GBPEUR trade ideas
EURGBP – WEEKLY FORECAST Q3 | W30 | Y25📊 EURGBP – WEEKLY FORECAST
Q3 | W30 | Y25
Weekly Forecast 🔍📅
Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈
Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭.
It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias.
This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us.
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Use alerts, not emotion
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FRGNT FOREX ANALYSIS 📊
EUR-GBP Long From Rising Support! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-GBP is trading in an
Uptrend along the rising
Support line and the pair
Is going down now so after
The retest we will be
Expecting a bullish rebound
And a move up
Buy!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Straight forward EUR/GBP buy set up.EUR/GBP has been in a large decline against the recent trend and looks to be in some sort of leading diagonal pattern.
Major Fib 38.2% comes in at 0.86008 so buy slightly below but above lower trend line with profit risk of 1:2.5
Buy 0.8597
Stop 0.85744
Profit 0.86535 or more depending on strength.
EUR/GBP BULLS ARE STRONG HERE|LONG
EUR/GBP SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 0.863
Target Level: 0.872
Stop Loss: 0.857
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EUR/GBP Technical Analysis – Range-Bound Structure EUR/GBP Technical Analysis – Range-Bound Structure with Potential Rebound
The pair is currently trading within a well-defined horizontal channel between:
Support Zone: 0.86400 – 0.86200
Resistance Zone: 0.87800 – 0.87600
Price is currently near the mid-level (0.86756), showing consolidation after a rejection from resistance.
Supertrend Indicator:
The Supertrend (10,3) is currently bearish (red line above the price), indicating short-term downward pressure.
Price recently broke below the Supertrend line near the highs, suggesting a correction is underway.
Volume Profile (Left Side):
Significant volume has been transacted around the current market range (Point of Control).
This indicates strong interest and fair value, often leading to sideways movement before the next breakout.
Bull Wick Highlight (Mid-July):
Indicates buying pressure from lower levels, acting as historical demand near 0.86400.
🔄 Price Projection & Scenario Planning:
✅ Scenario A: Bullish Rejection from Support
If price retests the support zone (0.86400 – 0.86200) and forms a bullish rejection (e.g., pin bar or engulfing), a bounce is likely.
Target: Resistance zone 0.87600 – 0.87800
Confirmation: Bullish candle + break of 0.86900 resistance.
❌ Scenario B: Bearish Breakout Below Support
A break and close below 0.86200 may trigger a deeper correction.
Next possible downside target: 0.85800
Volume drop and strong red candles would support this.
🔧 Technical Summary:
Indicator Status
Structure Sideways / Range-bound
Supertrend Bearish (Short-term)
Support Zone 0.86200 – 0.86400
Resistance Zone 0.87600 – 0.87800
Bias Neutral-to-Bullish (above support)
🧠 Educational Note:
This chart is a great example of range trading—where traders look to buy near support and sell near resistance, especially when there is no strong trend. Patience and confirmation signals (like wick rejections or volume spikes) are key in such setups.
EURGBP Bullish Reversal Setup from Demand Zone (MMC Strategy)📊 Detailed Technical Analysis:
The EURGBP pair on the 2-hour chart is currently at a critical technical juncture, showing signs of a potential bullish reversal. This analysis follows Market Maker Concepts (MMC), which combines liquidity engineering, smart money movements, and structure shifts. Let’s break it down:
🔄 1. Consolidation Phase – Accumulation in Action (Smart Money Footprint)
Between July 15 to 24, the price moved within a tight range — classic consolidation behavior.
This phase suggests accumulation by institutional players, quietly building long positions while trapping retail shorts and longs.
This kind of sideways structure typically precedes a high-volume breakout, which happened right after.
📌 Lesson: Consolidation is often the calm before the storm — prepare for a breakout when this phase completes.
🚀 2. Breakout with QFL Pattern – Aggressive Bullish Shift
The price broke above the consolidation range and surged strongly.
This breakout followed a classic QFL (Quick Flip Level) structure — where price forms a base, drops temporarily, and then explodes upward.
The area of breakout aligns with a “2x Supply” zone — meaning this zone acted as a magnet for stop orders, and once breached, added more fuel to the rally.
📌 Why QFL Matters: It marks a shift in market sentiment — from balanced to strongly biased, in this case toward bulls.
📉 3. Pullback Phase – Structural Correction Begins
After reaching a high near 0.87500 (major resistance), price began to pull back sharply.
It formed a minor descending flag/channel, a classic corrective pattern, often a pause before resuming the larger trend.
A descending trendline has been drawn to capture this pullback structure.
📌 Important: Pullbacks are healthy — they allow for re-entries and provide better R:R setups.
📍 4. Reversal Zone – Key Demand Revisited
Price now sits within a Reversal Zone (Demand Area), marked in green on the chart.
This level previously served as the base for the breakout and aligns with institutional buying interest.
The area acts as a high-probability buy zone, supported by:
Trendline support
Price rejecting lower levels
Historical reaction at this zone
📌 Why It’s Crucial: If price respects this demand zone, it confirms bullish intent and creates a low-risk buying opportunity.
✅ 5. 2nd Confirmation – Price Action Support
The chart marks a "2nd Confirmation" label at a slightly lower level — this is a final support level, a safety net.
If price dips and bounces here again, it confirms buyer strength.
Strong price reaction at this level would validate a trend continuation setup back toward highs.
💹 6. Positive Pattern – Early Reversal Signs
Inside the demand zone, a bullish structure is forming.
This could be an inverted head & shoulders, or a double bottom pattern.
These patterns often act as launch pads for upward moves, especially when combined with institutional demand.
📌 MMC Insight: Market Makers engineer dips to induce panic, only to reverse aggressively once liquidity is absorbed.
🎯 Trade Plan Based on the Analysis:
Buy Zone: Between 0.86450 – 0.86700 (Reversal Zone)
Stop-Loss: Below 0.86250 (beneath 2nd confirmation)
Take Profits:
🎯 TP1: 0.86900 (Minor resistance)
🎯 TP2: 0.87500 (Major swing high)
Risk-to-Reward: 1:2 or higher depending on entry timing
🧠 MMC Strategy Summary for Minds:
This EURGBP 2H chart is a textbook example of MMC-based trading. We saw:
Institutional accumulation (consolidation phase)
QFL breakout (confirmation of bullish intent)
Return to demand (market maker’s discount area)
Early bullish signals (positive price action patterns)
Multiple confluences at the Reversal Zone (trendline, demand, confirmation zone)
Such a combination offers a high-probability swing trade setup. Patient traders can wait for the structure to break upward and join the trend with tight risk and clear targets.
EUR/GBP Thief Trade: Swipe Profits Before Overbought Trap!🦹♂️ EUR/GBP "THE CHUNNEL HEIST" – BULLISH LOOT IN PROGRESS! 🚨💰
(Thief Trading Strategy – Escape Before the Cops Arrive!)
🎯 DEAR MARKET PIRATES & PROFIT SNATCHERS,
Based on our 🔥Thief Trading Style Analysis🔥, we’re executing a bullish heist on EUR/GBP ("The Chunnel"). The vault is wide open—time to swipe the loot before the high-risk resistance police barricade (aka overbought trap) shuts us down!
📜 THE MASTER PLAN:
✔ Entry (📈): "The Bullish Vault is Unlocked!"
Buy Limit Orders (15-30min TF) near recent swing lows/highs.
Thief’s DCA Trick: Layer entries like a pro robber—multiple limit orders for max loot.
✔ Stop Loss (🛑): "Hide Your Stash Wisely!"
SL at nearest 4H candle wick (0.86500)—adjust based on your risk appetite & lot size.
Remember: A good thief always has an escape route!
✔ Target (🎯): 0.88500 (or escape earlier if the cops get suspicious!)
🔎 SCALPERS & SWING BANDITS – LISTEN UP!
Scalpers: Stick to LONG-ONLY heists! Use trailing SL to protect profits.
Swing Thieves: If you’re low on cash, join the slow robbery—DCA & hold!
📡 WHY THIS HEIST IS HOT:
Bullish momentum in play (but BEWARE of overbought traps!).
Fundamental Drivers: Check COT Reports, Macro Data, & Sentiment.
🚨 TRADING ALERT: NEWS = POLICE RAID RISK!
Avoid new trades during high-impact news.
Trailing SL = Your Getaway Car! Lock profits before volatility strikes.
💥 BOOST THIS HEIST – STRENGTHEN THE GANG!
👉 Smash the LIKE & BOOST button to fuel our next market robbery!
👉 Follow for more heists—profit awaits! 🚀💰
🦹♂️ Stay Sharp, Stay Ruthless… See You on the Next Heist!
Simple EURGBP Analysis (MMC) – Bullish Continuation or Reversal?🕵️♂️ Chart Overview – 30-Min Timeframe (OANDA)
This EURGBP chart illustrates a classic bullish continuation structure following a volume absorption phase and pennant formation, leading into a vertical price expansion toward a potential reversal zone. The technical flow demonstrates smart money accumulation and re-accumulation before a sharp bullish leg.
🔷 Phase 1: Bullish Accumulation via Pennant Formation
The chart begins with a tight consolidation structure marked as a pennant, typically a continuation pattern.
This area coincides with “Previous 2x Demand”, hinting at a strong institutional buying interest.
The Volume Absorption label suggests that sell-side liquidity was efficiently absorbed—often a precursor to bullish breakouts.
📈 Phase 2: Breakout & Price Expansion
Price breaks out of the pennant aggressively, validating the absorption theory.
The post-breakout rally continues with minimal retracement, showcasing impulsive bullish momentum.
The QFL (Quasimodo Failure Level) is also marked—this serves as a structural footprint left by trapped sellers.
🟩 Next Levels to Watch: Reversal or Re-Entry Zones
As the price approaches the green "Next Reversal Zone" (0.87650–0.87700), watch for potential exhaustion or a reaction.
The Central Zone of 2x Demand (just below 0.87500) could act as a re-entry level for continuation long setups.
Anticipated short-term correction before continuation, as depicted by the projected path.
🧠 Strategic Insight & Trade Planning
Aggressive Bulls: May target breakout pullbacks near the Central Zone of Demand for intraday continuation.
Conservative Traders: Should wait for a clean reaction from the green Reversal Zone. If rejection is confirmed, short opportunities with tight stops become favorable.
Watch the price behavior around 0.87300–0.87500—this will likely dictate whether continuation or correction prevails.
Euro-pound retests April’s highsThe ECB’s relative hawkishness or at least lower dovishness on 24 July seems to have boosted the euro significantly, with euro-pound in particular continuing its uptrend. Here though the generally weaker recent sentiment on British growth and disappointing retail data added fuel to EURGBP’s gains. There’s also some likelihood that the EU will secure a trade deal with the USA in the next few days before the deadline for new tariffs of 1 August.
87p on 24 July was euro-pound’s highest daily close since December 2023 and gains continued intraday the following day with a clear push above the 23.6% monthly Fibonacci retracement. The overall trend since March is upward and these two days might suggest that the latest phase of it isn’t close to exhaustion yet; on the contrary, momentum has increased in recent sessions. However, volume has been significantly lower since late April and now a seasonal further drop might be possible. The slow stochastic signals overbought and ATR hasn’t risen significantly in recent days.
The 20 SMA might be an important dynamic support in the near future, but first it’d be possible to see the 23.6% Fibo flipping to support from resistance previously. Traders are looking ahead to the eurozone’s flash GDP for Q2 on 30 July and inflation on 1 August although the latter might be overshadowed by the NFP the same day.
This is my personal opinion, not the opinion of Exness. This is not a recommendation to trade.
EURGBP near the current highest point of 2025.FX_IDC:EURGBP is slowly approaching a strong area of resistance, which is the current highest point of 2025. Let's dig in...
MARKETSCOM:EURGBP
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
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EUR GBP: Long EUR GBP long 'relative fundamental' trade, based on the fairly 'hawkish' ECB and also today's and yesterday's 'soft' UK data. Entry 0.8712
The risk to the trade is the fact the stop loss is not behind a solid 'upswing of note'. But this is the only moment I have to potentially trade today and I think it's worth a go.
I do think a 'risk on' trade is also viable (which is also a risk if the GBP strengthens in a positive environment). But I've chosen to go with the 'freshness' of the UK data.
EUR GBP has a low ATR, the trade has a 10 pip stop loss and 15 pip profit target.
If it's ongoing, I will close the trade before end of day to avoid weekend risk.
EURGBP Analysis : Breakout, Central Zone Flip & Reversal Target🧠 Overview:
This EURGBP daily chart clearly presents a bullish breakout from a long-term descending channel, a successful reclaim of the central structure zone, and a projection toward a key reversal level. This analysis incorporates Smart Money Concepts (SMC), Market Maker Concepts (MMC), and classic structural behavior.
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
📉 Long-Term Bearish Channel (2021–2025)
For nearly 4 years, EURGBP was trapped in a descending channel, forming consistent lower highs and lower lows.
This long-term bearish phase reflects strong supply-side control and institutional distribution.
The breakout above this structure is significant — marking a potential mid- to long-term trend reversal.
🔁 Major Support Zone (0.8300–0.8350)
Price bounced strongly from this historical demand zone multiple times (in 2021, 2022, and recently in 2025).
This zone is critical and acts as a high-volume accumulation area where smart money has stepped in.
The strong reaction from this level in 2025 triggered the breakout of the bearish structure.
🚀 Break of Structure + Retest
After breaking the descending channel, price retested the upper boundary, confirming a structure shift.
The breakout retest succeeded — marking the transition from a bearish phase to a bullish expansion.
📍 Central Zone Flip
The Central Zone, once a resistance/supply area during the downtrend, has now been reclaimed as support.
This is a powerful MMC concept – where the "central balance" of a structure flips and becomes a base for the next impulse.
Current price is sitting just above this zone, indicating bulls are still in control.
🎯 Next Reversal Zone (Target Area: 0.9000–0.9050)
The chart outlines a projected bullish move toward the Next Reversal Zone marked above.
This is a key supply area, likely to trigger profit-taking or institutional sell orders.
Expect price to range or wick into this zone before showing a possible bearish reversal.
🔄 Future Projection Scenarios:
Scenario 1 – Bullish Continuation:
Price continues to build bullish structure and approaches the 0.90 reversal zone.
Rejection from this zone may trigger consolidation or a minor retracement.
Scenario 2 – Major Reversal:
Upon hitting the next reversal zone, price could reverse and fall back toward the Central Zone or even the Major Support below, especially if macroeconomic fundamentals shift.
🔑 Confluences Supporting This Setup:
✅ Element 🧩 Description
🔹 Major Support Historical demand zone with repeated rejections
🔹 Channel Breakout Structure shift confirming bullish interest
🔹 Retest Success Technical confirmation of breakout validity
🔹 Central Zone Flip Old resistance → new support (MMC principle)
🔹 Reversal Zone Anticipated next profit-taking / supply area
📌 Strategic Insight:
Bias: Bullish short-term to mid-term
Entry Opportunity: Lower timeframe pullbacks into Central Zone (or retest zones)
Target: 0.9000–0.9050 area
Watch for Rejection: In reversal zone for potential bearish shift
⚠️ Risk Note:
Always wait for confirmation at reversal zones. Overextended moves without correction can quickly retrace. Manage your trades with stop-losses below key structural levels and maintain strict risk-reward planning.
🧠 Conclusion:
EURGBP has transitioned from a long bearish cycle into a bullish expansion phase. Smart Money accumulation at the base and a clean breakout with retest confirm a strong directional shift. Keep your focus on the Central Zone retests and the Reversal Zone reaction for optimal entries or exits.
EURGBP Pushing Up about to reach Major Resistance Level!EURGBP has been in a nice uptrend on the 1D and 4H.
Now, it is reaching a major resistance level at 0.86900.
Looking at the strong buying, there is a chance that price may break that level a move above 0.86900, but that is yet to be determined.
I've taken a demo position in this case, aiming 1:1 but possibly aiming for that 0.86900 level.
I saw a nice bounce of the 20 EMA and also that the 20, 50 and 200 EMA are lined very well. The RSI is also pointing upwards suggesting some strength.
It's been a while since the entry has passed by, but I'd like to post this idea to document this trade.
When price comes at the 0.86900 level, we can see what happens at the time and decide whether we are long or short.
It'll be interesting to see how this trade plays out.
EURGBP Curved Support Breakout – Targeting Reversal Zone🔍 Market Context & Structural Narrative (MMC Style)
The EURGBP pair is currently displaying a textbook MMC structural evolution, transitioning from a bearish trend into a potential bullish leg driven by curve dynamics and trap-break logic.
🔨 Phase 1: Bearish Channel & Trap Formation
The market initially moved within a clearly defined descending channel, which acted as a trap for reactive sellers. Each lower high and lower low within the channel created a perception of sustained bearishness, luring breakout traders and late sellers into short positions.
✅ Key Insight:
This trap zone represents the first step in MMC logic — create a visible structure, generate bias, then prepare for inversion.
🌙 Phase 2: Curve Support – Psychological Accumulation
Around the base of the channel, the market began forming a rounded bottom or curve support. This is a signature MMC accumulation pattern, where market makers gradually absorb sell orders and build long positions without triggering immediate attention.
The curve support has the following implications:
Represents passive accumulation.
Suggests waning bearish pressure.
Builds bullish pressure subtly, often missed by retail traders.
🧠 MMC Mindset Tip:
Curved price action isn't just technical — it's psychological. It represents a controlled shift in sentiment, not an impulsive change, which is what makes it so powerful.
💥 Phase 3: Break of Structure (BOS) – Confirmation of Strength
Price breaks out of both the descending channel and the curved base, leading to a Major Break of Structure (BOS). This BOS is critical, as it confirms the invalidity of the previous bearish narrative and activates a new bullish leg.
📌 This BOS is more than a line — it’s a wall of liquidity getting broken. Price has now closed above key swing highs, which suggests:
Smart money is in control.
Trend shift is validated.
New demand zone created below.
🎯 Projection: The Path to the Next Reversal Zone (NRZ)
Following the breakout, price is projected to:
Possibly retest the breakout level (structure retest) aligned with the curve support — a healthy bullish pullback.
Then move higher towards the Next Reversal Zone (NRZ), which is your defined target area.
📌 NRZ Insight:
This zone is where the market is likely to face:
High liquidity.
Strong previous supply.
Potential profit-taking by early bulls.
Thus, this becomes the make-or-break zone — price either:
Reverses sharply,
Or breaks through and continues the bull rally.
⚠️ Multiple Scenarios Based on MMC Conditions
✅ Scenario 1: Retest & Bounce (Ideal MMC Setup)
Price pulls back to retest the breakout level or the curve support.
Shows bullish confirmation (e.g., pin bar, bullish engulfing).
Targets the NRZ above 0.8700.
❌ Scenario 2: Failed Retest – Fakeout Trap
Price breaks below the curve and structure again.
Suggests that the BOS was a false breakout.
Could re-enter the previous bearish channel structure.
🔄 Scenario 3: Direct Rally Without Retest
Strong momentum buyers push price directly to NRZ.
Wait for reaction at NRZ — could trigger a reversal or continuation depending on price behavior.
🧠 MMC Strategic Takeaways:
Trap → Break → Shift is the psychological framework in play.
The curve is not just support — it's evidence of silent accumulation.
The NRZ isn’t just resistance — it's the battleground where MM logic resolves.
🔐 Trading Insights (Optional Entry Ideas):
Entry: On bullish confirmation near 0.8660–0.8665 (curve/structure support).
SL: Below curve base (e.g., 0.8640).
TP: Near or slightly below NRZ (0.8700–0.8705), partial profits or full exit.