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18/07 Gold Outlook Market Tensions Mount Liquidity Zones in Play Gold Outlook – Market Tensions Mount, Liquidity Zones in Play Price action heats up as we enter the final trading day of the week. Are you ready to ride the wave or get caught in the liquidity sweep? 🔍 Market Sentiment & Global Highlights Gold rebounded strongly after dropping on better-than-expected US data. However, several macro risks are keeping gold buyers in the game: Buy-the-dip activity emerged amid concerns that Trump’s tariff policies may fuel inflation. Rate cut expectations remain strong as US core inflation shows no signs of cooling. Geopolitical risks intensified as Israel conducted fresh airstrikes on Syria. EU threatens $84B in tariffs on US goods should trade talks break down. 💡 These tensions are giving gold strong support — especially as traders prepare for potential volatility into the weekend. 📈 Technical Overview – Liquidity Zones at Play Yesterday's bounce from FLZ H2 (3310) — a critical demand and liquidity zone — triggered a clean reversal. Sellers took profit, volume shifted, and buyers regained control. Price has since pushed up to retest the OBS SELL ZONE + CP Pattern near the 334x area with a sharp reaction. For today, price is likely to revisit lower liquidity pockets (M30–H2) before making the next directional move. 🔑 Key Levels to Watch 🟢 BUY ZONE: 3318 – 3316 Stop Loss: 3312 Take Profits: 3322 – 3326 – 3330 – 3335 – 3340 – 3345 – 3350 – 3360+ ⚡ BUY SCALP ZONE: 3326 – 3324 Stop Loss: 3320 Take Profits: 3330 – 3335 – 3340 – 3345 – 3350 – 3360 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3363 – 3365 Stop Loss: 3370 Take Profits: 3360 – 3355 – 3350 – 3346 – 3342 – 3338 – 3335 – 3330 ⚠️ Final Notes Today’s session has no major news releases, but as it’s the end of the week, we may see liquidity grabs and unexpected volatility. Stay disciplined, stick to your plan, and always respect TP/SL. 🔔 Follow the key zones carefully – volatility loves indecision.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
2
Gold Bullish Momentum 📈 XAU/USD Gold Technical Analysis – Smart Money Concept Perspective 🕒 Timeframe: 1H | Date: July 16, 2025 Overview: This analysis follows a Smart Money Concept (SMC) framework, focusing on market structure shifts, liquidity zones, and potential high-probability setups. Gold (XAU/USD) is showing signs of a possible bullish reversal after forming a clear accumulation zone near a significant low. Key Highlights: 🔹 BOS (Break of Structure): A bullish break of structure confirms a shift in momentum, indicating that the prior bearish trend might be weakening. 🔹 LL (Lower Low) and LH (Lower High): The market previously formed a Lower Low, followed by a Lower High, maintaining bearish structure until the recent BOS occurred. 🔹 Accumulation Phase: Price is consolidating in a defined accumulation range, suggesting smart money might be absorbing liquidity before a move higher. This zone may serve as the springboard for the next bullish leg. 🔹 Inducement: An inducement zone lies just below the trendline support and accumulation range. It’s designed to trap early sellers before a bullish continuation. 🔹 POI (Point of Interest): A key supply or mitigation zone lies around the $3,355.75 level. We expect price to move into this POI before reacting. 🔹 Target: If price successfully clears the POI and confirms strength, the projected target is in the $3,375–$3,380 zone based on confluence from upper channel resistance and previous structure. 🔄 Forecast Path: Short-Term Pullback: Price may dip slightly to mitigate the inducement zone near trendline support. Bullish Breakout: Strong impulse toward POI. Reaction from POI: Potential minor retracement before a continuation toward the target. 🧠 Market Psychology Insight: This setup reflects smart money accumulation and manipulation at its core — inducing retail traders into short positions before a potential bullish move. Watch for confirmations like bullish engulfing candles or break of lower highs on smaller timeframes. 📌 Conclusion: Gold is poised for a possible bullish move after showing accumulation and breaking bearish structure. The $3,328–$3,335 range is key for entries, with the $3,355 POI and $3,375+ as targets. Manage risk and wait for confirmation before entering trades. 💬 Let me know your thoughts or drop your own chart ideas below! 📊 #XAUUSD #Gold #SmartMoney #TradingView #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #SMC #PriceAction
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by INVESTRONE
Gold is in the Bearish Direction after Breaking Triangle PatternHello Traders In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today Gold analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ForexMasters2000
Converging triangle, may rise again in the short termUnder the influence of recent tariffs and the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, the main trend of the gold market remains bullish, but from the weekly and monthly level analysis, there is a high probability that it will pull back again after this round of highs and maintain a large range of fluctuations at a high level. Technical analysis shows that gold currently does not have the conditions for a unilateral surge at the daily level. Although the key level of 3345 has been broken, the continuity of the market is extremely poor, and volatility is still the main theme. At present, the trend of gold has formed a converging triangle pattern, and it may rise again in the short term. However, we need to be vigilant that the weekly line may form a high-rise and fall pattern, and the price of gold may fall back to 3300! Therefore, in today's late trading, you can consider retreating to the 3335-3330 area to go long OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by HuntingWolves
The latest gold trend analysis and strategic suggestionsYesterday, the price of gold showed a range of fluctuations. The long and short sides fought fiercely but failed to break through the existing range. The overall trend direction is still unclear. From a fundamental point of view, the market is still dominated by risk aversion, which makes it difficult for the price of gold to form a clear trend reversal. However, it should be noted that the main funds may take extreme suppression measures in the future to force the price of gold to fall. From the 4-hour chart, gold has been under pressure near the upper track 3377 and continued to fall. Yesterday, it broke through the middle track support and touched the lower track. The current price is temporarily supported near the lower track, but the overall trend still shows a wide range of fluctuations and has not formed an obvious trend. The short-term strength of the US dollar suppresses the upward movement of gold, but the key support and resistance levels have not been effectively broken; in terms of intraday short-term operation suggestions, the current callback near 3320-3325 can try to do ultra-short-term longs. It is recommended to stop profit and exit in the 3340-3345 range. It can be combined with the K-line pattern to short-sell, and the target is the lower track area. If the downward momentum is strong, it may fall below yesterday’s low to form a continuous decline. Operation suggestions: 1. Go long when gold falls back to around 3320-3325, stop loss at 3312, target at 3340-3345.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DwightGrote
7/17: Key Support for Gold Bulls at 3343–3337During the Asian session today, gold rose as expected into the 3337–3343 resistance zone. After failing to break through, the price retraced during the European and U.S. sessions, reaching the 3323–3313 support area. A sharp rally followed due to unexpected news, pushing the price into the 3372–3378 resistance zone. Overall, the intraday bullish strategy performed well, yielding solid profits. After this sharp volatility, price movement has stabilized somewhat. The MA60 support on the daily chart remains intact. For tomorrow’s trading, key levels to watch are: 🔽 Support: 3343–3337, with secondary support at 3328–3323 🔼 Resistance: 3372–3378 On the 2-hour chart, bullish momentum appears likely to continue as long as price holds above the support zone. Additionally, upcoming economic data releases and any further developments on the report regarding Trump potentially firing Powell could have a significant impact on market sentiment—these factors should be closely monitored. In summary, tomorrow’s initial trading focus can remain within the 3337–3358 range, with strategies adjusted as market conditions evolve.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by China_MsWang
Don’t hesitate, a massive gold move Is brewingRefer to my previous trading idea. Gold retreated as expected. We almost caught the highest point of the day and shorted gold near 3365, and successfully hit TP: 3346, which enabled us to successfully profit 190pips in short-term trading, with a profit of nearly $10K, which is a good result in short-term trading. Currently, the lowest point of gold in the retracement process has reached around 3335, which has fully released the short energy and vented the bearish sentiment in the market. All the bad news is out, which means good news! Although gold fell from 3375 to 3335, the retracement was as high as $40, but the rising structure has not been completely destroyed. The previous W-shaped double bottom support structure and the resonance effect of the inverted head and shoulder support structure still exist. As long as gold stays above 3325, gold bulls still have the potential to attack. Moreover, after this round of retracement, the bearish sentiment of gold was vented, and the liquidity was greatly increased, attracting more buyers to actively enter the market. Gold may start a retaliatory rebound, and even touch 3375 again or even break through and continue to the 3380-3390 area. So for short-term trading, I think we can try to go long on gold in the 3335-3325 area appropriately, first looking forward to gold regaining lost ground: 3350-3360 area, followed by 3380-3390 area.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trading_Steffen
XAUUSD 4H – Break & Retest With Bullish Continuation | SMC🚨 Gold (XAUUSD) is setting up for a potential bullish move after a successful break and retest of a key resistance zone at 3346 – 3348, now turned into fresh support. 🔍 Technical Breakdown: 📌 Structure: Gold previously formed a strong resistance near 3346, which aligned with multiple rejections in past sessions. After a liquidity sweep and break above this level, price retraced for a textbook break-and-retest setup. 📌 CHoCH & BOS (Break of Structure): The market showed a bullish Change of Character followed by a clean Break of Structure to the upside, confirming bullish intent. 📌 Smart Money Perspective: Institutional demand was respected at 3296–3305 zone. Liquidity below this zone has been taken. Current bullish candles are printing higher highs and higher lows. 📌 Confluences: ✅ Break & Retest of major structure ✅ Clean demand zone below ✅ Imbalance filled ✅ Bullish market structure ✅ SMC confirmation (CHoCH + BOS + Mitigation) 📈 Trade Idea (Long Setup): 💰 Buy Entry: 3359 🔻 Stop Loss: 3305 (below demand + structure) 🎯 Take Profit 1: 3400 🎯 Take Profit 2: 3440 – 3442 (major resistance) 🧮 Risk-to-Reward: 1:2+ This setup provides a strong bullish continuation opportunity targeting the upper resistance zone. Monitor candle confirmations and session volume for more precise entries. 📢 💬 Like this idea? Follow for more Smart Money trades on Gold, US30, NAS100, and V75!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by FrankFx14
GOLD BUY M15 XAU/USD (Gold) 15-Minute Chart Analysis – July 15, 2025 Gold is currently trading around 3362.050, showing strong bullish momentum after a Change of Character (CHoCH) confirmation. Price has broken previous structure highs and is now expected to continue the upward trend. A bullish order block (marked in purple) has been identified as a demand zone, which could act as a strong support if the price pulls back. Entry Plan: Buy on a retest near the demand zone. Stop Loss (SL): 3352 Target (TP): 3375 Key Levels: Support Zone (Demand Area): 3352–3360 Resistance Levels: Minor resistance: 3365.142, 3370.035 Final target zone: 3375 (Weak High) Price is expected to form higher highs and higher lows on its way toward the target. Watch for a clean retest of the demand zone for a potential long entry.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Sniperfx05
Gold Trade Plan 14/07/2025Dear Traders, On the 4H chart, gold (XAUUSD) is forming a symmetrical triangle, with price approaching a key resistance zone (highlighted in red) around 3375 - 3385, which aligns with the descending trendline. 📍 Two possible scenarios: Pullback scenario (more likely short-term): Price gets rejected from the red box and pulls back to the ascending trendline below (~3300-3320). Bullish breakout scenario: If price breaks and holds above the red resistance and descending trendline, the next bullish target could be 3450 - 3470. For now, the best strategy: Wait for price reaction at resistance before entering a trade. Regards, Alireza!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by alirezak
Gold Trade Plan 18/07/2025Dear Traders, Gold (XAUUSD) – Short-Term Outlook – July 18, 2025 Price is currently moving within an ascending channel and approaching a key resistance zone around 3355–3360, highlighted in red. This zone has acted as previous supply (marked with red arrows), and we anticipate potential bearish reaction from here. As long as price fails to break and hold above 3375, we remain bearish near the top of the range, with short opportunities targeting the mid-range (~3340) and possibly the bottom of the channel (~3315–3320). If price breaks above 3375 with strong momentum and closes above it, the bullish breakout scenario becomes active, invalidating the short setup. 📌 Strategy: Watch for bearish confirmation in the resistance zone Sell near the top, targeting lower range levels Invalidation: Break and close above 3375 Regards, Alireza!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by alirezak
Today's GOLD Analysis (MMC) – Bullish Momentum Building Ahead🔍 Market Overview: Gold is currently showing signs of a bullish reversal structure after experiencing a downward correction. Price action has reacted strongly from well-defined demand zones, suggesting institutional buying activity at key levels. The current setup highlights a clear accumulation phase transitioning into a potential markup phase, driven by buyers regaining control. 🧱 Chart Structure Breakdown: 1️⃣ Initial Channel Formation (Left Side of Chart) After a major downtrend, price began consolidating within a rising channel, indicating a retracement or correction phase. This ascending channel showed a short-term bullish effort, but eventually broke to the downside, resuming the dominant bearish flow temporarily. 2️⃣ Previous Reversal Zone ($3,312 – $3,322) This is the origin of the recent bullish move, where price strongly reversed after heavy selling. The reversal formed a long bullish wick and an engulfing candle—clear signs of buying absorption. This level has historical confluence, acting as both support and prior demand. 3️⃣ Mini SR - Interchange Zone ($3,327 – $3,335) This zone is a mini structure level where previous resistance has now become support (SR Flip). The area acted as a platform for the recent bullish reaction. This zone also aligns with the interchange of order blocks, adding more confluence to the bullish argument. 4️⃣ Bullish Pattern Formation Price formed a micro double bottom/inverse head and shoulders structure just above the Mini SR. The pattern suggests strong base-building and provides momentum for the current bullish move. Confirmation came after the neckline breakout and retest within the Central Zone. 5️⃣ Central Zone ($3,340 – $3,345) This is an intraday pivot area, acting as a decision-making zone between buyers and sellers. Price is currently testing this zone with strong bullish candles. A clean break above this level increases the probability of further upside. 6️⃣ Reversal Zone 1 ($3,345 – $3,353) – ✅ Condition 1 Price is now entering this zone, where previous price rejections occurred. If buyers can maintain momentum and break above this zone on strong volume, it will validate the bullish continuation thesis. This zone is also an ideal area to monitor for partial profit-taking or potential short-term rejection. 7️⃣ Reversal Zone 2 ($3,365 – $3,375) – ✅ Condition 2 This is the next significant resistance block. If price reaches this level, it could face heavy resistance and profit-booking from swing traders. However, a breakout above this zone could lead to a much larger bullish wave, targeting $3,390+. 🎯 Trade Setup Idea: Long Bias: Above $3,335 with targets at $3,353 (TP1) and $3,370 (TP2) Risk Invalidation: Break below Mini SR zone ($3,327) may invalidate bullish thesis Aggressive Entry: At retest of Mini SR after pattern breakout Conservative Entry: On breakout and close above Reversal Zone 1 with confirmation 🧠 Trader’s Mindset: The market is showing a clear shift in momentum, but buyers must sustain control above key levels. Stay patient at resistance zones; avoid chasing. Watch for rejection wicks or bearish divergence near Reversal Zone 2 if you're looking for a counter-trade. 📌 Summary: 📈 Bias: Bullish (as long as $3,335 holds) 💡 Opportunity: Breakout from Mini SR with structure support 📉 Risk: Failure to hold central zone could trigger retest of lower support 🚀 Potential: If momentum continues, gold could revisit July highs near $3,390–$3,400
FX:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
Report - 17 jully, 2025Executive Notes – Summary Tariffs Bring In $50bn+ for U.S.: Global partners mostly restrained; only China and Canada retaliated. EU delays action until Aug 1. → Bullish short-term for USD revenue and equities tied to U.S. industrial base; long-term inflation risk rising. Trump vs Powell (Fed Chair): Trump floated firing Powell; market volatility followed. Odds hit 40%, fell after walk-back. → Bearish for DXY, bullish for XAUUSD and risk hedges. China-Japan Espionage Flashpoint: Japanese executive jailed. U.S. and Japanese corporates face higher operational risk. → Negative FDI outlook for China, positive momentum for India, Vietnam. EU–Mercosur Trade Deal at Risk: France demands safeguards on beef, sugar, poultry. Deal approval hinges on political concessions. → Watch agri-commodities (softs), BRL, and EU agri-lobby impacts. ASML Profit Warning: Trump tariff fears cloud 2026 chip industry outlook; shares drop 11%. → Bearish on EU semis, capital goods. Nvidia China Deal Revival: U.S. set to grant export licenses for AI GPUs; H20 shipments may resume. → Bullish for China AI adoption and semis; BABA, BIDU, NVDA in rebound territory. Goldman & JPM Rally on IB Recovery: M&A/IPO flows return; +26% YoY IB fees. → Signals CEO confidence; bullish for dealmakers and sector ETFs (KCE, XLF). Subsea Cable Ban on China: FCC to block Chinese tech in U.S.-linked subsea networks. → Signals rising digital Cold War; tech supply chains shifting westward. Germany’s Allianz CEO Sounds Alarm: Warns of fiscal collapse by 2035 if welfare spending not reformed. → Supports hard-asset thesis; bearish EU fiscal stability perception. Crypto Week & Stablecoin Push: Cantor-led SPAC to buy $4B BTC; U.S. fast-tracking stablecoin rules. → Bullish BTC, USDT dominance, and crypto-native banking platforms. Full Strategic Macro & Market Analysis President Trump’s aggressive tariff policy is achieving both economic and political outcomes ahead of the election: $64 billion in Q2 customs revenues and symbolic victory over hesitant global peers. According to Treasury data, tariffs have surged income by over $47 billion YoY. This influx comes with asymmetric retaliation: only China and Canada have meaningfully responded. The EU, under pressure from France’s agricultural bloc, has paused countermeasures, awaiting August 1 negotiations. The market's muted reaction reflects the novelty of tariffs being treated as quasi-fiscal tools. Yet, the Yale Budget Lab’s finding of a 20.6% effective average tariff — the highest since 1910 — is an inflationary wildcard. UBS projects that core goods prices may push CPI above 2.3% until 2027 without policy reversal, eroding real incomes and squeezing margins across consumer sectors. As noted by Fed officials like John Williams, tariffs alone are lifting inflation by a full percentage point over the next 12 months. At the same time, Trump’s remarks about firing Fed Chair Powell jolted Treasury and currency markets. The DXY fell nearly 0.9% intraday, while 2-year U.S. yields dropped to 3.90%, pricing in a potentially more dovish successor. This political volatility amplified market preference for inflation hedges and high-quality equity earnings. Assets: XAUUSD (Gold): Trump’s Fed confrontation, rising CPI prints, and global legal-institutional instability support continued gold upside. Technical momentum remains bullish. If DXY dips below 103 and Powell uncertainty rises, gold could retest $2,450. S&P 500 & Dow Jones: Rotation continues. Industrials and financials (e.g., Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan) gain from tariff-driven reshoring and M&A revival. However, semis and global tech face drag from ASML warnings and U.S.–China tech decoupling. Dow holds better given dividend strength, but risk spikes if Powell is removed or tariffs push inflation past 3%. USDJPY: USD weakening bias persists on Fed risk, though yen gains are capped by geopolitical risk in Asia (e.g., Chinese jet near Japan, espionage cases) and Japan’s sluggish growth. A move toward 152 is possible if Powell exits or the Fed pivots dovishly. DXY (Dollar Index): Trump’s instability narrative, threats to Fed credibility, and rising CPI are weighing on the dollar. Watch for a decisive breakdown below 103, especially if ECB/BoE turn hawkish or U.S. deficit headlines worsen. Crude Oil (WTI): Supported by strong commodity complex (steel, copper, aluminum all up), tariffs on inputs, and stable OPEC+. Bullish bias into Q3, with demand steady and risk premia rising from China tensions and Middle East unrest. Macro Risks Fed Politicization: Powell’s premature dismissal could unravel market confidence in the U.S. rate regime. Bonds and USD would sell off; capital flight risk rises. Persistent Inflation: Tariffs risk pushing CPI above 3% in 2025. Long-end yields will respond faster than the Fed. Tech War Escalation: Subsea cable bans, Huawei exclusion, and AI chip controls could trigger further retaliation from China. EU-Mercosur Breakdown: French farming veto could stall EU diversification efforts and strengthen protectionist politics in Europe. Emerging Opportunities U.S. Banks and Dealmakers: Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan gains point to a rebound in capital markets activity. KCE ETF, GS, and MS are prime exposure vehicles. AI-Semiconductor Complex (Selective): Nvidia’s China deal reversal allows for a tactical rebound in NVDA, BIDU, BABA, despite broader export controls. Bitcoin Accumulation Wave: Trump-aligned SPACs (Cantor Equity Partners 1, BSTR Holdings) are spearheading institutional BTC acquisition. Stablecoin legislation expected to favor U.S. dollar dominance. Dividend-Centric Strategies: Payout increases from industrials (Costamare, ILPT) outnumber dividend cuts. Defensive dividend plays are outperforming growth narratives in volatile macro backdrops. Possibilities: XAUUSD (Gold) Short-Term (1–4 weeks): Likely to stay elevated or push higher amid Fed independence concerns and strong CPI tailwinds. A sustained move above $2,400 opens a path to $2,450–2,480, especially if Powell’s status deteriorates or the DXY breaks 103. Medium-Term (3–6 months): Remains supported by structural inflation and global de-dollarization themes (e.g., stablecoins, geopolitical risk in Asia, digital infrastructure war). Positioning may increase if the Fed turns more political. S&P 500 Short-Term: High volatility. Earnings remain solid, especially in financials and industrials, but valuation compression risk persists if long-end rates stay above 5%. Potential 1–2% pullbacks on Powell uncertainty. Medium-Term: Rotation-led upside possible if Fed stability is restored. But if tariffs worsen CPI and margins compress, we could see a multi-month consolidation. AI and industrial resilience may cap downside. USDJPY Short-Term: Expected to test downside near 152. Japanese yen gaining haven demand, and dovish Fed risk undermines USD strength. If risk sentiment worsens (China, Powell), JPY outperforms. Medium-Term: Neutral-to-bearish. If the Fed resumes cuts or dollar confidence erodes, USDJPY could move sub-150. BOJ remains dovish, limiting gains beyond that. DXY (US Dollar Index) Short-Term: Under pressure. If Powell's removal gains traction or more tariffs fuel CPI, DXY may decisively lose 103 support. Temporary rebounds on safe-haven flows possible. Medium-Term: Bearish bias forming. Stablecoin growth, Trump-led policy volatility, and global diversification efforts (e.g., EU trade deals) weigh on demand for USD assets. Crude Oil (WTI) Short-Term: Bullish tone holds. Supply-side support from OPEC+, tariffs lifting input costs, and solid U.S. industrial activity. Potential retest of $85/bbl. Medium-Term: Risk of higher volatility. If global growth slows (China contraction or Fed missteps), oil could retreat to mid-$70s. But inflationary pressure remains net supportive. Dow Jones Industrial Average Short-Term: Outperforming due to resilient bank earnings, dividend momentum, and defensive bias. Likely to remain range-bound with modest upward drift unless Powell is ousted. Medium-Term: Cautiously bullish. Dividend themes remain strong, and industrials benefit from tariff protection. But inflation and long-duration debt concerns could cap gains.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Buranku
Expecting Gold bullish Movement Gold (XAU/USD) has exhibited a strong bullish reversal from the key support zone near 3325 marked by the red area on the chart The price formed a series of higher lows indicating bullish momentum buildup before breaking out sharply above the descending channel and resistance zone around 3340 Following this breakout, the market is now consolidating above the broken resistance, which is acting as new support signaling a potential continuation of the upward trend Key Levels Target 1 3365 3370 grey resistance zone Target 2 3385 3390 major resistance zone If price holds above the support at 3340 and continues forming higher lows, we expect bullish continuation toward Target 1 and eventually Target 2 if momentum sustains Traders should monitor price action closely at each target zone for potential reactions or reversals
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GOLD_FORCAST_PROVIDER