EUR/USD Breaks Major Trendline Support – Bearish Continuation In🔍 EUR/USD Technical Breakdown – Bearish Structure Confirmed
The EUR/USD pair has officially broken below a well-established ascending trendline that supported the bullish structure since early May. This technical break is a strong bearish signal, suggesting a potential shift in market sentiment as the pair loses upward momentum.
The pair is now trading around 1.16760, with sellers gaining control after failing to sustain above the 1.1700 region. The breakdown aligns with classic market structure principles, where a clean trendline violation often leads to a continuation move toward the next key support zone.
📍 Target Zone:
The identified downside target is around 1.1500, a critical demand zone that aligns with previous consolidation and potential liquidity pools. This area may act as a magnet for price before any significant reversal occurs.
📘 Trader's Insight:
This setup presents a clear example of a trendline break leading to a bearish continuation pattern. Professional traders may look for retests of the broken trendline for confirmation entries, or short-term rallies to add positions, while maintaining disciplined risk management.
✅ Technical Summary:
Structure: Bearish Breakout
Resistance: 1.1700
Support/Target: 1.1500
Bias: Bearish below trendline
EURUSD trade ideas
EUR/USD: A High-Probability Short Setup at 1.1829At its core, this trade is driven by a powerful and growing divergence between the US and European economies. While technicals tell us where to trade, fundamentals tell us why we're trading.
1️⃣ The Interest Rate Gap: The U.S. currently offers significantly higher interest rates (4.25% - 4.50%) compared to the Eurozone (2.15%). This makes holding the US Dollar more attractive, creating natural downward pressure on the EUR/USD.
2️⃣ Central Bank Policy: The US Federal Reserve remains hawkish, focused on strength and fighting inflation. Meanwhile, the European Central Bank is dovish, signaling a willingness to keep conditions loose to support a weaker economy.
3️⃣ Labor Market Strength: The US enjoys a robust labor market with unemployment at just 4.1%, while the Eurozone's is significantly higher at 6.3%. This points to a stronger US economy.
In simple terms, the US economy is strong, and its central bank is acting like it. The Eurozone economy is weaker, and its central bank is acting accordingly. This fundamental imbalance is the fuel for a potential significant move down in EUR/USD.
The Technical Picture: The Wall at 1.1829
As you can see on the 4H chart, the price has run into a major wall of resistance at the 52-week high of 1.1829 . After a long uptrend, the momentum has stalled, and the price is now consolidating inside a symmetrical triangle . This coiling of price action often precedes a strong breakout.
Our strategy is not to guess the breakout, but to act on a high-probability retest of resistance. We are looking to enter a short position as the price pulls back towards the upper boundary of this triangle, anticipating a failure at resistance and a subsequent break to the downside.
The Actionable Trade Plan
This setup offers an excellent risk/reward profile.
📉 Asset: EUR/USD
👉 Entry (Limit Sell): 1.1780
⛔️ Stop Loss: 1.1850
🎯 Take Profit: 1.1600
📈 Risk/Reward Ratio: ~2.57:1
Trade safe and manage your risk.
EURUSD BUY So we have nice weekly fvg below along with a strong pivot point we could possibly see price reach this level before the push to the upside. I’m pretty confident we will have a strong push to the upside due to the macroeconomics and positioning of key players as they are still very bullish on the euro as we still creating higher highs consistently. A lot of people are in sells right now so we could see them taken out before the move to the downside they the EurUsd buy will be in play .
One last rally in EUR/USDIn the right bottom you can see the Daily chart for EUR/USD:
The chart shows the EUR/USD on a daily timeframe.
There was an initial strong rise of 1,700 pips, marked as a 100% move.
After this, the price corrected downward by 1,084 pips, which is 61.8% of the previous rise.
The 61.8% retracement is a common Fibonacci level, often signaling a reversal or pause.
Now, the price is moving up again, following a similar path as the first rise.
The chart suggests a possible new upward move of another 1,700 pips (100%).
A "take profits zone" is marked at the top, indicating a target area for traders.
This pattern reflects how markets often move in waves: trend, correction, and trend continuation.
Fibonacci levels help traders identify potential reversal points.
The chart is used to project future moves based on past price behavior.
The MAIN CHART shows a clear uptrend for EURUSD and the current correction with a flag.
The combination of both patterns give us a clear BUY zone in the channel and using the trend as support or once the channel break upwards.
This is a very good risk reward ratio trade situation where all traders should be!
EUR-USD Will Keep Growing! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-USD keep trading in
An uptrend along the rising support
So as the pair is approaching
A the support we will be
Expecting a bullish rebound
And a move up on Monday
Buy!
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EUR/USD BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
EUR/USD pair is trading in a local downtrend which know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is red. On the 17H timeframe the pair is going up. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 1.160 area.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EURUSD: Deeper Pullback Before Bullish MoveHello Traders,
On EURUSD, we opened the new week with a significant downside gap, which has already been filled during the Asian session. Price has reacted from that gap area, and heading into the London session, I’m expecting a deeper pullback into the daily demand zone before the bullish continuation.
EURUSD AccumulationI am looking for some accumulation here. The model can already be complete, but i would only take it if it extends into a model 2 from extreme liquidity to create more liquidity for a reversal. The supply above, followed by the strong sell off lowers the quality of this model. A supply mitigation with a slow pullback into the POI would change that.
EURUSD - sell market after consolidation phase has taken control by the bears with strong support level being broken with engulfing candle (momentum candle)
we have two buy setup: wait for the market to retrace to the level of 0.382 of fib or enter instant in to the market.
TP1 and TP2 with R:R of 1:1 and 1:2
Important News for EURUSDYesterday, EURUSD continued moving sideways as the market waits for upcoming news.
Today at 1:30 PM London time, U.S. inflation data will be released.
This report has a strong impact and is likely to set the next direction for the pair.
It’s advisable to reduce your risk and avoid opening new positions before the news comes out.
The goal is to follow the trend once it resumes!
EURUSD – Bearish Pressure Mounts Ahead of Triangle Breakout EURUSD is trading within a contracting triangle and currently leans toward a bearish bias. After several failed attempts to break the upper boundary, momentum is weakening, and the pair is showing signs of a potential breakdown toward lower support levels.
With several key events ahead, the euro may face additional pressure if upcoming Eurozone inflation data disappoints or if the Fed maintains a hawkish tone through upcoming speeches by U.S. officials. Unless there is a strong bullish catalyst, EURUSD is likely to correct further to the downside.
Internal Summary EURUSD Pair: EURUSD
Bias: Bullish
Timeframe: 1H
Trigger: Support test within triangle pattern
Targets:
TP1: 1.17217
TP2: 1.17851
Invalidation: Below 1.15942
Comment: Price is compressing inside a symmetrical triangle, holding above a key ascending trendline. A breakout to the upside looks probable as long as price holds current support.
My Take on the EURUSD H1 Setup (July 14, 2025)
This is a classic textbook-quality TCB setup forming right at a critical confluence zone. Here's a full breakdown from a trader's lens:
🔵 1. Trend
Bias: Bullish
The macro structure from June shows a strong uptrend, and the most recent impulse was explosive — indicating active buyers.
H4 and D1 show no trend break yet.
🔵 2. Countertrend
The descending channel is neat and controlled — no erratic spikes or liquidity wicks that signal confusion.
Compression into the demand zone (gray box) around 1.1652–1.1710 shows sellers are weakening.
This is typical of pre-breakout structure when buyers are loading up under the radar.
🔵 3. Breakout
Price just broke cleanly above the channel and is sitting slightly above the horizontal resistance (1.1710).
A retest and bullish candle confirmation would be ideal — don't rush in yet, let the market prove its intent.
🧠 Strategic Entry Zone (My Plan)
EP: 1.1710–1.1720 (after bullish retest candle)
SL: 1.1650 (just below demand and structure low)
TP: 1.1840 zone (clean R:R ≈ 1:2)
⚠️ Risk Watch
DXY inverse correlation should support this (if DXY is breaking lower, that adds confidence).
Make sure there's no high-impact news within next 4–6 hours (like US CPI, FOMC).
Session timing is favorable — NY open approaching, which brings momentum.
✅ Verdict
High-probability long setup (TCB Score: 8/10).
Wait for a bullish retest candle on the 1H or even 15M before entry. If that happens, the probability of hitting 1.1840 is strong — particularly if volume confirms.
EURUSD possible long from 1.1610 area for 1.1730#eurusd market rallied 1.1450 - 1.1640. then consolidation between 1.1580-1640 area. Institutions put more buy orders and price rallied again after bases out and reached upto 1.1830 area. Now market sell off / retracement to test demand area to fill the remaining unfilled order for another leg higher. Demand zone: 1.1610-1.1590. stop loss: 1.1565, target: 1.1730. in weekly and daily chart market forming distribution shape for big sell opportunity.
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of July 11, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
In this week's trading session, as expected, the Euro continued its decline, reaching our Mean Support level of 1.168. Recent analyses suggest that the Euro is likely to experience a further downward trend, with the next target set at the Mean Support level of 1.160. However, it's essential to consider the possibility of a rebound toward the Key Resistance level of 1.181, which could lead to the completion of an Outer Currency Rally reaching 1.187.
EURUSD InsightHello to all our subscribers.
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Key Points
- Attacks on Fed Chair Jerome Powell are intensifying, mainly from President Trump and his close aides. Analysts say the tension between the White House and the Federal Reserve has reached a serious level.
- President Trump announced on Truth Social that starting next month, a 30% reciprocal tariff will be imposed on both the EU and Mexico.
- Canada added 83,100 jobs in June compared to the previous month, in line with market expectations. The unemployment rate came in at 6.9%, slightly below the forecast of 6.9%. The strong labor market data likely reduced the chances of a rate cut by the Bank of Canada in July.
This Week’s Key Economic Events
+ July 15: U.S. June Consumer Price Index (CPI)
+ July 16: U.K. June Consumer Price Index, U.S. June Producer Price Index (PPI)
+ July 17: Eurozone June Consumer Price Index
EURUSD Chart Analysis
The price has broken below the trend channel and is now forming under the 1.17000 level. The downside appears more likely than an upward move. The expected support level is around 1.15000. Whether the price bounces from this area or breaks further downward will likely determine the future direction.
EUR/USD SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
Previous week’s green candle means that for us the EUR/USD pair is in the uptrend. And the current movement leg was also up but the resistance line will be hit soon and upper BB band proximity will signal an overbought condition so we will go for a counter-trend short trade with the target being at 1.133.
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EURUSD Bearish IdeaAs you can see, EURUSD is in a small retracement of its uptrend, and in this retracement, it is constantly mitigating the supply zones. Therefore, in this current idea, we will wait for the price to reach the supply zone, if it gives confirmation, execute the sell order, and our target is the HTF demand zone.