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GOLDCFD trade ideas

Gold is in danger. Could it fall?Gold started to fall slowly after the Asian market opened on Thursday, and continued to fluctuate and fall in the European market. The impact of the initial data in the US market fell sharply to around 3310, then stabilized and rose. It reached a high of around 3341 and then maintained a high sideways fluctuation, and the daily line closed with a negative line. The price trend of gold this week was erratic. On Wednesday, it rose and fell, closing with a positive line, indicating that there was strong resistance above; on Thursday, it fell and rebounded, closing with a negative line, indicating that there was some support below. The current moving average system is chaotic, which further confirms that the overall situation is in a wide range of fluctuations. Connecting the highs and lows of this week can form a fluctuating downward channel, which still has an important guiding role in the market. The current channel resistance is at 3345. If the gold price can break through this resistance level, it is expected to open up further upward space; and the channel support is around 3320. Once it falls below, it may trigger a new round of decline. Overall, the upward resistance levels of gold are 3345, 3350, and 3360; the downward support levels are around 3320 and 3310. Operation strategy: Short around 3350, stop loss at 3360, profit range 3330-3310. Long near 3315, stop loss 3305, profit range 3330-3350.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by quaid_2
Fibonacci Retracement: The Hidden Key to Better EntriesIf you’ve ever wondered how professional traders predict where price might pull back before continuing... the secret lies in Fibonacci Retracement. In this post, you’ll learn: What Fibonacci retracement is Why it works How to use it on your charts (step-by-step) Pro tips to increase accuracy in the market 🧠 What Is Fibonacci Retracement?: Fibonacci Retracement is a technical analysis tool that helps traders identify potential support or resistance zones where price is likely to pause or reverse during a pullback. It’s based on a mathematical sequence called the Fibonacci Sequence, found everywhere in nature — from galaxies to sunflowers — and yes, even in the markets. The Fibonacci sequence is a series of numbers where each number is the sum of the two preceding ones, starting with 0 and 1. The sequence typically begins with 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, and so on. This pattern can be expressed as a formula: F(n) = F(n-1) + F(n-2), where F(n) is the nth Fibonacci number. The key Fibonacci levels traders use are: 23.6% 38.2% 50% 61.8% 78.6% These levels represent percentages of a previous price move, and they give us reference points for where price might pull back before resuming its trend and where we can anticipate price to move before showing support or resistance to the trend you are following. 💡Breakdown of Each Fib Level: 💎 0.236 (23.6%) – Shallow Pullback What it indicates: Weak retracement, often signals strong trend momentum. Buyers/sellers are aggressively holding the trend. Best action: Aggressive entry zone for continuation traders. Look for momentum signals (break of minor structure, bullish/bearish candles). Stay out of the market until you see more confirmation. 💎 0.382 (38.2%) – First Strong Area of Interest What it indicates: Healthy pullback in a trending market. Seen as a key area for trend followers to step in. Best action: Look for entry confirmation: bullish/bearish engulfing, pin bars, Elliott Waves, or break/retest setups. Ideal for setting up trend continuation trades. Stop Loss 0.618 Level 💎 0.500 (50.0%) – Neutral Ground What it indicates: Often marks the midpoint of a significant price move. Market is undecided, can go either way. Best action: Wait for additional confirmation before entering. Combine with support/resistance or a confluence zone. Useful for re-entry on strong trends with good risk/reward. Stop Loss 1.1 Fib Levels 💎 0.618 (61.8%) – The “Golden Ratio” What it indicates: Deep pullback, often seen as the last line of defense before trend reversal. High-probability area for big players to enter or add to positions. Best action: Look for strong reversal patterns (double bottoms/tops, engulfing candles). Excellent area for entering swing trades with tight risk and high reward. Use confluence (structure zones, moving averages, psychological levels, Elliott Waves). Wait for close above or below depending on the momentum of the market. Stop Loss 1.1 Fib Level 💎 0.786 (78.6%) – Deep Correction Zone What it indicates: Very deep retracement. Often a final “trap” zone before price reverses. Risk of trend failure is higher. Best action: Only trade if there's strong reversal evidence. Use smaller position size or avoid unless other confluences are aligned. Can act as an entry for counter-trend trades in weaker markets. Stop Loss around 1.1 and 1.2 Fib Levels ⏱️Best Timeframe to Use Fibs for Day Traders and Swing Traders: Day trading: Day traders, focused on capturing short-term price movements and making quick decisions within a single day, typically utilize shorter timeframes for Fibonacci retracement analysis, such as 15-minute through hourly charts. They may also use tighter Fibonacci levels (like 23.6%, 38.2%, and 50%) to identify more frequent signals and exploit short-term fluctuations. Combining Fibonacci levels with other indicators such as moving averages, RSI, or MACD, and focusing on shorter timeframes (e.g., 5-minute or 15-minute charts) can enhance signal confirmation for day traders. However, relying on very short timeframes for Fibonacci can lead to less reliable retracement levels due to increased volatility and potential for false signals. Swing trading: Swing traders aim to capture intermediate trends, which necessitates giving trades more room to fluctuate over several days or weeks. They typically prefer utilizing broader Fibonacci levels (like 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8%) to identify significant retracement points for entering and exiting trades. Swing traders often focus on 4-hour and daily charts for their analysis, and may even consult weekly charts for a broader market perspective. 🎯 Why Does Fibonacci Work?: Fibonacci levels work because of: Mass psychology – many traders use them Natural rhythm – markets move in waves, not straight lines Institutional footprint – smart money often scales in around key retracement zones It's not magic — it's structure, and it's surprisingly reliable when used correctly. 🛠 How to Draw Fibonacci Retracement (Step-by-Step): Let’s say you want to trade XAU/USD (Gold), and price just had a strong bullish run. ✏️ Follow These Steps: Identify the swing low (start of move) Identify the swing high (end of move) Use your Fibonacci tool to draw from low to high (for a bullish move) The tool will automatically mark levels like 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, etc. These levels act as pullback zones, and your job is to look for entry confirmation around them. 🔁 For bearish moves, draw from high to low. (I will show a bearish example later) Now let’s throw some examples and pictures into play to get a better understanding. 📈 XAU/USD BULLISH Example: 1.First we Identify the direction of the market: 2.Now we set our fibs by looking for confirmations to get possible entry point: Lets zoom in a bit: Now that we have a break of the trendline we wait for confirmation and look for confluence: Now we set our fibs from the last low to the last high: This will act as our entry point for the trade. 3. Now we can look for our stop loss and take profit levels: Stop Loss: For the stop loss I like to use the fib levels 1.1 and 1.2 when I make an entry based upon the 0.618 level. These levels to me typically indicate that the trade idea is invalid once crossed because it will usually violate the prior confirmations Take Profit: For the take profit I like to use the Fib levels 0.236, 0, -0.27, and -0.618. This is based upon your personal risk tolerance and overall analysis. You can use 0.236 and 0 level as areas to take partial profits. Re-Entry Point Using Elliott Waves as Confluence Example: This is an example of how I used Elliott Waves to enter the trade again from the prior entry point. If you don’t know what Elliott Waves are I will link my other educational post so you can read up on it and have a better understanding my explanation to follow. After seeing all of our prior confirmations I am now confident that our trend is still strongly bullish so I will mark my Waves and look for an entry point. As we can see price dipped into the 0.38-0.5 Fib level and rejected it nicely which is also in confluence with the Elliott Wave Theory for the creation of wave 5 which is the last impulse leg before correction. 🔻 In a downtrend: Same steps, but reverse the direction — draw from high to low and look to short the pullback. XAU/USD Example: As you can see the same basic principles applied for bearish movement as well. ⚠️ Pro Tips for Accuracy: ✅ Always use Fib in confluence with: Market structure (higher highs/lows or lower highs/lows) Key support/resistance zones Volume or momentum indicators Candle Patterns Elliott Waves, etc. ❌ Don’t trade Fib levels blindly — they are zones, not guarantees. 📊 Use higher timeframes for cleaner levels (4H, Daily) 💡 Final Thought Fibonacci retracement doesn’t predict the future — it reveals probability zones where price is likely to react. When combined with structure and confirmation, it becomes one of the most reliable tools for new and experienced traders alike. 🔥 Drop a comment if this helped — or if you want a Part 2 where I break down Fibonacci Extensions and how to use them for take-profit targets. 💬 Tag or share with a beginner who needs to see this!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDEducation
by WrightWayInvestments
XAUUSD Short📈 Scenario Forecast: Bias: Bearish Expected Path: Price to move into the 3340–3352 supply zone. Rejection expected from this area. Downside targets are 3315, followed by 3290s, depending on how price interacts with intermediate demand. This aligns with a classic pullback-to-supply-and-drop setup based on smart money concepts and supply/demand dynamics. Your Key Zones ("Borders"): 🔴 Supply Zones (Short Bias Areas): Primary Supply: 3340–3352 This zone is well-placed, capturing imbalance and previous distribution. It’s situated right at the 50% equilibrium level of the last bearish leg (as shown by your 0.5 line at 3340.72), and likely to act as the rejection point for the next bearish leg. If price prints a lower high or bearish confirmation candle within this zone, it supports the bearish continuation thesis. 🟢 Demand Zones (Target Areas): First Demand Zone: 3315–3309 This zone represents the prior BOS and recent swing low. It's the first level where we may see a temporary pause or reaction before continuation. It's an ideal short-term target for traders entering from the supply zone above. Secondary Demand Zone: 3292–3286 A deeper institutional demand block. If bearish pressure remains strong, price could be drawn here for a liquidity sweep before a higher-timeframe reversal or bounce.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ProSignalai
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD July 17, 2025 🔍 Momentum Analysis D1 timeframe: Momentum is still trending downward, but we’re starting to see signs of convergence between the indicator lines. Normally, we would expect another two daily candles to reach the oversold zone and trigger a potential reversal. However, with the current narrowing pattern, we cannot rule out the possibility of an earlier reversal. Today’s daily close will be crucial for confirmation. H4 timeframe: Momentum is clearly declining, suggesting that the market may either continue downwards or consolidate sideways throughout the day. 🌀 Elliott Wave Structure On the H4 chart, price action is compressing tightly at the end of a symmetrical triangle pattern – a classic setup in Elliott Wave theory. Notably, this final point of compression coincides with the POC (Point of Control), indicating a key price level where high volume has accumulated. Wave W (in black) follows a 3-wave structure. Yesterday, price surged to the beginning of wave W and then sharply reversed, forming the basis for two potential scenarios: Scenario 1 – WXY structure with current price completing wave Y within wave e (green): + Target 1: 3327 + Target 2: 3303 Scenario 2 – Wave e (green) evolves into a triangle: + In this case, price may consolidate sideways above the 3327 zone. 🔗 Combining Wave and Momentum Analysis Both D1 and H4 momentum indicators are still pointing downward. However, the price candles appear overlapping and lack clear directional strength – a common trait of compression near the triangle’s apex. With price sitting right on the POC, there’s a high chance of continued tightening before a breakout. At this stage, the recommended strategy is to wait for a strong bullish candle at one of the target zones before entering a BUY position. 📈 Trade Setup ✅ Scenario 1 – BUY at 3327 – 3326 + Stop Loss: 3317 + Take Profit 1: 3342 + Take Profit 2: 3358 + Take Profit 3: 3402 ✅ Scenario 2 – BUY at 3305 – 3302 + Stop Loss: 3295 + Take Profit 1: 3327 + Take Profit 2: 3358 + Take Profit 3: 3402
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Analysis of 7.17 Gold Operation: Buy High and Sell LowYesterday, the trend of gold in the first half was quite regular. The rebound in the Japanese session was under pressure, and the European session continued to fall back to test the 3320 mark. The key here has been repeatedly emphasized yesterday. The gold market in the second half was more exciting. First, the news was released that Trump was ready to draft the dismissal of the Federal Reserve Chairman. Gold directly rose by 50 US dollars and broke through the recent high of 3375. Then he said that he had no intention of dismissing the Federal Reserve Chairman. Gold rushed up and fell back by 40 US dollars. The daily line finally closed with an inverted hammer pattern with a very long upper shadow line. After the end of this pattern, today's market is still bearish. If the market is extremely weak, it will continue to fall below 3358. Pay attention to the attack and defense of the 3320 mark below. If it falls below, it will open the downward space to test the 3300 mark. During the day, we will temporarily set the small range of 3320-3358 to run, sell high and buy low, and retreat to 3325. One low long, defend yesterday's low, look up to 3335, 3342, 3358, and then reverse high.
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
1
Gold (XAU/USD) 15-minute CHART PATTERNThis is a 15-minute chart of Gold (XAU/USD) with multiple trading concepts annotated. Here are the key elements: Macro Levels: Several points are marked “MACRO,” likely denoting key market structure levels or significant order blocks. Order Blocks (OB): Highlighted areas like the orange and blue boxes represent order blocks, potential zones where institutional buying or selling occurred. Fair Value Gaps (FVG): The green and light red shaded areas signify imbalance zones in price action, where price may revisit to "fill" these gaps. Sessions: "New York AM/PM" and "Asian" sessions are marked, showing session-based price behavior. Stop Loss and Target Area: A clear buy setup is illustrated, with a stop-loss below the recent lows (around 3,330) and a projected upward price movement towards 3,360–3,370. Interpretation: This chart indicates a potential bullish setup from the current 3
TVC:GOLDLong
by Mrprofe21
XAUSD - Using HOW levels for a break and retest!Identify what signal a market is showing you. TYPES IOF SIGNAL DAYS - First red/green day - Dump/Pump - Inside day Frame the Trade play - Reversal - Continuation Identify the Levels - HOW/LOW - Session High/LOW - Friday Closing Price. Trade Explanation On the previous week FOREXCOM:XAUUSD triggered 3 days of breakout traders into the market closing in breakout. On Monday we have a FRD signal that sets up a next day trade opportunity. A retest of a previous weeks high gave us an indication of a retest/reversal trade on day 3 below Fridays closing price. Into the NY session this market quickly displaced back to Friday day 1 LOD level. Going into Tuesday day 2 we had the test of a weekly level and reversal above a session high closing below the Friday closing price. The break of a previous weeks high triggered more breakout traders into the market however it failed. We know day 2 typicall expands the range on Monday for a great parabolic trade setup right to as previous days low. NO GUESSING, NO FOMO, NO FEAR, NO STRESS! - Friday Closing Price (Entry) - Previous HOW (Stop) - PDL (Target)
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by GiancarloZacc
Gold: Bull-Bear Swings & Today's Trade Tips + AnalysisAnalysis of Gold News Drivers: During the U.S. session on Wednesday (July 16th), spot gold surged sharply and is currently trading around 3,370 🚀. Trump stated that tariff letters will soon be sent to small countries, with rates likely slightly above 10%, providing safe-haven support for gold prices 🛡️. Gold prices fell 0.5% on Tuesday, closing at 3,324.68, barely holding above the 55-day moving average of 3,222 📉. Earlier, the U.S. June CPI increase hit its highest level since January, pushing the U.S. dollar index to a nearly three-week high, while U.S. Treasury yields also climbed to a six-week peak, pressuring gold prices ⚖️. The dollar index has risen for four consecutive trading days, hitting a high of 98.70 on Tuesday, the highest since June 23rd 🆙. A stronger dollar makes dollar-denominated gold more expensive for investors holding other currencies, thereby weighing on gold prices 💸. However, the market largely interprets the dollar's recent rally as a technical adjustment rather than a reversal of the long-term trend 🔄. Despite short-term pullbacks in gold prices, market sentiment has not fully turned pessimistic 😐. While gold is currently in a consolidation range since mid-May, uncertainties surrounding tariff policies may offer support 🔀. Overall, the long-term outlook for gold remains optimistic, with sustained market focus on tariff issues expected to drive a rebound in gold prices in the future 📈 Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Sovereign_11
Expecting Gold bullish Movement Gold (XAU/USD) on the 15-minute chart is showing signs of a bullish reversal after forming a potential double bottom pattern around the 3332 support zoneThis area has been tested multiple times indicating strong buying interest and a solid demand zone The price action suggests a possible continuation of the bullish momentum, supported by the higher lows and projected upside trajectory. A breakout above the minor consolidation and neckline zone near 3346 could push price toward the identified target zone around 3370 which also aligns with a previous resistance level Key Levels Support 3332 Resistance Target Zone 3370 Entry Zone Current pullback near 3345 3346 Bullish Structure: Double bottom with higher low confirmation If bullish momentum holds this setup offers a favorable risk to reward scenario aiming for a breakout toward the upper resistance zone
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GOLD_FORCAST_PROVIDER
Pay attention to 3320, if it falls below, go long at 3310-3300The short order has been completed and profit has been realized. Now the 1H technical indicators show that there is still room for decline in the short term. Focus on the 3320 support. If it falls below 3320, the gold price is expected to reach the 3310-3300 area, which is also an ideal trading area for intraday long positions. There is nothing much to say. Follow the wolves and you will get meat. Currently, the brothers who follow me to trade have all made good gains. OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by HuntingWolves
Gold adjustment is complete and continue to be long Gold rebounded at 3322 today. Technically, it needs to rebound and repair when it falls back to 3318-25, so we can find opportunities to go long below to seize the profit space of the rebound. If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope I can help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate with us! From the 4-hour analysis, the upper short-term pressure focuses on 3340-45, and the lower short-term support focuses on 3318-20. Relying on this range, the main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycle participation remains unchanged during the day. In the middle position, watch more and move less, and follow orders cautiously, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. Gold operation strategy: Gold falls back to 3318-25 and goes long, stop loss 3312, target 3340-45, and continue to hold if it breaks;
TVC:GOLDLong
by jiqeu1
Gold (XAU/USD) Trading Analysis for July 16Support Zone: The market has found support around the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level at 3,333.58. This could be a potential entry point for a long trade if the price bounces here. Resistance Zone: The price action is approaching the 3,345.18 level, with a strong resistance around that zone. If the price breaks above this resistance, we could see further upward movement. Price Action: We can observe an initial bullish movement followed by a correction. The price is currently in an uptrend, forming a series of higher lows and higher highs. Fibonacci Levels: The 0.5 level at 3,333.58 has already acted as a support zone, and if the price retraces back here, this could be a good opportunity to enter long positions. The 0.618 level at 3,336.32 serves as a key resistance point. If price breaks above this level, it could indicate a continuation of the bullish trend. Bullish Scenario (Long Entry): If the price retraces back to the 3,333.58 area (0.5 Fibonacci level) and shows signs of support (such as bullish candlestick patterns), consider entering long with a target at 3,345.18. Bearish Scenario (Short Entry): If the price fails to break above 3,345.18 and forms a reversal pattern, you could consider shorting with a target near 3,320. Risk Management: Stop Loss: Place a stop loss just below 3,330, allowing for a small margin of error in case the price breaks through the support level. Take Profit: Consider setting a take-profit at 3,345.18 for short-term moves or look for further price action if you're aiming for a longer-term trend. Reminder: Always monitor the price action closely and adjust stop losses accordingly. The market is subject to volatility, especially during high-impact news events, so make sure to stay updated.
FX:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
1
GOLD Is Going Down! Short! Please, check our technical outlook for GOLD. Time Frame: 2h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The price is testing a key resistance 3,363.11. Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 3,342.15 level. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by SignalProvider
1
Gold has bounced back after tapping into the Fair Value Gap.📈 Gold Market Daily Outlook 💰 Gold has bounced back after tapping into the Fair Value Gap (FVG) and clearing liquidity below recent lows. 🔥 Price is now heading into a key bearish FVG zone on the 4H chart. 📊 Key Level to Watch: If $3339 breaks with strong bullish momentum, we could see a further push towards $3350 and beyond. ⚠️ Reminder: This is not financial advice — always DYOR (Do Your Own Research)!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Peter_Wade
Gold what is next ?!!TVC:GOLD timeframe 1 day is forming a potential triangle pattern, which could lead to a bearish setup. The MACD and RSI indicators are positive, supporting this outlook. A close above 3400 would further confirm the idea. Targets: - T1: 3600 - T2: 3730–3800 Stop loss: 3100 Support: 3300–3260 Consider opening a long position now, with confirmation above 3400. Disclaimer: This is not investment advice, only an analysis based on chart data. Consult your account manager before making any decisions. Good luck.
VELOCITY:GOLDLong
by tfcgeorge