XAUUSD Triangle about to break upwards aggressively.Gold (XAUUSD) has been trading within a Triangle pattern since the April 22 High. It is now above its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which has been turned into its Pivot and technically it is about to break upwards as it is running out of space.
As long as the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) holds, the market technically targets the 2.618 Fibonacci extension, which is what the last two Bullish Legs hit, which currently sits at 3770. A 1D RSI break above its own Lower Highs trend-line, could be an early buy signal.
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GOLD trade ideas
Gold Maintains Bullish Tone – Eyes on $3,350 Breakout📊 Market Overview
• Gold is trading around $3,339 – $3,340, after rebounding from the session low at $3,332.
• The USD is temporarily weakening, and safe-haven flows remain steady — key factors supporting gold.
• Markets are awaiting fresh U.S. economic data for clearer directional cues.
📉 Technical Analysis
• Key Resistance Levels:
– Near-term: $3,344 – $3,345
– Extended: $3,352 – $3,356 (weekly highs)
• Key Support Levels:
– Near-term: $3,332 – $3,335
– Extended: $3,320 – $3,325 (MA confluence + technical base)
• EMA: Price remains above EMA 09, confirming a short-term uptrend.
• Candle Pattern / Volume / Momentum: RSI is around 54–56; momentum remains positive but has cooled — suggesting potential consolidation.
📌 Outlook
Gold is maintaining a bullish technical structure — if it breaks above $3,345, a move toward $3,352 – $3,356 is likely. On the downside, a drop below $3,332 could trigger a retest of $3,325 – $3,320.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy
🔺 BUY XAU/USD: $3,324 – $3,327
• 🎯 TP: 40/80/100 pips
• ❌ SL: $3,320
🔻 SELL XAU/USD :$3,352 – $3,355
• 🎯 TP: 40/80/100 pips
• ❌ SL: $3,359
Gold rebound brings bearish opportunities
Before the fishermen go out to sea, they don't know where the fish are? But they still choose to go because they believe they will return with a full load. When you invest, you don't know whether you can make a profit, but you still need to try, and from the moment you decide to do it, you must insist on believing to gain something. The same is true for gold investment. You may still be losing money at the moment, but as long as you find me, all losses will be solved!
Views on the trend of gold!
In terms of gold, unfortunately, the bulls don't seem to last long, and they are also a bit unstable! Emphasize the most critical point, the continuous rise of the sun, the first wave of V-shaped rebound last night, and then the high-level oscillation, and there was no continuation of the rise of the sun last night. The bulls did not take off in one wave, but were held down again. But in the same way, don't think that the bulls are held down, and the bears will come. We still have to distinguish according to the range and strength. In many cases, the market maintains a oscillating range.
So how do you look at it today? Is there still hope for the bulls? From the perspective of correction, every big drop has poor continuity, and they all bottom out and rebound, just like gold fell to 3310 last night and violently rose to 3344, so there is a high probability that there will be continuation after the retracement today. On the one hand, even if it rebounds, it is also volatile, and the rebound and second decline is the continuation of the market. Therefore, currently pay attention to two points, the upward pressure 3355, and the downward strength and weakness dividing point 3325!
Gold: You can short at the rebound of 3350-55, defend 10 US dollars, and the target is 3330-25! If it breaks 3325, it will look down to the double bottom support of 3310. On the contrary, if it does not break, it can be shorted and look up to 3345-50!
Gold fluctuates downward, go long again when it falls back
Gold is currently fluctuating downward. Although the trend is bullish, we must not rush into the market. The technical side needs to step back. We need to be cautious when going long. We need to grasp the entry position and step back to 3340-45 and then more!
From the 4-hour analysis, the short-term support below focuses on the neckline of the hourly line of last Friday, 3340-45, and the focus is on the support of 3325-30. The intraday step back continues to follow the trend and the main bullish trend remains unchanged. The short-term bullish strong dividing line focuses on the 3325 mark. The daily level stabilizes above this position and continues to follow the trend and bullish rhythm. Before falling below this position, continue to follow the trend and follow the trend. The main tone of participation. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy in the VIP group, and pay attention to it in time.
Gold operation strategy:
Gold goes long at the 3340-45 line when it steps back, and covers long positions at the 3325-30 line when it steps back, stop loss 3317, target 3365-70
GOLD SELL M15Gold (XAUUSD) - 15-Minute Chart Analysis
This is a bearish short-term setup for Gold based on price action and key market structure levels.
Analysis Summary:
Entry Zone: Price has reached a supply zone around 3340, which is expected to act as a resistance.
Stop Loss (SL): Positioned at 3348, just above the supply zone to account for potential false breakouts.
Target (TP): The downside target is set at 3325, where previous support and volume interest converge.
Key Technical Levels:
Supply Zone: 3340 – 3348 (Red zone)
Resistance: 3340
Intermediate Support:
3335
3330
Final Target Zone: 3325
Structure Breakdown:
EQH (Equal Highs): Suggests a liquidity grab above recent highs.
BOS (Break of Structure): Indicates a shift from bullish to bearish structure.
CHoCH (Change of Character): Confirms potential trend reversal.
The expected price movement is a rejection from the supply zone, followed by lower highs and lower lows targeting 3325.
Trade Idea:
Sell around: 3340
Stop Loss: 3348
Target: 3325
Title: Gold (XAU/USD) Reversal Zone Trade Plan – 30M Analysis🔍
Chart Description & Full Breakdown
This 30-minute chart of XAU/USD outlines a potential bullish reversal trade from a key demand zone, identified by volume profile and historical price reaction. The analysis is built on confluence between price structure, volume imbalance, and risk-reward alignment.
📈
Analysis Summary:
🔴
Zone Highlight:
Marked Zone is a clear liquidity sweep / demand block between $3,319 – $3,340.
Price is hovering just below POC (Point of Control), where the most volume has transacted.
This area acted as prior support multiple times and is likely to draw in buyers again.
🛑
Stop Loss:
Set below the last major swing low: $3,312.
Beneath the volume gap and right under the high-volume support shelf, protecting against downside flushes.
🟢
Take Profit Levels:
TP1: $3,357 – First key volume shelf and local resistance.
TP2: $3,394 – Near-term swing high and high-volume node on the upper side.
🎯
Strategy & Meaning Behind It:
You’re playing a retest of the previous demand zone, paired with a low-risk reversal idea.
Why this works:
Strong bullish imbalance on the left of the chart.
Consolidation broke down but failed to follow through aggressively.
Buyers showed volume on recent touches of the zone.
Multiple timeframe confluence from the broader bullish setup.
💡
Execution Plan:
Entry: As close to $3,323 – $3,330 as possible.
Stop Loss: Tight below $3,312 to protect capital.
Target Profit Zones: Use volume profile to take partials at TP1 and let runners go to TP2. @BandMangfo
FX: XAUUSD set for a bullish legIn XAUUSD, I’m seeing a promising bullish setup that could offer a strong opportunity for upside continuation. The chart shows a breakout from a descending triangle pattern, followed by a clean retest of the breakout zone. What really catches my attention is the confluence of support, where the price is currently reacting to both the former descending trendline and a longer-term ascending trendline. This area, around the 3,320–3,330 level, is now acting as a critical decision point.
I believe this retest could serve as a launchpad for a bullish continuation toward the next key resistance at 3,450. That level has acted as a strong ceiling in the past, and it’s a logical target if the market maintains upward momentum. The higher lows forming since May suggest growing buying pressure, reinforcing the bullish bias.
Of course, this setup isn’t without risk. If price breaks below this confluence zone, we may see a return to the previous range or a deeper correction. But for now, I’m leaning bullish, especially if we get a strong bullish candle or increased volume confirming the bounce.
I’ll be watching closely and updating if conditions shift, but for now, XAUUSD looks poised for another leg up.
GOLD The Target Is UP! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
GOLD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 3340.39 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
My Stop Loss - 3336.8
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 3348.3
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Gold is set to rise, which is an opportunity to buy!Last week gold made another correction down for Wave E but after that it broke the low again. This could be wave 2 of the next impulsive wave up and gold will continue to rise next week.
Or price makes one more move down for wave E and then start the next impulsive wave up.
Let's see what price does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a small correction down on a lower timeframe and a change in orderflow to bullish to trade longs.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Learn the 3 TYPES of MARKET ANALYSIS in Gold Forex Trading
In the today's post, we will discuss 3 types of analysis of a financial market.
🛠1 - Technical Analysis
Technical analysis focuses on p rice action, key levels, technical indicators and technical tools for the assessment of a market sentiment.
Pure technician thoroughly believes that the price chart reflects all the news, all the actions of big and small players. With a proper application of technical strategies, technical analysts make predictions and identify trading opportunities.
In the example above, the trader applies price action patterns, candlestick analysis, key levels and 2 technical indicators to make a prediction that the market will drop to a key horizontal support from a solid horizontal resistance.
📰2 - Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental analysts assess the key factors and related data that drive the value of an asset.
These factors are diverse: it can be geopolitical events, macro and micro economic news, financial statements, etc.
Fundamental traders usually make trading decision and forecasts, relying on fundamental data alone and completely neglecting a chart analysis.
Price action on Gold on a daily time frame could be easily predicted, applying a fundamental analysis.
A bearish trend was driven by FED Interest Rates tightening program,
while a strong bullish rally initiated after escalation of Israeli-Palestinian conflict.
📊🔬 3 - Combination of Technical and Fundamental Analysis
Such traders combine the principles of both Technical and Fundamental approaches.
When they are looking for trading opportunities, they analyze the price chart and make predictions accordingly.
Then, they analyze the current related fundamentals and compare the technical and fundamental biases.
If the outlooks match , one opens a trading position.
In the example above, Gold reached a solid horizontal daily support.
Testing the underlined structure, the price formed a falling wedge pattern and a double bottom, breaking both a horizontal neckline and a resistance of the wedge.
These were 2 significant bullish technical confirmation.
At the same time, the escalation of Israeli-Palestinian conflict left a very bullish fundamental confirmation.
It is an endless debate which method is better.
Each has its own pros and cons.
I strongly believe that one can make money mastering any of those.
Just choose the method that you prefer, study it, practice and one day you will make it.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold still has room to pull back, be brave and short gold!Gold continued to rebound today, and we also successfully gained 150pips profit in long gold trading. However, although gold is currently maintaining its upward trend, the rebound strength of gold is not strong during the European session, and it has repeatedly touched 3375 and then fell back, proving that there is still some resistance above. In my previous trading point of view, I also emphasized that gold is under pressure near 3380 in the short term. In addition, from a technical perspective, today's intraday high is limited to 3395.
So in order to dump the bullish momentum so that it can break through 3380 more smoothly, or even continue to above 3340, gold will inevitably have a retracement in the short term. So when most people in the market are still waiting for a retracement to go long on gold, I will definitely not waste the opportunity of gold retracement in vain.
So for short-term trading, I will consider shorting gold appropriately in the 3375-3395 area, with the target looking at 3360-3350. After gold falls back as expected, we might as well consider going long on gold at a low level.
Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy | July 14✅ On Friday, gold prices surged strongly, successfully breaking through the key resistance level of 3345, which pushed the price higher and hit our take-profit target at 3365. The price remains strong, indicating that bullish sentiment continues to dominate the market. However, in the upcoming trades, we need to watch for a secondary pullback to base our next moves on.
✅ From a short-term perspective, if gold fails to break through the resistance zone at 3392-3400 next week, a double top pattern may form, putting pressure on the price. This could lead to a correction. Therefore, pay close attention to the fate of this resistance zone. A breakout above it may push the price higher, while a failure could result in a pullback.
✅ On the daily chart, the Bollinger Bands are starting to narrow, signaling that the current consolidation phase is about to end, and a new trend may emerge. Overall, after two months of consolidation, the probability of a bullish breakout is high, and we expect gold to continue rising in the coming days.
✅ On the 1-hour chart, the price remains in a strong bullish trend. Although the pullbacks have been small, we should not get complacent. Even in strong markets, there’s always a risk of deeper corrections. To avoid chasing prices too high, it's recommended to wait for a secondary pullback before making a decision.
🔴 Upper Resistance: The key resistance zone is currently between 3392-3400. If the price breaks through this area, it may continue to rise, but if not, there’s a risk of a pullback.
🟢 Lower Support: The first support is at 3340, which is a crucial point for the bullish-to-bearish transition. If the price declines further, the second support level is around 3330.
✅ Trade Strategy Reference:
Overall, we expect a pullback opportunity for gold next Monday. The short-term strategy should focus on buying during pullbacks and selling on rebounds. Pay close attention to the resistance zone at 3392-3400 and the support zone at 3340-3330. If the price retraces to 3345-3340, consider buying.
🔥 Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive and should be adjusted in real time based on market conditions, especially after key support or resistance levels are broken. If you need more accurate and timely trading signals, feel free to reach out to me directly!
Bearish Continuation Idea on XAU/USDTimeframe: 1H
Session Context: Currently in New York, with London having just closed. Liquidity sweeps from London/NY overlapping zone are in play.
Step 1: Indication
HTF structure broke bullish to bearish with a clear break below a HTF Higher Low (HL) around 3,343–3,345.
This confirms Indication of bearish intent as market structure shifted from bullish → bearish.
The recent Swing High (3,368) was followed by strong selling momentum, showing institutional interest near previous liquidity pools.
Step 2: Correction
Price has retraced to test minor demand around the previous HL zone (green box).
Expecting liquidity collection above this area to trap late buyers and induce sellers.
The market is currently in Correction—a necessary pause after the break in structure to rebalance orders before continuation.
Step 3: Continuation Projection
If price respects the 3,343–3,345 correction zone and fails to reclaim the HTF HL:
Expect a lower high to form.
Entry would be ideal on a 5M–15M confirmation inside this corrective structure (lower timeframe BOS or SMC entry).
Targeting the HTF Lower Low (LL) at ~3,290, with potential for extended move toward 3,275 if NY volatility sustains.
Summary
Bias: Bearish
Reason: Structure Break (Indication), Pullback (Correction), Anticipating Downside Continuation
Confluences:
HTF Structure Break
Previous liquidity sweep from London
NY session volatility
Correction stalling beneath broken HL
Invalidation: A clean 1H close above 3,345–3,348 would invalidate the bearish bias and suggest a deeper retracement or reversal.
XAUUSD Long OpportunityXAUUSD is bullish per the 4 hour and 1 hour timeframe with continued bullish momentum coming out of the fundamentals around tariff uncertainty. There is clear bullish market structure.
XAUUSD is currently sitting on the pivot level of $3350 (Resistance turned support) after a retracement prior for the NY opening bell which gives rise for a long opportunity from this level towards the next Pivot point at $3391.
On the hour timeframe, price is trading above the 50 and 200 SMA and is currently sitting upon the 21 SMA which XAUUSD has used push point from in the past trending markets. RSI is currently sitting in a sweet spot region of the RSI between 45-55 indicating this is a valid retracement and price is looking to turn bullish again soon.
This provides 4 points of Bullish confluence within the momentum in favour of further bullish movements
XAUUSDThe current short setup on XAU/USD (Gold vs US Dollar) highlights a potential downside move from the entry zone of 3336–3340, targeting progressive profit levels down to 3313. This trade suggests that gold is encountering resistance in the specified entry area, likely due to previous price rejections, supply pressure, or alignment with a key Fibonacci retracement level or bearish trendline. The stop loss at 3352.00 is positioned above a key resistance zone, offering a buffer of approximately 12–16 points, which helps guard against short-term volatility or false breakouts before price possibly resumes its downward trajectory.
The risk-to-reward ratio on this setup is favorable, potentially offering 2:1 or better depending on entry execution. Moreover, the setup allows for flexibility; traders can trail the stop once TP1 is hit to reduce risk exposure and lock in profit. It's crucial to monitor price action closely at the entry zone—any bullish breakout above 3344–3348 with volume could invalidate the setup, while rejection candles or long upper wicks would confirm bearish strength.
XAU/USD Daily Technical Outlook: Navigating Key Price LevelsThe Dominant Trend Profile
Gold has clearly maintained a robust uptrend on the daily timeframe since April, consistently finding dynamic support along a prominent, upward-sloping trendline. This strong underlying bullish structure has guided price action higher, forming a series of higher lows and highs within this established channel.
Immediate Price Dynamics & Overhead Resistance
The current price action indicates that Gold is encountering significant overhead supply, specifically challenging a critical zone labeled "Current Strong Resistance." This area appears to be a key juncture, where the market is consolidating, and a decisive break above this level would be required to signal a continuation of the rally.
Potential Bullish Continuation
Should buyers successfully overcome the immediate "Current Strong Resistance" zone, the pathway to higher valuations opens up. The next significant hurdle for Gold would be the "Next Resistance" level positioned around 3451.31, with the ultimate long-term target being the prior "All time high" at 3500.10.
Critical Support Zones & Downside Triggers
Conversely, the chart highlights a critical horizontal support line which, if broken to the downside, would serve as a key bearish trigger. Below this immediate support, the "3250 Key Area to focus" represents a substantial demand zone, followed by additional, deeper green-shaded areas that would come into play as important support levels where buying interest might re-emerge should the price decline further.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.