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Gold Rises Again Above $3,300Today's session marked a new upward move for gold, with gains of more than 1%, pushing prices above the key $3,300 per ounce level. For now, the bullish bias has remained firm shortly after reports suggested that the U.S. government may be preparing to move away from the current Federal Reserve Chair, Jerome Powell, mainly due to the Fed’s failure to deliver on the administration's broader expectation of cutting interest rates in the short term. This development has increased political risk in the United States and has led gold to act once again as a safe-haven asset in the short term. Sideways Range Remains Active Despite the recent rebound in gold prices, a consolidated sideways range continues to dominate, with resistance marked around the $3,400 level and support near $3,200 per ounce. Although recent fluctuations have not yet been enough to break out of the channel, they have shown a steady increase in buying pressure that, if sustained, could lead gold to retest its recent highs. Indicators Still Show Neutral Bias At the moment, the RSI indicator remains close to the neutral line of 50, and the TRIX indicator is also moving sideways near the zero level. Both signals suggest that recent price momentum and the average strength in moving averages are starting to stabilize, pointing to a lack of clear direction. Unless the indicators begin to show signs of a momentum shift, the sideways channel is likely to remain in place and could serve as a key catalyst for maintaining the market’s neutral sentiment in the near term. Key Levels to Watch: $3,400 – This remains the level of historic highs in gold. A breakout above this area could reactivate a strong bullish bias, potentially paving the way for a more sustained uptrend in the short term. $3,300 – This is the current barrier, aligned with the 50-period simple moving average, and may serve as an important pivot point. If price action stays above this level, buying pressure could begin to gain more traction in the gold market in the short term. $3,200 – This remains a key support level, acting as the most critical reference point for selling activity in recent weeks. A move back toward this level could trigger the start of a new bearish trend. Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by FOREXcom
Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy | July 16✅ Fundamental Analysis The U.S. Dollar Index has risen for four consecutive trading days, reaching a high of 98.70, which continues to weigh on gold prices denominated in dollars. Recently, the Trump administration imposed a 30% tariff on goods from the European Union and Mexico, and plans to issue tariff notices to Indonesia (19%) and several other “smaller countries” (around 10%), triggering global trade tensions. Meanwhile, the ongoing escalation of the Russia–Ukraine conflict has increased safe-haven demand, providing some support for gold. ✅ Technical Analysis Gold posted a long upper shadow bearish candlestick yesterday, indicating weak upward momentum and selling pressure near recent highs. The daily chart has shown multiple failures to break above previous highs, signaling fading bullish strength. Currently, price action remains in a high-level, low-volume consolidation, with both daily and weekly charts showing repetitive sideways movement and no clear breakout direction. On the 4-hour chart, gold was rejected near the upper range at $3375 and fell sharply. After breaking below the mid-range support, the price found minor support near the lower band. The overall structure remains a wide-range consolidation, lacking sustained directional movement. 🔴 Key Resistance Levels: 3345–3350; if broken, gold may test the 3400 psychological level. 🟢 Key Support Levels: 3322–3330; if breached, prices could decline further toward 3300. ✅ Trading Strategy Reference 🔺 Long Position Strategy: 🔰If the price pulls back to below the $3325–$3330 zone and shows signs of support, consider entering a light long position. Set a stop-loss below $3310, targeting $3340–$3350–$3360. 🔻 Short Position Strategy: 🔰If the price rebounds to the $3344–$3350 resistance zone and stalls, consider shorting on strength. Set a stop-loss above $3355, with targets at $3320, $3310, and $3300. ✅ Risk Warning The U.S. PPI data will be released today. If the data significantly exceeds expectations and inflationary pressures rise, gold may come under renewed selling pressure and potentially break below the key $3300 support level. Conversely, if the data is moderate, it could ease market concerns and help stabilize gold prices.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldTradePro
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD July 16, 2025🔄 Momentum Analysis D1 timeframe: Momentum is currently reversing to the downside, suggesting that the price may continue to decline or move sideways in the short term. H4 timeframe: Momentum is rising, indicating that the current recovery may continue. The next resistance zones to watch are 3342 and 3358. 🌀 Elliott Wave Structure At present, price action is being compressed within a contracting triangle corrective pattern, with its range narrowing further—signaling market consolidation. We should closely monitor for signs of a breakout that could end this correction. Based on the current wave structure, it is expected that wave d (green) has completed, and the current downward move is likely part of wave e (green). The trading strategy focuses on waiting for the price to approach the lower boundary of the triangle—drawn from the low of wave a to the low of wave c—looking for confluent support areas near this trendline to identify a potential BUY opportunity. 🎯 Target & Trade Plan BUY ZONE: 3303 – 3300 Stop Loss (SL): 3290 Take Profits (TP): - TP1: 3327 - TP2: 3358 - TP3: 3402
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
As risk aversion wavers, will gold rise or fall? 💡Message Strategy After falling for two consecutive days, gold (XAU/USD) rebounded slightly in the Asian session on Wednesday, stabilizing above $3,320, attracting some bargain-hunting buyers. The market has paid close attention to the tariff policy that US President Trump continues to increase, and the rising risk aversion has become the core factor supporting gold prices. The US CPI data for June showed that overall prices rose by 0.3% month-on-month, the largest increase in five months, and the core CPI rose to 2.9% year-on-year, both higher than expected. This has caused the market to worry that tariffs are gradually pushing up inflation, prompting the Federal Reserve to extend the high interest rate policy cycle. 📊Technical aspects The current trend of gold is constrained by both fundamentals and technical factors. On the one hand, Trump's tariff policy has pushed up inflation expectations, triggering risk aversion and rethinking of the Fed's policy path, providing support for gold; On the other hand, the Fed's tone of "maintaining high interest rates for longer" has limited the room for gold prices to rebound. From the 4-hour chart, gold prices found support near the 100-period SMA (about $3,320) on Tuesday, stopping the decline from the three-week high. In the short term, if it can stand above the 3340-3345 resistance band, it may test the 3365-3370 area again, and the further target is the 3400-dollar round mark. 💰Strategy Package Long Position:3320-3330，SL：3305，Target: 3365-3370
TVC:GOLDLong
by TheodoreSilas
GOLD BUY M15 Gold (XAU/USD) 15-Min Chart Analysis – July 15, 2025 The price is currently trading around 3,352, having recently shown a Change of Character (CHoCH) indicating a potential bullish reversal. After a drop from the recent highs, price is now approaching a highlighted demand zone (purple box) between approximately 3,342 – 3,349, which could act as a strong support area. Trade Setup: Buy Zone: Inside the purple demand zone (approx. 3,342 – 3,349) Stop Loss (SL): 3,342 Target (TP): 3,365 Key Levels: Resistance Levels: 3,355 3,360 3,365 (Target) 3,370 (Potential extension) Support Levels: 3,349 3,342 (Stop Loss) 3,341 (Strong Low zone) Expectation: If price reacts positively from the demand zone and holds above the support, we can expect a bullish move towards the target of 3,365, breaking through intermediate resistance levels.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Sniperfx05
Big Week for Markets: U.S. CPI Tomorrow – What It Means for GoldThis week is packed with news, but the main focus is the U.S. CPI report dropping tomorrow. 🗓 Key Event: U.S. CPI Report 📍 July 15, 2025 | 12:30 p.m. UTC The CPI report measures inflation and heavily influences the Fed’s rate decisions. Last month’s CPI came in at 2.4% vs. 2.5% expected, following 2.3% vs. 2.4% in April. While it seems inflation is rising, the bigger picture shows stable annual inflation in the 2.3%–3.0% range, keeping things under control—likely the reason Trump is pressuring Powell to cut rates. Market expects June CPI to be 2.7%. 🤔 Possible Scenarios: 1️⃣ CPI > 2.7%: Bullish for DXY 📈. The stronger the print, the bigger the spike, but I see this scenario as less probable. 2️⃣ CPI < 2.7%: Bearish for DXY 📉. We may see a USD dump, though likely shallow since CPI could still be higher than previous months. ✨ What About Gold? I don’t expect a major reaction in gold: ✅ Higher CPI? Gold often benefits as an inflation hedge. ✅ Lower CPI? Also supportive for gold as it weighs on the USD. 🔍 Technical Outlook: Gold has been trading within a triangle since April 22, forming lower highs and higher lows. We may currently be in Wave D (Elliott Wave), aiming toward the triangle’s upper boundary slightly above $3,400 resistance. After that, Wave E may develop – but that’s a story for another post.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by ProfessorSingapore
7/14: Sell High, Buy Low Within the 3400–3343 Range for GoldGood morning, everyone! At the end of last week, renewed trade tariff concerns reignited risk-off sentiment, prompting a strong rally in gold after multiple tests of the 3321 support level. The breakout was largely driven by fundamental news momentum. On the daily (1D) chart, the price has fully reclaimed the MA60 and broken above the MA20, signaling an emerging bullish trend. The key focus for this week includes: Monitoring whether MA20 holds as support on any pullbacks Watching the 3400 resistance zone for signs of exhaustion or continuation From a 30-minute technical perspective, gold is currently trading within a short-term resistance band of 3372–3378, with a stronger resistance zone between 3387–3392. Key support levels are: Primary support: around 3358 Secondary support: 3343–3332 zone Given the recent increase in volatility due to geopolitical and macroeconomic headlines, flexible intraday trading is recommended within the 3378–3343 range, while broader trades can be framed around the 3400–3325 zone, still favoring a sell-high, buy-low approach. Lastly, as we move into the mid-year period, I may have more personal commitments, and strategy updates could be less frequent. I appreciate your understanding, and as always, feel free to leave a message if you have any questions or need trading guidance—I’ll respond as soon as I can.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by China_MsWang
Gold begins bullish recoveryIon Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades Gold posted a slight gain during Monday's Asian session, driven by renewed safe-haven demand amid escalating trade tensions between the United States and several key economies, as well as rising geopolitical uncertainty surrounding Russia and Ukraine. The initial uptick in gold was supported by the announcement of 30% tariffs by Donald Trump on Mexico and the European Union, in addition to harsher levies on Japan, South Korea, and Brazil. The prospect of a renewed wave of protectionism has raised concerns over global economic stability, boosting gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset. Added to this is geopolitical tension following reports that Trump is planning to send offensive weapons to Ukraine, potentially escalating the conflict with Russia. These factors have reinforced risk-off sentiment in the markets. However, the strength of the US dollar (DXY +0.1%) and anticipation ahead of the US CPI data, due Tuesday, are capping gold’s upside. Higher-than-expected inflation could reinforce expectations of a tighter monetary policy from the Federal Reserve, which would weigh on precious metals. After reaching an intraday high of $3,361.42 per ounce, the Asian market closed lower, leaving gold at $3,356.66 per ounce, a level at which it has since consolidated ahead of the European open. This behavior reflects a technical pause in the initial bullish momentum, with the current point of control aligning with that same price zone, suggesting a temporary neutralization of buying pressure. The RSI at 54% confirms a lack of strength, while the MACD indicates a potential upward directional shift with a signal line crossover and a modestly green histogram to start the week. Moving average crossovers show the 50 and 100 SMAs supporting the bullish push that began last Wednesday. Gold’s next decisive move may depend on upcoming US inflation data and developments in geopolitical tensions. Silver, meanwhile, stood out with a sharp 1.4% surge to $39.493 per ounce, its highest level since 2011, while platinum and copper delivered mixed performances. This week, gold prices could be driven by the confirmation of elevated US inflation data, which would strengthen the metal's role as a hedge against purchasing power loss, especially if doubts persist regarding the Fed’s policy stance. Added to this are rising geopolitical tensions due to Trump’s potential delivery of offensive weapons to Ukraine, further protectionist measures that could worsen the global trade war, and increased risk aversion should equity markets react negatively. In this context, gold is positioned as one of the main beneficiaries amid growing economic and political uncertainty. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance and forecasting are not a synonym of a reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk. Political risk is unpredictable. Central bank actions can vary. Platform tools do not guarantee success. Regulated status does not guarantee security.
ACTIVTRADES:GOLDLong
by ActivTrades
Gold - Week of 21st JulyWelcome to a new trading week. Price is compressing within a premium structure, boxed between clean supply and demand zones. While the overall trend remains bullish, momentum is clearly fading — so structure takes priority this week. 🟨 Weekly Bias: Neutral | Range-Bound Conditions There’s no clear directional conviction on the weekly timeframe — we’re in a consolidation phase. 📊 Technical Overview & Strategy We’re currently range-locked between: Main Supply: 3380–3405 Main Demand: 3275–3250 Until either breaks decisively, we treat this as a two-sided market. 🔹 Weekly Key Zones 🔸 3365–3390 (Primary Supply) Why it matters: Price was rejected cleanly from a previous weekly high (3377), aligning with a fresh Order Block (OB) and Fair Value Gap (FVG) from June. Context: No bullish Break of Structure (BOS) above 3375. Repeated wick rejections indicate strong supply. Game plan: If price returns, monitor M15–H1 for reaction. Consider shorts only if there's no BOS above 3390. 🔸 3430–3450 (Final Supply Barrier) Why it matters: Unmitigated OB from a macro swing high — the final ceiling before bullish continuation. Context: A clean BOS through this zone flips the larger structure bullish again. 🔸 3285–3260 (Key Demand Base) Why it matters: Last untouched bullish OB + FVG combo from early July. Context: No downside BOS yet. If price pulls back sharply, this zone offers a potential clean long from discount. 🔹 HTF Structure Summary Trend: Still bullish (no BOS down), but compression under key resistance Structure Range: 3390–3260 EMA Flow: Bullish, but extended — watch for pullbacks RSI: Bearish divergence above 3350 — potential retracement brewing 🕯️ Daily Zones 🔸 Supply Zones 3380–3405 – Main Daily Supply / Liquidity Pool Top of current range. Multiple upper wicks = rejection zone. Unless we get a daily close above 3405, this remains a trap for breakout buyers. 3355–3375 – Internal Supply / Inducement Block Acted as a consistent ceiling post-CPI. Often triggers fake breakouts and quick reversals — ideal for fading strength. 🟢 Demand Zones 3312–3300 – Mid-Range Internal Demand Reactive level post-CPI and NY session. Often used for stop hunts and intraday bounces. 3275–3250 – Main Daily Demand Held firm as support all month. Every dip here has resulted in strong rallies. A daily break below flips the HTF bearish. ⏱ H1 Execution Map 🚩 SELL ZONES 3358–3370 – Primary Intraday Supply Site of last week’s failed breakout. If price taps this and shows M15/M5 bearish momentum — it’s a sniper entry short. 3380–3395 – Upper Liquidity Trap Classic fakeout zone. If breakout fails with a sharp reversal, it’s prime territory for “fade and dump” trades. ⚪ DECISION ZONE (Neutral / Pivot) 3335–3345: A choppy, indecisive area. No clear OB or FVG. Avoid trading here — only observe and wait for clean setups on the edges. 🟢 BUY ZONES 3326–3332 – Primary Intraday Demand Strong evidence of absorption + sharp reversals. Look for clean M15/M5 snapbacks — a reactive long setup. 3311–3320 – Deep Demand / Fear Zone Sits below recent lows — ripe for liquidity sweeps. Only consider longs if a strong impulsive bounce follows. High risk, high reward. Disclaimer: For educational context only.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by FX_Scrubbs
Gold 1H - Retest of channel & support zone at 3340After breaking out of the falling channel, gold is currently retesting its upper boundary — now acting as support. The 3340 zone is particularly important as it aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci level and high volume node on the visible range volume profile. The price action suggests a potential bullish rejection from this area. With both the 50 and 200 EMA below price on the 1H, the short-term trend remains bullish. The 4H trendline further supports this setup. RSI is cooling off near the neutral zone, leaving room for another leg higher toward the 3377 resistance zone. If 3340 fails, 3324 (0.786 Fibo) becomes the next line of defense. Until then, the structure remains bullish following the successful breakout and retest of the channel.
TVC:GOLDLong
by TotoshkaTrades