Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy | July 14✅ On Friday, gold prices surged strongly, successfully breaking through the key resistance level of 3345, which pushed the price higher and hit our take-profit target at 3365. The price remains strong, indicating that bullish sentiment continues to dominate the market. However, in the upcoming trades, we need to watch for a secondary pullback to base our next moves on.
✅ From a short-term perspective, if gold fails to break through the resistance zone at 3392-3400 next week, a double top pattern may form, putting pressure on the price. This could lead to a correction. Therefore, pay close attention to the fate of this resistance zone. A breakout above it may push the price higher, while a failure could result in a pullback.
✅ On the daily chart, the Bollinger Bands are starting to narrow, signaling that the current consolidation phase is about to end, and a new trend may emerge. Overall, after two months of consolidation, the probability of a bullish breakout is high, and we expect gold to continue rising in the coming days.
✅ On the 1-hour chart, the price remains in a strong bullish trend. Although the pullbacks have been small, we should not get complacent. Even in strong markets, there’s always a risk of deeper corrections. To avoid chasing prices too high, it's recommended to wait for a secondary pullback before making a decision.
🔴 Upper Resistance: The key resistance zone is currently between 3392-3400. If the price breaks through this area, it may continue to rise, but if not, there’s a risk of a pullback.
🟢 Lower Support: The first support is at 3340, which is a crucial point for the bullish-to-bearish transition. If the price declines further, the second support level is around 3330.
✅ Trade Strategy Reference:
Overall, we expect a pullback opportunity for gold next Monday. The short-term strategy should focus on buying during pullbacks and selling on rebounds. Pay close attention to the resistance zone at 3392-3400 and the support zone at 3340-3330. If the price retraces to 3345-3340, consider buying.
🔥 Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive and should be adjusted in real time based on market conditions, especially after key support or resistance levels are broken. If you need more accurate and timely trading signals, feel free to reach out to me directly!
GOLD trade ideas
The 3-Method Framework: Simplifying Technical AnalysisMost traders get caught up in complex indicator setups, thinking that more tools equal better results. We rely on moving averages to tell us if prices are trending up or down, and we depend on support and resistance levels to predict market movement. But what if I told you there's a simpler, more powerful way to read the market using pure price action?
Today, I want to share my experience and understanding of bias and expectations for the next candle formation. This approach is refreshingly simple because we don't need to understand every single price movement - we just need to focus on what matters most.
Method 1: Opening Price Comparison
The first method is beautifully straightforward. For a bullish bias, the current opening price should be above the previous opening price. That's it. Sounds almost too simple, right? But simplicity often holds the greatest power in trading.
For Gold yesterday, we simply needed to compare the latest opening price on the Daily timeframe with the previous opening price. It's that simple.
Method 2: Mid-Level Analysis
The second approach involves comparing mid-levels between candles. We compare the mid-level of the previous candle with the mid-level of the candle before that. I know it might sound a bit complicated when explained this way, but once you visualize it on your chart, the concept becomes crystal clear.
Still on Gold, we just compare the 50% or mid-level of the previous candle with the candle two periods back from the latest candle on the daily chart.
Method 3: Expansion Expectations
The third method helps us anticipate expansion in price. Traditional complex methods require analyzing numerous factors, but this simplified approach only needs two candles before the current one. Here's how it works: we use the high and low of the candle two periods back, and the open and close (body) of the previous candle. If the previous candle's body sits within the high-low range of the two-candle-back formation, we can expect price expansion.
The beauty of this method is that we don't care whether the price is bullish or bearish - we simply expect expansion to occur. Think of it like a compressed spring: when price gets squeezed within a previous range, it often seeks to break out in either direction. We're not predicting the direction, just the likelihood of significant movement.
Still on Gold, I randomly selected all inside candles on the Daily timeframe. Remember, the purpose is only to expect expansion, not direction. If you want to use this for directional bias, make sure you apply the additional analysis required.
Remember, there are no guarantees in trading, but this method provides valuable insight into potential market expansion.
Advanced Combinations for Enhanced Analysis
Combining Methods 1 and 2 creates our most accessible approach since you only need two candles. When both the opening price and mid-point from two candles ago indicate bullish conditions, we can expect the current candle to follow an OLHC bullish pattern.
You can see the 3 examples I've provided in the image, and all of these are applicable across all timeframes, both daily and 4-hour.
Combining all three methods offers a more sophisticated analysis, particularly useful for anticipating market reversals. This involves marking the current and previous opening prices, comparing mid-levels from the last two candles, and identifying the high/low range from two to three candles back.
Now I'm adding Inside Candles from 2-3 periods back (My personal rule is maximum 3 candles before the current candle, or this analysis will lead to analysis paralysis).
The Bullish and Bearish Rules
Bullish Rule 1:
Opening price above the previous opening price
Mid-level of the previous candle above the mid-level of the previous candle before that.
Inside candle formation (optional)
Bearish Rule 1:
Opening price below the previous opening price
Mid-level of the previous candle below the mid-level of the previous candle before that.
Inside candle formation (optional)
The Secret Sauce: Timeframe Harmony
Here's where the "devil is in the details" comes into play. You might find perfect bullish conditions on your chart, but the market still reverses. The secret lies in using this method on Daily and 4-hour timeframes simultaneously.
Simply understand it from the chart.
Simply understand it from the chart.
If Rule 1 conditions are met on the daily chart, they must also align on the 4-hour chart. When the 4-hour contradicts the daily, follow the 4-hour signal as it might indicate a "sell on strength" or "buy on weakness" scenario.
The formula is simple: must align with
I've never tested this on 1-hour charts because the Daily and 4-hour combination provides sufficient accuracy for my trading approach.
Enhanced Rules for Precision
Rule 2 makes the inside candle formation mandatory rather than optional. Sometimes you'll encounter mixed signals where the mid-level suggests one direction while the opening price suggests another. The solution? Drop down to a lower timeframe for additional confirmation.
I don't recommend using this method below the 4-hour timeframe, but you can certainly apply it to Monthly or Weekly charts for long-term bias determination. The key is analyzing both Daily AND 4-hour timeframes together, not just one or the other.
When timeframes conflict, often just one key level provides the confirmation you need - typically a previous Monthly or Weekly high or low.
Final Thoughts
Pure price action mastery isn't about having the most sophisticated setup or the most indicators on your chart. It's about understanding the fundamental relationship between opening prices, mid-levels, and candle formations across meaningful timeframes.
This approach has served me well because it cuts through market noise and focuses on what price is actually telling us. Start with these three methods, practice identifying the patterns, and gradually build your confidence in reading pure price action.
Remember, consistent profitability comes from mastering simple, reliable methods rather than chasing complex strategies. Keep practicing, stay disciplined, and let price action guide your trading decisions.
Good Luck! :)
Following Price Flow to the Next TargetPrice swept liquidity below the previous day’s low and then powered back up, breaking structure to the upside. Now it’s sitting above the 50 EMA, moving through fair value gaps left by the rally. I’m watching for a possible pullback into the FVG zone near the EMA. If that level holds, price could look to reach for the liquidity above around 3,365.
But here’s what matters most. Even if this ends up being a losing trade, I’d rather take that loss knowing I stuck to my plan than catch a random win by breaking my rules. Because long-term, winning trades that come from impulse actually set you up for future damage. They teach bad habits.
Losses that happen inside your system? Those are simply the cost of doing business. They protect your discipline and keep your edge intact. Over time, that’s exactly what allows you to stay in the game and grow your account.
XAUUSD Sniper Outlook – July 7, 2025"Structure over noise. Patience is power. Welcome back to the battlefield."
👋 Hey traders!
After a low-volume week due to the US Independence Day holiday, we now re-enter the battlefield with structure tightening under major resistance — and with Fed commentary on the radar.
No CPI. No NFP. But don't sleep on the setups — liquidity is quietly shifting.
🧭 Here’s what we’ve got ahead:
🔔 Key Events – July 8–12:
🟡 Monday–Tuesday: BRICS Summit (geo/political exposure)
🔵 Wednesday: FOMC Minutes – potential policy clues
🔴 Thursday: Unemployment Claims + Fed speakers (Muserlian, Waller)
⚪ Friday: Federal Budget Balance
We’re likely entering a reactive environment — fueled by internal structure shifts, not major macro catalysts. Perfect for smart money setups.
🧠 HTF Structure & Bias
🔹 Daily Bias:
Price remains capped under the key daily supply 3344–3351, which rejected cleanly before the holiday. Unless that flips into support, bias remains neutral to bearish.
EMAs 5/21 are curling sideways. RSI is flattening, and structure shows fading momentum.
🔹 H4 Bias:
We’re consolidating below a CHoCH + LH series, inside premium territory. The rejection from 3344 was precise, and unless broken, pressure favors the downside.
Price is rotating between the H4 EQ and the 3325–3332 intraday OB. Momentum is slowing — watch for re-accumulation or rejection depending on reaction at key zones.
🔴 Supply Zones (Sell Scenarios)
1. 3344 – 3351
This is the Daily + H4 supply from last week. EMA alignment + FVG + liquidity sweep confluence.
Perfect sniper rejection area if price trades up and stalls. Look for M15/M30 CHoCH confirmations.
2. 3380 – 3394
Untouched H1-H4 OB in premium. Not related to CPI/NFP — just pure inducement wick potential from above. If tapped after midweek liquidity push (e.g. FOMC Minutes), watch for overreaction entries.
🟢 Demand Zones (Buy Scenarios)
1. 3325 – 3332
Last week’s discount reaction zone. H1 OB + internal CHoCH zone. If swept and protected by bullish PA (M15 BOS), this becomes the best R/R long back into 3344.
Already tested Friday, but still holds weight for Monday.
2. 3286 – 3272
H4 OB + daily demand + RSI oversold zone.
If we get a full breakdown early week, expect this area to act as a reaccumulation pocket for bulls — but only with confirmation.
⚔️ Decision Zone – 3299 – 3305
This is the weekly flip area.
If bulls defend 3305 → bullish short-term bias returns.
If 3299 fails → downside continues into 3280s.
🧠 Summary & Gameplan
🧷 No CPI. No NFP. That means cleaner technical moves — no fake news spikes, just pure structure.
Expect Monday to be reactionary (post-holiday), and Wednesday–Thursday to bring intraday setups post-FOMC minutes.
✅ If price is in premium, watch for bearish rejections at 3344/3380.
✅ If price dips into discount, wait for confirmation longs at 3325 or 3286.
✅ Stay patient in mid-range. Don’t force trades inside chop zones.
🧲 If this gave you real clarity — don’t just scroll on.
Hit the ❤️ button, smash Follow, and tell us in the comments:
👉 Which zone do you trust more — the 3325 reentry or the 3380 inducement trap?
Let the gold tribe know 👇
—
📢 Disclosure:
This analysis is based on the Trade Nation TradingView feed. I’m part of their Influencer Program and receive a monthly fee.
⚠️ Educational content only — not financial advice.
— GoldFxMinds 💛
Patience | Discipline | Fearless Execution
XAUUSD h4 down pattranDouble Top Yes Break above neckline = Bullish invalidation
Resistance Selling Zone Yes May flip to support
Target Zone (3,260) Yes Over-tested support may trigger reversal instead
FVG (~3,200) Yes May not fill if bullish momentum sustains
Strong Support (~3,100) Yes Price might not drop that far before buyers
WITH ZARA..FVG
XAUUSD Trade UpdateYesterday price failed to hold below key support.
Gold has now broken out of a descending channel after reclaiming the global trendline. It’s trading above the nearest fractal and testing the MA200, with Awesome Oscillator flashing bullish momentum.
#TradeIdea
🔼 Buy XAUUSD — only if we get a clear consolidation above $3340
🎯 Target 1: $3360
🎯 Target 2: $3385 (only after Target 1 is hit)
⚠️ Wait for confirmation — no premature entries.
Lingrid | GOLD Potential A-B-C Movement in ProgressOANDA:XAUUSD bounced strongly from the ascending trendline and reclaimed key structure near 3,275, signaling strength after rejecting the prior downward channel. Price has broken above the descending trendline and is now testing the 3,329 resistance zone with bullish momentum. If buyers maintain control above this breakout area, a push toward the 3,400 level becomes increasingly likely. The structure supports a continuation of the bullish leg unless price drops back under 3,275.
📉 Key Levels
Buy trigger: breakout and retest hold above 3,329.3
Buy zone: 3,300–3,329 (breakout + structure support)
Target: 3,400 first, extended toward 3,500
Invalidation: sharp drop below 3,275 negates bullish setup
💡 Risks
False breakout above 3,329 could invite short-term pullback
Rejection at 3,400 may lead to consolidation below resistance
Macro shocks (Fed, CPI) could reverse sentiment abruptly
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
XAUUSD Approaching Breakout Zone – Watch for Confirmation GOLD (#XAUUSD) – High-Probability Bullish Continuation Setup
Gold is maintaining its strong bullish structure on the daily timeframe, having recently respected a rising trendline, confirming ongoing buyer interest and market confidence.
Currently, price action is forming a well-defined Cup & Handle pattern, which is considered a high-probability bullish continuation formation. The market closed last week near the neckline resistance around the 3367 level, showing signs of pressure building for a breakout.
Key Technical Insight:
A daily candle close above 3367 will confirm a breakout of the neckline and validate the bullish setup. However, for entry confirmation, a clean breakout and daily close above 3380 will provide a stronger technical signal and reduce the likelihood of a false breakout.
Technical Summary:
Chart Pattern: Cup & Handle
Trend Structure: Rising Trendline (Confirmed)
Neckline Resistance: 3367
Breakout Entry Level: 3380+
Bias: Bullish
Timeframe: Daily
Gold is ready to go up againHi traders,
Last week gold went up again after a correction to finish (orange) Wave D just as I've said in my outlook.
Next week we could see another move down for Wave E and after that the next impulsive wave 5 up.
Or the last correction down was already wave E and gold started the next impulsive wave up.
In both cases gold will shoot up after a correction down.
Let's see what price does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a small correction down on a lower timeframe and a change in orderflow to bullish to trade longs.
If you want to learn more about trading FVG's & liquidity sweeps with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
Although the bulls are strong, don't chase them at high levelsGold trend analysis:
The market is fluctuating repeatedly now, and it is possible to rise or fall, but under the bullish trend, the main force is still rising. Therefore, this week's trading is to fall back and do more at a low price. Whether it is the previous 3285, 3306, or 3315, there are good profits. Although it is temporarily unable to break out of the bullish volume, at least the trend remains unchanged, and there will definitely be a large upward space in the future. Today is Friday, and we still pay attention to the possibility of bullish volume. This week, we have been emphasizing that if it rises during the week, we will see the 3370 high point. If 3370 breaks, there are still 3380 and 3400 above. On Friday, we will see whether this idea is realized.
From a technical point of view, there was a sharp pull this morning, with the big sun breaking through the upper track of the downward channel 3326 in the above figure, and then stepping back to confirm stabilization and bottoming out, which means that the breakthrough is effective, so you can directly follow the bullish trend in the morning, and during the European session, it repeatedly went up and down around the 3345-3332 range. With the experience of yesterday's trend, today we have been waiting for it to approach the 10-day moving average and then continue to be bullish on dips, and the entry point is basically good; currently it has broken through the resistance level of 3345 in the European session, so it depends on whether it can stand directly on it tonight. Once it stands, it can gradually rush to 3370, and the second is 3374, etc.; Of course, if it just pierces but does not stabilize, it will continue to spiral slowly upward around the yellow channel in the figure, so continue to wait patiently for the 10-day moving average, which is also the lower track position to grasp the low and long; Therefore, tonight gold 3345-3333 continues to rise on dips, with 3330 top and bottom positions as nodes, resistance at 3370, further resistance at 3374, etc.; If there is an unexpected big negative inducement to empty the market like yesterday, pay attention to stabilization above 3320 and still bullish;
Gold operation strategy: It is recommended to go long when it falls back to 3333-3345, and the target is 3360-3370.
Gold Price Holds Within Channel - Watching for Channel BreakGold is currently moving within a downward sloping channel, reflecting a period of controlled price movement.
If the price continues to follow the channel, it may trend lower in the short term, with the next key support level seen around $3260.
Alternatively, a breakout above the upper boundary of the channel may signal a shift in momentum, opening the way for further upside.
Technical Levels to Watch:
Support: $3260
Resistance: Channel top (watch for breakout confirmation)
Outlook: Continuation within the channel suggests further downside, while a breakout could shift momentum in favor of buyers.
Gold Analysis – Multi-Timeframe OutlookOn the Monthly timeframe, we’ve now seen a clear triple wick rejection, signaling potential downside momentum. After multiple failed attempts to break above the $3,400 level, price action has begun to retrace.
Looking at the 1H timeframe, we’ve broken below the upward trendline, and price continues to push lower. This reinforces the bearish sentiment for now.
That said, if we see a break and close above $3,330, I’ll be watching for a potential retest of the previous trendline near the $3,364 level. Conversely, a break below $3,283 could open the door for further downside toward the $3,247 level.
Heading into Friday, with no significant USD news on the calendar, I’m expecting low volatility and potential sideways movement.
Trade Ideas:
• Sell zone: $3,325 – $3,330
• Buy zone: $3,308 – $3,313
As always, risk management is key — only risk 1–2% of your capital per trade.
Good luck and stay disciplined!
Precisely look at 3365 and pay attention to the pullback chanceAt present, gold has risen as expected and reached the highest level near 3368. The upper 3375-3385 constitutes a short-term resistance level. At present, the bullish momentum is still relatively strong, and the short-term support structure below has been formed. I still maintain the views of the previous transaction and wait for a second trading opportunity when it pulls back below. Although the 1H chart shows that the current trend remains strong and the retracement is small, it is necessary to remain cautious - even if the market is strong, it is not recommended to chase long easily, and the risk of a deep correction in the gold price must be guarded against. First, pay attention to the support area of 3345-3335 below. If it falls back to this level, you can consider going long with a light position.
OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold Intraday Trading Plan 7/14/2025Although I am bearish in weekly TF, the trend is not yet reversed in smaller TFs. In 4hrly TF, gold is very bullish. There is no sign of slowing down.
I will watch price closed in current level. If 3365 is broken, I will stay out for today. If 3365 holds, I will sell towards 3345.
There could be some buying opportunities as well if 3345 support holds.
Let's see the market will provide us today.
check the trendIt is expected that the upward trend will pass the resistance range and with the stabilization above this range, we will see the continuation of the upward trend.
If the price crosses the support trend line, the continuation of the correction will be formed. And with the failure of the support range, the beginning of the downtrend of the scenario will be likely.