EURUSD trade ideas
EURUSD Bearish ideaWe are in a weekly fair value gap that we have balance and potentially collected orders to prepare for a potential drop in price. We are anticipating a quarterly shift for the month of July were we could be targeting downside liquidity that is in open float.
* Fundamentals:
-Interest rate differentials shows us that USD interest rate of 4.5 is higher than the interest rate EUR 2.15 which lead to the longer fundamental frame work of price correcting to the higher dollar rate to the euro.
-The COT report also indicates to us that there is huge buying of Dollar by the commercials and a huge amount of selling of the EUR by commercials which can lead us to assume potential weaker dollar.
*Targeting:
-We are looking for the low of last month (June) to be taken out as well as even potentially reaching to the implied weekly fair value gap.
EUR/USD - LONGLondon Session Pre market breakdown.
Daily bias is long.
4H bias is Long.
1H bias is Long.
After last weeks sweep on liquidity within a Daily FVG, market pushed higher, providing several long opportunities.
Now at the beginning of the week, price dropped during Asia session and swept some of Fridays New York liquidity.
Price is pushing higher and is now in a 1H Bearish FVG, if the FVG is broken, we can look for Longs around that range.
NOTE - Wait and see how London open plays out, DO NOT enter within first 15mins and wait for trend continuation to be verified before entering. Always wait for a candle close and a break of structure.
EURUSD Forming Bullish Continuation SetupEURUSD is currently retesting a key breakout zone that previously acted as resistance and is now serving as strong support around the 1.1620–1.1630 area. After a healthy bullish impulse in recent weeks, the pair is pulling back in a controlled manner, likely forming a bullish continuation setup. I entered from earlier levels and remain confident in a further upward move, with the structure showing signs of a new bullish wave forming.
From a fundamental perspective, the euro is gaining strength as the European Central Bank (ECB) continues to signal a more cautious stance on rate cuts compared to the Federal Reserve. US inflation data released last week came in softer than expected, increasing speculation that the Fed could start its rate-cutting cycle as early as September. This shift in monetary policy outlook has weighed on the US dollar, opening up room for EURUSD to push higher.
Additionally, eurozone macro data is showing early signs of recovery, especially in Germany, where industrial production and sentiment indicators are slowly improving. As inflation in Europe trends lower but remains sticky, the ECB has fewer reasons to rush into easing, which adds strength to the euro over the medium term. This divergence is a critical driver of the current bullish sentiment in EURUSD.
Technically, the market is respecting a clean demand zone, with momentum indicators starting to flatten after the recent correction. With the trend structure intact and fundamentals aligned, I'm targeting the 1.2180–1.2200 zone as the next leg of this bullish cycle. Price action remains favorable, and the broader sentiment on TradingView is also increasingly bullish, confirming my conviction in this setup.
Fed warning: Rate cut rally or credibility crisis?JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs have both raised their concern about political interference at the Federal Reserve, amid reports that President Trump considered firing Fed Chair Jerome Powell earlier this week.
In a note titled “How Safe is Powell’s Job?”, JPMorgan analysts warned that even the perception of a politically motivated dismissal could undermine the Fed’s credibility and spark market volatility.
Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon echoed the concern in a CNBC interview, describing central bank independence as “super important,” and warning that it remains a pillar of global economic stability that “we should fight to preserve.”
The warnings followed a volatile 24-hour period in markets, after reports emerged that Trump had drafted a letter to dismiss Powell and floated it among Republican leaders. This might prove the right distraction from the Epstein client list?
EURO - Price will rise a little and then drop to $1.1500 pointsHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Price earlier carved out a pennant pattern after a strong rally, with price oscillating between converging trendlines and indecision mounting near $1.1550 resistance.
After several weeks in consolidation, sellers finally broke down below the pennant base, sending price back toward the support area and trapping late buyers.
Buyers regrouped and launched a new advance, driving EUR into a well-defined rising channel.
During this channel run, two notable breakouts above interim highs were quickly followed by exits at the upper trendline.
Price now sits in a tight consolidation just under the rising channel’s ceiling near $1.1700, forming small corrective swings on lighter volume.
I expect one more shallow rally toward $1.1750 before sellers overwhelm buyers again, pushing Euro down through $1.1550 and toward the $1.1500 points.
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EURUSD BUY IDEA SWING PLAY (WEEKLY) Outlook🔁 EUR/USD Long – Weekly Buyside Re-Test for 1.17 Breakout 🌍📈
Description:
EUR/USD is retesting a weekly buyside liquidity zone between 1.1575–1.1600, which previously acted as strong resistance and has now flipped into support. This zone aligns with a confluence of breakout structure, Fibonacci mid-point, and a clean liquidity sweep beneath local lows.
📉 Trade Setup:
Entry Zone: 1.1475–1.1600 (buyside retest)
Stop Loss: 1.1400 Zone (risker)
Safer stop: use chart
Target 1: 1.1777
Target 2: 1.1877
Target 3: Open(manage)
Risk-Reward: ~1:3+ depending on entry precision
Trade Type: Swing / Trend Continuation
📊 Technical Bias:
Weekly structure flipped bullish after breakout above 1.1575
Daily shows clean HH/HL sequence with strong momentum
RSI/MACD favor continuation with no divergence yet
DXY weakness supports continuation move
🧠 Macro + Sentiment Overlay:
EUR supported by improving Eurozone data + reduced ECB dovishness
Fed pause expectations + soft US CPI drive USD weakness
Retail sentiment shows most traders are short EUR/USD — contrarian bullish
⏳ Patience:
Let price stabilize in the 1.1575–1.1600 zone with a bullish engulfing or H4 reversal signal before execution. Structure invalidation below 1.1530.
Buying opportunities on EURUSDYesterday, EURUSD saw a sharp spike after reports that Trump might fire the Federal Reserve Chair.
Although this wasn’t confirmed, the news triggered short-term volatility before the market settled down again.
At the moment, EURUSD is reacting to key support levels. Watch for the formation of a higher low and potential signs of a new bullish move.
The goal remains a breakout above the previous high and continuation of the main uptrend.
EURUSD Analysis : Eyes on Bullish Breakout Setup + Target🧭 Current Market Context:
The EURUSD pair is currently trading near 1.16765 on the 4H timeframe, displaying classic accumulation behavior at a key Support-Resistance Interchange Zone (SR Flip). After an extended bearish correction from the previous swing high, price has started compressing in a descending structure underneath a well-respected trendline. This tightening range near a historic support zone suggests that a major breakout could be on the horizon.
🧠 Technical Confluences:
🔹 1. Descending Trendline - Bearish Control Line:
The trendline drawn from the July highs has acted as a clear resistance line, rejecting multiple bullish attempts to break higher.
Price has failed to close above it on the 4H chart, showing sellers are still in control—but momentum is fading.
A breakout of this line is a crucial confirmation of buyer strength returning.
🔹 2. SR Flip Zone - Interchange Area:
This zone previously acted as resistance, capping the rally in June.
After price broke above it, the same area now acts as support, confirming its role as an SR flip zone—a textbook demand level.
Smart money often steps in at these interchange areas to accumulate long positions.
🔹 3. Re-accumulation Phase (Smart Money Behavior):
Market structure is showing a rounded bottom formation, hinting at possible absorption of sell-side liquidity.
Price action is compressing into the support zone, reducing volatility—a signal that a reversal or breakout is near.
The previous similar move ("Same Like This") from late June led to a strong bullish impulsive wave—this historical behavior adds confidence in the current bullish outlook.
🔹 4. Potential Bullish Pattern:
Price needs to develop a bullish reversal pattern (e.g., inverse head & shoulders, bullish engulfing, or a sweep of the low with rejection).
Only then will the setup be validated. This is not a blind buy zone, but a zone of interest for high-probability longs if price confirms.
🧨 Trade Plan Scenarios:
✅ Scenario 1 - Confirmation Breakout:
Wait for a clean breakout above the descending trendline.
Enter on breakout + retest structure.
Target the next major reversal zone at 1.18500.
🐢 Scenario 2 - Early Long Entry:
Enter on bullish confirmation (engulfing, pin bar, etc.) at the SR Interchange zone.
Stop loss below the support box.
Ride early for better R:R if the breakout confirms.
❌ Invalidation:
A clean breakdown below 1.1600 with momentum will invalidate the bullish bias.
In that case, reevaluate based on new structure.
📊 Projected Path:
If the trendline breaks, expect a bullish rally toward the next major resistance zone (1.18500).
That zone has historically acted as a major reversal and profit-taking level for bulls, and we expect price to react again if tested.
🔍 Macro View (Optional Insight):
USD may show weakness due to macro data (CPI/FED talks), helping EURUSD lift.
Eurozone data stability could further fuel demand for EUR.
📌 Final Thoughts:
This EURUSD setup is forming at a high-value area, backed by technical structure, historical behavior, and smart money positioning. If the price reacts positively from this zone and breaks the descending trendline, it could trigger a bullish leg toward 1.18500, offering a rewarding risk-to-reward opportunity for both swing and short-term traders.
Stay patient. Let the market confirm the direction before execution. 📈
Market Watch UPDATES! FOREX Major PairsWelcome to the Market Watch Updates for Monday, July 14th.
In this video, we will give the forecast updates for the following markets:
USD Index, EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD, NZDUSD, USDCAD, USDCHF and USDJPY.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
BUY EURUSD now for 4h time frame bullish trend continuation BUY EURUSD now for 4h time frame bullish trend continuation ...............
STOP LOSS: 1.1615
This buy trade setup is based on hidden bullish divergence trend continuation trading pattern ...
Always remember, the trend is your friend, so whenever you can get a signal that the trend will continue, then good for you to be part of it
TAKE PROFIT : take profit will be when the trend comes to an end, feel from to send me a direct DM if you have any question about take profit or anything...
Remember to risk only what you are comfortable with... trading with the trend, patient and good risk management is the key to success here
EUR/USD Robbery Blueprint Bear Strike Activated!💣🎯Operation Fiber Down: EUR/USD Robbery Blueprint (Day Trade Edition) 💰🔫
🚨 Thieves, Hustlers & Chart Bandits Assemble! 🚨
🌍 Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! 🌍
Welcome back to another Thief Trading Operation, where the money never sleeps—and neither do we. Let’s break into the vault of EUR/USD “The Fiber” with surgical precision. 🧠💼🕶️
🧨 THE MASTER ROBBERY PLAN: EUR/USD SHORT STRIKE 🔍💸
💀 Market Bias: Bearish – Trend Reversal + Supply Trap Setup
🎯 Target: 1.15800
🛑 Stop-Loss: Near Swing High (around 1.17400 – 3H chart view)
🕓 Timeframe Focus: 15m / 30m / 3H
🧭 ENTRY ZONE:
👣 Plan your entry from recent high retests—that’s where the big money bulls get trapped.
🎯 Use Sell Limit Orders (DCA style / Layered Limit Orders) like a true thief setting up tripwires.
💼 RISK STRATEGY:
💡 SL should match your lot size and order count—not one-size-fits-all!
📌 Place above key structure or swing level (e.g. 1.17400) based on timeframe.
🔍 BEHIND THE SCENES – THE WHY:
The EUR/USD "Fiber" pair is showing all the classic signs of a trend shift and bear raid setup, including:
📰 Fundamentals weakening the Euro
💣 COT Report reveals institutional exits
🍂 Seasonal Bias points to downward trend
📉 Intermarket Pressure from bond yields & USD strength
📊 Sentiment turning overly bullish = trap zone
⛽ Storage & Inventory imbalances adding fuel
📌 Reminder: Before any robbery, study the layout—Macro, Fundamentals, Sentiment, and Intermarket are your blueprint.
🚨 HEIST ALERT – PROTECT THE LOOT:
🕰️ High-Impact News Events? Tighten up!
💼 Don’t take fresh entries during releases.
🔐 Use Trailing SLs to lock in profits.
🎯 Exit with grace before the sirens start.
⚡🔥JOIN THE CREW, BOOST THE LOOT🔥⚡
💥 Smash the Boost Button 💥 if you're vibing with the Thief Trading Movement.
We ain’t just trading—we’re executing strategic robberies on the market’s weaknesses.
🧠💪 Every like = more power to the crew. Every comment = a new map to a vault.
We rob, retreat, and repeat. Let’s make money with skill, not luck. 🕶️💰🚁
⚠️ LEGAL COVER (For the Lawyers 😏):
This plan is not investment advice, just an organized heist blueprint by chart robbers.
Always manage your own risk and update your plan as the market evolves.
🕶️ Stay ready for the next master plan... Until then, keep your charts clean and your stops tight. 🕶️💣📉
– Thief Trader Out 🐱👤🚀
EUR/USD : US Dollar Strengthens Following Inflation ReportEUR/USD Analysis: US Dollar Strengthens Following Inflation Report
Yesterday, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report was released, showing an increase in consumer prices. According to Forex Factory, annual CPI rose from 2.4% to 2.7%, exceeding analysts' expectations of a 2.6% rise.
As reported by Reuters, the data supports the stance of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, who has repeatedly stated that the anticipated inflationary pressure—driven in part by tariffs—is a reason to refrain from further interest rate cuts.
However, President Donald Trump interpreted the data differently. On his Truth Social platform, he posted that consumer prices remain low and called for an immediate rate cut.
The market responded with a stronger US dollar—indicating that participants believe interest rates are likely to remain at current levels in the near term. Notably, the EUR/USD exchange rate fell to the 1.1600 level for the first time since late June (as indicated by the arrow).
Technical Analysis of the EUR/USD Chart
Analysing the EUR/USD chart as of 7 July, we identified:
→ A long-term ascending channel
→ A potential downward trajectory (marked by red lines)
Since then, the pair has followed the outlined path and declined by more than 1%.
It is worth noting that today, the EUR/USD price is near the lower boundary of a key trend channel, which may offer significant support — traders may look for a technical rebound from this level.
Additionally, attention should be paid to the upcoming release of the US Producer Price Index (PPI) at 15:30 GMT+3. These figures carry particular weight in light of potential renewed inflationary pressures. This and other upcoming data may prove decisive for the near-term direction of EUR/USD.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Market Analysis: EUR/USD Pares GainsMarket Analysis: EUR/USD Pares Gains
EUR/USD declined from the 1.1750 resistance and traded below 1.1650.
Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today
- The Euro started a fresh decline after a strong surge above the 1.1720 zone.
- There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.1660 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen.
EUR/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair rallied above the 1.1720 resistance zone before the bears appeared, as discussed in the previous analysis. The Euro started a fresh decline and traded below the 1.1660 support zone against the US Dollar.
The pair declined below 1.1620 and tested 1.1590. A low was formed near 1.1592 and the pair started a consolidation phase. There was a minor recovery wave above the 1.1610 level.
EUR/USD is now trading below the 50-hour simple moving average. On the upside, it is now facing resistance near the 1.1630 level. It is close to the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.1749 swing high to the 1.1592 low.
The next key resistance is at 1.1660 and the 50% Fib retracement level. There is also a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.1660.
The main resistance is near the 1.1690 level. A clear move above it could send the pair toward the 1.1720 resistance. An upside break above 1.1720 could set the pace for another increase. In the stated case, the pair might rise toward 1.1750.
If not, the pair might resume its decline. The first major support on the EUR/USD chart is near 1.1590. The next key support is at 1.1550. If there is a downside break below 1.1550, the pair could drop toward 1.1520. The next support is near 1.1485, below which the pair could start a major decline.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
EURUSD: Detailed Support & Resistance Analysis 🇪🇺🇺🇸
Here is my latest structure analysis and important
supports and resistances for EURUSD for next week.
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
MSFT longThis is a After a strong pullback and a clear rejection at key support levels, the EUR/USD pair is showing signs of a potential reversal. Technical indicators suggest oversold conditions, making this an attractive entry for bullish traders.
🎯 Entry: Around 1.15873
🛑 Stop Loss: Below 1.19700
💰 Take Profit: 1.0750 – 1.14385
Always trade with proper risk management and confirm with your own analysis!good trade
EUR/USD BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
EUR/USD is making a bullish rebound on the 1H TF and is nearing the resistance line above while we are generally bearish biased on the pair due to our previous 1W candle analysis, thus making a trend-following short a good option for us with the target being the 1.160level.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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