Gold’s Chart Update Next Move: Bullish or Bearish?Gold has shown strong bullish momentum 💪 as it breaks through the descending trendline 📉, positioning itself to target the upper liquidity zone 💰. Right now, we have two key scenarios to watch:
1️⃣ Bullish Scenario: If Gold breaks above the 3345 level and closes a solid candle above it 🔝, we could see a move towards 3360 🚀, signaling further upward potential.
2️⃣ Bearish Scenario: However, if Gold sweeps the 3345 zone and fails to maintain the bullish momentum 🔻, we may see a pullback that could push prices lower 📉.
Stay vigilant 👀 and keep an eye on price action for the next big move! 🔍📊
GOLD trade ideas
Adjust after shock and then go longNews: In the early Asian session, spot gold rose slightly, reaching a high of $3,372.65/ounce, the highest since June 23. Trump announced last weekend that he would impose a 30% tariff on goods imported from the EU from August 1, which further heated up the market's concerns about international trade and provided momentum for gold prices to rise. In the early Asian session, spot gold rose slightly, reaching a high of $3,373.99/ounce so far, the highest since June 23. Trump announced last weekend that he would impose a 30% tariff on goods imported from the EU from August 1, which further heated up the market's concerns about international trade and provided momentum for gold prices to rise.
Analysis of gold trend: Today it hit a new high at around 3373. From the daily chart, gold has closed three consecutive positive days. The K-line pattern is a bullish signal. From the indicators, the RSI turned upward from a low level, and the Stoch indicator formed a golden cross at a low level. It is currently running in the middle. The indicators show that gold is still likely to rise in the short term. At the same time, we should also pay attention to the suppression of the 3400 area on the upper track of the daily Bollinger band. In the short term, pay attention to the breakthrough of this level. Once 3400 is not broken through for multiple times, gold will still fall back to test the 3280 support in the future. Once it breaks through 3400, gold will test the 3450 area. In the short term, it is still likely to rise. The operation strategy remains unchanged.
XAUUSD – Summer Triangle ConsolidationGold (XAUUSD) is unfolding a textbook contracting triangle on the 4H chart, currently developing leg D of the pattern. This structure has been forming over the past few months and reflects classic market behavior during the summer — slow, sideways consolidation as many participants are away for the season.
Given the current structure, I expect one more leg down to form wave E, completing the triangle. Once this leg is in place and the support trendline holds, we could see a significant breakout to the upside in line with the broader bullish outlook on higher timeframes.
This setup remains valid as long as price continues respecting the triangle boundaries. I’m watching for a clean rejection at the lower trendline near point E to validate the bullish breakout scenario.
📌 Seasonality, structure, and market tempo suggest patience as the consolidation plays out. The breakout opportunity may follow shortly after leg E concludes.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | July 14, 2025
🔍 Momentum Analysis
D1 Timeframe: Momentum is currently reversing to the upside, indicating that the bullish trend may continue into early next week (Monday).
H4 Timeframe: Momentum has entered the overbought zone, suggesting that a short-term correction is likely to bring momentum back down into oversold territory.
🌀 Elliott Wave Structure
On the H4 chart, we observe a contracting triangle pattern (abcde) approaching its final stages.
In the Friday trading plan, we anticipated that the corrective phase had ended and price was entering a new impulsive wave. However, there are two irregularities worth noting:
A pin bar candle with high volume has appeared at the resistance zone near 3365, while H4 momentum is overbought. This signals a likely short-term correction — something that ideally should not happen if price is already in wave 3. Ideally, price should have surged to 3402 on Friday to strengthen the bullish case.
On the H1 chart, bullish candles are small and overlapping, reflecting weak bullish momentum and a lack of conviction from buyers.
These two signs suggest that the market may still be within the correction phase, and the 3402 level will serve as a key confirmation zone to determine whether the correction has truly ended.
💡 Trading Outlook
The bullish momentum on the D1 chart still supports BUY positions for the coming week.
However, since the H4 chart is overbought, a short-term pullback is likely.
We will look to buy on dips toward lower support zones, targeting a move toward 3393 – 3402, which remains the target area as outlined in Friday’s plan with the original entry at 3332 – 3330.
📊 Trading Plan
BUY Zone: 3342 – 3340
Stop Loss (SL): 3330
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 3370
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 3393
Gold Trading Strategy | July 14-15✅ From the 4-hour chart structure, the short-term support to watch lies in the 3340–3345 zone, which corresponds to the neckline level on last Friday's hourly chart. This is a key support area. If a pullback holds above this level, it may serve as a new launching point for the bulls.
✅ A deeper support zone is located around 3325–3330, which serves as the dividing line between a strong and weak bullish structure in the short term. If this level is broken, the bullish continuation will need to be re-evaluated.
✅ From the daily chart perspective, as long as gold prices remain stable above 3325, the overall bullish trend remains intact. The strategy of "buying on dips" remains valid. As long as there is no confirmed breakdown below this level, the outlook remains bullish.
✅ Trading Strategy Suggestions:
🔰 Initial Buy Zone: Consider light long positions on a pullback to the 3340–3345 area.
🔰 Add-on Zone: If the price dips further to the 3330–3335 area, consider adding to long positions.
🔰 Target Zone: Look for an upside move toward the 3365–3370 area, paying attention to the strength of the rebound.
🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions. If you have any questions or need one-on-one guidance, feel free to contact me.
3340-3300: Lock in the buy high and sell low in this area!Under the influence of unemployment benefits and zero monthly sales data, gold fell sharply in the short term, but it did not effectively fall below 3310 during multiple tests, effectively curbing the further downward space of the shorts. Multiple structural supports are also concentrated in the 3310-3300 area, so as long as gold does not fall below this area, gold bulls still have the potential to rebound.
However, for the current gold market, it may be difficult to see a unilateral trend in the short term. After experiencing discontinuous surges and plunges, gold may focus on consolidation and repair, and the consolidation range may be limited to the 3340-3300 area.
So for short-term trading, first of all, I advocate going long on gold in the 3320-3310 area, and expect gold to rebound and reach the 3330-3340 area;
If gold reaches the 3335-3345 area as expected, we can start to consider shorting gold, and expect gold to step back to the 3320-3310 area during the shock and rectification process.
Gold Trade Setup Eyes on 15M Demand ZonePrice is coming close to 3338, where we have a 15-Minute Order Block (OB) 📍. This is a fresh demand zone and can give a bullish reaction when price taps into it 🟢.
📌 Plan:
We will wait for price to tap the OB ✅
If we see bullish signs like rejection wicks or bullish candles, we will enter a buy 📈
Our target will be near 3366, just below the bearish FVG 🎯
Retracement for cooldownBased on the spike leaving some long wick from 1 hour timeframe, there is a possibilities for it to retrace back for cooldown period before going up. My calculations lead to 3335 as a support level.
Sell - Take profit on 3335. Believe me, I am from the broken future. Just kidding.
XAUUSD Trade Setup: Buying Opportunity at 3,322 Support ZoneGold (XAUUSD) is currently testing a critical support zone between 3,322 and 3,323 USD. This area represents a confluence of the previous swing low and the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, which is historically known to trigger technical bullish reactions. If a confirming signal appears on the H1 chart, this may offer a favorable short-term buy opportunity.
Trade setup details:
Entry (Buy limit): 3,323 – 3,322 USD
Stop loss: below 3,318 USD
Take profit: 3,331 – 3,340 USD
Risk-to-reward ratio: approximately 2:1
Technical rationale for the trade:
The 3,322 level has acted as a strong support in recent price structure
Aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement, often seen as the last line of defense in bullish setups
RSI on the lower time frame is nearing oversold, signaling potential bullish momentum
Risk management notes:
If price closes below 3,318 USD, the long idea becomes invalid
Best entries should be supported by price action signals such as pin bar, bullish engulfing, or other reversal candles near support
Conclusion: A buy position in the 3,322 – 3,323 USD zone presents a reasonable strategy as long as the support holds. If bullish reaction occurs, price may revisit the 3,340 resistance area in the short term.
Save this strategy if you find it useful, and stay tuned for more real-time trade ideas and insights.
Sell Idea
Overall Market Analysis
● Market Structure: The chart clearly shows that Gold is in a strong consolidation or
ranging phase. It is not trending up or down but is instead oscillating between a
well-defined resistance "ceiling" and a support "floor".
● Conclusion for Higher Probability: In a ranging market, the highest probability trades
are to sell near resistance or buy near support. Since the current price (~$3339) is in
the upper half of the range and closer to major resistance, a bearish (Sell) plan
currently presents a more immediate and statistically favorable setup than a buy
plan. A buy plan would require waiting for the price to drop significantly.
Hypothetical Trade Plan: Bearish Range Trade
This plan is based on the expectation that the established resistance level will hold and the price
will rotate back down within its range.
1. Thesis / Rationale: The price has repeatedly failed to break and hold above the $3350 -
$3375 zone for over a month. This indicates a strong presence of sellers at this level. The
strategy is to align with these sellers, anticipating another rotation down towards the support
level.
GOLD remains stuck near 3365dGOLD remains stuck near 3365
Price faced a strong resistance zone in the bullish move near 3365
If we look at the left side of the chart, it shows that it could fall further. The structure zone near 3365 seems to be ver.y strong.
As long as the price has not risen above 3392 when Iran attacked the US, then it should not break this area under normal conditions.
There is a high chance that a larger bearish wave will resume, but again it is very risky.
Today the economic calendar is almost empty, so we could see gold take a break, as shown on the chart before falling to 3285 and 3250 first.
It will also be affected by the tariff topic this week, because the deadline is July 9th. Trump is expected to create another mess.
In my opinion, with the current data, ARI is rising, the chances of falling further.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
XAUUSD ANALYSISOn gold currently we're analyzing 2H time frame. As we know that current trend was bullish. At this stage, I'm anticipating a retracement towards my Point of Interest (POI), where I’ll be looking for a clear bullish confirmation, ideally through candlestick structure or solid price action. Only upon receiving that confirmation will I consider entering a buy position.
This outlook is based on the higher time frame structure. For now, I'm observing patiently to see how price unfolds. Until the market sweeps the SSL liquidity, I will remain on the sidelines no entries until that key liquidity level has been taken. Confirmation is key.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
#XAUUSD 2H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
XAUUSD WAS GOES TO DOWN TREND "I follow structure, not emotions.
The trend is bearish — I sell strength, not weakness.
My entry is smart, at a lower high or CHoCH retest.
My SL is tight — just above the invalidation point.
My TP is clear — near the next demand or previous low.
I don’t hope. I manage risk and trust my edge."
---
📉 Suggested Setup Based on This Chart:
(Use this only as example — always confirm with your own strategy.)
Entry: Near the most recent CHoCH retest or rejection wick at LH (around 3,360–3,365 zone)
Stop-Loss (SL): Just above the previous LH or supply zone (around 3,375)
Take-Profit (TP): Near next support / previous LL zone (around 3,305 or even 3,248)
Risk-Reward (RR): Target at least 2:5
XAUUSD:Continue to go long
The gold price has just fallen after being pressured by the 3365 level. Currently, there are no obvious signs of a bottoming out. However, the 3340-43 range is the support position from the previous several declines. Here, one can lightly participate in the bullish orders. If going further down, the 3330 level is an important support point. Both of these positions can be utilized to go long.
Then the trading strategy:
BUY@3340-43
TP:3360-65
If the price retraces to the 3330 level, increase the position of the long bet. The goal remains the same. I will keep you informed if there are any changes.
More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗
Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
XAUUSD 4Hour TF - July 13th, 2025XAUUSD 7/13/2025
XAUUSD 4 hour Long Idea
Monthly - Bullish
Weekly - Bullish
Daily - Bullish
4hour - Bullish
Gold is looking pretty bullish this week as we saw a significant push above our 3,320.000 resistance zone. Looking to ride that same trend through this next week.
Bullish continuation - After a nice rally last week gold looks primed for another long setup. Ideally, price action goes for the retest of 3,320.000 and forms a higher low. This would confirm bullish structure and we can begin targeting higher toward major levels of resistance.
Bearish Reversal - For us to consider bearish setups we would first need to see a break back below 3,320.000 followed by a confirmed lower high. If this happens we can consider short positions and look to target lower toward major levels of support.
Report - 10 jully, 2025Nvidia Becomes First $4 Trillion Company: AI Euphoria Drives Tech Boom
Key Highlights
Nvidia surged 40% since May, reaching a $4 trillion market cap, surpassing Apple and cementing its leadership in the AI chip space.
Drivers:
Thawing US-China trade tensions in early May boosted market sentiment.
Major sovereign AI infrastructure deals in Europe and Middle East.
Continuous demand from Big Tech (OpenAI, Microsoft, Google).
Nvidia’s projected 2025 revenue: ~$200bn (+55% YoY), net income ~$105bn, gross margin >70%.
Strategic Analysis
Nvidia’s success highlights the dominant role of AI infrastructure as a "new digital oil". It also underscores the increasing gap between top-tier AI firms and the rest of the semiconductor sector.
The "AI flywheel effect" is evident: Nvidia’s chips enable AI growth → Big Tech scales → Nvidia sells even more, creating a compounding loop.
Risks & Watchpoints
Export restrictions to China remain a ceiling on growth.
Rising competition from domestic Chinese players like DeepSeek.
Potential regulatory pushbacks or tech sovereignty initiatives in key markets.
Market Implications
Supports strong flows into US Tech ETFs and growth factor strategies.
Reinforces demand for high-performance computing infrastructure investments.
Spillover benefit to data center REITs, cloud infrastructure providers, and advanced memory suppliers.
European Airlines Face Worst Delays Ever
Key Highlights
Severe staff shortages, record post-COVID demand, and extreme weather events (wildfires) expected to create "worst ever" delays.
Critical air traffic control capacity constraints in major hubs: France, Germany, Greece, Spain.
Strikes further disrupt operations, impacting airlines financially (e.g., Air France-KLM).
Strategic Analysis
Operational risk for European carriers is increasing sharply.
Near-term margin pressure due to reroutings, cancellations, and compensations.
Possible reputational harm and longer-term adjustments to travel insurance premiums.
Market Implications
Negative near-term for airline stocks, potential hedge opportunity via short positions.
Supports defensive consumer stocks and travel insurers.
Potential boost to domestic tourism and alternative transport sectors (rail).
EU Removes UAE and Gibraltar From AML Grey List
Key Highlights
EU parliament voted to delist UAE and Gibraltar, facilitating smoother transactions and trade negotiations.
Move strategically driven by EU trade talks with Abu Dhabi.
Strategic Analysis
Improves transaction flows and reduces compliance costs for EU-based banks and corporates engaging with UAE.
Enhances UAE’s reputation as a credible financial hub, possibly attracting more institutional capital flows.
Market Implications
Positive for European banks with Middle East exposure.
Supports UAE sovereign and quasi-sovereign bond demand.
Brain Aging Identified as Top Predictor of Longevity
Key Highlights
Stanford research: brain aging is the single most important determinant of lifespan, more than other organ systems.
Opens new frontiers for diagnostics and personalized medicine.
Strategic Analysis
Potential shift in longevity biotech investments toward neuro-focused therapies and diagnostics.
Emerging new segment in consumer health testing (bio-age clocks).
Market Implications
Positive for neurodegenerative research-focused biotech (e.g., companies working on Alzheimer’s, brain rejuvenation).
Creates thematic investment opportunities in longevity ETFs and specialized VC.
US Space Safety System Faces Funding Cuts
Key Highlights
Proposed 85% funding cut to Office of Space Commerce’s collision-avoidance system (Tracss).
Industry concerns: increased collision risk, higher operational costs, and potential insurance implications.
Strategic Analysis
Rising risks in orbital operations may accelerate private solutions and partnerships.
Could indirectly benefit specialized private space tracking firms and insurance providers.
Market Implications
Near-term negative sentiment for US-based satellite operators.
Supports consolidation or premium valuation of private orbital tracking players.
FSB Proposes Leveraged Limits for Hedge Funds
Key Highlights
New proposals to limit non-bank leverage and improve transparency.
Aims to mitigate systemic risk amplified by strategies like Treasury basis trades.
Strategic Analysis
Could compress returns in highly leveraged strategies, particularly macro and relative-value hedge funds.
May shift flows toward lower-leverage, higher-transparency structures.
Market Implications
Increased scrutiny likely benefits regulated fixed-income and public credit markets.
Hedge fund sector might see short-term outflows or strategy shifts.
Trump’s “Big Beautiful Bill”: Winners & Losers
Winners
Private equity & fossil fuels (carried interest loophole preserved, tax breaks).
Coal & nuclear (additional incentives).
Defense contractors (additional $150bn budget).
Certain retail segments (tariff exemptions phased out benefiting domestic).
Losers
Renewables (wind, solar incentives cut).
AI firms (lack of national regulation moratorium).
EV sector (credits scrapped).
Top universities (endowment taxes).
Strategic Analysis
Supports US traditional energy transition back toward fossil fuels.
Encourages private equity capital inflows.
Defensive healthcare positioning validated, but long-term funding risks persist.
Market Implications
Rotation into energy and defense stocks.
Potential pullback in renewable energy and select tech.
Beneficial for defense ETFs, private equity-exposed indices.
Chinese Bank Stocks Surge in Hong Kong
Key Highlights
Driven by strong dividend yields (4.6%–5.7%) vs 1.65% in local debt.
Backed by Chinese insurance giants like Ping An.
Strategic Analysis
Shows investor pivot to "quasi-fixed income" attributes of big banks.
Reflects stabilizing credit conditions and support from state capital injections.
Market Implications
Supports bank-heavy indices like Hang Seng Financials.
Reinforces China yield-hunting narrative.
Copper Market Shaken by US Tariff Threat
Key Highlights
US threatens 50% tariff on global copper imports.
Potential reduction in global copper demand, investment hesitation.
Strategic Analysis
Long-term supply chain risk for US green energy and electrification.
May lead to regional trade distortions, price volatility.
Market Implications
Bearish pressure on global copper prices despite short-term US price premiums.
Chilean and Zambian miners may face margin squeezes.
Temasek Turns Bearish on Europe
Key Highlights
Shifts focus due to US tariff uncertainty and weaker European domestic outlook.
Increased Middle East and US exposure.
Strategic Analysis
Illustrates global capital reallocation away from EU toward more "policy-stable" regions.
Encourages European corporates to further diversify geographic revenue streams.
Market Implications
Could slow inflows into European equities and private markets.
Supports Middle East infrastructure and US tech/consumer exposure.
Markets Recap
Global equities at record highs; Nvidia leads tech euphoria.
US Dollar slightly higher; Euro weaker.
Government bonds strong, yields decline on flight-to-quality and rate cut hopes.
Copper volatile; oil and gold remain firm.