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GBPEUR trade ideas

EURGBP Analysis : Bearish Leg Nearing Completion + Target Zone📍 Overview: The EURGBP pair has recently provided significant price action signals that suggest a high-probability reversal setup is unfolding. This analysis dives deep into market structure, supply and demand dynamics, and institutional price behavior using MMC principles. The current focus lies in identifying a potential trend reversal opportunity after a sharp decline from a key supply level, as price nears a well-marked Reversal Zone. This detailed breakdown covers each phase to provide clarity and trade planning. 🧩 Phase 1: Consolidation Phase (Accumulation) From July 11th to July 24th, EURGBP moved sideways within a clearly defined range-bound structure (highlighted in green). This consolidation indicates a battle of control between bulls and bears, typically signaling accumulation or distribution depending on breakout direction. The tight price action and wicks on both sides suggest market makers accumulating positions before a breakout. Price eventually broke out to the upside, confirming bullish accumulation rather than distribution. 🚀 Phase 2: Impulse Move & 2x Supply Rejection Following the breakout from the consolidation, price experienced a strong impulsive rally, catching breakout traders and pushing into a major supply zone. The area where price reversed is marked as a 2x supply rejection zone, suggesting heavy institutional sell orders were triggered. This zone aligns with a historical resistance level and is critical in the current structure. Price failed to sustain the bullish momentum, forming a sharp drop right after tapping into supply, indicating strong selling pressure. 🔄 Phase 3: Market Structure Shift via QFL (Quick Flip Levels) As the price dropped from the supply zone, two significant QFL levels were printed in quick succession. QFL (Quick Flip Levels) represent a break in internal structure, showing that buyers were no longer defending the previous support zones. These quick flips signal an aggressive shift in momentum from buyers to sellers. Each QFL breakdown was followed by a new lower low, confirming the start of a bearish sequence or trend leg. 📉 Phase 4: Descending Trendline & Dynamic Resistance After the QFL shifts, a clear downtrend channel formed, respected by multiple lower highs. The descending trendline drawn from the supply zone peak has acted as dynamic resistance, rejecting every bullish pullback attempt. This trendline provides technical confluence for intraday traders to manage risk and timing entries. 🟠 Current Market Context: Entering the Reversal Zone Price is now approaching a marked Reversal Zone (highlighted in orange). This zone represents a high-probability demand area, previously respected as a base before the rally to supply. If price reaches this area and shows signs of exhaustion (e.g., bullish engulfing, long wick rejection, volume divergence), it may serve as a reversal point. This zone aligns with MMC logic — market makers tend to react at zones of trapped liquidity, especially after stop hunts. 📈 Projected Scenario & Trade Setup: Price drops into the Reversal Zone A bullish rejection pattern appears (e.g., pin bar, engulfing candle) Price retests and breaks the descending trendline to confirm a momentum shift Entry can be taken post-breakout or with aggressive confirmation inside the zone Stops placed below the zone; targets aligned with the previous QFL or trendline retest ⚠️ Key Notes for Traders: Don't chase the move. Wait for reversal confirmation before entering. QFLs offer strong structure-based levels to identify where the market flipped. Use trendline confluence and volume confirmation for precise entries. Monitor price action in the Reversal Zone — if invalidated, the downtrend may extend toward the next macro support. Apply proper risk management and stay patient for the setup to fully develop. 📊 Summary: 🧭 Bias: Short-term bearish → possible reversal bullish 🎯 Entry Area: Reversal Zone (0.85800 – 0.86000 approx.) ⛔ Invalidation: Clean break and close below 0.85700 🏁 Potential Target: First TP near 0.86750; extended TP near 0.87050 (previous QFL level) 🔄 MMC Approach Recap: This analysis follows the Market Maker Cycle (MMC) method, which involves: Consolidation (Accumulation) Manipulation (False Breakouts or Stop Hunts) Distribution (Rapid Expansion & Flip Levels) Re-Accumulation or Reversal Each step is clearly defined in this chart, offering a blueprint for both trend traders and reversal specialists. 💬 Let's Talk: What do you think about this setup? Are you seeing similar MMC patterns on other EUR or GBP crosses? Drop your thoughts, charts, and questions below!
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
The Day AheadKey Data Releases: US: Q2 GDP – Crucial insight into US economic momentum. July ADP Employment – A labor market pulse-check ahead of Friday's payrolls. June Pending Home Sales – Gauges housing market resilience. Europe: Germany, France, Italy, Eurozone Q2 GDP – A comprehensive picture of Eurozone growth trajectory. June Retail Sales (Germany), Consumer Spending (France), Wages and Industrial Sales (Italy) – Offer inflation and demand signals. Eurozone July Economic Confidence – Reflects business and consumer sentiment. Australia: June CPI – May influence RBA policy expectations. Central Bank Decisions: Federal Reserve: Widely anticipated decision following disinflationary signals and resilient growth. Bank of Canada: Eyes on dovish shift as domestic momentum cools. Major Earnings: Tech Titans: Microsoft, Meta, Qualcomm, ARM – Key drivers of market sentiment, especially AI and cloud-related narratives. Luxury & Autos: Hermes, Porsche, Mercedes-Benz – Demand indicators from high-end consumers. Banks & Financials: HSBC, UBS, Intesa Sanpaolo, Robinhood – Update on global credit and trading conditions. Industrials & Energy: Airbus, Lam Research, Rio Tinto, Vinci, BAE – Supply chain and CapEx insights. Consumer & Retail: Ford, adidas, Hershey, Kraft Heinz, Etsy, Just Eat – Demand resilience and margin pressures. US Treasury: Quarterly Refunding Announcement – Market-sensitive update on bond issuance plans, with implications for yields and risk sentiment. Conclusion: This is a pivotal day for markets, combining top-tier macroeconomic data, central bank rate decisions, and heavyweight earnings. The Fed’s stance will likely steer risk appetite, while GDP prints across the US and Europe will refine global growth expectations. Meanwhile, earnings from major tech and consumer names will test the strength of market leadership. Volatility is likely to rise, with traders balancing soft-landing hopes against persistent inflation risks and policy uncertainty. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
EUR/GBP OUTLOOK ON THE DAILYOn the daily timeframe, price retested a key resistance zone on Friday, which was previously tapped in April. This level originally acted as a demand area back in November 2023. After the April rejection, price dropped approximately 381 pips before beginning its current bullish incline. As of now, price is retesting this resistance area, which is expected to flip into support to allow for continued upward momentum. My bias remains bullish as long as this support holds, with a target toward the next demand area from March 2023. However, a break below the daily swing low at 0.85963 would invalidate this scenario and shift the structure. ⚠️ As always, trade responsibly — risk only 1–2% of your capital per day and stay alert, especially around volatile sessions. Stay sharp and trade safe!
Long
by hustlewithtam
$EURGBP rade Setup: EURGBP – Buy Opportunity Identified We haveOANDA:EURGBP rade Setup: EURGBP – Buy Opportunity Identified We have spotted a favorable buying opportunity on the EURGBP currency pair, supported by technical patterns and recent market behavior. EURGBP is showing signs of a bullish reversal after bouncing off a short-term support zone near the 0.86680–0.86700 range. The entry at 0.86786 offers a strong technical position, just above the support, and aligned with the start of a potential upward swing. The first target of 0.86850 is modest but strategically placed to lock in quick intraday profits while confirming the upward move. The first target of 0.86850 is modest but strategically placed to lock in quick intraday profits while confirming the upward move. The second target at 0.86980 sits at a prior resistance level, which has historically triggered pullbacks—an ideal mid-term objective. The third and final target at 0.87100 aligns with a significant psychological resistance zone, offering a well-balanced reward.
Long
by Ali_Explorer
EURGBP Short, 24 July Playing Off 15m POI After HTF Wick Rejection HTF shows strong rejection from Weekly Highs with clear wick activity, and price tapped into a 4H Orderblock 📉 Structure shifted bearish on LTF with a clean 15m BOS — the last OB from the full move is now in play. Asia high sits above and can’t be covered with a 10 pip stop, so I used a tighter 5 pip SL to cover just the OB (high probability since no key zones sit above) ✅ 📉 Confluences: – Weekly High wick rejection – 4H OB tapped – 15m BOS – 1m BOS from 15m POI – Entry from cleaner 5m OB inside 15m OB 🎯 TP: Targeting Asia Low 💰 RR: 5 pip SL improves RR since GU moves slow 🛡️ SL: Tight stop covering only the OB — if invalidated, setup likely fails anyway
Short
by sTax11
Bullish bounce off overlap support?EUR/GBP is falling towards the pivot, which has been identified as an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which acts as a swing high resistance. Pivot: 0.8640 1st Support: 0.8598 1st Resistance: 0.8696 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
EURGBP Analysis : Curve Breakdown + Directional Setup + Target🧠 Institutional Context & Smart Money Bias This EURGBP chart offers a masterclass in engineered liquidity and market traps. Institutions have created an illusion of bullish strength through: A manipulated rounded accumulation curve A controlled channel phase A false breakout above the reversal zone These are textbook signals that the retail crowd is being misled, while smart money is preparing for a deeper move. Let’s dissect it step by step. 📊 Phase-by-Phase Technical Breakdown 🔻 1. Bearish Channel – Sentiment Shaping Phase From July 11 to July 21, the pair traded within a descending parallel channel, forming a bearish market structure. This phase was not a genuine trend, but a sentiment builder—to: Create a belief in continued bearishness Gather liquidity around the channel boundaries The upper and lower bounds of the channel were respected precisely, revealing market maker intent. 📈 2. Parabolic Curve Support – Trap Engineered Price transitioned out of the channel into a rounded bullish curve—a visual cue suggesting accumulation and strength. This curved trendline often misleads retail traders into thinking a breakout rally is coming. Price surged aggressively toward the Previous Reversal Zone, further fueling FOMO buys. But this move was not sustainable. Why? ➡️ Because it lacked a clean base and was built off a manipulated liquidity sweep. The curve was a setup. 🟥 3. Previous Reversal Zone & Major BOS – Institutional Exit Point Price entered the Previous Reversal Zone, a marked area of prior supply. This is where institutional orders were likely resting. After briefly exceeding the previous high, the market instantly reversed with force—evidence of: Stop hunts Distribution Smart money selling into retail breakout buyers The Major BOS (Break of Structure) confirms the shift: The trend is no longer bullish. ⚠️ 4. Curve Support Breakdown – Structure Shift Triggered After peaking, the price violated the curve support, confirming the bullish trap. This breakdown signals a phase transition: From accumulation illusion → distribution reality From retail optimism → smart money unloading 🟨 5. Central Zone – Decision Point Price is now hovering at the Central Zone, a region of equilibrium between buyers and sellers. This is where market makers may: Redistribute for another leg down Fake a pullback before continuing lower Temporarily rally to trap more longs This area will determine short-term directional bias. That’s why your setup smartly outlines two conditions from this point. 🔀 Trade Scenarios – MMC Conditions 🔻 Condition 1: Bearish Continuation Toward Next Reversal Zone If the price rejects the Central Zone and begins forming lower highs and bearish structures: Expect further downside This confirms the market is in redistribution mode Target: Next Reversal Zone at 0.8630–0.8640 💡 Rationale: Institutions are driving price back into demand zones to grab new liquidity or fill leftover buy orders. 🔁 Condition 2: Temporary Recovery & Trap Continuation If price holds above the Central Zone and breaks short-term highs: A short-term bullish rally may occur Likely targets: 0.8675–0.8685 This may act as a fake-out rally, creating more buying interest before a deeper dump 💡 Rationale: Smart money may induce more buyers to create fresh liquidity pockets before dropping toward the next reversal zone. 🔐 Key MMC Zones & Structure Levels Zone/Level Purpose 0.8695–0.8700 Previous Reversal Zone / Major BOS – Institutional distribution area 0.8660–0.8665 Central Zone – Mid-point equilibrium & battle zone 0.8630–0.8640 Next Reversal Zone – Potential bullish interest area for demand 🧠 Smart Money Summary This chart showcases a multi-stage smart money plan: Create channel to shape bias Form curve to generate false hope Push into supply and trap late buyers Break curve support to shift structure Retest Central Zone to decide next manipulation leg Deliver price toward true unfilled demand zones This is how institutions engineer movement while retail gets trapped chasing direction.
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
EURGBP The Target Is DOWN! SELL! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for EURGBP below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 0.8676 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 0.8670 About Used Indicators: The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
EUR/GBP: Bullish Stance Above 0.8640This signal outlines a tactical long entry on EUR/GBP, positioning for a bullish resolution from today's major fundamental events. 📰 Fundamental Thesis This position is taken ahead of the two primary market movers: the ECB rate decision and the UK PMI data. The core thesis is that the ECB policy statement will be the dominant catalyst, providing strength to EUR that will outweigh the impact of the UK data release. 📊 Technical Thesis The trade is defined by a sound technical structure. The stop loss is anchored beneath the critical support zone at 0.8640. The profit target is set to challenge the resistance area just above 0.8722. This setup offers a favorable and clearly defined risk-to-reward profile. 🧠 Risk Management Execution is timed before extreme event-driven volatility. Adherence to the stop loss is critical to manage the inherent risk of this pre-news strategy. Trade Parameters ⬆️ Direction: Long (Buy) ➡️ Entry: 0.86690 ⛔️ Stop Loss: 0.86344 🎯 Target: 0.87382 ✅ Risk/Reward: 1:2
Long
by MaxellAguiran
1