GOLDCFD trade ideas
Two lines of defense for bulls: 3340 and 3330 are the key!Gold maintains a strong pattern in the short term, and it is recommended to mainly buy on dips. The short-term support below focuses on the neckline of the hourly line at 3340 last Friday. The more critical support is locked at the 3330 line. This range is an important watershed for judging the continuation of short-term bullish momentum. As long as the daily level can remain stable above the 3330 mark, the overall trend will remain upward. Before falling below this position, we should adhere to the idea of buying low and buying low, and rely on key support levels to arrange long orders. At present, the price has completed a technical breakthrough and broke through the upper edge of the 3330 convergence triangle under the dual positive factors of Trump's tariff landing to stimulate risk aversion and the support of the Fed's interest rate cut expectations, and formed three consecutive positive daily lines. It is necessary to pay attention to the short-term pressure at the 3375 line. The overall operation strategy will be combined with the real-time trend prompts during the trading session, and pay attention to the bottom in time.
GOLD LONG TERMGOLD Live Trading Session/ GOLD analysis #forex #forextraining #forexHello Traders
In This Video GOLD HOURLY Forecast By World of Forex
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Gold Analysis today | Technical and Order Flow
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XAU/USD Update: Ready for a 12% Surge?Welcome back, traders, it’s Skeptic! 😎 Is XAU/USD about to explode or crash?
We’ve formed a symmetrical triangle pattern , and its breakout triggers could deliver solid profits for longs or shorts. Let’s dive into the details with the Daily timeframe to see the big picture.
✔️ Daily Timeframe: Our HWC is strongly bullish. After hitting $ 3,497.80 , we entered a secondary retracement phase, forming a symmetrical triangle. If we break resistance at $ 3,444.18 , my targets are the next ceiling at $ 3,494.50 and, long-term, $ 3,796.64 . But if we break support at $ 3,796.64 , it could signal a major trend change from uptrend to downtrend, opening shorts. Next supports are $ 3,206.32 and $ 3,019.31 —use these as your targets.
📊 Key Insight : Risk management is key to surviving financial markets. Stick to max 1%–2% risk per trade to stay safe.
📉 Market Context: Markets are predicting a major recession in the U.S. economy. If it happens, Gold will be the only safe-haven asset. So, I personally favor riding Gold’s uptrend.
This historic drop screams one thing: global markets are losing faith in U.S. monetary and fiscal policies, big time.
And that’s a loud wake-up call for investors: It’s time to bulletproof your portfolio. What’s that mean?
Your stocks, real estate, cash, bonds , you name it...
They’re slowly but surely turning to Gold .
💬 Let’s Talk!
Which Gold trigger are you eyeing? Hit the comments, and let’s crush it together! 😊 If this update lit your fire, smash that boost—it fuels my mission! ✌️
Today’s main strategy: bulls take the lead, followed by bears!Yesterday, gold maintained a range of fluctuations. The game between bulls and bears was fierce but failed to break the current structure. The overall trend is not clear for the time being. From a fundamental perspective, risk aversion still dominates market expectations, which makes the gold trend lack a directional breakthrough. However, we need to be vigilant that the main funds may force the gold price to fall through extreme suppression in the future. From the 4-hour cycle, gold has been under pressure near the upper track of 3377 and has fallen continuously. It has fallen below the middle track support and touched the lower track. The current price is temporarily supported near the lower track, but the overall situation is still in a wide range of fluctuations. The trend has not yet formed. The short-term strength of the US dollar also suppresses the gold rebound. The current bulls and bears are anxious, and the key support and resistance have not been effectively broken. Currently, pay attention to the effectiveness of the support in the 3325-3320 area. If it pulls back to this area, you can consider a short-term long layout, and the target is the 3340-3350 range above. If it rebounds to this area, you can choose to stop profit and go short at the right time, and the target is the lower track area. If the downward momentum is strong, it may fall below yesterday's low to form a continuous decline.
Gold bearishness once again in line with expectationsThe data released so far show that the US inflation data is stable and tends to decline, which increases the possibility of the Fed's monetary policy. The US dollar index fell first and then rose. Gold opened at around 3344 and rebounded all the way. The current highest rebound is around 3366. It fell back to 3352 before the data was released, and then quickly rebounded to 3360. After the data was released, it fell again quickly, and the current lowest touched around 3346. The short orders around 3360-3365 that we shared with brothers before were basically the highest short orders of the day, and we successfully completed our first goal. The brothers who participated in it all made good profits. Judging from the current trend of gold, we continue to participate in short orders during the rebound, and the long position is still around 3335-3330. After the release of the CPI data, it is bearish overall. The core is that it is lower than market expectations but higher than the previous value. Inflation has heated up again, which has once again suppressed the expectation of interest rate cuts. After this data, it also laid a good foundation for the decline in the market. If the price goes up again, it will still rely on the 3365 level to go short again. The data is obviously bearish, and it scared a lot of long positions before it was released.
Gold reference ideas:
Continue to short when it rebounds to around 3358-3365, with a target around 3350-3340;
Go long when it falls back to around 3335-3330, with a target around 3350.
How to grasp the key trading points of gold?Yesterday, gold tested the 3375 line several times but failed to break through effectively. The selling pressure on the market was obvious, and the price immediately fell back, reaching a low of around 3341. The daily line closed with a long upper shadow, indicating that the bullish momentum has weakened and the short-term market has entered an adjustment phase. From the perspective of the 4-hour cycle, the continuous negative trend has led to the gradual closing of the Bollinger Bands, and the middle track position has temporarily gained support, but the overall market is volatile and weak. Today, we will focus on the 3354 watershed. If the rebound fails to effectively stand at this position, the pressure on the upper side will still be strong, and there is a risk of a short-term decline.
Key technical positions: upper resistance: 3365, 3354, lower support: 3340, 3330. In terms of operation rhythm, it is recommended to deal with it with a high-selling and low-buying, oscillating approach, and maintain flexible adjustments.
The operation suggestions are as follows: You can choose to short in the 3360-3365 area, with the target around 3350 and 3340; if the rebound is blocked below 3354, you can also enter the short order in advance. It is recommended to enter and exit quickly in the short-term weak market; strictly control the stop loss to avoid risks caused by sudden changes in the market.
The current market is obviously volatile, so don't blindly chase the rise and fall. It is particularly important to operate around the key pressure and support areas. The grasp of the rhythm will determine the final profit, and steady trading is the kingly way.
GOLD Outlook – Bearish Confirmed Post-CPIWith the CPI data released at 2.7%, gold’s bearish momentum is confirmed below the Pivot Line of 3,357.953 USD.
The market reaction suggests no immediate Fed rate cuts, supporting downward pressure. Expect a move toward Support at 3,307.665 USD and the Support Zone around 3,264.120 USD. A close above 3,357.953 USD on a 1H or 4H candle could indicate a bullish reversal toward Resistance at 3,390.028 USD.
Trade Setup:
Short Entry: Near 3,357.953 USD with bearish confirmation, Stop Loss above 3,390.028 USD.
Take Profit: Initial target at 3,307.665 USD, with a second target at 3,264.120 USD.
Long Entry: Only if price breaks and holds above 3,357.953 USD, with a Stop Loss below 3,250 USD, targeting 3,390.028 USD.
Pivot Line: 3,357.953 USD
Support: 3,307.685 USD – 3,264.120 USD (Support Zone)
Resistance: 3,390.028 USD – ~3,400 USD (Key Resistance)
1h, 2h Supply Zone: Between 3,357.953 USD and 3,390.028 USD
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Please see update on our 4H Chart route map, also playing out perfectly with our levels being respected, as analysed.
We have our bearish target hit at 3295 and currently testing for support and bounce. Ema5 cross and lock below this level will open the swing range and failure to lock will see price reject and head up for the Bullish target. The 1h chart route map from yesterdays update also has the swing range open, which we need to keep in mind when planning to buy dips.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3364
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3364 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3429
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3429 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3499
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3429 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3499
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3499 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3561
BEARISH TARGETS
3295 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3295 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3242
3171
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3171 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3089
3001
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Market Outlook - Trump Questions Powell’s Job - Gold RalliesNordKern active market outlook, reacting to the latest news.
Market Alert | Trump Questions Powell’s Job - Gold Rallies, Dollar Slips
Jul 16 2025 16:56:19 CET: CBS CITING SOURCES:
TRUMP ASKED REPUBLICAN LAWMAKERS IF HE SHOULD FIRE FED'S POWELL
Market Reaction:
OANDA:XAUUSD +$45/oz intraday, currently trading near session highs.
Safe-haven demand and inflation hedge as Fed credibility is questioned.
TVC:DXY Weakens notably against both the TVC:EXY and the TVC:JXY
Markets pricing in higher political risk premium, potential dovish tilt under Trump.
Volatility: Spiking across FX and commodities. VIX and MOVE indexes also showing upward pressure.
Context Matters:
While the Fed Chair cannot be dismissed without cause, even the suggestion of removal injects significant uncertainty into the macro backdrop. Historically, markets react negatively to perceived threats to Fed autonomy (see: Nixon-Burns, Trump-Powell 2018). This development comes just months before the U.S. election, adding a new layer of complexity for macro traders.
What to Watch:
- Fed Speakers: Any defense of Powell or pushback could stabilize markets. Or not.
- Trump Campaign Statements: Will he double down or walk it back?
- Upcoming Data: A dovish-leaning CPI/Jobs print could supercharge gold and further weigh on the dollar.
- Volatility: Traders should adjust position sizing and risk accordingly.
Increased geopolitical and monetary risk are back on the table. Traders should remain nimble, reduce leverage where appropriate, and stay alert to headline risk. Gold and FX are likely to remain reactive into the US session.
NordKern
The rebound is not a reversal, continue to shortGold showed a trend of rising and falling back and closing low on Tuesday. The highest intraday rise was 3366, and the lowest fell to 3320. The daily line recorded a medium-sized Yin line with a long upper shadow. The K-line was negative, and the closing line broke the resonance support of the middle track and the short-term moving average, suggesting that the bullish momentum has slowed down and the bears are ready to move. Today, we need to pay attention to the further downward performance of gold. From the 4H level, the price stood firm at the four-hour resistance position last Thursday, and then rebounded upward in the short term. Yesterday, the price fell below the daily support level. Currently, the short-term market is bearish, and attention is paid to the resistance in the 3340-3345 range above. In the one-hour period, the price is in short-term shock adjustment. On the whole, it will be treated as a shock decline before breaking yesterday's low, and the lower side pays attention to the 3225-3320 area support. In the short term, you can consider shorting at 3340-3350 in the European session, and look towards 3330-3320
OANDA:XAUUSD
XAUUSD Expecting bullish Movement Price has now entered a strong demand zone between 3310 to 3305, as highlighted on the chart. This area has previously acted as a key support, and current price action indicates potential for a bullish reversal.
Structure Breakdown
Wave A Strong bearish leg
Wave B Minor consolidation
Wave C Final push into demand zone (3310–3305)
Buy Entry Zone: 3310–3305
First Target: 3365
Second Target: 3380
Risk Management is essential. Always use stop loss based on your strategy
XAU/USD Setup THIS WEEK
Expecting a drop into the 3300–3310 zone, where we have:
4H Fair Value Gap
Trendline confluence
Liquidity below New York Low
From there, looking for a potential bullish reaction targeting:
📈 3405 – area with resting liquidity above recent highs.
📍 No confirmed bullish structure yet — waiting for a shift on the 5M/15M timeframe to confirm entry.
Monitoring a Flat correction extension breakoutIts same with Mar 2020 situation we will see a correction extension not usual correction
Anticipate 3600-3700$ this year with correction to 3317-3392 before rally to 4100$ next year
I also draw Triangle as weekly TF bullish flag
XAUUSD CAN FLY HIGHGold buy from 3346
Tp1 3354
Tp2 3363
Tp3 3373
Stope lose 3337
Trade at your own risk
Eyes on 3335–3325: Next Bullish Launchpad！！！Today, gold hit 3375 several times and then fell back after encountering resistance. The lowest has reached 3341. Although the rising structure has not been completely destroyed, and the technical double bottom structure and the inverted head and shoulder structure support resonance effect still exist below, since gold fell below 3350, it has not even been able to stand above 3350 in the current rebound. The gold bull pattern has been weakened to a certain extent, and the market has begun to diverge in the long and short consciousness.
Gold encountered resistance and fell back near 3375 three times, proving that the upper resistance is relatively strong. Gold must increase liquidity by retracement to store more energy for breakthrough, so the short-term correction of gold is actually within my expectations, which is why I advocate brave shorting of gold today! However, according to the current retracement range and the fact that gold has been unable to stabilize above 3350, I believe that gold has not fallen to the right level and there is still room for retracement below. So I think gold will continue to pull back to test the 3335-3325 area. If gold retests this area and does not fall below, we can boldly go long on gold in this area.
Once gold rebounds after testing the 3335-3325 area, as liquidity increases, the market may form a strong bullish force to support gold to continue its rebound and continue to the 3380-3390 area, or even the 3400-3410 area.
Latest Gold Price Update TodayGold prices today continue to maintain a short-term uptrend, driven by trade tensions and U.S. inflation data.
The weakening of the USD and the drop in U.S. Treasury yields have increased gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset. The trade tensions between the U.S. and the EU, along with new tariff measures, further boost the demand for gold.
Additionally, the U.S. PPI for June rose by 2.3%, lower than the forecast and May’s increase, suggesting that inflation could decrease in the future. The market expects the Fed to cut interest rates in September, weakening the USD and supporting gold's uptrend.
With factors like trade tensions, a weaker USD, and positive inflation data, gold prices may continue to rise. Investors need to closely monitor these factors to devise an appropriate strategy.
Gold pullback bulls are a winning streak strategy
💡Message Strategy
Gold prices experienced a roller coaster ride on Wednesday, mainly due to a Bloomberg report that Trump was considering firing Federal Reserve Chairman Powell (Trump wants to cut interest rates as soon as possible and the Fed is cautious). This quickly ignited the market's risk aversion sentiment, pushing gold prices up quickly by $50. However, after the rise, gold soon encountered resistance and gave up nearly $40 in gains, as Trump quickly denied the plan and the market's risk aversion sentiment cooled.
Gold prices fluctuated and fell on Thursday as Trump denied plans to fire Powell. Due to the rise in US CPI data released earlier, investors' expectations for the Fed's interest rate cuts cooled, which began to affect the market again. Looking ahead, investors still need to pay attention to the impact of Trump's tariff remarks and the Fed's monetary policy outlook on gold prices.
📊Technical aspects
After hitting a three-week high, gold prices fell back and continued to fluctuate in a wide range.
Gold is still in a bullish pattern. The support below focuses on Tuesday's low of $3,320, which is near the position where gold prices stabilized and rose in the Asian and European sessions on Wednesday, and near the position where gold prices fell and stabilized and rose in the US session on Wednesday. This is also the core position of our trading this week.
Gold's upper pressure focuses on the downward breakthrough of gold prices in the Asian and European sessions at $3,345, which is also the low point where gold prices quickly fell after rising on Wednesday. Secondly, focus on the intraday high of $3,375. The 5-day moving average slowed down after a slight golden cross, the MACD indicator slightly crossed upward, and the KDJ and RSI indicators formed a dead cross. The short-term technical aspect suggests that gold prices have a short-term upward trend.
💰Strategy Package
Long Position:3300-3315，SL：3280，Target: 3360-3370
SWING TRADE OPPORTUNITY 〉LONGAs illustrated, I try to visualize what the next bullish impulse could look like if price holds 3300 as a key psychological and algorithmic price level.
Illustrated are the potential buy areas (a current one and an extended one in case a pullback occurs to manipulate lower levels in the next 24-48 hours).
This projection, if valid, could hold from now until next week, so it can be considered a swing trade to hold at least the next week and into the following one).
--
After this post, I will upload another analysis on the Daily timeframe projecting the longer term move, so make sure to go in my profile to check it out.
GOOD LUCK
GOLD BUYGold defends 50-day SMA ahead of US PPI inflation data
Gold price attempts a tepid bounce early Wednesday as focus shifts to trade updates and US PPI data. The US Dollar retreats alongside Treasury bond yields even as risk-off flows persist. Gold price needs to crack the 50-day SMA support at $3,323; daily RSI reclaims midline.
As observed on the daily chart, Gold price is stuck between two key barriers, with the 21-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) support-turned-resistance at $3,335 checking the upside.
On the other hand, the 50-day SMA at $3,323 cushions the downside.
The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is sitting just above the midline, currently near 50.50, suggesting that buyers could retain control.
Acceptance above the 21-day SMA is critical to sustaining the renewed upside, above which the 23.6% Fibonacci Retracement (Fibo) level of the April record rally at $3377 will be put to the test once again.
Further north, the $3,400 round level will challenge bearish commitments.
In contrast, rejection at the 21-day SMA could attack the 50-day SMA support.
Sellers must find a strong foothold below the 50-day SMA on daily closing basis.
The next healthy support levels are located at the 38.2% Fibo level of the same rally at $3,297 and the July low of $3,283.
TP 1 3,349
TP 2 3,371
TP 3 3,390
RESISTANCE 3,317
End of week analysis (19/07/2025)Here I explain the weekly and market structure for the week. Thanks for watching.
GOLD - Its Breakout? Short now??#GOLD.. perfect move as per our analysis, and now market just break hit current supporting area that was actually 3328
so keep close it and if market stay below that then we can expect a further drop towards our next supporting areas.
good luck
trade wisely
GOLD Weekly Recap (Week 29) – MJTrading View📸 Viewing Tip:
🛠️ Some layout elements may shift depending on your screen size.
🔗 View the fixed high-resolution chart here:
Now that you have got the perfect layout let's dive in...
📈 GOLD Weekly Recap (Week 29) – MJTrading View
🕰 Timeframe: 15min chart with bi-weekly perspective
📅 Period Covered: July 14–18 (Week 29)
🎯 Visual Framework: Leg structure, range boundaries, liquidity sweeps, trendline holds, and Real Value Zone.
🔹 Weekly Summary
Open: 3,363.33
High: 3,377.77 (🔴 sweep: trapped buyers)
Low: 3,310.00 (🔴 sweep into key demand + touching the main ascending trendline )
Close: 3,349.98~3350 (lovely round level)
Structure: Entire week played inside a broad consolidation range, with sharp but failed breakouts on both extremes.
Range rules applied: traps, sweeps, compression — everything aligned for responsive trading.
📌 Key Observations
Early Week:
A double-top structure led to rejection from ~3,375 → slid into 3,350.
Price returned to breakeven but then flushed hard toward 3,320 via a clean 2-leg drop.
Midweek:
After forming a double bottom, price created a tiny liquidity sweep, then exploded to the weekly high.
The move above 3,377.77 was a textbook liquidity grab, immediately rejected.
This led to a slide toward the weekly low, tagging both the trendline and consolidation floor — forming a false breakout + reversal.
Late Week:
The low at 3,310 was swept cleanly (🔴), followed by a leg-based reversal:
Leg 1: Up to 3,331
Leg 2: Extended to ~3,360 before fading back inside the range.
Compression:
Price closed inside the Real Value Zone (weekly candle body) — just under the open, forming a tight wedge, hinting at breakout conditions for Week 30.
🟨 Weekly Candle Body
Open → Close of weekly candle reflects Real Value Zone .
Highs and lows were swept, but real commitment stayed within the body.
🧭 Key Levels to Watch – Week 30
Level Role
3,377.77 Weekly High / Liquidity Sweep (🔴 rejection)
3,363.33 Weekly Open (break & hold = bullish bias) / Previous Weekly High
3,350.00 Micro resistance / Mid-structure cap / Round Level
3,331-3 Leg 2 low & first reaction zone / Round Level
3,320.00 Breakdown support / Flush origin
3,310.00 Weekly Low / Major Demand (🔴 sweep)
3,400.00 Next possible main target
3,282.00 Previous Weekly Low
Dynamics: Both Uptrend and Downtrend Lines...
🧠 MJTrading Notes
Bias remains neutral inside the range.
A break & acceptance above 3,363 could trigger a re-test of the sweep zone (3,377+).
A breakdown below 3,331 puts 3,320 → 3,310 back on the map then 3,282.
Don’t force direction — let expansion confirm itself.
🧭 “If the structure speaks to you, let it echo.”
– MJTrading 🚀
#MJTrading #ChartDesigner #GOLD #LiquiditySweep #PriceAction #StructureTrading #Weekly #Chart #Consolidation #2legs
🧠 Psychology always matters:
