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Euro / U.S. Dollar

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EURUSD trade ideas

US Jobless Claims: Why They Matter for EURUSD 🇺🇸FOREXCOM:EURUSD 📈 US Jobless Claims: Why They Matter for EURUSD 🇺🇸💼 While Trump’s tariff policies ⚔️ remain in focus, it’s important not to overlook today’s economic calendar 🗓️, with Initial Jobless Claims taking the spotlight. 🧐 What are Jobless Claims? Initial Jobless Claims 📑 measure the number of people filing for state unemployment insurance for the first time. Released weekly by the US Department of Labor 🏛️, it’s a key indicator of the health of the US labor market 💪. Why does it matter? A strong labor market typically supports the US dollar 💵, as it reduces the likelihood of immediate Fed rate cuts 🕰️, while higher claims suggest a weakening economy, which could pressure the dollar lower. 📊 Latest Figures: 🔹 Previous: 233K 🔹 Forecast: 235K Last week, claims fell from 237K to 233K, highlighting continued labor market resilience. If today’s data beats expectations (lower claims), the USD may strengthen 🛡️, potentially pushing EURUSD below 1.1700. Conversely, higher claims could weaken the USD ⚠️, lifting EURUSD above 1.1800. 💡 Trade Idea: BUY EURUSD at 1.17300 ❌ Stop Loss: 1.17600 ✅ Take Profit: 1.16500 While the US labor market remains strong, technical factors and broader fundamentals can confirm a strong EURUSD reversal, keeping bearish opportunities in play. 🚀 Stay tuned for live reactions after the data drops! 💬 Support this post if you find it useful! 🔔
Short
by ProfessorSingapore
EURUSD Eyes Key Levels Ahead of DataFOREXCOM:EURUSD EURUSD is trading within the 1.1680 – 1.1810 range 📊, continuing its upward momentum during the Asian and early European sessions 🌏⬆️. ⚡️ Markets are now focusing on potential trade negotiations with India and the EU 🤝, which could shape near-term currency moves and risk sentiment 🌐. 📈 Today at 12:30 p.m. UTC 🕧, the U.S. Jobless Claims report 📑 may trigger volatility across all USD pairs ⚠️. Stronger-than-expected data could delay Fed rate cuts 🕰️🔻 and push EURUSD below 1.1700 🩻, while weaker figures may weigh on the U.S. dollar 💵⬇️ and lift EURUSD above 1.1800 🚀. 👀 We will monitor these levels closely for potential breakout opportunities. Stay tuned for live updates!
Long
by ProfessorSingapore
1
EURUSD Could leading Bullish correctionEURUSD has shown significant bullish momentum after breaking its previous structure. The pair is now undergoing a local corrective phase, which is healthy within an overall upward trend. Currently, the price remains in a bullish model, suggesting that the correction may be short-lived before a continuation toward the key resistance zone. Resistance zone 1.17620 / 1.18220 Support Level 1.16800 1.17450 A false breakdown below the identified support level could trigger renewed buying interest, shifting market sentiment in favour of bulls and potentially accelerating the next upward leg. Ps Support with like and comments for more better analysis Thanks.
Long
by MrMartin_11
9
XABCDHey traders, hope you’re having a solid week! 🚀 Spotted a classic XABCD Bearish setup on the EUR/USD 2-Hour—price is trading below the PCZ and just formed a corrective double-top at 1.17298, setting us up for a potential continuation lower. 🧠 What’s Going On? X→A (Down): 1.18306 → 1.17472 A→B (Up): 1.17472 → 1.18103 B→C (Down): 1.18103 → 1.16870 C→D (Up): 1.16870 → 1.17653 (PCZ at 1.17436–1.17590) After tagging the PCZ, price rolled back—then painted a double-top at 1.17298 and dropped below the 23.6% level (1.17436). ✅ Why We’re Shorting XABCD Structure: Clear bearish AB=CD projection into the PCZ PCZ Rejection: Failed retest of 78.6%–100% of C→D Corrective Double Top: High-probability reversal signal at 1.17298 ⚔️ Trade Plan Entry: Short on a close below 1.17298 (double-top neckline) Stop-Loss: Just above the PCZ at 1.17600 Size: Risk 1–2% of your account 🎯 Profit Targets T1: 78.6% retrace of C→D → 1.16684 T2: 100% extension of C→D → 1.16420 🔍 Confirmation & Invalidate Confirm: Watch for a bearish engulfing or strong close under 1.17298 Invalidate: A reclaim of 1.17653 (PCZ top) kills the setup Keep It Simple: XABCD → PCZ reject → Double-top break → Ride. Let price guide you and respect that stop above the PCZ. Trade safe and stack those pips! ✌️
Short
by TradeChartPatternsLikeThePros
EURUSD On The Rise! BUY! My dear friends, My technical analysis for EURUSD is below: The market is trading on 1.1709 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation. Target - 1.1729 About Used Indicators: A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
Confirming EURUSD corrective downtrend✏️EURUSD is trading in a downtrend channel. SELL signal is triggered at the current price around 1.172 as the H4 candle failed to break 1.176 and confirmed the Sellers' entry into the market clearly. Target for the downtrend is at 1.145, the Sellers' strength needs to overcome the Break out zone of 1.163 first. 📈 Key level Support 1.163-1.146 Resistance 1.176 SELL DCA Trigger: Break 1.163 BUY Trigger: The price trades about 1.163.
by VHT_Trader
10
EUR/USD 4-Hour Chart Analysis4-hour candlestick chart for the Euro/U.S. Dollar (EUR/USD) currency pair on the OANDA platform. The chart shows a recent upward trend followed by a consolidation phase, with key technical levels and trading signals indicated. The presence of "SELL" and "BUY" signals suggests active trading opportunities. The downward arrow within the shaded area hints at a potential bearish move. This chart is likely used by traders to analyze short-term price movements and make informed decisions.
Short
by Alee_Gold_Trader
4
EUR/USD Bears Maintain Control as ECB Caution Weigh on EuroTechnical Analysis The EUR/USD 4-hour chart reflects ongoing bearish pressure after failing to sustain above the 1.17647 resistance zone, indicating sellers are currently dominating the market. The pair trades below the 20-period EMA (blue line), which is beginning to slope downwards, confirming short-term bearish momentum. Price action remains beneath the middle Bollinger Band, emphasizing seller control over the near-term price direction. Recent candlesticks show multiple rejections from the 1.17164 level (61.8% Fibonacci retracement), indicating strong resistance and failed attempts to push higher. The overall momentum suggests a potential continuation of the downward move unless bullish momentum returns decisively. Failure to hold the support near 1.16865 would expose the pair to deeper declines targeting the Fibonacci extension zones between 1.16650 and 1.16380 and possibly lower. Alternative Scenario: Conversely, a break and sustained close above 1.17164 (61.8% retracement) could trigger a short-term rebound, potentially challenging the 1.17647 resistance level. Fundamental Outlook ECB officials' speeches today will reinforce the cautious policy stance, maintaining rates steady amid external uncertainties. US crude oil inventory reports and the Atlanta Fed GDPNow forecast will be key in assessing inflationary pressures and economic growth. The FOMC meeting minutes release will be critical for signaling the Fed's future monetary policy intentions, which remain a key driver for the dollar’s strength.
Short
by Errante
EURUSD TRADES BEARISH Last week, due to a fail of holding above the 1.18000 level, we saw a huge 1-hour decline of 0.39% on big selling volumes, which is not typical for such instruments as EURUSD. Since that time, the price has been moving within a descending channel and has formed a possible pennant yesterday. All of the factors "vote" for going bearish in this asset. So, what will be the possible scenario? We may go market sell right immediately, or wait till the breakout of the pennant pattern. In this case we may set 🔽 a sell stop order at 1.17400 with ❌a stop loss at 1.17670 and 🤑a take profit at 1.16915 Additionally, EURUSD may go even further downstairs, next to a 1.16000 support level. For this case we may preserve some minor part of our position with a take profit set nearby this level.
Short
by ProfessorSingapore
1
EURUSDH4 I Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 1.1631 a pullback support that aligns closely with the 50% Fib retracement. Our take profit is set at 1.1736, a pullback resistance. The stop loss is placed at 1.1543, a pullback support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by Tradu
Negative Risk/Reward: Hidden Edge or Hidden Danger?It’s a topic that sparks plenty of debate. 👉 Can a negative risk/reward ratio actually be part of a winning strategy? Here’s our take, split between intraday trading and swing trading: 📉 Intraday Trading ☑️ Pros: • Can work in high‑probability setups (mean‑reversion, range scalps) • Quick targets often get hit before stops • Stops can sit beyond liquidity grabs to protect the trade ⚠️ Cons: • Needs a consistently high win rate • Prone to slippage and fast spikes • Can lead to over‑trading if discipline slips If used, risk must always be pre‑defined — not adjusted mid‑trade. ⏳ Swing Trading ☑️ Pros: • Occasionally helps avoid being stopped on deeper pullbacks • Gives breathing room in trending markets ⚠️ Cons: • Smaller targets vs bigger stops rarely pay off over time • Lower win rate on higher timeframes makes it hard to sustain • Exposed to news gaps & weekend risk Overall, swing trading works best with positive R/R setups (e.g., 2:1 or higher). ☑️ Summary: Negative R/R can work — but only if: • The setup is statistically proven & high probability • You keep risk strictly pre‑defined • It fits the pair, timeframe & volatility Most traders are better off sticking to positive R/R — but for experienced scalpers, negative R/R can be a tool rather than a trap. 💭 Do you use negative risk/reward in your strategy? Only intraday, or do you apply it to swing trades too? Drop your thoughts below —we're curious to hear how others approach it! 👇 Thanks again for the likes, boosts, and follows — really appreciate the support! Trade safe and all the best for the week ahead! BluetonaFX
Education
by BluetonaFX