July 9, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunityAnalysis:
Gold is currently in a choppy downtrend. Watch the 3300 level closely — if price holds above it, bulls may still have strength.
However, if it breaks below 3297, bearish momentum is likely to accelerate.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 3365 – Resistance
• 3350 – Resistance
• 3345 – Intraday key resistance
• 3330–3333 – Intraday key support zone
• 3322 – Short-term resistance
• 3310 – Resistance
• 3300 – Psychological level
• 3295 – Key support
• 3285 – Support
• 3275 – Support
📈 Intraday Strategy:
• SELL if price breaks below 3300 → watch 3295, then 3287, 3282, 3275
• BUY if price holds above 3310 → watch 3315, then 3322, 3330, 3337
👉 If you want to know how I time entries and set stop-losses, hit the like button so I know there’s interest — I may publish a detailed post by the weekend if support continues!
Disclaimer: This is my personal opinion, not financial advice. Always trade with caution and manage your risk.
GOLD trade ideas
GOLD – Demand-Driven Strength Amid Economic DataGOLD – Demand-Driven Strength Amid Economic Data
Gold (XAUUSD) continues to show bullish momentum today, driven by increased demand and buying interest following a backdrop of recent economic data.
Key Price Levels to Watch:
Resistance Zones: 3320 and 3345 / 3293
Technical Outlook: The recent decline is forming an interesting bullish correction pattern, and as long as bulls maintain price within the upward trend channel, the structure remains constructive.
You may find more details in the chart Ps Support with like and comments.
GOLD → Readiness to test the local bottomFX:XAUUSD is under pressure from the rising dollar and uncertainty, breaking through support levels, which opens up a corridor for the market to fall to 3255 - 3246
The price of gold is consolidating around $3300 after falling more than 1% amid expectations of the Fed minutes and news about tariffs.
Investors remain cautious: the dollar is supported by hopes for US trade deals, while the threat of new tariffs from August 1 is holding back gold's growth.
Weak inflation data in China did not support the metal, while expectations that the Fed will not rush to cut rates due to inflationary pressure from tariffs are also limiting interest in gold. Traders are waiting for the Fed minutes and new statements from Trump to determine the further direction.
Technically, the market looks weak (on D1, the price closed below the key level of 3300 on Tuesday) and there is a chance of a further decline.
Resistance levels: 3300, 3311
Support levels: 3295, 3255, 3246
Consolidation below 3295-3300 could trigger a further decline to 3255, from which the market could react with a correction.
Buying can be considered if gold reverses the short scenario, manages to strengthen to 3311, and consolidates above this level. At the moment, the price is in the selling zone...
Best regards, R. Linda!
XAUUSD BUY 3260On the 4-hour chart, XAUUSD is currently fluctuating and falling, and the short-term market is expected to continue to fall. The current support below can be focused on around 3260, which is a potential buying position for the bullish bat pattern, and this position is also in the previous demand area.
Expecting Gold bullish Movement The chart illustrates a potential bullish reversal setup for Gold XAU/USD on the 15-minute timeframe Price action has recently tested and respected a key demand zone marked as the Kee point around the 32853 level This area acted as strong support with multiple rejections suggesting buyer interest
Following this, the price has started forming higher lows and higher highs indicating the beginning of a bullish structure The large blue arrow suggests bullish momentum is expected to continue, aiming for upside targets
Key Levels
Kee Point Support Zone 3285 Crucial area where the reversal initiated
Target 1: 3316 First resistance level and a potential take-profit zone
Target 2: 3330 Final bullish target if momentum sustains
Outlook
As long as the price holds above the Kee Point, bullish continuation is favored
Breaking and closing above Target 1 could lead to further gains toward Target 2
A break below the Kee Point would invalidate this bullish scenario
This setup presents a potential buying opportunity with defined upside targets contingent on sustained bullish pressure
BUY TRAP OR TREND ?xauusd is supposed to frame bearish zone by faking bullish trend. the current candle sticks momentum indicate seller control. the dollar performance and high intererst rate along with geopolitical peace full events are likely to encourage a seller control.
the resistance is 3370 if market did not break it then it will fall on the last target i set up for you.
target 1 ( 3330)
target 2 (3302)
D1, chart analysis.
Gold is currently ranging within a horizontal consolidation zone.
The price is oscillating between the support at ~$3,172–$3,344 and resistance at ~$3,415–$3,500.
A pullback zone is identified near $3,344–$3,346, aligning with prior minor structure and the Fibonacci 0.618 level.
These levels suggest the retracement may be over, and price could be prepping for a new push.
"GOLD Bandit Strategy: Loot Pips Like a Pro!🏆 GOLD HEIST ALERT! 🏆 XAU/USD Bandit Strategy (Swing/Day Trade)
Steal Pips Like a Pro! 💰🔓 Bull vs. Bear Raid Plan
🌟 Greetings, Market Pirates! 🌟
"The trend is your accomplice—time to loot!"
🔮 Thief’s Technical & Fundamental Intel:
XAU/USD (The Gold Vault) is flashing BEARISH signals, but we’re ready to raid both sides! Follow the heist blueprint below 👇
🎯 ENRY POINTS (Where to Strike!)
🏴☠️ LONG RAID (Bullish Thieves):
Break & Grab: Enter above 3450.00 (Pullback Zone)
"Wait for the breakout, then ambush!"
🐻 SHORT RAID (Bearish Bandits):
Sneak Attack 1: Sell below 3300.00
Sneak Attack 2: Sell below 3260.00 (Support Wall Cracked!)
🛑 STOP-LOSS (Escape Routes)
Bullish Trade: SL at 3230.00 (Guard your loot!)
Bearish Trade 1: SL at 3360.00 (Don’t get caught!)
Bearish Trade 2: SL at 3280.00 (Risk = Reward!)
(Adjust SL based on your risk appetite & lot size!)
💰 TAKE-PROFIT (Cash Out & Flee!)
Bullish Thieves: TP at 3270.00 (Or escape early!)
Bearish Bandits (1): TP at 3270.00
Bearish Bandits (2): TP at 3210.00 (Big score!)
⚠️ WARNING: Market Traps Ahead!
News = Danger Zone! 📢 Avoid new trades during high-impact news.
Trailing SL = Your Getaway Car! Lock profits & evade reversals.
📰 FUNDAMENTAL BACKUP (Why This Heist Works)
Bearish momentum fueled by macro trends, COT data, & sentiment.
Stay sharp—markets shift fast!
💥 BOOST THIS HEIST! 💥
Like & Share to strengthen our pirate crew! 🚀 More alerts = More profits!
🚨 Next Heist Coming Soon… Stay Tuned! 🚨
XAU/USD 3H CHART PATTERNOn this XAUUSD 3-hour chart, price has broken out of the descending channel and is retesting near the 3304 area, aligning with a bullish change of character (CHOCH) zone for a potential buy setup. The chart shows a clear upward projection after the retest, targeting a move towards the upper resistance zone around 3440. This setup aligns with market structure respecting previous support zones and aiming for higher highs after a successful breakout. Monitoring the retest area is crucial for confirmation, allowing a low-risk entry for a continuation towards the targets while maintaining clear structure. Price action should be observed for bullish momentum before continuation to the higher resistance levels indicated on the chart for a clean execution.
Entry: 3304
First Target: 3381
Second Target: 3440
Stop Loss: 3390/335
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold Trade Plan 11/07/2025Dear Trader,
Technical Analysis – XAUUSD (Gold Spot/USD) – July 11, 2025
🕐 Timeframe: 4H
Gold price is currently trading around $3334. After rebounding from a strong support zone (blue box), price has broken out of a symmetrical triangle pattern to the upside, suggesting a potential bullish continuation.
🔸 Key Points:
Strong Support Zone: $3295–$3310 (held well during recent retests)
Symmetrical Triangle Breakout: Confirmed to the upside – typically a bullish signal
Next Resistance: $3390–$3400 (marked in red)
Major Resistance: $3436 (recent top)
📈 Probable Scenario:
If price holds above the breakout level, a move toward the $3390–$3400 resistance area is likely. A break above that could lead to a test of $3436. However, a drop below $3310 would invalidate the bullish setup.
Regards,
Alireza!
Gold: Market analysis and strategy on July 11Gold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance: 3375, support: 3285
Four-hour chart resistance: 3360, support: 3310
One-hour chart resistance: 3345, support: 3324.
For the current market trend, pay attention to the resistance of 3340-3345 on the upper side during the day. This is the high point concentration area that has suppressed the upward trend of gold prices many times in the early stage. If it is treated as a volatile market, sell at highs in the 3340~3345 range. If it breaks through 3345, it may trigger stop-loss buying and continue to rise to the 3355~3360 area.
The key support below is still at 3310, but from the 1-hour chart, the trend is rising in steps, and the short-term support is around 3324. Buy back here. After the Asian market was blocked near the previous high of 3345, it entered a short-term correction, and the long and short saws. It is suitable for fast in and out, and follow up and buy after breaking through 3345.
Buy: 3324near
Buy: 3310near
Buy: 3345near
Sell: 3344near
XAUUSD- Bearish AB=CD pattern at resistance zone!Timeframe:2H|Pattern: AB=CD| Bias: Bearish Reversal!
Gold (XAUUSD) has completed a precise AB=CD pattern aligning perfectly with a strong resistance zone near 3340-3350 the symmetry of the harmonic pattern combined with historical rejection levels gives a strong signal for a potential downside move
Trade setup idea:
Sell entry: 3340-3350
target:1: 3300
target:2: 3260
risk reward: Favorable setup with harmonic confirmation.
GOLD is in bearish conditions, pressured by aggressive tariffsOn Wednesday (July 9) in the Asian market, the spot OANDA:XAUUSD suddenly fell sharply in the short term, and the gold price just fell below 3,290 USD / ounce.
Although US President Trump announced that the first tariff letters had been sent to some US trading partners, the gold price fell below 3,290 USD / ounce due to the weakening demand for safe-haven gold. Trump postponed the tariff deadline to August 1, easing trade tensions.
The recovery in the dollar TVC:DXY and rising US Treasury yields also weighed on gold, sending prices sharply lower after hitting a high of $3,345 an ounce.
The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note TVC:US10Y rose to its highest in more than two weeks, making gold, which does not pay interest, less attractive as an investment.
The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note rose to 4.415%. The US real yield also rose 4 basis points to 2.073%.
TVC:DXY , which tracks the greenback's performance against a basket of currencies, rose 0.20% to 97.70. The rise in the Dollar Index means that gold priced in dollars has become less attractive because they are inversely correlated.
Japan and South Korea said on Tuesday they would try to speed up trade talks with the United States in a bid to soften President Donald Trump's stance on new tariffs set to take effect on August 1.
But optimism about a trade deal boosted market risk appetite, limiting gold's upside.
Traders are awaiting the release of the minutes of the Federal Reserve's latest meeting on Wednesday, followed by data on initial jobless claims for the week ended July 5.
Investors now expect the Fed to cut interest rates by 50 basis points before the end of the year, starting in October.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold fell below the 3,300USD whole price point and the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level, which are the initial conditions for gold prices to have a prospect for a bearish trend.
Currently, with the position below 3,300USD, gold may continue to decline with the next target around 3,246USD in the short term, more than the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level.
The current resistances of gold prices are the pressure from the EMA21 line, followed by the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement. These are also the resistance positions that readers paid attention to in the previous issue.
In addition, the RSI is pointing down from 50, currently 50 is considered the nearest resistance and the fact that the RSI is pointing down is quite far from the oversold zone, indicating that there is still room for a decline ahead.
During the day, although the trend is not yet completely clear, gold is showing conditions that are more inclined towards a decline, along with that, the notable positions will be listed as follows.
Support: 3,292 - 3,246 USD
Resistance: 3,300 - 3,340 - 3,350 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3346 - 3344⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3350
→Take Profit 1 3338
↨
→Take Profit 2 3332
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3245 - 3247⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3241
→Take Profit 1 3253
↨
→Take Profit 2 3259
XAU / USD Daily ChartHello traders. Here is a daily chart showing the areas I will be watching to see how gold reacts. Wishing everyone a Happy Friday, we are almost halfway through the month, and we are more than half way through the year. Time is moving fast. Hope some of you are holding crypto as the monetary system is flawed, fake and failing. Big G gets a shout out. Let's see how the current 4 hour candle closes, as well as the 1 hour. I will post a lower time frame chart in a few hours when Pre NY volume starts to come in here in the US, which is just under 3 hours from now. Be well and trade the trend. It's Friday, so trade safely.
Gold trend analysisGold trend analysis: Tariff war adds fuel to the fire, 3400 becomes the life and death line for bulls and bears!
🔥 New fundamental variables: Trump's tariff stick triggers risk aversion
Trump suddenly announced a 30% tariff on the EU and Mexico (effective on August 1), and the risk of a global trade war soared
The EU fought back strongly, Mexico vowed to defend its sovereignty, and the market worried about repeating the 2018 "trade war → supply chain chaos → inflation rebound" script
Gold benefits from double benefits: safe-haven attributes + anti-inflation attributes are strengthened at the same time, but be wary of the "America First" policy's suppression of the US dollar
📌 Key technical form: 3250-3400 large box has not yet been broken
Bull market bottom line: Below 3300 is the institutional cost area, and the Fed's interest rate cut expectations support the bottom
Bear market fortress: 3400 gathers a large number of option obstacles, and a strong catalyst is needed to break through (such as a comprehensive escalation of the trade war) (war)
Current position: 3365 points are at the upper edge of the box, and the long-short decisive battle is imminent
⚠️ Monday Operation Reminder
Beware of "buy expectations and sell facts": the market has partially digested the tariff risk, beware of the decline after the good news is realized
Data bomb: If the US CPI exceeds expectations on Wednesday, it may weaken the expectation of interest rate cuts, and the gold price may be under pressure
🎯 Two scenarios
Trade war escalation scenario (probability 40%)
EU/Mexico counterattack → risk assets plummet → gold price hits 3400 points
Strategy: Break through 3385 points to chase more, target 3420-3450 points
Thunderstorm but smaller scale scenario (probability 60%)
Both sides compromise at the last minute → risk aversion subsides → gold price falls back to 3320 points
Strategy: Break through 3340 points and short, target 3300-3280
💡 Ultimate suggestion
Spot investors: Buy in batches in the 3250-3300 range, ignoring short-term fluctuations.
Leveraged traders: Strictly abide by the principle of "breakthrough chasing up/breakthrough selling", and stop loss must be set!
Attention everyone: Volatility will increase this week, and reducing positions by half is the rule of survival.
(Remember: gold performs well in turbulent times, but Trump's tweets are more dangerous than the Fed!)💣
7.11 Gold Analysis7.11 Gold Analysis
At present, the long and short forces are in a tug-of-war between three key factors:
1. Expectations of Fed rate cuts (core support)
Latest developments: Fed Governor Waller strongly called for a rate cut in July, but the market expects a rate cut in September with a probability of over 70% (CME data). The chairman of the San Francisco Fed expressed support for two rate cuts this year to ease inflation concerns.
Influence mechanism: Rate cuts will lower real interest rates and the US dollar exchange rate, significantly reducing the cost of holding gold. If subsequent CPI/PPI data are weak or the job market deteriorates, the rally may be triggered in advance.
2. Middle East geopolitical risks (pulse momentum)
Event escalation: The Israeli Defense Minister threatened to strike Iran again, and the risk of obstruction of Red Sea shipping increased.
Risk aversion logic: If the conflict breaks out in substance (such as an attack on oil facilities), it will trigger a safe-haven fund to flow into gold. At the same time, the surge in oil prices may push up global inflation and strengthen the anti-inflation properties of gold.
3. Trump's tariff policy (stagflation catalyst)
Policy impact: 50% tariff on Brazilian goods and imported copper (effective on August 1), triggering global supply chain disturbances.
Double effect: Pushing up the US dollar in the short term will suppress gold prices, but it may aggravate stagflation risks in the medium and long term, providing underlying support for gold.
Key contradiction conclusion:
The expectation of interest rate cuts is the cornerstone of gold's trend rise, and geopolitical and tariff risks provide breakthrough momentum. If the three resonate (such as escalation of conflicts + September interest rate cuts + tariffs push up inflation), gold prices may quickly hit above $3,400.
Technical multi-cycle analysis
Daily level
Pattern structure: Gold has fallen from the April high of $3,500, forming a triangular convergence pattern. After breaking through the previous high resistance of $3,346 and standing firm, it will enter the $3,350-3,374 oscillation box. MACD shows a golden cross signal, and RSI stands firm in the neutral zone of 55, indicating that bulls are accumulating power.
Key watershed:
Upward breakthrough point: $3374 (0.618 Fibonacci retracement level + previous daily high), after stabilization, it will open up the 3400-3420 space.
Downward risk point: $3330 (10-day moving average + triangle upper rail), if it fails, it may drop to 3310-3280 support.
Short cycle (4H/1H)
4-hour chart: The price runs in the rising channel (lower edge 3340/upper edge 3372), and the narrowing of the Bollinger Bands indicates that a breakthrough is imminent. Pay attention to the $3345 moving average support, and maintain the offensive if it holds.
1-hour chart: MACD top divergence repair is completed, and the high point of $3340 breaks through and stabilizes, which will trigger short-term follow-up buying.
Today's key events and trading windows
US June PPI annual rate: If the data is lower than the previous value of 2.2%, it will strengthen the logic of interest rate cuts and push up gold prices;
Federal Reserve Board member Waller's speech: Dovish remarks may become a catalyst for breaking through $3,346;
Israel Security Cabinet Meeting: Any signal of military action will trigger safe-haven buying.
Today's strategy
It is recommended to buy around 3,320, stop loss at 3,300. Target 3,340.
If my analysis can help you, I hope you can cheer me up.