Gold read but greenIt is crazy that gold right now, being in a red phase is still green in every single monthly candle.
Yes it will double.
GOLD trade ideas
GOLD: Target Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 3,363.43 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
XAU/USD(20250715) Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Sources said that after Trump's latest trade tax threat, the European Central Bank will discuss a more negative scenario next week than expected in June. The ECB is still expected to keep interest rates unchanged at its meeting on July 24. Discussions on rate cuts are still postponed to September.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
3353.05
Support and resistance levels:
3386.70
3374.12
3365.96
3340.13
3331.97
3319.40
Trading strategy:
If it breaks through 3353.05, consider buying in, the first target price is 3365.96
If it breaks through 3340.13, consider selling in, the first target price is 3331.97
Trading Game of the Day 14-JULY-2025Trading Plan:-
1-BIAS
2-NARRATIVE
3-CONTEXT
4-ENTRY
5-RISK MANAGEMENT
My tools:-
OB,nested OB , FVG , iFVG ,MSS and CISD
Gold H1 analysis According to my analyzer, gold is getting a great support from here which can take gold to the next target of 3392. If you are in the market based on my analysis, you can play.
XAU / USD 1 Hour ChartHello traders. Here is my Happy Monday scalp trade thoughts. Area of interest is marked. Let's see if we can catch a few pips if the times all align. Big G gets my thanks. Be well and trade the trend. I will post / update if I take a trade. It's only Monday so I am in no hurry to force or rush a trade. Thank so much.
Gold prices are under pressure at $3,380 todayGold prices are under pressure at $3,380 today
Safe-haven demand rises
Trump announced that he will impose a 30% tariff on EU and Mexican goods from August 1, and a 20% to 50% tariff on Canada, Japan, Brazil and other countries. The market is worried about the escalation of the trade war, pushing up gold prices.
Gold prices soared to $3,374 in the Asian session today (the highest since June 23).
Fed policy expectations
The minutes of the June FOMC meeting showed that there were differences within the Fed on the issue of interest rate cuts, and the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged in July was 93.3%. Market expectations for interest rate cuts have cooled, limiting the rise in gold prices.
US dollar trend
Last Friday, the US dollar index closed up 0.3% at 97.85, approaching the 98 mark, which puts pressure on gold in the short term.
3. Technical analysis
Short-term trend
Support: $3,340-3,350 (21-day moving average), $3,326 (50-day moving average).
Resistance level: $3377 (23.6% Fibonacci retracement level), $3400 (psychological barrier).
MACD golden cross formed, indicating that there is still room for growth.
Key observation points
If the gold price stands above $3377, it may challenge $3400;
If it falls below $3340, it may test the support level of $3320-3300.
Comprehensive analysis from the current sentiment:
Day trading ideas: Try to go long at a low price, and treat it with a volatile long-term idea. Today's gold price is likely to break through 3380, and today's target is likely to be 3400+
Fourth, pay attention to the market outlook
Trump issued a policy statement on Russia today (may involve new sanctions).
US June CPI data (released on Tuesday, affecting the Fed's policy expectations).
Subsequent development of the trade war (the EU and Mexico may take countermeasures).
XAU/USD 14 July 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on two separate occasions forming a double top which is a bearish reversal pattern. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase.
Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025.
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
H4 Timeframe - Price has failed to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS.
The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price.
As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Xausd techinical analysis.This chart is for Gold Spot vs. the U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe, and it illustrates several smart money concepts. Here's a breakdown of the key components and what they suggest:
Key Elements on the Chart:
1. BOS (Break of Structure):
Marked in orange and red text.
A BOS indicates a shift in market structure. The first BOS (left side) shows a bullish shift, while the BOS at the top may signal a potential bearish shift.
2. OB (Order Block):
Highlighted with purple boxes and labeled "OB".
These are institutional supply/demand zones where price is likely to react.
The most recent OB at the top appears to be a supply zone, as price touches it and drops afterward.
3. FVG (Fair Value Gap):
A small orange box labeled "FVG".
This is an imbalance area where price moved too quickly, potentially getting filled later. It's a sign of inefficiency in price action.
4. Support Zone:
Marked in yellow and purple at the bottom of the chart.
This is a demand zone where price previously reversed, and it may act as a magnet for future price action if bearish pressure continues.
5. Bearish Arrow (Projection):
A red arrow suggesting price may drop from the OB zone
COMEX GOLD SMALL BOEntry- 3362-3360
Target- 3370, 3374
SL- 3357
Reason- Entry In Comex gold in 15min TF with a BOS.
Disclaimer- This is just for educational purpose please.
Jai Shree Ram.
My B.B.C.This Big Beautiful Chart or B.B.C.™ shows possible extensions for this wave, when extending into all time highs there's not a lot to go on, but the 1.618 fib extension is my go-to. Paired with RSI and trend channels you can start to get an idea of where resistance and pullbacks may be.
RSI has bearish divergence so it appears we are losing investor confidence at this price level, upper movement to the next level will require some powerful news like rate cuts or more tariffs. Canada and Mexico produce 330 tonnes of gold annually while the USA produces 160 so these tariffs could very well lift the price even higher like they did with copper
GOLD Remains BullishPrice made a HH at 3365, confirming structure shift back to bullish. The last HL is at 3305, making it the protected level for bulls.
H4 OB: 3305–3322 (origin of the recent impulsive leg — ideal pullback zone)
Supply Zone: 3432–3445 (next unmitigated supply target)
Bullish if price pulls into demand zone and holds, expect continuation to 3432+
H1 OB: 3325– 3335 (potential re-entry zone)
Watch for reaction on pull back
M15 Micro bullish flow is intact; price is consolidating around 3360
Breakout Buy: M15 BOS above 3365 with retest = entry trigger
🟢Entry Zone: 3325– 3335
SL: Below 3305
TP1: 3365
TP2: 3432
TP3: 3445
Target remained gold.All markets, especially gold, have been the most manipulated in the last month.
(Market manipulation is completely different from market volatility due to news)
Previously, this happened maybe once or twice a month, but in the last month it happened more than 10 times
Last word: The price of the bottom 3247 will never be hit until the target 3257 is touched
Gold buying analysis Gold looking very crazy bonding with accumulation.so we can buying gold with confidence
Gold price will reach 3400 next weekGold price will reach 3400 next week
Would you rather believe in your own beliefs or in what Trump says?
Trump's attitude towards Powell: "Fire him!" yesterday, "I didn't say that!" today, "Actually he is a genius!" tomorrow - this is more difficult to predict than the gold market. "
"If the Fed cuts interest rates, Trump will say it is his credit;
If the Fed raises interest rates, it must be a conspiracy of the "deep government." ”
As shown in Figure 4h
Gold prices are under pressure near 3375 and are currently converging near 3350.
The entire macro triangle convergence structure is slowly coming to an end.
Next week, a new round of big market will surely break out.
And this weekend, there is a high probability that new major events + black swan events will occur.
4-hour level short-term trading logic
Bull-bear watershed: US$3350 (closing price on Friday this week)
Upward breakthrough: Pay attention to the pressure zone of US$3370→3380. If the breakthrough fails, the upward expectation will look to 3400+.
Downward breakthrough: Pay attention to 3315-3 The $320 support zone, if lost, will turn bearish to $3,280.
Core driving events:
Fed policy game (key time: July 22-25)
July 22: Fed Governor Waller's speech (previously called for a 25 basis point rate cut in July)
Market focus: If the "immediate rate cut" stance is strengthened, gold prices may break through the $3,370 resistance level.
July 24: Fed Beige Book released
Potential impact: If the report shows regional economic weakness (especially manufacturing/employment), safe-haven buying of gold will increase.
July 25: US Q2 Initial GDP value (expected to grow 1.8% year-on-year)
Scenario simulation: If the data is lower than 1.5%, stagflation trading may push gold prices up by more than 1.5% in a single day
Geopolitical risk (Trump policy interference)
July 23: Trump team may announce details of tariffs on the EU
Historical law: For every 1% increase in tariff expectations, gold volatility will increase by 0.3%, but the market has partially digested 30% tariffs.
Middle East situation: If the ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hamas breaks down, gold prices may respond quickly and rise by 1%-2%.
Summary:
Next week, gold is likely to maintain a range of $3310-3380, but there is an event-driven breakthrough opportunity.
Key observation nodes:
Waller's speech on July 22 (rate cut expectation calibration)
Beige Book on July 24 (economic resilience verification)
GDP data on July 25 (stagflation trading trigger point)
Gold Elliott Wave Bearish SetupGold 8H Analysis:
The chart shows a potential Elliott Wave pattern completing its 5th wave. After hitting resistance near 3383, price reversed at point (4) and is projected to drop toward the support zone near 3281. Bearish momentum expected.
XAU/USD 18 July 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on two separate occasions forming a double top which is a bearish reversal pattern. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase.
Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025.
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
H4 Timeframe - Price has failed to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS.
The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price.
As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSDWhat I see in gold is a lack of bullish momentum, and fundamental factors also support the idea that XAU/USD is likely to take a breather.
I’m expecting the price to touch the 3295 level, and I’m a seller at 3344.
Xausd techinical analysis.The chart you've shared is a 1-hour Gold (XAU/USD) price analysis showing a potential bullish reversal pattern with some key technical features:
🔍 Key Observations:
1. Falling Wedge Pattern (Bullish Reversal)
The pink trendlines indicate a falling wedge — a bullish reversal pattern.
Price has broken out above the wedge, indicating potential upward momentum.
2. Order Blocks (O.B)
Marked at both the bottom (support) and top (resistance).
The lower O.B near 3310 acted as strong demand/support.
The upper O.B near 3350 could be the next key resistance.
3. FVG (Fair Value Gap)
Labeled in red — indicates an imbalance that price often comes back to fill.
This has already happened, which may have fueled the bounce.
4. Fibonacci Level
0.618 Fibonacci retracement line (blue) acted as a
XAUUSD LONG 7/7/25Looking to target 3,450 price level. This is based on:
1. Price has been on a range since April 22 when the high was formed, the low of the move
that formed the high was taken out. Looking to aim to taking out the high.
2. On the weekly timeframe, last week took out the low of the week before and closed bullish
within the candle of the prior week. This provides a signal for a potential sweep of the high
of that week. Minimum 3,365 price level.
Short for Gold to TargetsSimple trading
Using patrons fibonacci RSI and Trendlines
We see a rising wedge we calculate the first high to the low of the wedge and use that to predict a target, we use the fibonacci to find the 61.8%, I have put for myself different values in the fib settings to find targets that works for the market and for me.
With precision the first high to low of the wedge I copy to find the target and matched with my fib setting.
We have enough space on the RSI to make the correction what needed is to get space for the uptrend.
Target 2 is based on the weekly fib what needed is to test on the 61.8 to complete the behavior of the market and follow the uptrend again.
We getting better in understanding the psychology of the markets behavior.
How we see the trendlines react we know there is a understanding on patrons.
Gold Just Flipped Is the Drop Coming?🚨 Gold Market Update – Are You Ready? 🚨
Yesterday, the gold market swept the liquidity from the previous days taking out stop orders and clearing out weak positions. After the sweep, price closed lower, showing clear signs of weakness. 📉
But that’s not all...
In the process, it also broke through a key bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) an area where buyers had previously shown strength. That FVG is now inverted, meaning it could act as a strong resistance level going forward.
With this shift in structure, there's a real possibility that gold could drop further, potentially hunting the liquidity resting near previous lows. The market might be gearing up for a deeper move.
🔥 So the question is:
Are YOU ready for the next leg down?
📌 As always Do Your Own Research (DYOR)
This is not financial advice just reading the tape.
XAUUSD what's going on? sittuation for 17/07/2025🔹 Current Price Action (M30 & H1):
Price is stuck in a tight range between 3335–3345.
Volume is dropping — showing no strong pressure from either buyers or sellers.
%R indicator is in the oversold zone (below -80), but there’s no sharp bounce yet.
On H1, there's a weak attempt to recover — small candles with upper wicks = uncertain growth or selling pressure at highs.
🔍 Possible Scenarios for Today:
✅ Scenario #1: Fake Breakout Down, Then Reversal Up
If price holds above 3329–3331 and we see a strong bullish candle with volume, it might be worth trying a long.
🎯 Targets: 3348, then 3355
🛑 Stop-loss: below 3328
⛔ Scenario #2: Break Below 3328, Move Lower
If M30 or H1 closes confidently below 3328, that could signal a drop towards 3315–3305.
Look to short on the retest of the broken level.
🎯 Targets: 3316, then 3306
📌 Priority Right Now:
We're in balance — no clear bias.
But if we break and hold below 3328, shorts become more attractive.
If price breaks and holds above 3345, that opens up upside potential.
