EURUSD Analysis week 30🌐Fundamental Analysis
The USD rose after June retail sales beat expectations and initial jobless claims fell to 221,000. However, the USD's gains were limited as US stocks rebounded late in the session.
On Friday morning, US stock index futures rose 0.2%, indicating that risk sentiment remains dominant. If this trend continues, EUR/USD could hold support.
The next focus is on the Consumer Sentiment and Inflation Expectations Index data from the University of Michigan. If the data is positive, the USD could regain support and put pressure on EUR/USD.
🕯Technical Analysis
EURUSD is in a corrective downtrend towards the 1.145 support. If this support zone is broken, the EURUSD trend will turn to a Downtrend. Currently, the main trading strategy will be to look for SELL points. After price reacted at EMA and trendline and headed to temporary bottom 1.156 and hit important support soon.
📈📉Trading Signals
SELL EURUSD 1.17500-1.17700 Stoploss 1.18000
BUY EURUSD 1.14500-1.14300 Stoploss 1.14000
EURUSD trade ideas
eurusd RBR EURUSD Daily Demand Zone Trade Idea
This is an educational analysis based on a daily timeframe structure using supply and demand principles.
Price recently made a strong bullish impulsive move, breaking above previous highs. We’re now seeing a retracement into a fresh Daily Demand Zone formed by a Rally-Base-Rally (RBR) structure. This zone also sits outside of fair value, indicating a potential area of institutional interest.
Marked Demand Zone: 1.16127 area
Stop Loss Level: Below the zone at ~1.15667
Target: Prior swing high near 1.17505
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3
Bias: Bullish continuation, assuming the zone holds
EURUSD My Opinion! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.1584
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 1.1670
Safe Stop Loss - 1.1546
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURUSD Remains Under Pressure Following CPIThis morning, after the US CPI report was released at 8:30 AM EDT, EUR/USD surged briefly due to a slightly weaker-than-expected inflation reading. Despite this, signs of rising inflation persisted, leading EUR/USD to rise sharply before quickly retreating.
EUR/USD has seen an intermediate top at 1.1830 since early July. The euro is under pressure due to looming US tariffs (30% on EU imports, effective August 1) and mixed economic signals, like Eurozone industrial production rising 1.7% in May (vs. 0.9% expected). The pound (GBP) and other currencies are also reacting to tariff concerns.
Taking a look at the 1hour chart, you can see we are still trading below a descending trendline. Taking everything into consideration, I'm positioning short sells whenever we get bounce higher.
That's it - That's all - Trade Safe
EURUSD H1 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 1.1681, which is a pullback resistance.
Our take profit will be at .1642, an overlap support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 1.1714, a swing-high resistance level.
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EURUSD InsightWelcome to all our subscribers.
Please feel free to share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe.
Key Points
- Christopher Waller, a member of the Federal Reserve Board, commented on interest rate cuts, saying, “Why wait until September? It's only six weeks away and not that significant.”
- With the August 1st negotiation deadline approaching, Trump reportedly wants to impose tariffs on most EU goods at a level higher than the minimum 10%. Negotiations with the EU are said to be facing difficulties due to the U.S.’s hardline stance. The EU is expected to take retaliatory measures if the talks fail.
- Japan’s NHK reported that the ruling coalition of the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) and Komeito is certain to fail to secure the 50 seats needed for a majority. As a result, Prime Minister Ishiba is likely to face difficulties in implementing his policies following a victory by the opposition.
This Week’s Key Economic Events
+ July 22: Speech by Fed Chair Jerome Powell
+ July 24: ECB Interest Rate Decision
EURUSD Chart Analysis
The downtrend continues, with the pair having dropped to the 1.16000 level. A further decline toward the 1.15000 area is possible if this level is breached, though a rebound from this zone is also a possibility. If a bounce occurs, attention should be paid to how the price behaves around the 1.18000 level. Conversely, if the pair drops to 1.15000 and then successfully rebounds, an upward move toward 1.19500 could be expected.
Eurousd techinical analysis.This chart shows the EUR/USD currency pair on a 1-hour timeframe. Here's a breakdown of the key technical elements:
Key Features:
1. Purple Zones (Rectangles):
Top Rectangle (~1.1695 - 1.1700): Resistance zone.
Bottom Rectangle (~1.1660): Support zone.
2. Pink Descending Trendline:
Represents a downtrend or dynamic resistance.
Price recently approached or tested this trendline from below.
3. Yellow Zigzag and Arrow:
Illustrates potential price movement—an anticipated rejection from the trendline and a move down toward support.
4. Current Price:
1.16858, sitting just below the trendline and within the resistance zone.
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Interpretation:
Bearish Bias: The chart suggests a potential short opportunity if the price fails to break
Bullish bounce for the Fiber?The price is falling towards the pivot, which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance, a swing high resistance.
Pivot: 1.1612
1st Support: 1.1538
1st Resistance: 1.1803
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The euro's bearish structure remains unchanged.EUR/USD rebounded from around the three-week low of 1.1655 during the European session. However, the overall trend of the exchange rate remains within the descending channel that has been in place since early July. Market concerns over the U.S. government's new 30% tariff measures have dampened risk appetite, limiting the room for the exchange rate to rebound.
In the short term, the exchange rate is expected to contend within the 1.1650-1.1700 range. Analysts believe that if the euro fails to break through and stabilize above the 1.1700 threshold, the bearish structure will remain intact, and the exchange rate will continue to test lower support levels such as 1.1630 and 1.1600. A breakdown below these levels could open up further downside space, with the target pointing to around the lower Bollinger Band at 1.1387.
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EUR/USD –Bullish Flag After Long Term Trend Shift: Is 1.20 Next?📌 In my previous EUR/USD analysis, I mentioned that the long-term trend likely reversed, and we could see a move toward the 1.23 zone in the medium to longer term.
That view is playing out.
Recently, the pair printed a new local high above 1.18, confirming the trend change.
📉 After this rise, EUR/USD pulled back –but the structure is clearly corrective: overlapping and a classic bullish flag formation.
What's next?
This correction looks close to completion, and bulls may soon return to push toward the key 1.20 level.
Trading Plan:
The 1.1620–1.1650 area stands out as a strong confluence zone – ideal for looking for buying opportunities.
The trend has changed. The setup is forming. Now it’s about timing.
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Long Opportunity for EURUSDEURUSD is currently in a retracement within a bullish trend with clear Bullish market structures in place.
Price is currently approaching the break and retest level at 1,16285... a potential pivot point which acted as a resistance level in the past. On the 4-hour timeframe, price is trading below the 21 and 50 SMA due to the slow nature of the retracement and we are seeing bearish momentum on the RSI.
Need to see the Bulls stepping in with clean bullish momentum on the 4 hour chart to confirm the bullish market directionality before looking to take a long position. will also be observing the bearish trendline break as an additional point of confluence to take the long trade
EUR/USD Holding Support — Watching for Bullish ReactionHi Everyone,
Since our last update, EUR/USD continues to range near the 1.16680 support level. We’re watching for buying interest to emerge above the key 1.16450 zone, which has acted as a critical level for the broader structure.
Should price manage to stabilise and form a base here, there’s potential for a move back towards the highlighted resistance area around 1.17450. A clear reaction from support could confirm renewed buying interest and set the stage for a retest of last week’s highs.
Our broader outlook remains unchanged: as long as price holds above 1.16450, we continue to look for the pair to build momentum for another move higher in the coming sessions. A decisive break above last week’s high could attract fresh buying interest, paving the way for a push towards the 1.19290 area and ultimately 1.20000.
We'll be watching closely to see if this recovery gains traction and whether buyers can sustain the move above resistance. The longer-term view remains bullish, provided price continues to respect the key support zone.
We’ll keep updating you through the week as the structure unfolds and share how we’re managing our active positions.
Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we really appreciate the support!
All the best for the rest of the week. Trade safe.
BluetonaFX
EURUSD Weakened By New Tariff Tensions With US This is the Weekly FOREX Forecast for the week of July 14 - 18th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: EURSUD
The latest headlines tell the story. The tariffs are triggering a slow run to the USD safe haven. The previous week showed the USD Index closed pretty strong. There's a good chance we'll see more of the same this coming week.
Look for the strength in USD to continue to be supported by fundamental news, and outperform the other major currencies, including the EURO.
Buy USD/xxx
Sell xxx/USD
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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EURUSD OUTLOOK 15 - 18 JULYCore CPI m/m came in light which gave a mixed signal at first but CPI y/y was higher than expected which eventually moved EU lower.
The last two analysis that I posted were more longer term focused so this time I will be giving a more short term outlook.
Currently the dollar is stronger based on the recent news that has been coming out and because of that I am still looking to short this pair keeping in mind that it is only the internal structure that is bearish and the swing structure is still bullish
EURUSD Short ProjectDescription:
1. Price Drivers: smart money distribution
2. Current Trend: down
3. Momentum: confirmed bearish
Action: Waiting for entry on the intraday timeframe (Entry will be published further)
*Disclaimer: I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation to any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
EURUSD Will Go Lower! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 1.168.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 1.159 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EURUSD H4 RISES 🔄 Disrupted EUR/USD Analysis (4H)
📉 Current Structure:
Price is hovering around 1.17298, showing hesitation at the resistance of a potential bearish flag.
While the chart labels this zone as “bullish,” there are signs of market indecision, possibly a fakeout trap.
⚠️ Key Disruptions:
1. Bullish Trap Risk:
The price formed a short-term M-pattern (double top inside the orange circle), indicating bearish exhaustion rather than continuation.
The expected breakout to the upside may fail if bulls don’t sustain volume.
2. Support Area Weakness:
The support zone around 1.17000 has been tested multiple times. If it breaks, it could turn into a strong resistance, flipping the sentiment.
3. Macro Influence:
Upcoming EUR and USD economic events (noted by icons) could cause high volatility and break structure unexpectedly.
A strong USD report could reverse bullish momentum, sending EUR/USD toward 1.16500 or lower.
4. Bearish Continuation Scenario:
If the market breaks down from the current consolidation, expect targets at:
EUR/USD Bearish Wave Outlook Into September 2025EUR/USD Bearish Wave Outlook Into September 2025
Technical + Elliott Wave + Macro View
EUR/USD has likely completed a major top at 1.18300, which aligns with the 1.0 Fibonacci extension. This level acted as a liquidity sweep before reversing sharply, marking the top of Wave (1) in the current Elliott sequence. We're now entering Wave (3) to the downside—a high-momentum leg often driven by macro confirmation.
Price has broken the ascending channel and rejected the 0.786 and 0.886 retracement zones. With lower highs forming, the structure is weakening. The next likely target sits around 1.10223, a key Fibonacci and order block confluence. If momentum accelerates, EUR/USD could continue toward 1.08289, completing the full Wave (2).
From a macro lens, the divergence between the Fed and ECB continues to widen. The U.S. economy remains resilient with sticky inflation and strong yields supporting the dollar. In contrast, Europe is showing signs of stagnation, with Germany and France struggling to post meaningful growth. This favors continued downside on the pair.
Expect potential relief rallies into 1.1400–1.1550, but these are likely to be sold unless a fundamental catalyst shifts sentiment.
Bias: Bearish
Targets: 1.1022 > 1.0828
Invalidation: Clean break and close above 1.1700
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🔔 Watch for volume spikes and failed reclaims of structure as confirmation. DSS signals aligned.
#EURUSD #Forex #ElliottWave #SmartMoneyConcepts #MacroTrading #WaverVanir #VolanX #DollarStrength #FXForecast #TechnicalAnalysis
EURUSD Bullish Continuation OutlookFX:EURUSD has been trading in a bullish trend. Currently price is retesting the previous resistance level, as well as 0.618 fib. Hidden bullish divergence can be observed on the chart, in addition to regular bullish divergence on lower timeframes (1 & 4 hour).
I am expecting bullish continuation from here to complete the price projections!