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Euro / U.S. Dollar

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EURUSD trade ideas

Short Term Market Reversal IncomingRetail’s still buying breakouts, but the music just stopped. This was the rally they weren’t supposed to catch. Now it’s time to flip the script and bleed it back to origin. Trading is a very difficult profession. Most people fail, but it's also not impossible. If you don't trade you're a loser. It's a zero-sum game. 0 1 Zero-sum game is a mathematical representation in game theory and economic theory of a situation that involves two competing entities, where the result is an advantage for one side and an equivalent loss for the other. It's all just digits on a screen and if they want your money they'll take your money, so you gotta respect your risk management if you don't want to lose everything or you'll have to break the matrix by seeing into the future, Once you get to see the future. THERE IS NO TURNING BACK. If you're reading this I hope you're having a great year. This year is all about endings and new beginnings. So stay locked in. WAGMI Oh yeah don't forget I gave you guys FX_IDC:EURUSD at 1.03 and FX_IDC:XAGUSD at $22 Nerds
Short
by Orgest
EUR/USD – Falling Wedge at Major Fibonacci Zone | Bullish ReversAfter a strong mid-June rally, EUR/USD has pulled back into a key fib cluster, showing early signs of reversal from a classic falling wedge pattern — often a precursor to bullish breakouts. Technical Breakdown: 📉 Descending Trendline 🔍 Fibonacci Confluence: Price is reacting from the 0.5-0.618 – 0.705 zone (1.16421-1.15969), aligning perfectly with historical demand and the golden zone of the fib retracement. Just below sits the 0.79 fib (1.15339), which also marks our invalidity level for this idea — a deep but powerful retracement if tested. 💡 RSI: While still below 50, it has created a hidden bullish divergence between July 12–17, hinting that momentum is flipping back to bulls. 🧠 Educational Insight: This setup combines Trendlines, Fibonacci retracement theory, and EMA dynamics to build a multi-layered trade thesis — the type of confluence we look for at Wright Way Investments. Price doesn’t just reverse because it hits a fib level. But when structure, EMAs, and RSI align — the odds increase significantly. 📈 Trade Setup (Idea-Based, Not Financial Advice): Long Entry Zone: Current area (1.159–1.161), with confirmation above 1.1626 Invalidation: Clean break & close below 1.15339 Target Zones: 🎯 TP1 – 1.1642 (50 fib & retest zone) 🎯 TP2 – 1.1686 (38.2 fib) 🎯 TP3 – 1.1755 (Weekly Resistance) 📌 Summary: EUR/USD is forming a textbook reversal setup, supported by fib precision and EMA alignment. Patience is key — but the ingredients are here for a strong bullish continuation.
Long
by WrightWayInvestments
EUR/USD Bullish Setup in Progress as Wave C Targets 1.1622 🟢 LONG BIAS 📅 Updated: July 16 EUR/USD has completed a clean 5-wave impulse structure to the downside, followed by an unfolding ABC corrective pattern on the 5-minute chart. With Wave A and the ongoing B leg nearing completion, bulls may look to capitalize on a Wave C rally toward the 1.1622 resistance zone. The structure suggests a temporary bullish move within a broader correction. Entry near the 1.1586 level offers a solid R:R setup, with invalidation below 1.1561. This setup is ideal for short-term intraday traders using Elliott Wave theory and expecting a 3-wave corrective rally. --- 📊 Technical Structure (5M) ✅ 5-wave bearish impulse labeled (1)-(5) complete ✅ ABC correction developing (currently in Wave B) ✅ Potential for bullish continuation via Wave C 📌 Upside Target ✅ Final: 1.16224 🔻 Risk Zone ❌ Invalidation: Below 1.15618 --- 📈 Market Context USD Consolidation: Dollar index pauses after strong rally, offering intraday relief to majors. Euro Support: Mild bid across EUR crosses, offering stability in low-timeframe setups. No High-Impact News: Ideal technical environment for short-term wave trading. --- ⚠️ Risks to Watch Breakdown below 1.1561 would invalidate the structure. Sudden volatility from unscheduled news. Failure of Wave C to reach projected resistance. --- 🧭 Summary: Bias and Watchpoints EUR/USD is setting up for a potential Wave C move toward 1.1622 as the ABC corrective structure plays out. Bullish bias holds above 1.1561 with a high-probability setup unfolding for short-term wave traders. Watch for price reaction near 1.1586 and use tight risk control.
Long
by Greenfireforex
EUR/USD 6E Futures Risk Management: Navigating Macro Divergence As Risk Manager at WaverVanir International, I’m constantly evaluating asymmetrical setups where macroeconomic divergence aligns with technical structure. The current EUR/USD trade is one such instance—an evolving case of volatility compression within a descending triangle, positioned beneath key resistance at 1.1730. 🔻 Bias: Bearish 🧮 Structure: Daily lower highs + descending triangle 📉 Key Break Level: 1.1612 (horizontal support) ⚠️ Invalidation: Daily close above 1.1730 📊 Probability: 65% likelihood of downside continuation into August, driven by USD real yield strength and ECB rate path lag We’re managing this trade with dynamic risk protocols: 🔐 Option hedge overlay for tail protection 🎛️ Exposure throttle post-FOMC volatility 💡 VolanX protocol flags 1.1530 and 1.1360 as likely liquidity pools if 1.1612 gives out 🧠 Remember: It's not about being right—it's about being protected when wrong. — This post is part of our ongoing commitment to transparency, system-level discipline, and volatility-aware macro execution. #WaverVanir #VolanXProtocol #MacroTrading #RiskManagement #6EFutures #EURUSD #OptionsFlow #InstitutionalTrading #ForexStrategy
Short
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
EURUSD Will Go Up! Long! Please, check our technical outlook for EURUSD. Time Frame: 2h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a significant support area 1.166. The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 1.170 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
EURUSD – Weakness emerges at descending channel resistanceEURUSD remains within a well-defined descending channel and was recently rejected at the upper trendline – a key dynamic resistance zone. Price action shows the recovery is limited around 1.16600, with multiple FVG (Fair Value Gap) zones reinforcing the potential for further downside. On the news front, the euro remains under pressure as Eurozone inflation data brought no surprises, while the US dollar is supported by June’s PPI rising exactly as expected at 0.2%. This combination leaves EURUSD with little momentum to break higher, making a move back toward the 1.15300 support area a scenario to watch. If the price fails to break above 1.16600 and forms a lower high, the bearish trend will be further confirmed. Keep an eye on price behavior around the FVG zones to identify optimal entry points.
Short
by Rocky_trade_
EURUSD Under Pressure as Macro Divergence WidensEURUSD is facing renewed downward pressure after rallying from 1.02 to 1.18 in a strong multi-month move. However, diverging inflation expectations between the EU and the U.S. are now weighing heavily on the pair. One major signal comes from real yields. The Germany–U.S. 10-year real yield spread currently sits at -1.1182, the same level seen during the 2024 top near 1.11 and the 2023 top near 1.10. By that measure, EURUSD appears expensive. Over the past five years, 69% of EURUSD’s moves can be statistically explained by this real yield spread, making it a key macro indicator. Inflation expectations are also diverging. The U.S. 5y5y inflation swap is trending upward, while the EU’s equivalent has remained flat. This suggests the Fed may keep rates elevated for longer than initially expected. Beyond bond market dynamics, the August 1 tariff deadline is approaching with no deal in sight. In fact, tensions are rising, as the EU prepares possible countermeasures targeting $84 billion worth of U.S. goods. Adding to the pressure, political risk in France is building due to ongoing budget negotiations. Technically, the recent break of both the uptrend (yellow) and the downtrend channel was significant. Euro bulls now need to reclaim and hold above 1.1660 to avoid deeper losses. If they fail, 1.1445 could become the next key support level, with further downside possible depending on how the news develops.
Short
by ftdsystem