum on the RSI.
Need to see the Bulls stepping in with clean bullish momentum on the 4 hour chart to confirm the bullish market directionality before looking to take a long position. will also be observing the bearish trendline break as an additional point of confluence to take the long trade
Bullish continuation?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is falling towards the pivot, which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.1589
1st Support: 1.1448
1st Resistance: 1.1815
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Week of 7/13/25: EURUSD AnalysisLast week's candle was a bearish engulfing meaning that most likely price will continue lower this week as a daily trend retracement. Waiting for LTF bearish price action before entering.
Major News:
Tuesday - CPI
Wednesday - PPI
Thursday - Unemployment
EURUSD h4 update ⚠️ Current Outlook: Reversal Zone Hit
• Price tapped into the strong RESISTANCE zone (~1.1800), failing to break higher.
• Market structure BOS (Break of Structure) confirms bearish intent.
• FVG (Fair Value Gap) likely to act as a short-term liquidity trap.
📍 Disrupted Bearish Flow:
1. Price rejects resistance aggressively ✅
2. Pullback into FVG may trigger a liquidity hunt 🧲
3. Fake bounce → Smart Money re-entry expected 👀
4. Target levels:
• 🥅 TARGET: 1.1550 zone (first major support)
• 🎯 LONG TARGET: 1.1200 zone (high probability zone for HTF buyers)
🔁 Bear Trap Setup Possibility:
• After hitting the LONG TARGET, price could reverse sharply.
• Watch for accumulation signs and deviation below key levels.
⸻
🔥 Key Zones to Watch:
• 🔳 Resistance: 1.1790–1.1820
• 🟦 FVG Retest Zone: 1.1630–1.1660
• 📉 Target Zone: 1.1500–1.1550
• 🚨 Long-Term Demand Zone: 1.1180–1.123
Potential Sell Opportunity on EURUSDReasons I think this pair will fall:
- Bearish RSI Divergence on Daily chart
-RSI overbought on H4 and Daily
What are your thoughts?
EURUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on EURUSD?
Following its recent rally, EURUSD has reached a key resistance zone, which also aligns with a trendline. The pair failed to break above this area and has been rejected.
Given the weak momentum and bearish reaction, we do not expect a breakout at this stage.
Instead, we anticipate some consolidation around the resistance, followed by a downward move toward the specified support level.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
EURUSD is Approaching an Important Support!!Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a buying opportunity around 1.16400 zone, EURUSD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.16400 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Bullish bounce off major support?EUR/ISD is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance,
Pivot: 1.1688
1st Support: 1.1548
1st Resistance: 1.1750
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURUSD Bearish SMC Setup | Premium Supply Rejection + CHoCH +FVGPair: EUR/USD
Timeframe: 4H
Price reacted strongly from a Premium Selling Zone, forming multiple CHoCH (Change of Character) and BOS (Break of Structure) confirmations.
🔻 Red Zones indicate strong institutional selling
🔺 Weak High is now likely to remain protected
Market structure has shifted bearish, and price is targeting imbalances (IMB) and Fair Value Gaps (FVG) below.
⸻
✅ Entry: Taken from the premium supply rejection
🎯 Target 1: 1.16000 – Minor imbalance fill
🎯 Target 2: 1.15000 – Mid-level demand
🎯 Final Target: 1.14500 – Major liquidity zone
❌ Invalidation: Clean break above 1.18000
⸻
📉 Smart Money Confirmation Setup:
• Premium Supply
• CHoCH
• BOS
• FVG & IMB below
🔄 Missed the entry? Wait for a pullback into lower OB or supply zone.
#EURUSD #SmartMoney #SMC #CHoCH #BOS #FVG #OrderBlock #Forex #LiquiditySweep #SupplyDemand
Bullish reversal?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is reacting off the support level which is a pullback support and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.1684
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support.
Stop loss: 1.1652
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 1.1738
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EURUSD I Daily CLS I KL FVG I Model 1Yo Market Warriors ⚔️
Fresh outlook drop — if you’ve been riding with me, you already know:
🎯My system is 100% mechanical. No emotions. No trend lines. No subjective guessing. Just precision, structure, and sniper entries.
🧠 What’s CLS?
It’s the real smart money. The invisible hand behind $7T/day — banks, algos, central players.
📍Model 1:
HTF bias based on the daily and weekly candles closes,
Wait for CLS candle to be created and manipulated. Switch to correct LTF and spot CIOD. Enter and target 50% of the CLS candle.
For high probability include Dealing Ranges, Weekly Profiles and CLS Timing.
Trading is like a sport. If you consistently practice you can learn it.
“Adapt what is useful. Reject whats useless and add whats is specifically yours.”
David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter
💬 Don't hesitate to ask any questions or share your opinions
A New Chapter Begins with EURUSD’s ABC Wave Formation!🎯 Hey Guys,
I’ve prepared a fresh EURUSD analysis for you.
The market has shifted direction, and an ABC wave structure has emerged.
I’ve placed a Buy Limit order based on my entry level.
Below, you’ll find my detailed target zones and entry specifics:
🟩 Buy Limit Order: 1.17197
🟥 Stop Loss: 1.16903
📌 Targets:
🔹 TP1: 1.17344
🔹 TP2: 1.17538
🔹 TP3: 1.17869
📊 Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.27
Your likes and support are what keep me motivated to share these analyses consistently.
Huge thanks to everyone who shows love and appreciation! 🙏
#AN017: Dirty Levels in Forex: How Banks Think
In the world of Forex, many retail traders are accustomed to seeking surgical precision in technical levels. Clear lines, pinpoint support, geometric resistance. But the truth is that the market doesn't move in such an orderly fashion.
I'm Forex Trader Andrea Russo, and I thank my Official Broker Partner in advance for supporting us in writing this article.
Institutions—banks, macro funds, hedge funds—don't operate to confirm textbook patterns. Instead, they work to manipulate, accumulate, and distribute positions as efficiently as possible. And often, they do so precisely at the so-called "dirty levels."
But what are these dirty levels?
They are price zones, not individual lines. They are areas where many traders place stop losses, pending orders, or breakout entries, making them an ideal target for institutional players. The concept of a dirty level arises from the fact that the price fails to respect the "perfect" level, but breaks it slightly and then retraces its steps: a false breakout, a trap, a hunt for stops.
Banks are very familiar with the behavior of retail traders. They have access to much more extensive information: aggregated positioning data, open interest in options, key levels monitored by algorithms. When they see concentrations of orders around a zone, they design actual liquidity triggers. They push the price just beyond the key level to "clean" the market, generate panic or euphoria, and then initiate their actual trade.
How are these levels identified?
A trader who wants to operate like an institution must stop drawing sharp lines and start thinking in trading bands. A dirty level is, on average, a zone 10 to 15 pips wide, around a psychological level, a previous high/low, or a breakout area. But technical structure alone is not enough. It's important to observe:
Volume density (volume profile or book visibility)
Aggregate retail sentiment (to understand where stops are placed)
Key option levels (especially gamma and maximum pain)
Rising open interest (as confirmation of institutional interest)
When a price approaches a dirty level, you shouldn't enter. You should wait for manipulation. The price often briefly breaks above that range, with a spike, and only then does it retrace its steps in the opposite direction. That's when banks enter: when retail has unloaded its positions or been forced into trading too late. The truly expert trader enters after the level has been "cleaned," not before.
This type of reading leads you to trade in the opposite way to the crowd. It forces you to think ahead: where they want you to enter... and where they actually enter. And only when you begin to recognize these invisible patterns, when you understand that the market is not linear but designed to deceive you, do you truly begin to become a professional trader.
Conclusion?
Trading isn't about predicting the price, but predicting the intentions of those who actually move the market. Dirty levels are key. Those who know how to read manipulation can enter profitably, before the real acceleration. And from that moment, they'll never look back.
EURUSD – Smart Money Trap Setup in PlayPair: EURUSD
🔹 Timeframe: 30 Min
🔹 Bias: Bearish (Short Setup Expected)
🔹 Current Price: 1.17358
---
💡 Market Breakdown:
The pair is approaching a premium zone (1.17381 – 1.17567) where smart money may induce liquidity grabs before a sharp sell-off.
The structure shows a clear Break of Structure (BoS) followed by a Change of Character (Choch) confirming bearish intention.
---
📌 Key Zones:
🔵 Supply Zone: 1.17381 – 1.17567
🔺 Liquidity Sweep Zone (Fakeout Expected): 1.17400 – 1.17431
🔻 Target Zone 1: 1.17096
🔻 Target Zone 2: 1.16829
❌ Invalidation Above: 1.1760
---
🎯 Trade Plan:
Wait for price to tap into the red supply zone (1.174xx), then look for bearish confirmation like a strong rejection or engulfing candle.
Expect a fast drop after smart money traps buyers.
---
📌 Smart Money Concept Used:
🔹 Inducement → Entry → Expansion
🔹 BOS → CHoCH → Imbalance Fill
---
🧠 Remember:
"Price doesn’t move randomly — it’s engineered by intent."
EUR/USD Bullish Setup from Key Support📈 EUR/USD Bullish Setup – Targeting 1.18500
Timeframe: 4H
Pair: EUR/USD
💡 Analysis:
The market is currently showing strong bullish momentum with clear support zones holding price action. After a healthy retracement, price is reacting well around the recent support level near 1.16800. If this level holds, we can anticipate a bullish continuation toward the target resistance zone at 1.18500.
🔶 Support Levels:
1. 1st Support Area: ~1.16800 – Recent consolidation and strong reaction zone
2. 2nd Support Area: ~1.15800 – Previous breakout level
3. 3rd Support Area: ~1.14300 – Major structure support
🎯 Target Point:
• 1.18500 – Major resistance and previous swing high
📊 Trade Idea:
We are looking for a bullish move from the current price level (~1.1700) toward the resistance at 1.1850. If price respects the nearest support zone, long entries with proper risk management could be favorable.
EURUSD – From Structure to Shift
1H Technical Outlook by MJTrading
EURUSD moved cleanly through a sequence of structural phases:
• Previous Base
• Multi-day Consolidation (potential quiet accumulation)
• Transition into a well-respected Descending Channel
Price has since shown repeated rejections from the upper boundary, including a decisive selloff from the 1.1750 zone, forming what we now label a "Pressure Gap" — a space where aggressive sellers overwhelmed price.
🧭 Key Scenarios Ahead:
🔻 Bearish Continuation:
Breakdown below 1.1700 opens room toward:
• 1.1640 (channel bottom)
• 1.1600 Liquidity Zone
Watch for impulsive sell candles + EMA rejection
🔁 Short-Term Bounce or Trap:
Holding above 1.1700 could spark a rebound toward 1.1750
This may serve as a final test before another leg lower
Only a clean break and hold above 1.1763 flips structure bullish
🔍 Bonus Confluence:
1D Chart shows broader bullish context (inset)
EMAs tightening = expect volatility burst
Well-defined structure gives clear invalidation and targets
Every trend tells a story — from base building to breakout, and now a possible breakdown. Trade the structure, not the prediction.
#EURUSD #Forex #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #DescendingChannel #LiquidityZone #SmartMoney #MJTrading
Two Brains, One Trade: Why You Freeze Under PressureBy MJTrading:
In trading, your biggest opponent isn’t volatility.
It’s your own neural wiring.
Every trader operates with two main systems:
🧠 System 2 – Rational, deliberate, planning (Prefrontal Cortex)
🧠 System 1 – Emotional, instinctive, fast (Amygdala & Limbic Brain)
Before entry, System 2 is in control. You feel calm, logical.
But the moment money is at risk—especially in drawdown or after a missed TP—System 1 takes over.
💥 Stress hormones spike
💥 Focus narrows
💥 Long-term thinking disappears
💥 You freeze, or act impulsively
You knew what to do.
But you didn’t do it.
Because in that moment, your rational mind wasn’t driving anymore.
⚖️ Set & Forget vs. Floating Managers
Different trading personalities react differently under pressure:
🔹 Set & Forget Traders
Rely on automation or predefined exits to bypass emotional hijack.
They reduce cognitive load, but often feel regret when price goes “a little more.”
🔹 Floating Management Traders
Rely on intuition and live feeling. They stay with the chart, adjusting based on flow.
When calm and trained, they shine.
But under pressure, they’re more vulnerable to emotional loops:
– hesitation
– premature exits
– revenge tweaks
– system betrayal
🧘♂️ What can you do?
✔️ Pre-plan decisions
Make the hard calls before emotions kick in.
✔️ Mental rehearsal
Visualize trade management scenarios—yes, like athletes do.
✔️ Create fallback protocols
So if you freeze, your system still knows what to do.
🧠 For Those Who Want to Go Deeper:
“Thinking, Fast and Slow” by Daniel Kahneman
Understand System 1 & 2 thinking—and how cognitive bias shapes all decisions, not just trades.
“The Hour Between Dog and Wolf” by John Coates
A stunning look at how biology, hormones, and risk-taking collide in traders' brains.
🔓 Final Thought:
If your strategy works in theory, but breaks in real-time—
It’s time to work on your neural execution layer.
Because in trading, you don’t rise to your level of analysis—
you fall to your level of emotional wiring.
— MJTrading
#NeuroTrading #TraderTypes #TradingPsychology #SetAndForget #FloatingManagement #MindOverMarkets #EURUSD #MJTrading
Previous psychology Ideas:
