GBPEUR trade ideas
EURGBP Is Rising Further After UK Retail Sales missed estimatesEURGBP Is Rising Further After UK Retail Sales missed estimates
EURGBP already broke out from an Ascending Triangle pattern after it spent some time in accumulation and without direction the price is rising today.
This is the third and clear bullish pattern that EURGBP broke out and the chances to rise one more time are high.
K retail sales is supporting this bullish movement because they failed to meet expectations.
Overall, the data was higher compared to the last month, but the fact that it missed expectations suggests that the UK economy is growing in small steps.
You may find more details in the chart!
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DeGRAM | EURGBP exited the channel📊 Technical Analysis
● Breakout: price burst from the July descending wedge, reclaimed 0.8695 former cap, and is now riding a steep intraday channel of higher-highs; the channel mid-line aligns with the broken wedge roof, adding fresh support.
● A pennant is consolidating just above 0.8695; its measured pole and the outer channel top converge at the next horizontal barrier 0.8739.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Softer UK July composite-PMI (47.9 vs 50.2 prior) revived BoE cut bets, while ECB speakers flagged “premature to talk easing,” narrowing the rate gap in the euro’s favour.
✨ Summary
Long 0.8695-0.8705; pennant break targets 0.8739. Bias void on a 30 m close below 0.8648.
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EUR/GBP: Bullish Stance Above 0.8640This signal outlines a tactical long entry on EUR/GBP, positioning for a bullish resolution from today's major fundamental events.
📰 Fundamental Thesis
This position is taken ahead of the two primary market movers: the ECB rate decision and the UK PMI data. The core thesis is that the ECB policy statement will be the dominant catalyst, providing strength to EUR that will outweigh the impact of the UK data release.
📊 Technical Thesis
The trade is defined by a sound technical structure. The stop loss is anchored beneath the critical support zone at 0.8640. The profit target is set to challenge the resistance area just above 0.8722. This setup offers a favorable and clearly defined risk-to-reward profile.
🧠 Risk Management
Execution is timed before extreme event-driven volatility. Adherence to the stop loss is critical to manage the inherent risk of this pre-news strategy.
Trade Parameters
⬆️ Direction: Long (Buy)
➡️ Entry: 0.86690
⛔️ Stop Loss: 0.86344
🎯 Target: 0.87382
✅ Risk/Reward: 1:2
EURGBP overbought pullback support at 0.8677The EURGBP remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 0.8677 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 0.8677 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
0.8775 – initial resistance
0.8807 – psychological and structural level
0.8845 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 0.8677 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
0.8640 – minor support
0.8612 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the GBPUSD holds above 0.8677 A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
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Bullish bounce off overlap support?EUR/GBP is falling towards the pivot, which has been identified as an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which acts as a swing high resistance.
Pivot: 0.8640
1st Support: 0.8598
1st Resistance: 0.8696
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
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EURGBP Short, 24 July Playing Off 15m POI After HTF Wick Rejection
HTF shows strong rejection from Weekly Highs with clear wick activity, and price tapped into a 4H Orderblock 📉
Structure shifted bearish on LTF with a clean 15m BOS — the last OB from the full move is now in play.
Asia high sits above and can’t be covered with a 10 pip stop, so I used a tighter 5 pip SL to cover just the OB (high probability since no key zones sit above) ✅
📉 Confluences:
– Weekly High wick rejection
– 4H OB tapped
– 15m BOS
– 1m BOS from 15m POI
– Entry from cleaner 5m OB inside 15m OB
🎯 TP: Targeting Asia Low
💰 RR: 5 pip SL improves RR since GU moves slow
🛡️ SL: Tight stop covering only the OB — if invalidated, setup likely fails anyway
EURGBP: Bearish Forecast & Outlook
The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the EURGBP pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move down.
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EURGBP Wave Analysis – 29 July 2025- EURGBP reversed from the resistance zone
- Likely fall to support level 0.8635
EURGBP currency pair recently reversed down from the resistance zone between the multi-month resistance level 0.8735 (which stopped sharp wave (A) in April) and the upper daily Bollinger Band.
The downward reversal from this resistance zone created the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Dark Cloud Cover.
Given the strength of the resistance level 0.8735, EURGBP currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 0.8635 (low of the previous minor correction ii).
EURGBPOANDA:EURGBP 💼 Trade Idea: EUR/GBP – Short Position
A potential selling opportunity has emerged on the EUR/GBP currency pair, suggesting that the Euro may continue to weaken against the British Pound. Based on current technical patterns and market sentiment, a short position could be favorable at the identified levels.
📉 Entry Zone: 0.87467
🎯 1st Target: 0.87300
🎯 2nd Target: 0.87250
🎯 3rd Target: 0.87140
🛑 Stop Loss: 0.87950
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