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CFDs on Gold (US$ / OZ)

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GOLD trade ideas

Gold Weekly Summary and Forecast 7/19/2025Gold has been very choppy these two weeks. As the 2W closes, the falling line indicated in the 2W chart still interacts. As long as this line is not broken, gold could retrace further. In weekly chart on the right, we are seeing a head and shoulder pattern has been formed. And the rejection level is aligning with 61.8% Fibo level retracement. From the above two analysis, I am expecting gold to drop heavily next week to at least 3250 or even 3192. Let's enjoy the weekend and I will come back with intraday analysis every day next week.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by SteadyFund
Two lines of defense for bulls: 3340 and 3330 are the key!Gold maintains a strong pattern in the short term, and it is recommended to mainly buy on dips. The short-term support below focuses on the neckline of the hourly line at 3340 last Friday. The more critical support is locked at the 3330 line. This range is an important watershed for judging the continuation of short-term bullish momentum. As long as the daily level can remain stable above the 3330 mark, the overall trend will remain upward. Before falling below this position, we should adhere to the idea of buying low and buying low, and rely on key support levels to arrange long orders. At present, the price has completed a technical breakthrough and broke through the upper edge of the 3330 convergence triangle under the dual positive factors of Trump's tariff landing to stimulate risk aversion and the support of the Fed's interest rate cut expectations, and formed three consecutive positive daily lines. It is necessary to pay attention to the short-term pressure at the 3375 line. The overall operation strategy will be combined with the real-time trend prompts during the trading session, and pay attention to the bottom in time.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trade-Daniel
XAU/USD Update: Ready for a 12% Surge?Welcome back, traders, it’s Skeptic! 😎 Is XAU/USD about to explode or crash? We’ve formed a symmetrical triangle pattern , and its breakout triggers could deliver solid profits for longs or shorts. Let’s dive into the details with the Daily timeframe to see the big picture. ✔️ Daily Timeframe: Our HWC is strongly bullish. After hitting $ 3,497.80 , we entered a secondary retracement phase, forming a symmetrical triangle. If we break resistance at $ 3,444.18 , my targets are the next ceiling at $ 3,494.50 and, long-term, $ 3,796.64 . But if we break support at $ 3,796.64 , it could signal a major trend change from uptrend to downtrend, opening shorts. Next supports are $ 3,206.32 and $ 3,019.31 —use these as your targets. 📊 Key Insight : Risk management is key to surviving financial markets. Stick to max 1%–2% risk per trade to stay safe. 📉 Market Context: Markets are predicting a major recession in the U.S. economy. If it happens, Gold will be the only safe-haven asset. So, I personally favor riding Gold’s uptrend. This historic drop screams one thing: global markets are losing faith in U.S. monetary and fiscal policies, big time. And that’s a loud wake-up call for investors: It’s time to bulletproof your portfolio. What’s that mean? Your stocks, real estate, cash, bonds , you name it... They’re slowly but surely turning to Gold . 💬 Let’s Talk! Which Gold trigger are you eyeing? Hit the comments, and let’s crush it together! 😊 If this update lit your fire, smash that boost—it fuels my mission! ✌️
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by SkepticLab
1
Weekly XAUUSD Outlook (July 14–19, 2025)Hey team — we're entering a decisive week on gold as macro tensions heat up and price dances inside a key premium range. Let’s dive into what the chart is telling us. 🔸 HTF Bias: Weekly Structure Breakdown Bias: Bullish with exhaustion signs Current candle: Bearish rejection forming after last week's lower high inside the premium range Trend: Still bullish overall, but stalling inside a distribution-like pattern Weekly structure: Confirmed CHoCH in early 2023 launched the bullish leg Break of structure toward Higher High (HH) continues but weak high was created near 3500 We’re currently inside a weekly premium range, rejecting the upper quadrant 🔸 Key Weekly Confluences: Zone Type Price Level Confluences 🔼 Resistance 3490–3500 Weak High + Premium zone + FVG + RSI divergence 🔼 Upper Range 3450–3470 Historical imbalance fill + EMA5 overextension 🔽 Support 3355–3320 Weekly OB + Discount side of premium leg + FVG 🔽 Deep Support 3200–3170 Last strong demand + BOS origin + RSI oversold risk zone Fibonacci Range: 3500 = top of the bullish extension; 50% retracement sits around 3250 RSI (Weekly): Starting to curve down from overbought territory — watch for structure cracks EMAs (5/21/50): Strong upside lock remains but a flattening 5EMA hints short-term slow-down 🗓 Macro + News Context: This week is loaded with high-impact U.S. data and a parade of FOMC speakers: Core CPI (Monday) and Retail Sales (Thursday) = critical for short-term inflation outlook FOMC members speaking throughout the week = high chance of volatility spikes Pre-G20 positioning (Friday–Saturday) could lead to risk-off flows or safety bids on gold Watch Crude Oil Inventories and Building Permits for risk sentiment impact The combination of CPI, retail sales, and continuous Fed commentary could cause abrupt sentiment swings — especially if inflation surprises to the upside again. ⚠️ What to Watch This Week: Any weekly close above 3470 = potential sweep into weak high (3500) Failure to hold 3355 zone = opens the door to revisit the deeper OB around 3200 Look for a lower high inside premium to confirm bearish weekly intent — otherwise we remain bullish Any bounce from 3320 must show strong volume + FVG reaction to confirm continuation ✅ Final Notes: This week is all about patience. We’re in a premium exhaustion phase, and with heavy macro catalysts on the table, gold is primed for a decisive breakout — up or down. Stay flexible. Let price show its hand around the major zones. We’ll refine sniper entries on H4 and H1 once the weekly opens fully. — 📌 If this breakdown helped, hit 🚀🚀🚀 follow @GoldFxMinds🔔 for daily updates as this structure develops and drop a comment: Will gold sweep 3500 or collapse toward 3200? 👇 📢 Disclosure: This analysis is based on the Trade Nation TradingView feed. I’m part of their Influencer Program and receive a monthly fee. ⚠️ Educational content only — not financial advice.
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
Today’s main strategy: bulls take the lead, followed by bears!Yesterday, gold maintained a range of fluctuations. The game between bulls and bears was fierce but failed to break the current structure. The overall trend is not clear for the time being. From a fundamental perspective, risk aversion still dominates market expectations, which makes the gold trend lack a directional breakthrough. However, we need to be vigilant that the main funds may force the gold price to fall through extreme suppression in the future. From the 4-hour cycle, gold has been under pressure near the upper track of 3377 and has fallen continuously. It has fallen below the middle track support and touched the lower track. The current price is temporarily supported near the lower track, but the overall situation is still in a wide range of fluctuations. The trend has not yet formed. The short-term strength of the US dollar also suppresses the gold rebound. The current bulls and bears are anxious, and the key support and resistance have not been effectively broken. Currently, pay attention to the effectiveness of the support in the 3325-3320 area. If it pulls back to this area, you can consider a short-term long layout, and the target is the 3340-3350 range above. If it rebounds to this area, you can choose to stop profit and go short at the right time, and the target is the lower track area. If the downward momentum is strong, it may fall below yesterday's low to form a continuous decline.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trade-Daniel
1
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG: An interesting day on gold and to be honest, the plan worked but the whipsawing only allowed us to scalp. Although we had a few decent scalps, we wanted it to go higher, then form a swing at 3320, which it broke above. This region now is one big accumulation, this is not as simple as enter and set TP, unless you're scalping. At the moment, we're above 3310 which is the level that needs to break to go down with a high of 3330 which is the level that needs to hold for us to go lower. Our set up here is bearish, what we want is to try and capture the stop hunt from above rather than entering and having to watch this chop up and down, then go into drawdown. If it works, it works, if it doesn't, we'll come back next week. On the chart are the two levels to look for a RIP! With it ranging like this we'll stick with these level and use the red boxes looking for the break! As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
20
Gold bearishness once again in line with expectationsThe data released so far show that the US inflation data is stable and tends to decline, which increases the possibility of the Fed's monetary policy. The US dollar index fell first and then rose. Gold opened at around 3344 and rebounded all the way. The current highest rebound is around 3366. It fell back to 3352 before the data was released, and then quickly rebounded to 3360. After the data was released, it fell again quickly, and the current lowest touched around 3346. The short orders around 3360-3365 that we shared with brothers before were basically the highest short orders of the day, and we successfully completed our first goal. The brothers who participated in it all made good profits. Judging from the current trend of gold, we continue to participate in short orders during the rebound, and the long position is still around 3335-3330. After the release of the CPI data, it is bearish overall. The core is that it is lower than market expectations but higher than the previous value. Inflation has heated up again, which has once again suppressed the expectation of interest rate cuts. After this data, it also laid a good foundation for the decline in the market. If the price goes up again, it will still rely on the 3365 level to go short again. The data is obviously bearish, and it scared a lot of long positions before it was released. Gold reference ideas: Continue to short when it rebounds to around 3358-3365, with a target around 3350-3340; Go long when it falls back to around 3335-3330, with a target around 3350.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trade-Daniel
How to grasp the key trading points of gold?Yesterday, gold tested the 3375 line several times but failed to break through effectively. The selling pressure on the market was obvious, and the price immediately fell back, reaching a low of around 3341. The daily line closed with a long upper shadow, indicating that the bullish momentum has weakened and the short-term market has entered an adjustment phase. From the perspective of the 4-hour cycle, the continuous negative trend has led to the gradual closing of the Bollinger Bands, and the middle track position has temporarily gained support, but the overall market is volatile and weak. Today, we will focus on the 3354 watershed. If the rebound fails to effectively stand at this position, the pressure on the upper side will still be strong, and there is a risk of a short-term decline. Key technical positions: upper resistance: 3365, 3354, lower support: 3340, 3330. In terms of operation rhythm, it is recommended to deal with it with a high-selling and low-buying, oscillating approach, and maintain flexible adjustments. The operation suggestions are as follows: You can choose to short in the 3360-3365 area, with the target around 3350 and 3340; if the rebound is blocked below 3354, you can also enter the short order in advance. It is recommended to enter and exit quickly in the short-term weak market; strictly control the stop loss to avoid risks caused by sudden changes in the market. The current market is obviously volatile, so don't blindly chase the rise and fall. It is particularly important to operate around the key pressure and support areas. The grasp of the rhythm will determine the final profit, and steady trading is the kingly way.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trade-Daniel
GOLD Outlook – Bearish Confirmed Post-CPIWith the CPI data released at 2.7%, gold’s bearish momentum is confirmed below the Pivot Line of 3,357.953 USD. The market reaction suggests no immediate Fed rate cuts, supporting downward pressure. Expect a move toward Support at 3,307.665 USD and the Support Zone around 3,264.120 USD. A close above 3,357.953 USD on a 1H or 4H candle could indicate a bullish reversal toward Resistance at 3,390.028 USD. Trade Setup: Short Entry: Near 3,357.953 USD with bearish confirmation, Stop Loss above 3,390.028 USD. Take Profit: Initial target at 3,307.665 USD, with a second target at 3,264.120 USD. Long Entry: Only if price breaks and holds above 3,357.953 USD, with a Stop Loss below 3,250 USD, targeting 3,390.028 USD. Pivot Line: 3,357.953 USD Support: 3,307.685 USD – 3,264.120 USD (Support Zone) Resistance: 3,390.028 USD – ~3,400 USD (Key Resistance) 1h, 2h Supply Zone: Between 3,357.953 USD and 3,390.028 USD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by THEOGFX
The 3400 mark will be the key for next week!Gold has been up and down this week, and the shock wash has intensified. It bottomed out and rebounded at 3282, and then steadily pulled up. After a slow rise to 3368 on Friday, the retracement was limited, and finally closed at 3355. So can gold be expected to be strong? Is it possible to reach 3400 next week? From the trend point of view, it is too early to say that it will turn strong. 3400 is an insurmountable barrier. Only by breaking through 3400 can we see a stable strong bull. If it is suppressed below 3400, the bulls will not be stable and may fall back at any time. We can only see large range fluctuations. From the overall trend point of view, gold is currently fluctuating widely in the large range of 3250-3400. It is safe to buy below 3300, and it is easy to go up. After all, it is still upward in the long run. Next week, we will focus on the gains and losses of the 3400 mark. It is not recommended to chase the high position directly on Monday. On the one hand, the interruption of the market after the weekend holiday can easily cause discontinuous rise. In addition, after three consecutive positive lines on the daily line, there will either be a negative correction and a fall, or a large positive volume. Combined with the current trend and rhythm of gold, be careful of a high-rise fall, and it is easy to get trapped by chasing long positions at high positions. Don't feel that it will soar as soon as it rises, and the high point of 3500 seems to be within reach; don't feel that it will fall sharply as soon as it falls, and the 3000 mark is not a dream. We should stay away from those who sing long when it rises and sing short when it falls. The direction is not because you see it, so you believe it, but because you believe it, so you see it. There will always be a time when you chase the rise and sell the fall and you will return with nothing. Moreover, the high point of 3365 has not formed a substantial break and stabilized. On Monday, we still need to focus on the gains and losses of this position, so we need to look at it from two aspects: 1. If it rises directly at the opening, pay attention to the pressure near 3370-3380 and you can go short, and the target is 3350-3340! 2. If the market falls back at the opening, go long around 3340-3330, with the target above the high point of 3360-3368.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trade-Daniel
1
Gold (XAU/USD) Bullish setupThis chart shows the 1-hour price action of Gold (XAU/USD) with a bullish outlook. The price is currently around $3,349.90, with marked support levels at $3,347.63 (support) and $3,340.60 (support 2). A previous day's range is highlighted near $3,331.73, acting as a key reference. The chart suggests a potential upward move toward the resistance zone between $3,361.34 and $3,377.20, with a projected price path indicated by curved white and blue arrows. If the price holds above the first support, it could continue its bullish trend toward the highlighted resistance area in the coming days
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by DickAmelia
Market Outlook - Trump Questions Powell’s Job - Gold RalliesNordKern active market outlook, reacting to the latest news. Market Alert | Trump Questions Powell’s Job - Gold Rallies, Dollar Slips Jul 16 2025 16:56:19 CET: CBS CITING SOURCES: TRUMP ASKED REPUBLICAN LAWMAKERS IF HE SHOULD FIRE FED'S POWELL Market Reaction: OANDA:XAUUSD +$45/oz intraday, currently trading near session highs. Safe-haven demand and inflation hedge as Fed credibility is questioned. TVC:DXY Weakens notably against both the TVC:EXY and the TVC:JXY Markets pricing in higher political risk premium, potential dovish tilt under Trump. Volatility: Spiking across FX and commodities. VIX and MOVE indexes also showing upward pressure. Context Matters: While the Fed Chair cannot be dismissed without cause, even the suggestion of removal injects significant uncertainty into the macro backdrop. Historically, markets react negatively to perceived threats to Fed autonomy (see: Nixon-Burns, Trump-Powell 2018). This development comes just months before the U.S. election, adding a new layer of complexity for macro traders. What to Watch: - Fed Speakers: Any defense of Powell or pushback could stabilize markets. Or not. - Trump Campaign Statements: Will he double down or walk it back? - Upcoming Data: A dovish-leaning CPI/Jobs print could supercharge gold and further weigh on the dollar. - Volatility: Traders should adjust position sizing and risk accordingly. Increased geopolitical and monetary risk are back on the table. Traders should remain nimble, reduce leverage where appropriate, and stay alert to headline risk. Gold and FX are likely to remain reactive into the US session. NordKern
OANDA:XAUUSD
by NordKern
XAUUSD Technical Breakdown – Smart Money Analysis📊 XAUUSD Technical Breakdown – Smart Money Analysis (July 13, 2025) Gold (XAUUSD) is currently presenting a textbook example of smart money behavior, with clear signs of institutional activity driving price action. The chart highlights multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS), signaling ongoing market manipulation phases and liquidity targeting. 🔼 Price recently surged into a strong resistance zone ($3,355 – $3,370) — an area where previous supply caused sharp rejections. This level has once again proven its strength, as price formed a new BOS immediately after testing this zone. The reaction suggests the presence of institutional sell orders. 📉 Bearish sentiment is reinforced by the series of lower highs and consistent BOS formations, pointing toward a likely continuation move to the downside. The next area of interest is the liquidity pool near $3,260, which holds resting stop orders from retail long positions. Smart money often drives price toward these levels to fill larger orders efficiently. 💡 Key Technical Observations: Multiple BOS signals showing shifts in short-term trend. Rejection from well-defined resistance implies a supply zone. Bearish imbalance and clean structure favor continuation down. Liquidity pool below is a prime target for institutional move. 🎯 Trade Idea (Educational Purpose): Sell Zone: $3,360 – $3,370 Target: $3,340 – $3,300 (liquidity zone) Invalidation: Clean breakout above $3,380 resistance zone This setup demonstrates how understanding market structure, supply/demand zones, and liquidity pools can provide powerful insight into future price action. Always remember, smart money moves the market — your job is to follow the footprints, not fight the flow.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mentor_Michael03
1
GOLD Weekly Recap (Week 29) – MJTrading View📸 Viewing Tip: 🛠️ Some layout elements may shift depending on your screen size. 🔗 View the fixed high-resolution chart here: Now that you have got the perfect layout let's dive in... 📈 GOLD Weekly Recap (Week 29) – MJTrading View 🕰 Timeframe: 15min chart with bi-weekly perspective 📅 Period Covered: July 14–18 (Week 29) 🎯 Visual Framework: Leg structure, range boundaries, liquidity sweeps, trendline holds, and Real Value Zone. 🔹 Weekly Summary Open: 3,363.33 High: 3,377.77 (🔴 sweep: trapped buyers) Low: 3,310.00 (🔴 sweep into key demand + touching the main ascending trendline ) Close: 3,349.98~3350 (lovely round level) Structure: Entire week played inside a broad consolidation range, with sharp but failed breakouts on both extremes. Range rules applied: traps, sweeps, compression — everything aligned for responsive trading. 📌 Key Observations Early Week: A double-top structure led to rejection from ~3,375 → slid into 3,350. Price returned to breakeven but then flushed hard toward 3,320 via a clean 2-leg drop. Midweek: After forming a double bottom, price created a tiny liquidity sweep, then exploded to the weekly high. The move above 3,377.77 was a textbook liquidity grab, immediately rejected. This led to a slide toward the weekly low, tagging both the trendline and consolidation floor — forming a false breakout + reversal. Late Week: The low at 3,310 was swept cleanly (🔴), followed by a leg-based reversal: Leg 1: Up to 3,331 Leg 2: Extended to ~3,360 before fading back inside the range. Compression: Price closed inside the Real Value Zone (weekly candle body) — just under the open, forming a tight wedge, hinting at breakout conditions for Week 30. 🟨 Weekly Candle Body Open → Close of weekly candle reflects Real Value Zone . Highs and lows were swept, but real commitment stayed within the body. 🧭 Key Levels to Watch – Week 30 Level Role 3,377.77 Weekly High / Liquidity Sweep (🔴 rejection) 3,363.33 Weekly Open (break & hold = bullish bias) / Previous Weekly High 3,350.00 Micro resistance / Mid-structure cap / Round Level 3,331-3 Leg 2 low & first reaction zone / Round Level 3,320.00 Breakdown support / Flush origin 3,310.00 Weekly Low / Major Demand (🔴 sweep) 3,400.00 Next possible main target 3,282.00 Previous Weekly Low Dynamics: Both Uptrend and Downtrend Lines... 🧠 MJTrading Notes Bias remains neutral inside the range. A break & acceptance above 3,363 could trigger a re-test of the sweep zone (3,377+). A breakdown below 3,331 puts 3,320 → 3,310 back on the map then 3,282. Don’t force direction — let expansion confirm itself. 🧭 “If the structure speaks to you, let it echo.” – MJTrading 🚀 #MJTrading #ChartDesigner #GOLD #LiquiditySweep #PriceAction #StructureTrading #Weekly #Chart #Consolidation #2legs 🧠 Psychology always matters:
CMCMARKETS:GOLD
by MJElahifx
1
The rebound is not a reversal, continue to shortGold showed a trend of rising and falling back and closing low on Tuesday. The highest intraday rise was 3366, and the lowest fell to 3320. The daily line recorded a medium-sized Yin line with a long upper shadow. The K-line was negative, and the closing line broke the resonance support of the middle track and the short-term moving average, suggesting that the bullish momentum has slowed down and the bears are ready to move. Today, we need to pay attention to the further downward performance of gold. From the 4H level, the price stood firm at the four-hour resistance position last Thursday, and then rebounded upward in the short term. Yesterday, the price fell below the daily support level. Currently, the short-term market is bearish, and attention is paid to the resistance in the 3340-3345 range above. In the one-hour period, the price is in short-term shock adjustment. On the whole, it will be treated as a shock decline before breaking yesterday's low, and the lower side pays attention to the 3225-3320 area support. In the short term, you can consider shorting at 3340-3350 in the European session, and look towards 3330-3320 OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by HuntingWolves
XAUUSD Expecting bullish Movement Price has now entered a strong demand zone between 3310 to 3305, as highlighted on the chart. This area has previously acted as a key support, and current price action indicates potential for a bullish reversal. Structure Breakdown Wave A Strong bearish leg Wave B Minor consolidation Wave C Final push into demand zone (3310–3305) Buy Entry Zone: 3310–3305 First Target: 3365 Second Target: 3380 Risk Management is essential. Always use stop loss based on your strategy
TVC:GOLDLong
by mcfkyz
1
Eyes on 3335–3325: Next Bullish Launchpad！！！Today, gold hit 3375 several times and then fell back after encountering resistance. The lowest has reached 3341. Although the rising structure has not been completely destroyed, and the technical double bottom structure and the inverted head and shoulder structure support resonance effect still exist below, since gold fell below 3350, it has not even been able to stand above 3350 in the current rebound. The gold bull pattern has been weakened to a certain extent, and the market has begun to diverge in the long and short consciousness. Gold encountered resistance and fell back near 3375 three times, proving that the upper resistance is relatively strong. Gold must increase liquidity by retracement to store more energy for breakthrough, so the short-term correction of gold is actually within my expectations, which is why I advocate brave shorting of gold today! However, according to the current retracement range and the fact that gold has been unable to stabilize above 3350, I believe that gold has not fallen to the right level and there is still room for retracement below. So I think gold will continue to pull back to test the 3335-3325 area. If gold retests this area and does not fall below, we can boldly go long on gold in this area. Once gold rebounds after testing the 3335-3325 area, as liquidity increases, the market may form a strong bullish force to support gold to continue its rebound and continue to the 3380-3390 area, or even the 3400-3410 area.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trading_Steffen
Latest Gold Price Update TodayGold prices today continue to maintain a short-term uptrend, driven by trade tensions and U.S. inflation data. The weakening of the USD and the drop in U.S. Treasury yields have increased gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset. The trade tensions between the U.S. and the EU, along with new tariff measures, further boost the demand for gold. Additionally, the U.S. PPI for June rose by 2.3%, lower than the forecast and May’s increase, suggesting that inflation could decrease in the future. The market expects the Fed to cut interest rates in September, weakening the USD and supporting gold's uptrend. With factors like trade tensions, a weaker USD, and positive inflation data, gold prices may continue to rise. Investors need to closely monitor these factors to devise an appropriate strategy.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Kevinn_Nguyen