Fake news stirs up the market, market trend analysis📰 News information:
1. Beige Book of Federal Reserve's economic situation
2. European and American tariff trade negotiations
📈 Technical Analysis:
Today, our overall trading can be said to have accurately grasped the trading points, and both long and short positions have earned us good profits.The gold market surged due to Trump's intention to fire Powell. Trump then denied the plan, which dissipated the risk aversion in the gold market and the overall rhythm fell back to a volatile pattern. The current market price of gold closed with a long upper shadow line, indicating that there is a certain need for adjustment in the market. Although the news stimulus has pushed it up to 3377, we need to be vigilant against the risk of a decline after a high rise. Pay attention to today's closing. If it closes below 3345, the bearish trend may continue in the future.
OANDA:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
GOLDCFD trade ideas
Gold market trend analysis and exclusive analysis.Analysis of the latest gold market trends:
Analysis of gold news: The U.S. Department of Labor released the much-anticipated June Consumer Price Index (CPI) data at 20:30 Beijing time. After the CPI data was released, the financial market responded quickly, showing investors' recalibration of inflation data and monetary policy expectations. The U.S. dollar index (DXY) fell 16 points in the short term after the data was released, reflecting the market's interpretation of the core CPI being slightly lower than expected, which was dovish. The gold market reacted particularly sensitively. The core CPI was lower than expected, pushing spot gold up by $6 in the short term, indicating a brief rebound in safe-haven demand. In the short term, the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is close to 100%, but the mild performance of the core CPI reserves the possibility of a rate cut in September or earlier. The market needs to pay close attention to subsequent data, especially the July CPI and PCE price index, to determine whether inflation will continue to rise.
Gold technical analysis: This week's upward breakthrough of 3375 further bullish on the 3400 mark; the daily average line diverges upward to support bulls, and bullish on bullish gains. However, if you want to rise, you must exert your strength today, otherwise the bulls may end at any time! The current support level is near the daily MA5 and the middle track. The next step is still the focus. If you want to rise, you can't go down here. Going down means continuing to sweep back to 3320 and 3300. Today's European session also broke high without continuation, and the US session formed a retracement to test the MA5 support level. As long as the middle track is not lost, the short-term will continue to touch the high, so the operation is very clear. In the short term, the short-term will rely on the support of the middle track to see a rebound, and the upper resistance is 3665-3375. The daily Bollinger Bands continue to close. If the upper 3375 is not broken, do not chase the high position, and beware of high-level selling. On the whole, today's short-term operation of gold recommends that the callback is mainly long, and the rebound is supplemented. The upper short-term focus is on the 3350-3360 line resistance, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3320-3310 line support.
XAUUSD BEARISH CONTINUATION SETUP📉 XAUUSD – Bearish Continuation Setup
Timeframe: 30m | Bias: Bearish
Price failed to hold above the lower supply zone (highlighted red) after a strong move into resistance. A clear break of structure confirms sellers are in control.
🔹 Entry: 3,355–3,360 (after minor pullback into supply zone)
🔹 Stop Loss (SL): Above 3,365 (invalidation above zone)
🔹 Take Profit (TP):
▫️TP1: 3,330
▫️TP2: 3,315
▫️TP3: 3,300 (if bearish momentum continues)
📌 Structure shift + rejection from supply zone gives high-probability short setup. Wait for price confirmation before entry.
XAUUSD DOUBLE TOP AND HL REACTION ZONE 📉 XAUUSD – Double Top & HL Reaction Zone
Gold formed a potential double top pattern near the 3375 resistance zone, followed by a strong BMS and consecutive CHoCHs, signaling bearish pressure. However, price has respected the higher low (HL) structure near the 200 EMA, keeping the bullish structure intact for now.
We are currently in a key reaction zone.
If this HL holds and bullish intent appears, price may attempt another move toward the previous high.
If the HL breaks, a deeper correction could be in play toward 3327 or lower.
📌 Watch for:
Confirmation around 3350 zone
AND TP ZONE 3330 AROUND
HL reaction or breakdown
Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy | July 14✅Gold opened with a gap up today, indicating a strong bullish trend, with the current price around 3370. After reaching a high of 3374 in the early session, gold is still consolidating at these high levels, awaiting buying pressure. Due to the gap up and subsequent rise, the short-term trend is likely to experience a gap fill. Additionally, considering the rapid rise, if a drop occurs during the European session, a pullback may follow. The upward curve is smooth, and the bullish momentum is strong, with the market still dominated by bulls. Therefore, today we should focus on strong support levels for buying opportunities, with the key entry point being around 3345-3350.
✅On the 1-hour chart, the moving averages continue to show a golden cross, indicating a bullish arrangement. In a strong market, a series of consecutive bearish candles can damage the upward pattern, while too many bullish candles can disrupt a downtrend. Therefore, attention must be paid to the strength of the candlestick patterns today. The current support level is near 3350, with further support at 3345. For the price to maintain this bullish trend, it should not fall below 3345 today. If gold retraces to 3350, it remains a buying opportunity.
🔴 Key Resistance Levels : The short-term resistance is in the range of 3392-3400. If this area is broken, gold could continue to rise.
🟢 Key Support Levels: Key support is at 3350, with further support at 3345.
✅ Trading Strategy Reference:
🔻 Short Position Strategy:
🔰When gold rebounds to around 3392-3395, consider selling in parts, with a stop loss of 8-10$ and a target of 3370-3360. If this level is broken, the next target would be 3350.
🔺 Long Position Strategy:
🔰When gold pulls back to around 3345-3350, consider buying in parts, with a stop loss of 10 points and a target of 3365-3385. If the price breaks through, the next target would be 3395.
🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions. If you have any questions or need one-on-one guidance, feel free to contact me.
Gold Trading Strategy For Next Week✅ Gold exhibited an irregular box-range consolidation this week, with frequent directional shifts and weak trend continuity. The price tested the 3375 level twice but failed to break through effectively, followed by significant pullbacks each time—indicating clear selling pressure around that area. On the technical side, the Bollinger Bands on both the daily and 4-hour charts have contracted simultaneously, suggesting that gold is currently in a consolidation phase, awaiting a breakout to define the next direction. Overall, gold remains trapped within a broad range, with neither the upside nor downside achieving a decisive breakout. Whether the range will be broken—and in which direction—will likely be determined next week.
✅ On Friday, gold mainly trended higher within a narrow range, in line with previous expectations. During the session, we initiated a short position around 3341–3343, took profit near 3333, and subsequently shifted to a long bias. Gold then climbed to around 3361 before entering a sideways consolidation phase, closing the day near 3350. In the absence of major geopolitical news over the weekend, the bullish momentum is expected to continue into next week.
✅ From a technical perspective, the 4-hour moving average system shows a bullish divergence pattern, supporting the current upward trend. Combined with the continuation of the overnight rebound momentum, gold may target the 3380 level in the coming week. The MACD fast line is turning upward near the high zone and may soon form another bullish crossover. Meanwhile, the shrinking green histogram bars suggest that positive momentum could emerge soon. The KDJ indicator still has room to rise before reaching the overbought zone.
✅ Key short-term support levels lie at 3345 and 3340. As long as this zone holds, it can be considered a valid entry point for long positions. On the upside, attention should be paid to the 3375–3380 resistance range, which aligns with previous highs. A successful breakout above this zone could pave the way for further upside potential.
🔴 Key resistance zone: 3375–3380
🟢 Key support zone: 3340–3345
✅ If the 3340 support holds, consider entering long positions on dips, with a target near 3380. If prices approach 3380 and show signs of losing momentum—such as divergence in indicators—it may be appropriate to consider shorting near the top, and then reassess after a pullback toward support.
GOLD (XAUUSD) Long Idea – Breakout Confirmation📆 Timeframe: 4H
📈 Type: Long (Buy)
🎯 Entry: Around 3348-3355
🎯 Target: 3451
NOTE: Price has respected the ascending trendline from early July.
Clean breakout from a consolidation range after several rejections near 3365 resistance.
Bullish structure confirmed with higher lows and higher highs.
Fibonacci levels and support zone at ~3344 are holding strong.
Targets set at prior resistance zone (~3451), aligning with liquidity zone.
Is Gold Preparing for a Breakout — or a Trap? 🟡 Is Gold Preparing for a Breakout — or a Trap? Let’s break down the latest market data 👇
⸻
🟥 1. U.S. Inflation News (PPI & Core PPI)
Report Previous Forecast Actual
Monthly PPI 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Core PPI 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
📉 Result: Very bearish for the U.S. dollar
→ Inflation is cooling
→ Fed may pause rate hikes
→ Interest rates could stabilize or drop
→ And gold loves that kind of setup 😍
⸻
🟫 2. U.S. Crude Oil Inventory Report
Report Previous Forecast Actual
Crude Oil Inventories +7.07M –1.80M –3.85M
🟢 Result: Very bullish for oil
→ Energy demand is higher than expected
→ Inflation could creep back up due to rising oil prices
→ That makes investors run to gold as a hedge against inflation 🔥
⸻
🧠 Technical & Market Outlook for XAU/USD:
📈 Gold pushed from $3,319 to $3,377
↩️ Now it’s in a pullback, testing Fibonacci levels:
• 38% retracement near $3,350
• 61% retracement near $3,339
📉 But… these pullbacks are happening with positive delta and absorption → which signals smart buying from below 👀
✅ Additional signs:
• VWAP is stable
• Volume is holding around the POC
• And macro data is clearly supporting upside momentum
⸻
🎯 Trading Plan:
• ✅ Entry Zones: $3,350 or $3,339
• 🛑 Stop Loss: Below $3,319 (recent low)
• 🎯 TP1: $3,377
• 🎯 TP2: $3,392 – $3,400
• ⚠️ Watch for a breakout above $3,377 with strong volume — that would confirm the real move.
⸻
🔄 Summary:
💥 Two major news events today are supporting gold:
1. Weak PPI = possible pause in rate hikes
2. Rising oil = renewed inflation risk
So gold is getting support from both angles.
But stay cautious — any surprise statement from the Fed or a sudden USD rally could change the game
Gold Market Eyes 3330's as Bullish Wedge MaturesGold market maintains its stance within the bullish build-up, moving in alignment with a wedge completion structure. The 3360's act as short-term resistance, while price looks set to mitigate and sweep pending orders at 3330's. A potential retracement before continuation—stay sharp.
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GOLD BUY SETUP • Premium Zone Rejection:
• Price has tapped into a higher-timeframe supply zone (~3,380–3,400), showing early signs of exhaustion.
• Bearish reaction here is consistent with smart money offloading positions.
• Equal Highs Liquidity Sweep:
• A sweep of engineered highs (₤₤₤) before the drop hints at a classic liquidity grab, possibly triggering sell-side momentum.
• Anticipated Pullback:
• Expecting a corrective move toward the demand zone (around 3,285–3,310), aligning with discounted entry pricing for long setups.
• Bullish Continuation Potential:
• If price respects the demand zone and forms a higher low, a bullish continuation toward new highs is likely.
Lingrid | GOLD Weekly Analysis: Consolidation Within UptrendOANDA:XAUUSD market remain trapped in volatile sideways action within a broad consolidation range, following the recent strong rally. Despite the current noisy price behavior, the underlying longer-term bullish momentum remains intact.
Higher timeframe reveals critical technical levels, with gold testing the resistance zone around after breaking above the upward channel. The triangle pattern breakout suggests potential for higher targets, though the market is currently experiencing a corrective pullback near the $3,300 support level. The presence of multiple resistance tests indicates strong institutional interest at these elevated levels.
The 4H chart provides broader context, showing the A-B-C corrective structure from the June highs. The market appears to be forming a potential ascending triangle pattern, with the June high serving as key resistance. The current consolidation between the June high and low suggests accumulation before the next directional move.
Key levels to watch include the $3,300 support zone and the $3,400 resistance area. A decisive break above resistance could trigger another leg higher toward $3,500, while failure to hold support might see a retest of the $3,200 level. The overall structure suggests this consolidation is part of a larger bullish continuation pattern.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Gold CPI shocks and fallsThe hourly chart shows that the gold price fluctuated and consolidated at the bottom after a continuous correction, continuing the rebound trend. The key pressure level is the top and bottom conversion position. The current gold rebound is only a secondary confirmation of the top structure at the 30-minute level. After reaching 3365, the short-term has shown signs of pressure. In the volatile market, if the price begins to consolidate horizontally, it may indicate the end of this round of volatile upward trend, and it will enter a downward phase later. Considering the market sensitivity before the release of CPI data, it is recommended to focus on the volatile decline trend. After today's rebound, it is necessary to focus on the 3363-3368 area as a short-selling range, and the long and short defense position is set at yesterday's intraday high of 3375. In terms of operation, it is recommended to maintain the idea of rebounding and shorting, and pay attention to the 3340-3335 range for support below.
Operation strategy:
1. It is recommended to short gold near the rebound of 3363-3368, with a stop loss at 3375 and a target of 3350-3340.