Xauusd My option about gold Is more bearish so that zone is good and strong restanice if the price comes to that zone it can pullback
GOLDCFD trade ideas
7.15 Gold Market Analysis and Operation SuggestionsFrom the 4-hour analysis, the short-term support below focuses on the neckline of the hourly line of last Friday, 3340-45, and focuses on the support of 3325-30. The intraday retracement continues to follow the trend and the main bullish trend remains unchanged. The short-term bullish strong dividing line focuses on the 3325 mark. The daily level stabilizes above this position and continues to follow the trend and bullish rhythm. Before falling below this position, continue to follow the trend and follow the trend. Maintain the main tone of participation.
Gold operation strategy:
1. Go long when gold falls back to 3340-45, and add more when it falls back to 3325-30, stop loss 3317, target 3365-70, and continue to hold if it breaks;
Report - 10 jully, 2025Germany Pushes European Rearmament — Supply Chain Call to Action
Key Developments
German Defense Minister Boris Pistorius demands the defense industry “stop complaining and deliver,” pushing for accelerated production.
Berlin plans to raise annual defense spending to €162 billion by 2029 (+70% vs. current), the largest defense expansion since WWII.
Focus on munitions, drones, tanks, submarines, fighter jets.
Long-term contracts with annual purchase obligations to provide production certainty and encourage new capacity.
Meeting with US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth to secure US support and coordinate Patriot missile supply (Germany has only 6 left).
Despite Ukraine’s renewed requests, Germany will not send Taurus long-range missiles.
Strategic Analysis
Germany’s pivot (the "Zeitenwende") signals a historic shift toward a leadership role in European defense, stepping up as US support for continental security wanes. The move reshapes Europe's industrial base and procurement priorities, creating a structural, multiyear demand boom in defense production.
This strategic acceleration responds to:
Russia's aggression and rapid advances in Ukraine.
A fragmented EU defense industry needing standardization and scale.
The risk that delays in rearmament could embolden adversaries.
Market & Investment Implications
Bullish outlook for European defense primes: Rheinmetall, Hensoldt, KMW, and MBDA.
Strong orders pipeline supports supplier valuations and capital investments.
Defense-focused ETFs and long-cycle industrial funds gain attractiveness.
Potential execution risks: capacity bottlenecks and regulatory procurement hurdles.
North Korea’s Unconditional Support to Russia — New Security Axis
Key Developments
Kim Jong Un pledges "unconditional support" for Russia’s Ukraine war effort during Lavrov’s visit.
North Korea has reportedly sent 13,000 troops and 12 million artillery shells since October, with plans for more troops this summer.
Joint military and economic ties deepening: possible new infrastructure projects and North Korean goods in Russian markets.
Strategic Analysis
The explicit military alliance between Moscow and Pyongyang cements a new anti-Western axis in Northeast Asia. North Korean boots on the ground in Ukraine (even indirectly) create significant escalation risks and could legitimize wider allied responses.
Market & Security Implications
Increases global defense spending momentum, particularly in missile defense and artillery systems.
Heightens regional security risk premium in Northeast Asia, reinforcing demand for US-Japan-Korea trilateral cooperation.
Potential new sanctions regimes targeting Russian and North Korean trade.
EU to Intensify Foreign Subsidy Investigations
Key Developments
EU to expand probes into foreign-subsidized companies, particularly Chinese, using the Foreign Subsidies Regulation (FSR).
Target sectors: chemicals, pharmaceuticals, cars, batteries, and green tech.
FSR empowers Brussels to block public procurement bids, M&A deals, and restrict single-market access.
Strategic Analysis
A clear industrial policy pivot: Brussels seeks to protect European value chains, local talent, and technological sovereignty. The EU is signaling it will emulate China’s own JV requirements to force knowledge transfer and local investment.
Market & Corporate Implications
Defensive boost for EU industrial and tech players — potential reshoring and local capacity expansion.
Risks for Chinese EV, solar, and battery players in Europe.
New compliance costs and operational hurdles for multinationals with Chinese JV exposure.
EU Temporarily Suspends Tariff Retaliation Against US
Key Developments
EU delays €21 billion in planned retaliatory tariffs on US exports following Trump’s 30% tariff threat.
Negotiations ongoing; additional €72 billion of potential retaliatory measures being prepared.
Germany’s finance minister stresses continued “serious talks,” warning of possible decisive countermeasures if negotiations fail.
Strategic Analysis
EU seeks to avoid a major trade war escalation that could hit vulnerable industries (aircraft, agriculture, luxury goods). The postponement reflects both economic pragmatism and strategic patience.
Market Implications
Near-term relief for European cyclical exporters and automotive supply chains.
Volatility risk persists; underlying uncertainty keeps global supply chain hedging active.
Global Health Risks from Western Aid Cuts
Key Developments
Wellcome Trust warns that sharp cuts in Western aid (e.g., 83% of USAID programs, UK’s 40% cut) could lead to deaths exceeding those caused by COVID-19 in Africa and other regions.
Reductions threaten vaccination programs, HIV/AIDS prevention, and basic health infrastructure.
Strategic & Social Implications
Rising health crises could create regional instability, migration pressures, and political fragility.
Potential for emergent humanitarian crises to undermine global economic resilience and security.
Crypto Firms Move Toward US Banking Integration
Key Developments
Ripple, Circle, and BitGo seek national banking charters; Kraken to launch crypto-backed debit/credit cards.
Trump administration’s pro-digital asset stance and proposed Genius Act accelerating integration of stablecoins with Treasury backing.
Strategic Analysis
Crypto players are rapidly shifting from an anti-establishment stance to a regulated model, seeking legitimacy and direct ties to the US banking system. This is a major strategic pivot toward mass-market adoption and integration.
Market Implications
Growth catalysts for regulated digital asset ecosystems.
Opportunities in infrastructure (custody, payment rails, compliance tech).
Regulatory framework evolution remains a key risk factor.
US-Japan Relations Enter Critical Phase
Key Developments
Sharp deterioration in US-Japan ties as Trump imposes tariffs and demands higher defense spending (up to 3.5% of GDP).
Japan’s requests for tariff exemptions rebuffed; possible alliance strain.
US threatens to halt Okinawa troop relocation plans, creating a defense strategy crisis.
Strategic Analysis
Deepening transactional approach by US administration risks destabilizing one of Washington’s most strategic alliances. Japan’s ability to recalibrate is limited, leading to potential security vulnerabilities vis-à-vis China and North Korea.
Market & Policy Implications
Elevated geopolitical risk premium in Asia-Pacific.
Potential reassessment of Japanese defense contractors and broader regional security investments.
Possible long-term tailwinds for local defense and cybersecurity initiatives.
Copper Tariff Uncertainty — Global Supply Chain Alert
Key Developments
US plans 50% copper tariffs from August 1; manufacturers seek clarity.
Copper critical for EVs, semiconductors, defense, and green infrastructure.
Stockpiles may last 6–9 months; longer-term supply risk remains acute.
Strategic & Market Implications
Significant inflationary pressures in downstream sectors.
Supply chain disruptions could affect US manufacturing competitiveness, defense readiness, and green transition timelines.
Potential opportunities for non-US copper producers and recyclers.
Apollo's UK Pension Play — Bulk Annuities Strategy
Key Developments
Athora (Apollo-backed) acquires Pension Insurance Corporation for £5.7bn, entering the UK’s £500bn pension de-risking market.
Signals strategy shift as US private capital increasingly integrates with retirement and insurance liabilities.
Strategic Analysis
Apollo’s model of “permanent capital” (buying long-duration liabilities to invest in high-yielding private assets) advances further into Europe. The move addresses demographic pressures and opens new fee streams.
Market Implications
Bullish for Apollo and similar alternative asset managers.
Heightened scrutiny by regulators on risk transfer and solvency.
UK pension de-risking market consolidation may create opportunities for specialized asset managers.
Overall Global Themes & Recommendations
Themes
Structural defense rearmament and deterrence strategies reshaping Europe and Asia.
Geopolitical realignments create new economic blocs and challenge global supply chains.
Rise of state-supported industrial policies in Europe (FSR) and US (tariffs).
Growing integration of crypto into mainstream finance under a friendlier US regulatory regime.
Recommendations
Overweight: European and US defense primes, cybersecurity, regulated crypto infrastructure.
Underweight: Asian export-heavy sectors highly exposed to US tariff risk, particularly Japan.
Selective Long: European industrial reshoring beneficiaries, US pension risk transfer facilitators.
Monitor: Copper and critical mineral supply chains for inflation pass-through and supply constraints.
XAU/USD: Analysis and Strategy Amid Trade ConflictsA rate cut this month is highly unlikely, with the earliest possible delay to September. Currently, the gold market trend is still dominated by tariff factors. Although the tariff war was extended for 90 days in April, the 10% base tariff imposed on all trading countries during this period has already made the total tax revenue of these three months reach 70% of that in previous years.
Trump's launch of the tariff war has clear core goals: first, to directly increase U.S. fiscal revenue; second, to boost exports through policy inclination, while helping enterprises increase profits to expand the tax base; third, to promote the growth of domestic employment. Just last weekend, his administration announced that it would impose a 30% tariff on the European Union and Mexico, and the new regulations will take effect on August 1.
Against this backdrop, the escalation of trade conflicts has become increasingly obvious. For gold, this means continuous and strong support, and the certainty of its upward logic has been further enhanced. From a long-term perspective, the gold market is not expected to see a deep correction in the second half of the year.
After pulling back to around $3,280 last week, the price has embarked on a sustained upward trajectory and now fluctuates within the range of $3,345-$3,380. For this interval, a strategy of buying low and selling high would be appropriate.
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
GOLD TRADING IN BEARISH TREND IN 4H TIME FRAMEGold price forming Lower lows which indicated Bearish trend movement.
Price is currently moving in Secondary Trend.
In upcoming sessions secondary trend may end and price may start forming Primary trend.
After a candlestick reversal pattern, Gold may continue to fall.
Price may hit the support level of 3250$ in upcoming sessions.
On higher side 3450$ may act as an important resistance level.
XAU SMCsmc daily bos buy , internal buy , bulish channel , another elliot move ?..what dow you think guys
CHECK XAUUSD SIGNAL READ CAPTAINTrade Direction: Short (sell)
Entry Point: Around 3345.000 3342.000
Stop Loss: Around 3355.000
🎯 Target Levels
Take Profit 1:
3332.000
Take Profit 2:
3318.000
Last Target:
3300.000
Falling correction, shorting in European session📰 News information：
1. Beige Book of Federal Reserve's economic situation
2. European and American tariff trade negotiations
📈 Technical Analysis：
Currently, gold continues to consolidate around 3340, and the daily MACD indicator is stuck to the zero axis. Two consecutive days of negative bars also indicate that the overall trend of gold is weak and volatile. The hourly Bollinger Bands are closing, with the upper band located near 3352. The corresponding positions of the upper pressure middle band and SMA60 are basically at 3335-3350, but it is expected to gradually decline over time. On the whole, there are no particularly clear trading signals at present. Both bulls and bears have certain opportunities. It is recommended to wait and see for the time being. Pay attention to the 3342-3352 area above. If the bearish trend is confirmed in the future, you can consider shorting when it rebounds here, with the target at 3330-3325. If gold retreats directly to 3325-3320 and gains effective support again, you can consider going long.
🎯 Trading Points：
SELL 3342-3352
TP 3330-3325
BUY 3325-3320
TP 3340-3350
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold Chart Triangle PatternThis structure currently favors a contracting triangle, now developing the E wave of the pattern. It remains valid as long as the price stays above 3246.550. A safe trade setup would be to wait for a breakout above the D wave.
Gold breast analysis (read caption) Hi trader
Good current price: 3336
Gold is break supporter zone gold now target 3320 and 3310
And stop loss 3346
Please like comments and follow thank you
It is expected to fluctuate and fall before CPI data📰 News information：
1. Focus on tomorrow's CPI data
2. Bowman's speech at the Federal Reserve
3. Tariff information outflows and countries' responses to tariff issues
📈 Technical Analysis：
The 1H chart shows that the gold price continued to pull back last night and then fluctuated at the bottom, and continued the rebound trend this morning. The key pressure level is the top and bottom conversion level. The current rebound in gold is only a secondary confirmation of the top structure at the 30-minute level. After reaching 3365, it has shown signs of short-term pressure. In a volatile market, if the price begins to consolidate horizontally, it may indicate the end of this round of volatile upward trend, and it will enter a downward phase later. Considering the market sensitivity before the release of CPI data, it is recommended to focus on the volatile decline trend. After today's rebound, it is necessary to focus on the 3365-3368 area as a short-selling range, and the long-short defense position is set at yesterday's intraday high of 3375. The support below focuses on the 3350-3340 range.
🎯 Trading Points：
SELL 3358-3368
TP 3345-3333
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold recently tapped into key liquidity zones✨ Gold Market Update – Key Insights You Need to Know ✨
Gold recently tapped into key liquidity zones—specifically the highs of the previous day and the previous week. After grabbing liquidity at those levels, the market closed below them, signaling a potential shift in momentum.
🔻 What could be next?
This price behavior suggests we might see further downside in the short term, possibly targeting the Fair Value Gap (FVG) below. If that area is reached, the market may find support and stage a rebound, potentially triggering a strong bullish move from that zone.
📊 What to watch for:
Price reaction around the FVG
Confirmation of support before entering any long positions
Volume and structure shifts on lower timeframes
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always Do Your Own Research (DYOR) and manage risk wisely.
XAUUSD – Topping Out, Correction Pressure MountsGold prices are stalling after approaching the key resistance at $3,381, precisely at the upper boundary of the short-term ascending channel. The bullish momentum is fading as the USD and U.S. bond yields remain firm, supported by stable jobs data and a lack of clear rate guidance from the Fed.
Additionally, the World Gold Council (WGC) has warned of medium-term correction risks if geopolitical tensions ease or the dollar continues to strengthen — prompting buyers to stay cautious. In the near term, XAUUSD may pull back toward the $3,295 support zone before the market defines its next direction.
XAU/USD Forms Bearish Continuation Triangle – Future Downside
XAU/USD (4H) | FX | Gold Spot vs US Dollar
🔴 SHORT BIAS
📅 Updated: July 18
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🔍 Description
Gold is trading within a bearish contracting triangle, suggesting a continuation move to the downside after the recent corrective bounce. Price is currently approaching the key 3,371–3,376 resistance zone, which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and upper triangle boundary.
This resistance confluence could mark the termination of the (E) wave of the triangle, paving the way for a larger downward thrust. A confirmed break below 3,302 would open the door toward 3,221 as the next major target.
The structure also leaves room for a minor internal triangle (a)-(b)-(c)-(d)-(e) pattern within the broader range, reinforcing the bearish setup.
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📊 Technical Structure (4H)
✅ Bearish contracting triangle: (A)-(B)-(C)-(D)-(E)
✅ 78.6% Fibonacci + supply zone = ideal rejection point
✅ Internal triangle projection aligns with lower support test
📌 Downside Targets
Target 1: 3,302.47
Target 2: 3,221.78
🔻 Invalidation: Above 3,376.03
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📈 Market Outlook
Macro View: Rising real yields and cooling inflation reduce gold’s appeal
Fed Watch: Hawkish tone supports USD, weighing on XAU
Technical View: Structure favors downside break from triangle formation
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⚠️ Risks to Bias
Break and daily close above 3,376.03 invalidates triangle structure
Sudden risk-off sentiment or dovish Fed shift could boost gold demand
Sharp reversal in dollar strength
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🧭 Summary: Bearish Breakout Setup Forming
XAU/USD is completing a bearish triangle structure, with price sitting just below resistance. A rejection from the 3,371–3,376 zone can trigger a breakout lower, first toward 3,302, then extending to 3,221. As always, confirmation and tight risk control are key.
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XAUUSD M30 BUY SETUP FOR TODAYScenario:
Best buy zone for Gold as of now: 3327–3323 💰
Strong Order Block zone + Double Bottom pattern 📉📈
Let’s ride the 🚀 from here — follow proper risk management! 🛡️📊
Gold bullish breakout supported at 3308The Gold remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a continuation breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 3308 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 3308 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
3387 – initial resistance
3400 – psychological and structural level
3435 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 3308 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
3290 – minor support
3268 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Gold holds above 3308. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Gold 15-Min Chart Analysis Alert!Gold has successfully broken above the descending trendline, showing early signs of bullish momentum. Price has reclaimed structure and is now trading above the breakout level.
📌 Retest Zone:
We can expect a possible pullback towards the marked zone for a healthy retest before continuing the upward move.
🎯 Bullish Target:
As long as price holds above the support area, the bullish bias remains intact with targets around 3351+.
7/18: Watch 3343 Resistance, Guard Against Break Below 3323Good morning, everyone!
Yesterday, gold broke below the 3337 support after consolidating there, driven lower by bearish data, and eventually reached the 3323–3312 support zone. A rebound followed, and price has now returned above 3323, which also aligns with the daily MA60.
📌 Key Levels to Watch Today:
Resistance: 3343 / 3352–3358
→ A sustained break above 3343 opens the door for a potential move toward 3366 / 3372–3378;
Support: 3323 / 3312
→ If price remains capped below resistance and weekly close is under 3323, it will signal bearish structural pressure for the medium term.
📌 Trading Strategy:
Trade flexibly within the range of 3358–3343–3332–3323–3312
📌 Important Reminder:
If today’s closing price is below 3323, and you're planning to hold positions over the weekend, it’s safer to lean short. While we can’t predict weekend news, technically, bears have the upper hand, so risk control is essential.
gold heading back to retest 3450gold heading back to retest 3450
so what happened to gold yesterday?
unemployment claims suppose to be that USD is strong however after the news effect the bull run started again.
technical basis is that H4 last structure was broken up and the day before happens to be a spike from 3320 to 3377. which indicate there are buyers in the market only that we will be caught off-guard most of the time. likewise yesterday. new gave a technical that m30/h1 broke down of current market structure whereby 3326-3328 was suppose to be a support before becomes resistance but bull came in with surprise again pushes price to break even 3341 resistance.
after analyzing no wonder as fibo golden ratio is sitting at 3310 and that was a good point of interest to buy and hold for 1st destination would be at 3365-3378 and 3414-3427 and lastly to retest 3450 as well as weekly broke trendline to see if there's true seller to push price for a proper correction of the year or back to ATH which usually new ATH happens in July often for the past 5years.
