XAUUSD: Time For Swing Sell, 1 Hour Timeframe! Gold is currently trading at crucial level where we have witnessed a strong bearish presence. This is a small time frame overview and price may not complete the target fully, so close when you think it is the time. Good luck and trade safe!
Team Setupsfx_
GOLD trade ideas
1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Quick follow up on yesterday’s 1H chart update
Today, we saw exactly the type of reaction we were looking for at the 3328 retracement level. Price respected the zone perfectly, offering a clean bounce, just as we anticipated and stated yesterday. There was no EMA5 cross and lock below 3328, confirming a strong rejection and aligning perfectly with our plan to buy dips into 3355 and above.
This move further validates our structure and the importance of waiting for confirmations rather than jumping the gun. As always, EMA5 cross and lock levels remain key in tracking momentum shifts. We’ll continue to monitor for a cross and lock above each Goldturn level to confirm the next move.
Also, let’s not forget the 3381 gap we highlighted in Monday’s outlook, it remains a magnet above, and we’re keeping it firmly on our radar.
The plan remains the same: We are buying dips at key levels with solid risk management and using EMA5 confirmations to confirm the moves.
Updated Reminder of Key Levels:
BULLISH TARGET
3381
EMA5 CROSS & LOCK ABOVE 3381 opens
3416
EMA5 CROSS & LOCK ABOVE 3416 opens
3439
BEARISH TARGETS
3353 ✅ HIT
EMA5 CROSS & LOCK BELOW 3353 opens
3328 ✅ HIT
EMA5 CROSS & LOCK BELOW 3328 opens
3305
EMA5 CROSS & LOCK BELOW 3305 opens Swing Range:
3288
3259
As always, we’ll continue monitoring and sharing updates, as price reacts around these zones. Thank you all for the continued support, your likes, comments, and follows are genuinely appreciated!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold Pullback in Play – Still Aiming for 3450 📌 In yesterday’s analysis, I argued that bulls likely won the battle and that a new leg up toward 3450 could be next from a swing trade perspective. I also mentioned that buying dips remains the preferred strategy.
And indeed – we got that dip.
📉 Price pulled back to 3340 and bounced,
but it hasn’t yet touched my key area of interest: 3330–3335.
What now?
My view stays the same –I still expect a move toward the 3450 zone,but I also believe a deeper dip toward support is still on the table – likely a liquidity grab before the next leg up.
Trading Plan:
✅ Buying dips remains the core strategy
🚫 Invalidation only comes on a break below 3305–3310
🎯 Upside target remains well above 3400, aiming for 1000+ pips
Let’s stay focused and let price come to us.
🚀
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Gold Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring XAUUSD for a buying opportunity around 3,340 zone, Gold was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 3,340 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Gold Market Update and Recommended Strategy bulls/bears📉 Gold Holds Steady ~$3,354/oz
Moderate USD strength and tariff-driven safe‑haven buying have kept gold anchored in the $3,330–$3,360 zone.
🤝 Trade & Tariff Influence
Tariff headlines—from Canada’s 35% rate to broader threats—have supported gold by boosting safe‑haven demand heading into U.S. CPI.
📊 Technical Watch
Testing resistance at $3,360; full breakout above $3,342–$3,360 opens path to $3,400–$3,500.
Support sits at $3,330–$3,322 (20‑day EMA); breach risks pickup in short‑term bearish momentum.
💼 U.S. Macro & Fed Cues
Inflation data (June CPI due July 15) and Fedspeak ahead of the July blackout window are set to define next directional moves.
🌍 Central Bank Insight
World central banks are stockpiling gold at record rates, creating a bullish backdrop.
⚖ Range‑Bound Outlook
Expect gold to drift between $3,330–$3,360 near‑term, with upside if tariff/CPI triggers materialize.
📉 Short‑Term Bias
Neutral‑to‑bullish; momentum indicators are calm but could shift quickly on macro surprises.
📈 Med‑Term Outlook Bullish
Ongoing central bank demand, trade dynamics, and macro fundamentals still favor a gradual move toward $3,500+.
⭐ Updated Strategy Recommendations
Accumulate on dips near $3,330–$3,320.
Watch resistance at $3,360–$3,400 for profit‑taking or breakout buying opportunities.
Bears may focus on selling rallies near the upper range.
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Nice start to the week with price attempting that higher red box and failing to breach it. We then activated an Excalibur signal short, identified the structure and got a lovely move into the 3552 level from 3371 activation. Traders then had the opportunity to capture the tap and bounce from the 50MA on the hourly, again giving a minimum of 100pips on the bounce.
Now, we have support below 3340 which was the bias level which has also rejected price giving a long, but, resistance here stands at 3357. Below that level we are more likely to see this range or attempt lower sticking to the plan on the KOG Report published yesterday.
KOG’s Bias of the day:
Bullish above 3340 with targets above 3375, 3388 and above that 3392
Bearish on break of 3340 with targets below 3335, 3332, 3320 and 3310 (No Breach)
RED BOXES:
Break above 3376 for 3382, 3390, 3396 and 3304 in extension of the move (No breach)
Break below 3365 for 3362✅ and 3355✅ in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Double Top + Zigzag Complete: Are Bears About to Take Over Gold?Yesterday, the financial markets in general, including Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) , acted like a roller coaster after the news of Powell's dismissal . After this news was denied , Gold returned to its main trend, which I published in my previous idea .
Gold is currently re-attacking the Support line , Support zone($3,326-$3,325) and 50_SMA(Daily) .
In terms of classic technical analysis , it seems that gold has formed a Double Top Pattern for support breakdowns, where a Support line breakdown can also be accompanied by a neckline breakdown .
From the perspective of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Gold has managed to complete the Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) , and we should wait for the next bearish waves .
I expect Gold to break its supports and move towards $3,290 ; support breaks are best done with high momentum . An important price that can change the direction of Gold's downside is $3,350 .
Note: If Gold breaks the Resistance lines and forms an hourly candle above $3,351(Stop Loss (SL)), we can expect further Gold gains.
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 2-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS H4 TIMEFRAMECurrent Price: ~$3,371
Trend: Currently breaking out of a downtrend channel, with a strong upward push.
Chart Pattern: Price has formed a rounded bottom and is moving higher, indicating bullish momentum
🔼 Resistance Levels (Targets):
1. First Resistance / Target: ~3,404.54 – 3,403.61
→ This is the first breakout target after crossing the trendline.
2. Final Resistance / Target: ~3,462.40 – 3,490.39
→ This zone represents the major resistance where bulls might face selling pressure.
🔽 Support Level:
Support Zone: ~3,310 – 3,320
→ This is the previous bottom and the bullish reversal zone, acting as strong support.
📈 Projected Bullish Move (According to Chart Arrows):
A pullback may occur after breaking above the trendline.
Then, price is expected to rally toward 3,403, retest, and eventually target 3,462 – 3,490 area.
✅ Key Indicators Noted:
The Ichimoku cloud shows bullish bias.
Chart shows higher lows, indicating strengthening buyer interest.
Bullish candle formations near the breakout zone support upward continuation.
🧭 Conclusion (Trade Idea):
Bias: Bullish
Entry: On breakout and retest above the trendline (around 3,360–3,370)
Targets:
1st Target: 3,404
2nd Target: 3,462
Final Target: 3,490
Stop Loss: Below 3,320 support zone
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for the price to spike down into potentially the extension level 3310 and then give us the tap and bounce we wanted to be able to capture the long trade in to the 3345-50 region initially. It was those higher resistance levels that we said we would stick with and the bias was bearish below. This move resulted in a decent long trade upside into the region we wanted, and then the decline we witnessed mid-week completing all of our bearish target levels which were shared with everyone.
On top of that, we got the bounce we wanted for the long trade but only back up into the 3335 level which was an Excalibur active target. The rest, we just sat and watched on Friday as unless we were already in the move, the only thing we could have done is get in with the volume, which isn’t a great idea with the limited pull backs.
All in all, a great week in Camelot not only on Gold, but also the other pairs we trade with the DAX swing trade being a point to point swing move executed with precision by the team.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
We’ll keep it simple again this week but will say this, there seems we may see a curveball on the way this week. With tariff news over the weekend we may see price open across the markets with gaps, one thing we will say is if you see these gaps, don’t gap chase until you see a clean reversal!
We have the higher level here of 3375-85 resistance and lower support here 3350-45. If support holds on open we may see that push upside into the red box which is the one that needs to be monitored. Failure to breach can result in a correction all the way back down into the 3335 level initially. Again, this lower support level is the key level for this week and needs to be monitored for a breach which should then result in a completed correction of the move.
Our volume indicators are suggesting a higher high can take place here and if we do get a clean reversal we should see this pull back deeply. As usual we will follow the strategy that has been taught and let Excalibur guide the way.
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bullish above 3350 with targets above 3360, 3373, 3375 and 3383 for now
Bearish below 3350 with targets below 3340, 3335, 3329, 3320 and 3310 for now
RED BOX TARGETS:
Break above 3365 for 3372, 3375, 3382, 3390 and 3406 in extension of the move
Break below 3350 for 3340, 3335, 3329, 3322 and 3310 in extension of the move
It’s a HUGE RANGE this week so play caution, wait for the right set ups, don’t treat it like it’s your every day market condition. News from Tuesday so expect Monday to be choppy!
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Gold Bulls Are Back – Eyes on 3450 GOLD – Bulls Regain Control After Defending 3280
🟡 Last week was a dynamic one for Gold traders.
The week began with signs of an upside reversal, followed by a drop to test the 3280 support. That dip held—and from there, we saw a strong push higher, ending the week right at the top of the range.
📌 Friday’s close left behind a continuation Pin Bar on the weekly chart – a strong signal in favor of the bulls.
- This week started with a new local high at 3375,but we’re now seeing a pullback in the 3355 area at the time of writing.
What’s next?
Given last week’s price action, bulls seem to have won the battle and appear ready to challenge the 3400 level.
My plan for this week:
I’m looking to buy dips, and as long as nothing changes, my target is the 3450 zone.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Lingrid | Gold ready to Make BoostOANDA:XAUUSD maintains a solid bullish structure with a clear series of higher lows (HLs) forming along the ascending trendline. After strong impulsive waves labeled A and B, price has repeatedly tested the resistance zone around 3450–3460, creating a double-top-like structure with equal tests. A confirmed close above 3460 would unlock the next leg higher in this ongoing uptrend.
📉 Key Levels
🔼 Buy trigger: Break and close above 3460
🟢 Buy zone: 3320–3340 (near HL and trendline)
🎯 Target: 3650–3700 (long-term breakout objective)
🚫 Invalidation: Drop below 3275 and trendline failure
💡 Risks
-Potential fakeout above 3460 without volume support
-Broadening consolidation range if breakout fails
-Macroeconomic catalysts (FOMC, CPI, geopolitical tensions)
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3381 and a gap below at 3353. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3381
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3381 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3416
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3416 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3439
BEARISH TARGETS
3353
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3353 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3328
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3328 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3305
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3305 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3288
3259
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD H2 Rising Wedge Expecting SellOFF TP BEARS 3225 USD📊 Gold Technical Outlook Update – H4 & 2H Chart
📰 Latest Summary Headlines
• Gold stalls near highs as technical compression signals possible breakdown
• Bearish rising wedge on 2-hour chart hints at sharp move lower
• Market volatility stays elevated amid global economic risks
• Short-term sellers targeting $3,225 if wedge pattern breaks
________________________________________
🏆 Market Overview
• Gold remains in a choppy range, struggling to clear key resistance.
• 2H Chart: Bearish rising wedge pattern identified, showing compression—expecting a potential breakdown soon.
• Overhead resistances: $3,410 / $3,460 USD will likely cap further upside.
• Major supports: $3,160 / $3,240 USD.
• If support fails, next key bear target is $3,225 USD.
• Range trading remains favored for now.
• Volatility likely to persist with no major bullish headlines on the horizon.
________________________________________
⭐️ Recommended Trade Strategy
• Bearish Setup (2H): Short sell gold at market on wedge breakdown.
o Stop loss: Above recent highs (set according to your risk tolerance and latest 2H swing high).
o Take profit: Target $3,225 USD.
• Continue to focus on selling near resistance, buying near support.
• Momentum: Watch for sharp moves as wedge resolves—be nimble!
• Always manage risk and adjust stop as price develops.
________________________________________
💡 Gold Market Highlights
• Safe-haven demand still strong due to tariffs, geopolitical tension, and U.S. fiscal concerns.
• Central banks & investors remain net buyers, but jewelry demand slides at high prices.
• Price action is dominated by institutional flows, with banks forecasting potential for gold above $4,000 next year—but short-term correction likely if wedge breaks.
• Current price: ~$3,358 per ounce. Compression suggests a larger move coming soon.
________________________________________
Summary:
Gold is at a crossroads, with a bearish wedge pattern building on the 2-hour chart. A breakdown could see a quick move to $3,225. Short sellers should act on confirmation, while bulls will look to reload at key support. Stay tactical!
Gold 30Min Engaged ( 3355 Bearish Entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸Bearish Reversal 3355 Zone
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
GOLD NEXT MOVE (expecting a bullish move)(15-07-2025)Go through the analysis carefully and do trade accordingly.
Anup 'BIAS for the day (15-07-2025)
Current price- 3358
"if Price stays above 3340, then next target is 3372, 3390 and 3410 and below that 3325 and 3315 ".
-POSSIBILITY-1
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening )
-POSSIBILITY-2
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening)
Best of luck
Never risk more than 1% of principal to follow any position.
Support us by liking and sharing the post.
Gold – Bullish Structure Still Intact, but Bears are Knocking📉 What happened yesterday?
As expected, XAUUSD made another leg down, breaking even below my buy zone (3330–3335) and hitting a low at 3320. From there, we’re now seeing a modest rebound, with gold trading around 3333 at the time of writing.
📌 Current position:
I'm currently holding a long position. It hovers around break-even – fluctuating between small gains and small losses. Nothing solid yet.
❓ Key question:
Was this just a deep pullback within a bullish structure… or the beginning of a deeper trend reversal?
🔍 Why bulls still have a case:
• Price prints higher lows – bullish structure technically remains intact
• A clean break above 3350 would show short-term strength
• A confirmed break above 3375 would activate a bullish ascending triangle → targeting the 3450 zone
⚠️ But here's the concern:
• Yesterday’s dip to 3330 happened during the New York session (strong volume)
• The bounce from 3320 has been weak, with no follow-through
• Daily candle closed near the lows, showing a long upper wick → a classic bearish signal
• The confluence support now lies at 3310–3320. A red daily candle closing in this area could mean the medium-term trend is flipping
🎯 My trading plan:
Although I'm still holding my buy, if bulls don’t recover 3350 quickly, I will consider closing early. The break of 3310 would shift my bias bearish.
________________________________________
📌 Conclusion:
We’re in a critical zone. The bullish structure isn’t broken yet, but yesterday’s action was not encouraging. If buyers fail to reclaim control soon, the market may be preparing for a deeper correction. Stay sharp. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 3397 (Wave 3).Dear colleagues, my previous forecast remains valid, but I have decided to update it.
At the moment, I still think that wave “3” of the medium order continues its upward movement.
At the moment, I think that the small correction in wave “2” is ending and we will see a continuation of the trend. I see the resistance area of 3397.94 as the target. The main thing is to overcome the local level of the small wave “1” at 3366.37.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
GOLD: Continues to respect our bearish scenarioGOLD: Continues to respect our bearish scenario
Yesterday we had a bad joke from Trump and the price tested again a very strong resistance area located near 3378.
As you can see from the chart, the sell-off happened quickly and was just a sell-off in a deep pullback.
Today, the price was struggling to find a clear direction, but after Trump said he had no plans to fire the Federal Reserve's Powell, the market calmed down easily.
The price fell from another strong support area earlier today after the US printed strong Retail Sales data for June of 0.6% versus an estimate of 0.1%.
The chances of further declines, as I explained earlier, are increasing further and it could even reach 3260, it seems.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
That was a difficult move to capture! I would not blame anyone for getting frustrated and FOMO'ing. Thankfully, we stuck to our guns, price was manipulated but our targets are completed as is the move we highlighted on Sundays KOG Report. I even say here and thought what on earth are they doing, but, we gave a level of 3318 as the line in the sand, we bounced before that and BOOM, all Excalibur targets completed in one go.
Now, we have support below at the 3340-45 level which is where they may settle for the session, above 3340 we're still likely to see a retest of the level, however, we said there is a curveball this week, and look at what is happening. Can't remember the last time I saw price action this bad!
Price: 3337
RED BOXES:
Break above 3350 for 3355✅, 3362✅, 3370✅ and 3376✅ in extension of the move
Break below 3335 for 3330✅, 3322✅, 3320✅ and 3314 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe
KOG
XUA/USD) Bearish Analysis Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of XAU/USD (Gold vs USD) on the 1-hour timeframe. Here's a breakdown
Technical Analysis Summary
1. Descending Channel:
The price is moving within a clear descending channel, indicating a bearish market structure.
Recent price action rejected the upper boundary of the channel, strengthening the downtrend bias.
2. Resistance Rejection:
A key resistance level around 3,340–3,345 was retested (marked with a red arrow) and rejected.
Price has already shown early bearish candles post-rejection, suggesting weakness at that level.
3. 200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average):
Price is currently hovering around the 200 EMA, and a clean break below it could accelerate the bearish move.
4. RSI Indicator:
RSI is around 46, below neutral 50, showing bearish momentum is building but not yet oversold.
No divergence is present, supporting the idea of continuation.
---
Bearish Playbook
Entry Idea: After the rejection at the resistance zone and confirmation of lower highs.
Target: 3,313 – 3,310 zone (marked as the “key support level” and “target point”).
Risk Management: A stop loss above 3,345 (above the resistance zone) would be a prudent protection level.
---
Confluences Supporting the Short Setup:
Rejection at horizontal resistance.
Alignment with the descending trendline/channel.
Price trading near or below the 200 EMA.
RSI slightly bearish.
Caution:
Watch out for any macroeconomic news or high-impact events (highlighted with the economic event icons) that could inject volatility.
A strong break back above the resistance could invalidate this bearish setup.
Mr SMC Trading point
Conclusion:
This setup anticipates a bearish continuation targeting the 3,310 support zone. Ideal for short-term traders looking for downside opportunities, provided price respects the trend and fails to reclaim the resistance.
Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
GOLD (XAUUSD): Bullish Accumulation PatternI spotted a clear ascending triangle pattern on a daily time frame.
To validate a bullish continuation, we need a breakout above the neckline.
A daily candle close above 3370 will serve as a strong confirmation, and we can expect a move up to at least the 3440 resistance level.
Waiting for the Break: 3375 or 3320 Will Decide the Next 1k Pips📉 Quick recap:
As you know, I've been bullish on Gold. However, as explained in yesterday’s analysis, I started to approach this view with more caution. Unfortunately, I closed my long position at break even… before the rally to the 3375 resistance. That’s trading.
📌 What now?
Despite missing that move, the market is beginning to offer more clarity. There are now two key levels that will likely define the next major swing:
________________________________________
🔹 1. Resistance at 3375 – Top of the Range / Triangle Breakout Zone
• This level marks the upper boundary of the recent range
• It’s also the resistance of a developing ascending triangle
• A clean breakout above 3375 would confirm the pattern and could trigger a strong upside acceleration
• Target: 3450 zone, with potential for more if momentum kicks in (approx. 1000 pips higher)
➡️ This is the obvious bullish scenario – in line with the broader trend and classical technical setup.
________________________________________
🔻 2. Support at 3320 – The Less Obvious, but Classic Gold
• 3320 is now a confluence support area
• Technically, a break below here is less probable – but Gold has a habit of doing the unexpected
• If 3320 breaks, bears could look for a first leg to 3280 (approx. 400 pips), and very probably 3250 (around 700 pips drop)
➡️ This bearish scenario is not the base case, but it must not be ignored. Sometimes the trap is in the obvious.
________________________________________
🧭 Trading Plan:
For now, I’m out of the market, patiently waiting for confirmation. I’ll trade the breakout – whichever side gives the signal first.
________________________________________
📌 Conclusion:
Gold is coiling for a larger move. The levels are clear: 3375 and 3320 are the doors. One of them will open. Until then, we wait and prepare. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.