XAUUSD Expecting bullish Movement Gold is showing potential for a bullish reversal from the key support zone between 3390 to 3395. Price has formed a base in this range, and if it holds, we may see an upside breakout above the descending trendline
Buy Zone: 3390 – 3395
First Target: 3355.50
Second Target: 3380.50
A successful breakout and hold above the trendline resistance could trigger a move toward our short-term targets. Watch for bullish confirmation before entering. Manage risk accordingly
GOLDCFD trade ideas
XAU/USD: Bullish Rebound from Support ZoneMarket Overview:
Gold tested and respected a key support zone around 3340–3345, aligning with the 144-period EMA and a prior accumulation area. The market is showing signs of bullish recovery, with a potential ABCD continuation pattern suggesting further upside toward key resistance levels.
Technical Signals & Formations:
— Rising trend channel remains intact
— Correction found strong support at demand zone
— EMA(144) acts as dynamic support
— Emerging bullish structure suggests continuation toward higher highs
Key Levels:
Support: 3340–3339, 3282
Resistance: 3366, 3375, 3394, 3410
Scenario:
Primary: holding above 3340 may trigger a rally toward 3375, 3394, and 3410.
Alternative: a break below 3339 would shift focus toward the 3282 zone.
Idea AITitle: XAU/USD – 4H: Bullish Demand Bounce Setup
Description:
- 📍 Daily Supply Zone (Resistance): **3,380–3,390**
- 📍 Daily Demand Zone (Support): **3,330–3,320**
- 🔍 Trendline (4H Higher Lows): Connect swing low ~3,290 to ~3,330
- 🎯 Fibonacci (for confluence): Low ~3,280 → High ~3,370
- ✅ Entry: Look for bullish confirmation (wicks, engulfing candle) in **3,330–3,320** zone
- 📈 Target 1: 3,435 (mid-swing), Target 2: 3,480 (swing high retest near 3,500)
- 🚫 Invalidation: Close below 3,315
#XAUUSD #Gold #TradingView #Structure #DemandSupply #4H
XAUUSD Short Based on a Fakeout + Rejection + Retrace Strategy💡 Strategy Flow
I'm seeing:
1. Fakeout – Price broke above resistance (3349–3350) and wicked into 3368–3372.
2. Rejection – Price quickly fell back below the resistance zone (classic bull trap).
3. Retrace to resistance – Price has now returned to the 3349–3350 zone, which is likely acting as new resistance again.
✅ Current price is sitting at the retrace area, after the initial rejection.
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🔮 What should happen next?
According to this strategy, the next expected move is:
🔻 Rejection from resistance ➝ Bearish continuation
In detail:
> Price should fail to break resistance again.
> Sellers should step in around this level.
> If valid, price should drop, targeting:
🔹 Conservative TP: 3280
🔹 Aggressive TP: 3241.5
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🎯 Entry Setup
Type Entry Stop Loss Take Profit Risk-Reward
Conservative 3349.0 3376.5 3280.0 ~1:1.6
Aggressive 3339.5 3378.5 3241.5 ~1:2.5
📍 Entry can be confirmed with bearish rejection candle on the resistance retest.
📈 Targeting previous swing low and major support zone around 3246–3247.
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Symbol:
$BYBIT:XAUTSDT.P OANDA:XAUUSD
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🧠 Strategy Logic:
This is a Smart Money-style trap play, where liquidity is swept above a well-known resistance, then price rejects and retraces back for a high-probability entry.
This fakeout–retest–drop sequence is deadly when aligned with market structure and zones like this.
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🏷️ Hashtags:
#XAUTUSDT #XAUUSD #SmartMoney #LiquidityGrab #PriceAction #Fakeout #Retest #BearishSetup #BreakAndRetest #TradingView #SMC #TechnicalAnalysis #Forex #Crypto #StopHunt
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Last resort buy’s concept ?Trade Journal Entry – XAUUSD (Gold Spot)
Date: July 15, 2025
Platform: TradingView (Demo Account)
Timeframe: 4H
Direction: Long
Status: Active trade under review / possible re-entry
Key Levels
- Sell-side liquidity tapped: ~3,340–3,345
- Support zone (mitigation block): ~3,316–3,310
- Last resort buy area: ~3,283
Market Context
Clear Break of Market Structure (BMS) confirming bullish bias.
Price swept recent sell-side liquidity above 3,360, failed to hold, and sharply pulled back.
Price is now entering a mitigation zone, sitting above the major buy-side liquidity zone and last resort demand.
Multiple liquidity layers marked below current price — good confluence for a reaction if structure holds.
Trade Rationale
Scenario A: If price respects ~3,316–3,310 zone and forms bullish engulfing/reversal, consider re-entry.
Scenario B: If price breaks deeper into 3,283 zone with SFP (swing failure pattern) or V-reversal, it's a last-chance long from premium demand.
Trade Plan
Watch for bullish reversal candle or lower timeframe BOS (M15) inside 3,316–3,310 zone.
If entered, SL below 3,283. TP remains at prior high ~3,492.
Manage risk carefully — only one more key demand zone below.
Emotional Reflection
Felt confident on initial entry, but market invalidated short-term structure. Now reassessing calmly — waiting for re-entry confirmation without chasing.
Reflection Questions
- Did I exit early enough once price showed failure to hold above 3,360?
- Will I maintain composure and wait for structure confirmation in the new zone?
- Is my risk sized properly for this secondary attempt?
GOLD UPDATE Hello friends🙌
📉Regarding the decline we had, which we also analyzed for you and said that the price is falling...
✔Now, with the support hunt identified, you can see that the price has returned strongly and broken the identified resistance and managed to reach higher ceilings, which also created a QM pattern, which increases the likelihood of the upward trend continuing.
Now with capital and risk management you can move towards your specified goals.
🔥Follow us for more signals🔥
*Trade safely with us*
Gold - The clear top formation!🪙Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) just created a top formation:
🔎Analysis summary:
Over the past four months, Gold has overall been moving sideways. Following a previous blow-off rally of about +25%, this cycle is very similar to the 2008 bullish cycle. Bulls are starting to slow down which will most likely result in the creation of at least a short term top formation.
📝Levels to watch:
$3.000
🙏🏻#LONGTERMVISION
Philip - Swing Trader
Bullish bounce off overlap support?The Gold (XAU/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap support and could bounce to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 3,343.09
1st Support: 3,324.14
1st Resistance: 3,374.19
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Japanese Candlestick Cheat Sheet – Part OneSingle-Candle Formations That Speak
Before you dream of profits, learn the one language that never lies: price.
Indicators are just subtitles — price is the voice.
Japanese candlesticks are more than just red and green bars — they reflect emotion, pressure, and intention within the market.
This series will walk you through the real psychology behind candlestick patterns — starting here, with the most essential:
🕯️ Single-candle formations — the quiet signals that often appear before big moves happen.
If you can’t read a doji, you’re not ready to understand the market’s hesitation.
If you ignore a hammer, you’ll miss the moment sentiment shifts.
Let’s start simple. Let’s start strong.
This is Part One of a five-part series designed to build your candlestick fluency from the ground up.
1. DOJI
Bias: Neutral
What is the Doji pattern?
The Doji candlestick pattern forms when a candle’s open and close prices are nearly identical, resulting in a small or nonexistent body with wicks on both sides. This pattern reflects market equilibrium, where neither buyers nor sellers dominate. Dojis often appear at trend ends, signaling potential reversals or pauses.
As a fundamental tool in technical analysis, Dojis help traders gauge the psychological battle between buyers and sellers. Proper interpretation requires context and experience, especially for spotting trend shifts.
Meaning:
Indicates market indecision or balance. Found during trends and may signal a reversal or continuation based on context.
LONG-LEGGED DOJI
Bias: Neutral
What is the Long-Legged Doji pattern?
The Long-Legged Doji captures a moment of intense uncertainty and volatility in the market. Its long wicks represent significant movement on both sides, suggesting that neither buyers nor sellers have control. This back-and-forth reflects the psychology of market participants wrestling for control, which often foreshadows a shift in sentiment. When traders see a Long-Legged Doji, it highlights the need to monitor for potential changes in direction.
They can appear within trends, at potential reversal points, or at consolidation zones. When they form at the end of an uptrend or downtrend, they often signal that the current trend may be losing momentum.
Meaning:
The prominent wicks indicate volatility. Buyers and sellers pushed prices in opposite directions throughout the session, ultimately reaching an indecisive close.
SPINNING TOP
Bias: Neutral
What is the Spinning Top pattern?
A Spinning Top is a candlestick with a small body and long upper and lower wicks, indicating that the market has fluctuated significantly but ultimately closed near its opening price. This pattern often points to a moment of indecision, where both buyers and sellers are active but neither dominates. Spinning Tops are commonly found within both uptrends and downtrends and can suggest that a trend is losing momentum.
For traders, a Spinning Top provides a valuable insight into market psychology, as it hints that the prevailing sentiment may be weakening. While Spinning Tops alone aren’t always definitive, they can serve as a precursor to larger moves if the following candles confirm a shift in sentiment.
Meaning:
Shows indecision between buyers and sellers. Common in both up and downtrends; signals potential reversal or pause.
HAMMER
Bias: Bullish
What is the Hammer pattern?
A Hammer candlestick appears at the end of a downtrend, with a small body and a long lower wick. This shape reflects a moment when sellers pushed prices lower, but buyers managed to absorb the selling pressure and drive prices back up before the close. This pattern is particularly important for spotting potential reversals, as it indicates that buyers are beginning to reassert control.
Hammers reveal the underlying psychology of a market where buying confidence is emerging, even if sellers have dominated for a while. To successfully trade this pattern, it’s essential to confirm the reversal with subsequent candles.
Meaning:
Showing rejection of lower prices. Signals potential bullish reversal, especially if followed by strong buying candles.
INVERTED HAMMER
Bias: Bullish
What is the Inverted Hammer pattern?
The Inverted Hammer forms at the bottom of a downtrend, with a small body and long upper wick. This pattern shows that buyers attempted to push prices higher, but sellers ultimately brought them back down by the close. The Inverted Hammer is an early sign of buyer interest, hinting that a trend reversal may be underway if subsequent candles confirm the shift.
Interpreting the Inverted Hammer helps traders understand where sentiment may be shifting from bearish to bullish, often marking the beginning of a recovery. Recognizing these patterns takes practice and familiarity with market conditions.
Meaning:
Showing rejection of higher prices. Can signal bullish reversal if confirmed by subsequent buying pressure.
DRAGONFLY DOJI
Bias: Bullish
What is the Dragonfly Doji pattern?
The Dragonfly Doji has a long lower wick and no upper wick, forming in downtrends to signal potential bullish reversal. This pattern reveals that sellers were initially in control, pushing prices lower, but buyers stepped in to push prices back up to the opening level. The Dragonfly Doji’s unique shape signifies that strong buying support exists at the lower price level, hinting at an impending reversal.
Recognizing the psychology behind a Dragonfly Doji can enhance a trader’s ability to anticipate trend changes, especially in markets where support levels are being tested.
Meaning:
Found in downtrends; suggests possible bullish reversal if confirmed by a strong upward move.
BULLISH MARUBOZU
Bias: Bullish
What is the Bullish Marubozu pattern?
The Bullish Marubozu is a large, solid candle with no wicks, indicating that buyers were in complete control throughout the session. This pattern appears in uptrends, where it signals strong buying momentum and often foreshadows continued upward movement. The absence of wicks reveals that prices consistently moved higher, with little resistance from sellers.
For traders, the Bullish Marubozu offers a glimpse into market psychology, highlighting moments when buyer sentiment is particularly strong. Learning to identify these periods of intense momentum is crucial for trading success.
Meaning:
Showing complete buying control. Found in uptrends or at reversal points; indicates strong buying pressure and likely continuation of the trend.
SHOOTING STAR
Bias: Bearish
What is the Shooting Star pattern?
The Shooting Star appears at the top of an uptrend, characterized by a small body and a long upper wick, indicating a potential bearish reversal. Buyers initially drove prices higher, but sellers took over, bringing prices back down near the open. This shift suggests that buyers may be losing control, and a reversal could be imminent.
Interpreting the Shooting Star gives traders valuable insights into moments when optimism begins to fade, providing clues about a potential trend shift.
Meaning:
Indicating rejection of higher prices. Signals a potential bearish reversal if followed by selling pressure.
HANGING MAN
Bias: Bearish
W hat is the Hanging Man pattern?
The Hanging Man candle forms at the top of an uptrend, with a small body and long lower wick. This pattern suggests that sellers attempted to drive prices down, but buyers regained control. However, the presence of a long lower shadow hints that sellers may be gaining strength, potentially signaling a bearish reversal.
The Hanging Man pattern reflects market psychology where buyers might be overextended, making it a valuable tool for identifying potential tops in trends.
Meaning:
Signals potential bearish reversal if confirmed by selling candles afterward.
GRAVESTONE DOJI
Bias: Bearish
What is the Gravestone Doji pattern?
With a long upper wick and no lower wick, the Gravestone Doji reveals that buyers pushed prices up, but sellers eventually regained control. Found in uptrends, it suggests that a bearish reversal could be near, as the upper shadow indicates buyer exhaustion. The Gravestone Doji often appears at market tops, making it a valuable indicator for those looking to anticipate shifts.
Understanding the psychology behind this pattern helps traders make informed decisions, especially in markets prone to overbought conditions.
Meaning:
Showing rejection of higher prices. Found in uptrends; signals potential bearish reversal if followed by selling activity.
BEARISH MARUBOZU
Bias: Bearish
What is the Bearish Marubozu pattern?
The Bearish Marubozu is a large, solid bearish candle without wicks, showing that sellers held control throughout the session. Found in downtrends, it signals strong bearish sentiment and suggests that the trend is likely to continue. The lack of wicks reflects consistent downward momentum without significant buyer support.
This pattern speaks about market psychology, offering traders insights into moments of intense selling pressure. Recognizing the Bearish Marubozu can help you align with prevailing trends and avoid buying into weakening markets
Meaning:
Showing strong selling pressure. Found in downtrends; signals continuation of the bearish trend or an intensifying sell-off.
👉 Up next: Double-candle formations – where price meets reaction.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great finish to the week!!!
After completing our Bearish targets throughout the week, we got the swing perfectly, like we analysed and was waiting for our Bullish target to be complete.
- We got the Bullish target at 3358 HIT perfectly completing this range!!
BULLISH TARGET
3358 - DONE
BEARISH TARGETS
3330 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3330 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3306 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3306 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3283 - DONE
We will now come back Sunday with a full multi timeframe analysis to prepare for next week’s setups, including updated views on the higher timeframes, EMA alignments, and structure expectations going forward.
Thanks again for all your likes, comments, and follows.
Wishing you all a fantastic weekend!!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold’s Uptrend Is a Mirage, Bears Are Lurking Beneath!Gold repeatedly touched around 3375 yesterday and then fell under pressure, proving that there is strong resistance above. Moreover, after gold retreated and touched around 3341 yesterday, it did not recover in time and stand above 3350. It was not until today that it rebounded and touched around 3365. The rebound cycle has been extended to the present, and the rebound strength is not very strong.
Since gold retreated, it has not been able to recover the lost ground in time. Gold is under pressure in the 3360-3370 area in the short term. If gold cannot successfully break through this resistance area during the day, then gold will retreat again, and will refresh the 3341 low again, and continue to the 3335-3325 area.
So for short-term trading, I think we can try to short gold in the 3360-3370 area appropriately, looking at the target area: 3350-3340
Excellent re-Buy opportunities as expectedAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: "My position: I have Bought Gold throughout Friday's session within #3,330's however closed earlier below #3,348.80 (missed #3,352.80 benchmark break-out) however my Profits were already great so I don't mind. Keep Buying every dip on Gold (aggressive Scalps)."
I have re-Bought Gold firstly on #3,357.80, then #3,340's many times until actual #3,360.80 reversal towards #3,342.80 where I bought Gold again twice towards #3,352.80 benchmark. My key reversal points are nicely respected by Gold.
Technical analysis: Gold is showcasing underlying Bullish trend as #3,377.80 Resistance stands between current Price-action and #3,400.80 benchmark. However if #3,337.80 gets invalidated before any of the above happens, I have a Selling breakout as DX turned Neutral again on the Short-term (and remains Bearish on the Medium-term). This uptrend is directly related to the decline on DX but even then the drop on Gold will not be so strong. It seems that Investors who Sold Gold during the current #1-Week drop, closed their positions much earlier. Theoretically it makes Investors take capital off of riskier assets and place it in safe-haven assets such as Gold. Gold is testing once again #3,357.80 new / old Resistance after series of Bullish Hourly 1 chart’s candles (Engulfing, Three Outside Up) reaching Medium-term Resistance zone on #4th straight red candlestick. The Daily chart’s Volumes are on the rise again as the Daily chart’s Ascending Channel is looking to Price in a Higher High’s as last attempt was so far unsuccessful. Based on the Monthly chart where Bullish and Bearish Months take turns, I expect the whole July / August’s fractals to remain Bullish.
My position: My strategy remains the same, Buying every dip on Gold on my calculated key entry points which Gold respects and ultimately, anticipating #3,377.80 Resistance break-out to the upside.
Pay attention to the 3350 high point suppression!At present, we are paying attention to the short-term pressure near 3340-3350. If this position is not broken today, the daily line will continue to maintain a downward oscillation state, and continue to pay attention to the short-term competition near 3340-3350. Considering that the US dollar index is at a relatively high level in the short term, there is a certain demand for pressure repair, which may also bring a certain range of fluctuations to gold. Therefore, the gold operation maintains a range of fluctuations of 3300-3350. In the short term, we also need to pay attention to the emotional impact brought by fundamentals. From the current gold trend analysis structure, the short-term support below continues to focus on the vicinity of 3310-3300, the short-term suppression above focuses on the vicinity of 3340-3350, and the key pressure above focuses on the vicinity of 3380. The overall trend is running around the 3300-3350 range. The operation is mainly to participate in the volatile market with the idea of selling high and buying low, and remain flexible in response. It is recommended to wait and see more and do less in the middle position, chase orders cautiously, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Gold operation strategy: Go long when gold falls back to around 3315-3305, with a target of 3335-3340.
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bullish & Bearish Reversal Entry's Detected————-
➕ Objective: Precision Volume Execution
Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸 Bullish reversal : 3354.5
🩸 Bearish Reversal : 3379
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
GOLD Weekly Recap (Week 29) – MJTrading View📸 Viewing Tip:
🛠️ Some layout elements may shift depending on your screen size.
🔗 View the fixed high-resolution chart here:
Now that you have got the perfect layout let's dive in...
📈 GOLD Weekly Recap (Week 29) – MJTrading View
🕰 Timeframe: 15min chart with bi-weekly perspective
📅 Period Covered: July 14–18 (Week 29)
🎯 Visual Framework: Leg structure, range boundaries, liquidity sweeps, trendline holds, and Real Value Zone.
🔹 Weekly Summary
Open: 3,363.33
High: 3,377.77 (🔴 sweep: trapped buyers)
Low: 3,310.00 (🔴 sweep into key demand + touching the main ascending trendline )
Close: 3,349.98~3350 (lovely round level)
Structure: Entire week played inside a broad consolidation range, with sharp but failed breakouts on both extremes.
Range rules applied: traps, sweeps, compression — everything aligned for responsive trading.
📌 Key Observations
Early Week:
A double-top structure led to rejection from ~3,375 → slid into 3,350.
Price returned to breakeven but then flushed hard toward 3,320 via a clean 2-leg drop.
Midweek:
After forming a double bottom, price created a tiny liquidity sweep, then exploded to the weekly high.
The move above 3,377.77 was a textbook liquidity grab, immediately rejected.
This led to a slide toward the weekly low, tagging both the trendline and consolidation floor — forming a false breakout + reversal.
Late Week:
The low at 3,310 was swept cleanly (🔴), followed by a leg-based reversal:
Leg 1: Up to 3,331
Leg 2: Extended to ~3,360 before fading back inside the range.
Compression:
Price closed inside the Real Value Zone (weekly candle body) — just under the open, forming a tight wedge, hinting at breakout conditions for Week 30.
🟨 Weekly Candle Body
Open → Close of weekly candle reflects Real Value Zone .
Highs and lows were swept, but real commitment stayed within the body.
🧭 Key Levels to Watch – Week 30
Level Role
3,377.77 Weekly High / Liquidity Sweep (🔴 rejection)
3,363.33 Weekly Open (break & hold = bullish bias) / Previous Weekly High
3,350.00 Micro resistance / Mid-structure cap / Round Level
3,331-3 Leg 2 low & first reaction zone / Round Level
3,320.00 Breakdown support / Flush origin
3,310.00 Weekly Low / Major Demand (🔴 sweep)
3,400.00 Next possible main target
3,282.00 Previous Weekly Low
Dynamics: Both Uptrend and Downtrend Lines...
🧠 MJTrading Notes
Bias remains neutral inside the range.
A break & acceptance above 3,363 could trigger a re-test of the sweep zone (3,377+).
A breakdown below 3,331 puts 3,320 → 3,310 back on the map then 3,282.
Don’t force direction — let expansion confirm itself.
🧭 “If the structure speaks to you, let it echo.”
– MJTrading 🚀
#MJTrading #ChartDesigner #GOLD #LiquiditySweep #PriceAction #StructureTrading #Weekly #Chart #Consolidation #2legs
🧠 Psychology always matters:
GOLD/XAUUSD Long Trades Risking 1% to make 1.40%OANDA:XAUUSD / TVC:GOLD Long Trade, with my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple possible take profits, manage your position accordingly.
Risking 1% to make 1.4%
Note: Manage your risk yourself, its risky trade, see how much your can risk yourself on this trade.
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
Analysis of gold market operation strategies and market trends n
Remember not to act on impulse when trading. The market is a place where you can deal with all kinds of dissatisfaction, so you must not hold orders. I believe many people have experienced this. The more you resist, the more panic you will feel. The floating losses will continue to magnify, and you will not be able to eat or sleep well, and you will miss many opportunities in vain. If you also have these troubles, then you might as well follow my pace and try to see if it can make you suddenly enlightened. If you need help, I will always be here, but if you don't even extend your hand, how can I help you?
The trend of gold on Friday was mainly oscillating upward. It can be said that gold on Friday was a volatile market, closing at 3350. If there is no stimulation from international news over the weekend, we will continue to be bullish next week. If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope I can help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate with us!
From the 4-hour analysis, the short-term support below continues to focus on the vicinity of 3340-45, the strong support is at the 3310 mark, and the key pressure above focuses on the 3380 line. First, rely on this range to maintain the main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycles. In the middle position, watch more and do less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Gold operation strategy:
Gold goes long when it falls back to the 3335-43 line, and covers long positions when it falls back to the 3320-25 line, stop loss at 3313, target 3370-75 line, and continue to hold if it breaks;
Weekly XAUUSD Outlook | July 21–25GoldFxMinds | Structure-Based HTF Plan
Hello traders,
This week we’re back in key HTF territory. Price is compressing inside a premium structure zone, between clean supply and demand areas. Trend is still bullish, but momentum is weakening — so we focus on structure to guide us.
🟨 Weekly Bias: Neutral | Range Structure in Play
We currently have no confirmed bullish or bearish bias on the weekly timeframe.
Gold remains trapped in a macro range between:
🟥 Upper Resistance Zone: 3355–3380
🟦 Lower Demand Zone: 3280–3240
Last week’s movement created a wick grab near 3375 followed by a strong push down, but without a clean break of structure — meaning we’re still inside a distribution–accumulation trap.
📌 Until we see a clear breakout (above 3380 or below 3280), the weekly bias remains neutral.
This is not a time to force directional trades on the weekly.
Instead, we wait for Daily and H4 confirmation, and position ourselves around the edges of this weekly range.
🔹 Last Week Recap
Weekly candle created a wick into 3377, rejecting just under previous week’s high. No BOS, no liquidity sweep with continuation — just a clear rejection inside supply, confirming premium trap.
Weekly candle closed with a top wick and small body — price is compressing under resistance. Still bullish structure, but not impulsive.
🔹 Weekly Key Structure Zones
🔸 3365–3390 (Supply)
→ Reason: Rejection from prior weekly high (3377), aligned with clean OB and FVG left behind from June breakout.
→ Structure context: No bullish BOS above 3375. This is now an unbroken supply zone with strong wick rejections. Liquidity sits above.
→ Use: Wait for price to tap back in → look for M15–H1 reaction for possible sell if no BOS above 3390.
🔸 3430–3450 (Supply - Last Line)
→ Reason: Unmitigated impulsive candle OB from prior macro swing high. This zone marks the final structure before a full continuation toward new highs.
→ Structure context: If this breaks with a strong BOS, macro structure flips bullish again.
→ Use: Only engage if price clears 3390 with strong volume and closes → watch this for last reaction zone.
🔸 3285–3260 (Demand)
→ Reason: Last bullish OB + FVG combo from early July, unmitigated. Price never retraced to this base since the rally.
→ Structure context: No BOS down yet, so this is still valid bullish origin.
→ Use: If price pulls back aggressively this week, watch this zone for LTF confirmation (CHoCH or BOS bullish). This would be a clean discount buy.
🔸 3210–3180 (Deep Demand)
→ Reason: Higher timeframe CHoCH origin zone, aligns with Fibonacci 61.8% retracement from entire May–July swing.
→ Structure context: Only in play if 3260 fails and we get clean BOS down on Daily.
→ Use: This is your swing buy zone if market breaks structure lower. Strong confluence for reaction.
🔹 HTF Structure Recap
Weekly trend: Still bullish (no BOS down), but compression under resistance
Structure range: Between 3390 and 3260 — price inside premium, no breakout yet
EMA Flow: Bullish but extended. Space for retracement.
RSI: Divergence above 3350 — supporting possible retrace.
🔹 Macro Events This Week
Tuesday: Powell speaks 🗣️ (volatility risk)
Thursday: Flash PMIs (usually directional)
Friday: Durable Goods & Home Sales 🏡
⚠️ Be patient on high-impact days. Let price come into your marked zones — don’t chase inside noise.
🔹 Summary & Plan
We are inside a macro range between 3390 (supply) and 3260 (demand). Structure is not broken — so we play both sides:
Sell Setup: If price taps back into 3365–3390 with no BOS → watch for reaction
Buy Setup: If price retraces into 3285–3260 → look for clean bullish CHoCH to validate
Middle area = chop. Wait for price to get to structure zones — don’t guess.
Thanks for reading 💛
We’ll drop daily and intraday outlooks once price moves closer to one of these structure zones. Until then:
🎯 Trade the reaction, not the prediction.
🔥 If you want these levels and sniper plans every day, follow , like 🚀🚀🚀 and drop a comment if you caught the move!
Stay focused, stay sharp, and never force a trade.
GoldFxMinds