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CFDs on Gold (US$ / OZ)CFDs on Gold (US$ / OZ)CFDs on Gold (US$ / OZ)

CFDs on Gold (US$ / OZ)

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GOLD trade ideas

Gold - BUYS and SELL - did you make money with us?🟩 TRADE RECAP: GOLD (XAUUSD) — ELFIEDT RSI + REVERSION Timeframe: 15-minute Indicator Used: ELFIEDT RSI + Reversion Date: July 15–16 Market: Gold (XAUUSD) ⸻ 🟢 TRADE 1 – LONG SETUP (“UP” Signal) 📍 Location: Left side of chart (July 15, ~18:00) 🟢 Label: “UP” 🟦 Blue Entry Box: Bullish Reversion Zone 🟥 Red SL Box: Risk-defined stop zone below the signal bar ✅ Why This Trade Was Taken: • 📉 Price sharply sold off into extreme oversold conditions. • 📊 RSI with Standard Deviation Reversion: The RSI value pierced below the 3-standard-deviation envelope, triggering a BUY signal. • 🟢 “UP” label was automatically printed by the ELFIEDT indicator. • 🧠 System confirms that price is statistically stretched below mean, ideal for mean-reversion trades. • 📈 Entry was executed immediately at the close of the signal bar. • 🛡️ Stop loss was placed below the signal bar’s low, as per system rules. 🎯 Outcome: • Price reversed strongly back toward the mean. • Trade moved cleanly in favor, validating the signal and model. ⸻ 🔴 TRADE 2 – SHORT SETUP (“DOWN” Signal) 📍 Location: Right side of chart (July 16, ~18:00) 🔴 Label: “DOWN” 🟦 Blue Entry Box: Bearish Reversion Zone 🟥 Red SL Box: Risk-defined stop zone above signal bar ✅ Why This Trade Was Taken: • 📈 Sharp bullish spike pushed price far above equilibrium. • 📊 RSI exceeded the upper 3-standard-deviation threshold, triggering a SELL signal. • 🔴 “DOWN” label appeared based on confluence of overbought + RSI reversal structure. • 📉 The bearish candle close confirmed exhaustion at the top. • 📍 Entry was taken at the close of the “DOWN” signal bar. • 🛡️ Stop was placed above the high of the trigger bar, per indicator rules. 🎯 Outcome: • Price quickly rejected the highs and dropped into profit territory. • Tight structure with clean entry allowed favorable risk:reward. ⸻ 🔍 About the Indicator: ELFIEDT RSI + Reversion This system is built on the principle that price tends to revert to its mean when it becomes statistically stretched — confirmed by: • ✅ RSI divergence • ✅ Break of trendlines • ✅ Reversion from extreme zones using a 3 SD envelope • ✅ Directional confirmations from candle structure and session timing 📊 Signals include: • 📍 “UP” and “DOWN” trade labels • 📦 Entry and SL box overlays • 🎨 Candle color overlays based on 50MA and RSI alignment • 🔔 Alerts at signal bar close (non-repainting 📸 Visual Recap: 🔹 The chart shows: • ✅ Clear visual entries with SL and TP zones • ✅ “UP” and “DOWN” labels for intuitive guidance • ✅ No repainting – signals locked at close
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by ElfieTrader
Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy | July 15✅ Fundamental Analysis 🔹Gold prices surged and then retreated yesterday, mainly due to risk-off sentiment triggered by Trump’s announcement of a potential 30% tariff on EU imports. However, this sentiment was offset by the EU’s softened stance, indicating that “negotiation is still possible.” Additionally, the strength in both the U.S. Dollar Index and Treasury yields added pressure on gold. 🔹Geopolitical risks continue to rise. The EU is preparing to impose retaliatory tariffs on €72 billion worth of U.S. goods, while Trump has threatened a 100% tariff on Russian products. The ongoing Russia–Ukraine conflict also has the potential to escalate further, adding underlying support for gold. 🔹Today, the U.S. CPI data will be released — a key event for market participants. A higher-than-expected CPI figure will likely reinforce expectations that the Fed will maintain high interest rates, which is bearish for gold. Conversely, a weaker-than-expected reading may boost rate-cut expectations and support gold prices. ✅ Technical Analysis 🔸Gold failed to break the key resistance at $3375. The daily candlestick closed with a long upper shadow and a bearish body, indicating strong selling pressure from above. The MACD is showing early signs of a bearish crossover, suggesting short-term weakness. 🔴 Key Resistance Levels: $3360–3365, $3375 (critical level) 🟢 Key Support Levels: $3340, $3325 (major downside support) ✅ Trading Strategy Reference 🔺 Long Position Strategy: 🔰 If the price pulls back and stabilizes around $3335–3340, consider entering a light long position. Set a stop-loss below $3325 and aim for a target of $3355–3365. 🔰 If the price breaks above $3365 and holds, consider following the breakout with a long position, targeting $3375–3385. 🔻 Short Position Strategy: 🔰 If the price rebounds to $3360–3365 and faces resistance, consider shorting. Set a stop-loss above $3365 and aim for a target of $3340. If that level breaks, look for $3330. 🔰 If the price breaks below $3330, consider a momentum short toward the $3320 zone. ✅ Gold is likely to remain in a consolidation range during the European session. Maintain a buy-low, sell-high strategy with light positions and strict stop-losses. Pay close attention to the support at $3340 and resistance at $3365. Before the U.S. CPI data release, it's recommended to manage risk and control position sizes to avoid unexpected volatility. 🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions. If you have any questions or need one-on-one guidance, feel free to contact me🤝
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldTradePro
XAU/USD 15 July Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on two separate occasions forming a double top which is a bearish reversal pattern. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase. Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025. Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. H4 Timeframe - Price has failed to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS. The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price. As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAUUSD – July 14, 2025 – Full Tactical Battle Plan🧠 I. Market Overview & Directional Bias: 📌 Bias: Bullish-Intraday With Potential Trap Today’s price action formed a V-reversal spike low at 3353.75, clearing out stop clusters below FVG and VWAP. Followed by aggressive absorption just under 3358.5 major resistance. Volume divergence shows declining sell pressure with rising absorption on the footprint charts. 📚 Schabacker’s logic: This move resembles a classic “shakeout below support” followed by recovery—setting a trap for late sellers. 🔍 II. Multi-Timeframe Breakdown 🔥 5m & 15m: Bullish engulfing with wick rejection on VWAP level. Price reclaimed 61.8% Fibo and holding above Golden VWAP Zone at 3357.45. Delta spike showing buyer control with low negative absorption. 🕐 1H: Price broke above prior consolidation range. POC (3357.45) and VWAP holding. Order flow confirms buying strength, but hesitant above 3359.5. ⏳ 4H & Daily: Strong bullish candle on daily session. 4H is showing early signs of imbalance fill and distribution between 3360–3366. VAH = 3365.52 – watch for rejection here. 🎯 III. Key Levels of Interest (All Cairo Time): Type Level Commentary 🔴 Support 3353.75 Spike Low – Stop Hunt 🟠 VWAP 3357.45 Daily VWAP – Golden Zone 🟢 Resistance 3361.91 / 3365.52 Key FVRP Supply, VAH 🟣 Target Extension 3368.60 / 3373.91 Final extension targets 🎭 Market Maker Setup – Liquidity Psychology Friday’s action was pure accumulation under VWAP, followed by stop hunt sweep today at 3353. Current bounce = engineered rally to fill orders at premium. MM likely to: Push into 3361–3366 trap zone. Reject and pull back to VWAP or Breakout above 3366 to trigger Buy Stops (blowoff top), then reverse. 🎓 Schabacker: "Congestion and false breakouts near key levels are traps for emotional traders." This is classic trap anatomy forming. 🧱 IV. Recommended Hedge Plan 🟢 Long Setup Order Type: Buy Stop Entry: 3360.80 TP: 3368.60 SL: 3356.00 Confidence: 78% 🔴 Short Hedge (Trap/Fade Setup) Order Type: Sell Limit Entry: 3365.50 TP: 3353.80 SL: 3369.50 Confidence: 65% 🧠 Long = higher probability. Confluence at VWAP reclaim + absorption + breakout pattern. 💎 Jewel Trade Entry – Today’s Best Setup Entry Type: Buy Stop Entry: 3360.80 SL: 3356.00 TP: 3368.60 Time: Between 10:30 – 11:00 Cairo Confidence: 82% Justification: Breakout of micro range. Trapped shorts below VWAP. Buyers absorbing all dips. “False breakdown / true reversal” pattern.
FX:XAUUSD
by ICHIMOKUontheNILE
Gold Trading Strategy For Next Week✅ Gold exhibited an irregular box-range consolidation this week, with frequent directional shifts and weak trend continuity. The price tested the 3375 level twice but failed to break through effectively, followed by significant pullbacks each time—indicating clear selling pressure around that area. On the technical side, the Bollinger Bands on both the daily and 4-hour charts have contracted simultaneously, suggesting that gold is currently in a consolidation phase, awaiting a breakout to define the next direction. Overall, gold remains trapped within a broad range, with neither the upside nor downside achieving a decisive breakout. Whether the range will be broken—and in which direction—will likely be determined next week. ✅ On Friday, gold mainly trended higher within a narrow range, in line with previous expectations. During the session, we initiated a short position around 3341–3343, took profit near 3333, and subsequently shifted to a long bias. Gold then climbed to around 3361 before entering a sideways consolidation phase, closing the day near 3350. In the absence of major geopolitical news over the weekend, the bullish momentum is expected to continue into next week. ✅ From a technical perspective, the 4-hour moving average system shows a bullish divergence pattern, supporting the current upward trend. Combined with the continuation of the overnight rebound momentum, gold may target the 3380 level in the coming week. The MACD fast line is turning upward near the high zone and may soon form another bullish crossover. Meanwhile, the shrinking green histogram bars suggest that positive momentum could emerge soon. The KDJ indicator still has room to rise before reaching the overbought zone. ✅ Key short-term support levels lie at 3345 and 3340. As long as this zone holds, it can be considered a valid entry point for long positions. On the upside, attention should be paid to the 3375–3380 resistance range, which aligns with previous highs. A successful breakout above this zone could pave the way for further upside potential. 🔴 Key resistance zone: 3375–3380 🟢 Key support zone: 3340–3345 ✅ If the 3340 support holds, consider entering long positions on dips, with a target near 3380. If prices approach 3380 and show signs of losing momentum—such as divergence in indicators—it may be appropriate to consider shorting near the top, and then reassess after a pullback toward support.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldTradePro
XAUUSD _ DOUBLE TOP AND HL REACTION ZONE 📉 XAUUSD – Double Top & HL Reaction Zone Gold formed a potential double top pattern near the 3375 resistance zone, followed by a strong BMS and consecutive CHoCHs, signaling bearish pressure. However, price has respected the higher low (HL) structure near the 200 EMA, keeping the bullish structure intact for now. We are currently in a key reaction zone. If this HL holds and bullish intent appears, price may attempt another move toward the previous high. If the HL breaks, a deeper correction could be in play toward 3327 or lower. 📌 Watch for: Confirmation around 3350 zone And tp 3330 around this zone HL reaction or breakdown
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by BasitTraders
GOLD Breakout or Fakeout? Thief’s Guide to Safely Rob the Move!🏆 XAU/USD Master Plan: Loot the Bullish Rally Before the Bearish Trap!💨💰 🌟 Hola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! 🌟 Attention Money Makers & Market Robbers! 🤑💸 🔥 Thief Trading Strategy Alert 🔥 Time to execute our gold heist on XAU/USD! Based on technical + fundamental looting tactics, here’s the play: 📈 ENTRY ZONES (4H TIMEFRAME) BUY: Sneak in at Market Maker’s Buy Zone (Pullback Entries Only!). SELL: "The vault’s wide open!"—Ambush bearish traps at risky highs (Red Zone). 🛑 STOP-LOSS (THIEF RULES) Hide your SL at: Past key lows OR nearest swing low (4H). Adjust based on your risk, lot size, & robbery multiplier. 🎯 TARGET: 3525.00 (OR ESCAPE EARTHER!) Scalpers: Long-side only! Trail your SL to lock loot. Swing Thieves: Join forces—big pockets or small, execute the plan! ⚠️ WARNING: NEWS = VOLATILITY TRAPS! Avoid new trades during news. Use trailing SL to protect stolen profits. 📰 FUNDAMENTAL LOOT LIST (READ BEFORE HEIST!) COT Report, Macro Data, Sentiment Outlook—Link in bi0! 🔗🤙🏻👉🏻👉🏻 Gold’s bullish now… but robbers adapt fast! 💥 BOOST THIS PLAN = STRONGER GANG! Hit 👍 & Share—More boosts = More gold stolen daily! Stay tuned… Next heist drops soon! 🚀🐱‍👤
VELOCITY:GOLD
by The-Thief
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Great start to the week with our levels being respected inline with our plans to buy dips. We started the week with our bearish target 3330 being hit followed with ema5 cross and lock opening 3306 inline with the retracement range. This was hit perfectly completing the retracement range, followed with the weighted level bounce now heading towards 3330. We still have the market opening bullish gap left at 3358 and will need a challenge and ema5 lock above 3330 to re-confirm this again. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3358 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3358 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3389 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3389 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3416 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3416 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3439 BEARISH TARGETS 3330 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3330 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3306 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3306 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3283 3254 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
9
Gold price summary: will continue to rise to $3,400Gold price summary: will continue to rise to $3,400 Analysis of the latest gold news (as of July 12, 2025) 1. Macroeconomics and monetary policy The market generally pays attention to the interest rate meeting on July 29-30. If the Fed sends a dovish signal, it may further enhance the attractiveness of gold as an anti-inflation asset. However, the non-farm payrolls data in June showed that the labor market is still resilient, and the pressure to cut interest rates in the short term is limited. The US dollar index continued to weaken, and the medium- and long-term depreciation trend has not changed, providing monetary support for gold. 2. Geopolitical risks are heating up The situation in the Middle East has escalated Israel arrested a special agent team of the Iranian "Quds Force" in southern Syria, triggering escalation of regional tensions. At the same time, the Houthi armed forces used hypersonic missiles to attack Israel, resulting in obstruction of Red Sea shipping and a 300% surge in aviation insurance costs, further boosting the demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. The conflict between Russia and Ukraine continues to ferment The Russian army announced that it had completely controlled the entire territory of Luhansk, and the United States suspended some military aid to Ukraine, and the situation on the battlefield was stalemate. Geopolitical risks and global central bank gold purchases (China has increased its holdings to 73.9 million ounces for eight consecutive months) highlight the value of gold as a "crisis hedge tool." Technical Analysis Key resistance: $3,370 Short-term support moves up to $3,330. Macro support: 3300 (psychological support), 3277 (trend line support), 3247 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement level). Macro resistance: 3370 (61.8% retracement level), 3400 (psychological barrier), 3452 (previous high). Short-term trend: Breaking through key resistance: Gold price breaks through the upper track of the triangle pattern ($3327) and the $3350 resistance level (50% Fibonacci retracement level), and the short-term technical side is strong. Operation strategy Long position: Pull back to 3320-3330 range to go long Stop loss at $3310 Target at $3380-3400. Be cautious about shorting Oscillating range strategy: If the price stabilizes at $3350-3365, it may further hit $3400; start a new round of rise. If it falls below $3300, it may fall to the support level of 3277-3247.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by louisa111222
No Bullish Confirmation – Targeting 3250 on XAU/USDIn yesterday’s analysis, I mentioned that due to Monday’s daily Pin Bar, I closed my short trade on Gold around break-even and decided to wait for more confirmation. Unfortunately, that wasn't the best decision. The price failed to break above resistance for a bullish continuation and instead dropped sharply, closing the day exactly at the 3300 figure. At the time of writing, Gold is trading even lower at 3293, after briefly rebounding from the 3285 support zone—a level I’ve highlighted in the past. Moving forward, after the failed bullish continuation and yesterday’s bearish move, it’s clear that bears are back in control. A drop toward the 3250 zone is now on the table. Conclusion: I’m looking to sell rallies, with my invalidation zone set above 3340, aiming for a good risk-to-reward setup. Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
13
Update on: "XAU USD a little & nice BUY set up" 11-07-2025Quick update : I did "collect" a bit earlier (Unlucky I haven't got possibility to monitor trade all the way down today ), TP @ 3365.405.... Like I said earlier, a little & nice trade! Also, did hit TP around - 3367.188 as promised ! AAA+ trade ! All analysis is based on technical analysis only... Short & clear without any "BS"... I do not believe in fundamental analysis (& if you are desperate for it, then... gold is never going to get cheaper in a very long term & it is a good investment for the next 50-100+ years, if you are happy with "preserving" your wealth, but if you are looking get paid this or next week, then...trading is a way. ) All of you have a lovely weekend ( with a nice profit in the pocket ! )
OANDA:XAUUSD
by G-money2022
Gold Expecting bullish Movement Price is currently showing strong momentum with visible rejections and key zone reactions. According to my analysis First Resistance Zone: 3382.70 Second Resistance Zone: 3360.50 Support Zone: Around 3330.50 Yellow Arrow: Indicates possible early rejection and a move toward the support zone Blue Arrow: Suggests price may bounce back from the 3330.50 support and retest upper zones As long as price remains below the 3360.50 resistance zone, my bias remains bearish However, if price breaks above this level with strong volume, we may see bullish continuation
TVC:GOLDLong
by mcfkyz
5
XAU/USD) bearish Trand analysis Read The captionSMC trading point update Technical analysis of (XAU/USD) on the 3-hour timeframe, projecting further downside after rejection from a resistance zone aligned with a descending trendline. --- Analysis Summary Trend Bias: Bearish Current Price: ~$3,301.96 Structure: Price is respecting a descending channel, with multiple rejections from the upper boundary and key resistance zone. --- Key Technical Insights 1. Resistance Zone & Downtrend Line: Price was rejected from a resistance block near the EMA 200 (~$3,331) and descending trendline. This level has repeatedly triggered strong downside moves (highlighted with red arrows). 2. EMA 200 Reaction: The EMA 200 at $3,331.10 is acting as dynamic resistance. Each time price reaches or crosses above this line, selling pressure increases. 3. Bearish Price Projection: After recent rejection, the chart anticipates a pullback to the support zone between $3,248.26 and $3,245.71. A deeper drop toward $3,159.13 is projected as a next major target, consistent with previous price moves. 4. RSI Indicator: RSI at 40.24 suggests bearish momentum is still in play but not yet oversold—indicating room for more downside. --- Bearish Trade Idea Element Level / Description Entry Zone Below resistance: $3,310–$3,320 Target 1 $3,248.26–$3,245.71 (support zone) Target 2 $3,159.13 (channel base / next support) Stop-Loss Above $3,335 (above resistance zone) --- Risk Considerations Fundamental catalysts: Gold is sensitive to USD strength, interest rate decisions, and macroeconomic data. Invalidation: A strong breakout and close above the descending trendline and EMA 200 would negate the bearish outlook. --- Summary This analysis outlines a bearish setup for XAU/USD, supported by trendline resistance, EMA rejection, and RSI momentum. If current structure holds, a move toward the $3,245 and $3,159 levels is likely. Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by SMC-Trading-Point
17
GOLD SELL M15 Gold (XAU/USD) 15-Min Chart Analysis – July 11, 2025 Price is currently trading around 3346.94, after showing a Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside, reaching into a supply zone (highlighted in red). This area also marks a "Weak High", indicating potential for a bearish reversal. Key Observations: Supply Zone: Between approximately 3346 – 3353 Stop Loss (SL): Set at 3353 Entry: Anticipated from the top of the supply zone after rejection Expected Move: Price is projected to drop after rejecting from the supply zone and form lower highs and lower lows. Target Levels (Bearish Scenario): 1. First Support: 3342.17 2. Second Support: 3337.13 3. Main Target: 3332.13 (highlighted as "TARGET 3332") This analysis anticipates a bearish move from the current level, based on price action and structure.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Sniperfx05