EURUSD trade ideas
EUR/USD – Potential Bearish Reversal AheadAnalysis Overview:
EUR/USD has shown a strong bullish structure recently, but price is currently near a key resistance zone around 1.1780, which may act as a reversal point. The chart also shows an extended wave structure, signaling possible exhaustion of buying pressure.
Bearish Setup Expectations:
If the price fails to break above 1.1780 convincingly and shows bearish confirmation (e.g. a strong bearish engulfing candle or RSI divergence), we may see a reversal toward lower support levels.
Key Support Levels (Targets):
TP1: 1.14465
TP2: 1.13329
TP3: 1.12064
TP4: 1.10000
Possible Entry: Near 1.1770 – 1.1785 (on bearish confirmation)
Stop Loss: Above 1.1810 (structure invalidation)
Technical Confluences:
Potential Double Top or Rising Wedge pattern
Price at historical resistance
Overbought RSI zones may support the reversal
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📌 Note: Always wait for confirmation before entering. Use proper risk management and follow your trading plan strictly.
EURUSD 30M Engaged ( Bullish Entry's Detected )————-
➕ Objective: Precision Volume Execution
Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸 Bullish Wave Coming From : 1.17250
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
EURUSD 30M Engaged ( Bullish Entry's Detected )
EUR/USD Breakout Eyes 1.18 as Bullish Momentum BuildsEUR/USD has punched through the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level (1.1744) of the July 2023–October 2023 decline, signaling strong bullish continuation. The breakout above the recent swing high near 1.1576 confirms the uptrend is gaining traction, supported by rising moving averages.
The 50-day SMA has crossed well above the 200-day SMA, maintaining a strong golden cross structure, reinforcing the bullish bias. Momentum indicators support the advance, with the RSI entering overbought territory at 73.79, and the MACD maintaining a positive spread above the signal line — a classic sign of trend strength rather than imminent reversal.
However, the overbought RSI suggests the pair could face some short-term consolidation or a shallow pullback before targeting the psychological 1.18 handle. Bulls would likely view any dip toward the breakout level (1.1576) as a potential buying opportunity.
As long as EUR/USD holds above that support, the path of least resistance remains to the upside, potentially paving the way for a full retracement toward the 1.19–1.20 zone seen last year.
-MW
$EU (EURUSD) 1H AnalysisEURUSD swept short-term sell-side liquidity and printed a strong displacement above the relative equal highs.
Price is now in premium territory and likely hunting liquidity before rebalancing.
Bias remains bearish if price fails to form higher-timeframe continuation. Ideal setup would be a short from signs of rejection toward 1.17163 FVG zone.
Market next move Disruption Analysis – Bullish Alternative Scenario
While the current chart suggests a bearish setup from a resistance zone (around 1.1765) toward a target near 1.1630, here's a potential bullish disruption that could invalidate the bearish thesis:
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🟢 Bullish Disruption Possibility:
1. False Breakdown / Liquidity Grab:
Price may fake a dip below the red resistance-turned-support zone to trigger stop-losses before reversing.
This is known as a liquidity sweep or bear trap.
2. Higher Low Formation:
If the pair pulls back slightly but forms a higher low above 1.1700, it may signal bullish continuation.
3. Breakout Confirmation:
A strong bullish candle above 1.1775 could confirm continuation toward 1.1830–1.1850.
4. Fundamental Catalyst:
Positive EU economic news or dovish signals from the U.S. Fed could support Euro strength.
Wave 5 is here... but are buyers about to get trapped1D Timeframe (Main Chart)
✅ Elliott Wave Count:
Wave 1–2–3–4–5 structure is clearly marked.
Wave 5 seems to be completing near the upper trendline, aligning with potential C wave of a larger correction.
🔺 Key Zones:
Buyer zone highlighted under Wave 4 – indicating strong demand before Wave 5 push.
Resistance from the descending trendline just above Wave 5 – potential reversal/sell area.
Price region near 1.1757–1.1835 marked as a potential exhaustion zone.
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🕒 4H Timeframe (Inset Chart)
📈 Current Price:
Trading around 1.1755, approaching the resistance cluster (1.1757–1.1835).
🔻 Potential Scenarios:
1. Immediate Sell-Off:
If Wave 5 has completed, expect a retracement back to previous demand zones (around 1.1683, 1.1446, or even 1.1362).
2. Final Push Up:
If minor Wave 5 isn't finished yet, price could test the 1.1833–1.1853 area before reversing.
EUR/USD Analysis – June 29, 2025The US dollar hasn't seen such a significant decline against the euro in the past three years.
Just moments ago, EUR/USD broke above the 1.17 level, pushing into a new high.
📈 Looking at the chart, there’s a clear bullish momentum, especially impressive for a typically cautious pair like EUR/USD.
To be honest, I wasn’t expecting this much upside in the current time window —
but the ongoing strength doesn’t look like it’s going to fade easily either.
⚠️ If you're considering a counter-trend trade,
a potential short could be taken around the 1.165 area,
provided there’s a solid closing signal, targeting the 1.150 demand zone.
📌 Still, both mid-term and long-term structure remain bullish,
and a better buy setup may come around the 1.148 level.
German CPI flatlines, eurozone CPI nextThe euro is up for an eighth consecutive day and has gained 2.4% during that time. In the North American session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.1738, up 0.36% on the day.
German inflation data on Monday pointed to a weakening German economy. The CPI report indicated that the deflationary process slowly continues. The inflation rate for June came in at 0% m/m, down from 0.1% in May and below the consensus of 0.2%. Annually, inflation dropped to 2.0% from 2.1% and below the consensus of 2.1%. The eurozone releases its CPI report on Tuesday.
Inflation has been dropping in small increments and has now fallen to the European Central Bank's inflation target of 2%. The ECB cut the deposit rate to 2.0% earlier in June and meets next in July. Although eurozone inflation is largely contained, there are concerns about the impact that US tariffs and counter-tariffs by US trading partners could have on the inflation picture. The ECB is likely to maintain rates in July but could lower rates in September if disinflation continues.
The US continues to show signs that the economy is slowing down. Last week, GDP was revised downwards to -0.5% in the first quarter. This was followed by US consumer spending for May (PCE) which posted a 0.1% decline, following a 0.2% gain in April and shy of the consensus of 0.1%. This was the first contraction since January. If economic data continues to head lower, pressure will increase on the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates, which isn't expected before the September meeting.
EUR/USD is testing resistance at 1.1755. Above, there is resistance at 1.1791
1.1718 and 1.1682 are the next support levels
eurusd outlook Eurusd overall bullish HTF, however I do identify alignments within wyckoff distribution. Keeping an eye on the 4hr sponsored candle, ltf fvg at 1.62 area for my next possible bullish swing into the weekly high. Until then let's see if the market can support short term bearish reversal into the area of interest.
EUR/USD BUY IDEA - SMT WITH GBPHere's my analysis , let me share my A+ set up with you :
1 - WAIT ON ASIA LOW SWEEP WITH EUR / USD
2 - WE WILL POTENTIALLY HAVE A SMT WITH GBP USD IF WE SWEEP ASIA LOW
3 - WAIT ON BOS + FVG IN 5 MIN TIME FRAME
4 - TARGET PREVIOUS WEEK HIGH AS DRAW ON LIQUIDITY
This is what I see happening . After full take profit, we will have our new Weekly Protected High I believe and from there we can start targeting Sellside Liquidity .
I hope you enjoyed the analysis , I will post updates during the day .
Talk to you guys soon ! =D
Euro will make correction to support line of channelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. In this chart, we can see how the price entered to triangle, where it at once bounced from the support line and rose to the 1.1100 support level, which coincided with the buyer zone. Soon, price broke this level, after a small correction, and continued to move up to the 1.1575 current support level, which coincided with the support area. This area also coincided with the resistance line of the triangle, and the Euro rebounded from this line and started to decline. In a short time, it declined to the buyer zone, where it turned around and started to move up. Soon, Euro exited from triangle and continued to rise inside an upward channel, where it made a correction first and then continued to grow. Later, EUR rose to 1.1575 current support level, one more time and even almost broke it, but failed and corrected. But soon, it finally broke this level and rose to the resistance line of the channel, where at the moment it continues to trade near. In my mind, Euro will rebound from this line and go to the correction until to support line of the channel, breaking the support level. For this case, my TP is located near this line - at the 1.1490 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
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EURUSD Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for EURUSD is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.1726
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 1.1612
My Stop Loss - 1.1783
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURUSD - Eur bull run over??Completed Elliott Wave Structure:
• The chart displays a full 5-wave impulsive Elliott Wave count to the upside, labeled (1) through (5), completing a wave C.
• This suggests the end of a corrective ABC pattern, which often marks the end of a bullish retracement or rally within a larger downtrend.
Price Reaches Resistance Zone:
• The price reaches a previous high/resistance area marked by the top of the wedge and completes the fifth wave.
• This is typically where institutional traders may look to take profits or enter short positions.
Risk-Reward Set Up Suggests Short Bias:
• The chart includes a bearish risk-reward trade setup, indicating the trader expects a decline.
• The stop loss is placed slightly above the peak of wave 5, and the take profit is much lower, giving a favorable risk-to-reward ratio in anticipation of a significant move down.
Structure Confluence:
• The top of wave (5) aligns with the trendline resistance from the rising wedge formation, adding technical confluence to the bearish outlook.
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Conclusion
With a completed Elliott Wave count, bearish chart pattern (rising wedge), technical resistance, and a well-defined short setup, the chart strongly suggests that a major top may be in place for EUR/USD, and a downside move is likely to follow.