XAUMO Golden Report – Institutional Strategy Plan (July 15, 2025🚨 XAUMO Golden Report – Institutional Strategy Plan (July 15, 2025, Cairo Time)
Directional Bias: ✅ Bullish with retracement traps
Market Structure: Classic Schabacker Congestion to Continuation
Phase: Distribution > Trap Liquidity > Breakout Pullback
📊 KEY TECHNICAL LEVELS (All Cairo Time)
Level Type Price
🔺High of Day 3,374.88
🟢Key Resistance 3,366.36 - 3,368.06 (Fibo 127-161%)
🔻VAL (Daily) 3,342.29
🔵POC (High Volume) 3,348.73
🟡VWAP Confluence 3,355.37 - 3,357.14 (Golden VWAP)
🔻Volume Imbalance LQ 3,358.51 (Naked Delta Rejection)
🔫Stop Hunt Watch 3,340.93 - 3,344.50 zone
MARKET MAKER GAMEPLAN
From “Technical Analysis & Stock Market Profits,” Schabacker says:
“Congestion following a sharp advance indicates preparation for further movement in the same direction unless sharply reversed by volume reversal or exhaustion.”
That’s exactly where price is now.
What MMs are doing:
Accumulated below 3342-3350 last session.
Ripped price in Kill Hour → targeting breakout traders’ FOMO above 3360.
Current pullback = engineered trap.
AREAS OF INTEREST & LIQUIDITY
Zone 1 (Trap / Reload Zone):
3,352.74 → 3,344.50 → Strong buyer reaction last 3 touch points
VWAP + FVRP + POC = confluence reload
Zone 2 (Fakeout / Bull Trap):
3,366 → 3,372 → Upper golden fib extensions + cluster volume delta divergence (see footprint)
💎 THE JEWEL TRADE
🔰 “Best R:R + Structure + Volume Alignment”
BUY LIMIT @ 3,348.50
SL: 3,340.00
TP1: 3,360
TP2: 3,368.50
TP3: 3,374.00
🧠 Backed by:
Schabacker’s congestion re-entry logic
VWAP golden reload
High delta absorption under consolidation
🎯 Confidence: 85%
GOLDCFD trade ideas
Gold is showing signs of bearish RSI divergence.🚨 Gold Update – Potential Selling Opportunity Ahead 🚨
Gold is showing signs of bearish RSI divergence on the 15-minute chart, while the RSI is already in the overbought zone. The price is also approaching a key supply zone, which could trigger a reversal.
📉 Multiple confirmations are pointing toward a potential sell setup:
Bearish RSI divergence
Overbought RSI condition
Approaching a strong supply zone
If price breaks below the 8 EMA with a bearish engulfing candle, it may confirm downward momentum.
⚠️ Watch closely — This setup is shaping up with solid confluence.
🔍 Always do your own research (DYOR) – This is not financial advice.
XAUUSD Buy ForecastXAUUSD New Forecast👨💻👨💻
This is my personal trade and not in anyway a mandatory setup.
Note:
Follow proper risk management rules. Never risk more then 2% of your total capital. Money management is the key of success in this business...... Set your own SL & TP.
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XAUUSD DOUBLE BOTTAM CHART PATTERN 📈 XAUUSD – Potential Bullish Breakout from Double Bottom
Timeframe: 30m | Bias: Bullish
Price has formed a Double Bottom (Bottom 2) structure near a key support zone, indicating potential accumulation. The current move toward the neckline hints at a possible breakout.
🔹 Entry Zone: 3,345–3,350 (on breakout or strong bullish candle close above neckline)
🔹 Stop Loss (SL): Below 3,335 (beneath recent swing low)
🔹 Take Profit (TP):
▫️TP1: 3,360
▫️TP2: 3,375
▫️TP3: 3,385+ (if momentum sustains)
📌 Pattern: Double Bottom → Breakout Potential
📌 Confluence: Bullish structure, demand zone bounce, trendline support
📌 Invalidation: Clean break below 3,335
XAUUSD ANALYSYS 💸GOLD💸
Market Outlook: Bullish
• Price broke out of a downtrend channel and is now forming higher highs and higher lows — clear sign of a trend reversal.
• Current move is a pullback after a strong push up.
⸻
📍 Key Zones:
• Buy Zones and Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) are marked.
• These are areas where buyers may step in again.
• Price is pulling back into these zones — potential long entry area.
⸻
🎯 Target:
• The top red line marks a liquidity zone or resistance.
• Price is likely aiming to reach this area next.
⸻
📈 Trade Setup Idea:
• Buy on pullback to the FVG / Buy Zone.
• Stop Loss: Below the Buy Zone.
• Take Profit: At the previous high (resistance zone).
⸻
⚠️ Risk to Watch:
• If price breaks below the Buy Zone, bullish setup is invalidated — wait for new structure.
GOLD: Local Bearish Bias! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 3,349.76 Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 3,341.88..Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
XAUUSD 1H – Bullish Trend Continuation Setup (TCB Trend Phase)📈 XAUUSD 1H – Bullish Trend Continuation Setup (TCB Trend Phase)
Timeframe: 1H
Strategy Phase: ✅ Trend Phase (Pullback & Breakout)
🔍 Analysis:
Gold (XAUUSD) continues to hold its bullish trend structure, with price breaking above the descending trendline and forming higher highs and higher lows.
After a recent breakout, price pulled back to a key support + trendline confluence zone near 3,353, where it printed bullish continuation candles. This zone has also acted as a breakout-retest area, adding confidence.
The next major target lies around 3,425, just beneath the next supply/resistance zone.
📌 Trade Setup Summary:
Entry Zone: 3,360–3,370
Stop Loss: Below 3,352
Take Profit: 3,425
Risk-to-Reward: ~1:3+
Bias: Bullish continuation unless price breaks below structure
📋 TCB Checklist Review (Trend Phase):
✅ HTF Bullish Trend Confirmed (4H/1H)
✅ Pullback to Demand/Structure
✅ Breakout + Retest
✅ Trendline Confluence
✅ Clean RRR and no major chop
✅ No nearby HTF resistance until 3,425 zone
✅ Score: 100% A+ Setup
🧠 Trade Management Plan:
Move SL to breakeven at 1:1
Consider partial TP near 3,400
Re-enter if price forms another continuation setup
📚 Strategy: TCB (Trend – Countertrend – Breakout)
This trade follows the Trend Phase rules – trading pullbacks in a strong bullish market.
Gold (XAUUSD) Analysis – 4-Hour TimeframeGold (XAUUSD) Analysis – 4-Hour Timeframe
Currently, the price is moving in an upward trend and approaching a key resistance area. Recent volatility suggests that buyers have shown enough strength to break through previous resistance zones and are now attempting to overcome the next significant barrier ahead.
🔴 Bullish Scenario:
If the price manages to break above the current resistance and hold above it, we can expect a continuation of the upward move toward higher zones. In this case, the bullish wave could extend toward the next resistance levels (marked in blue).
🔴 Bearish Scenario:
If the price reacts negatively to the current resistance area and fails to break above it, a corrective decline may follow. The nearest support zone below could play a crucial role in maintaining the bullish structure. However, if this support is also broken, the path could open for a deeper pullback toward lower support levels.
GOLD UPDATE – Demand Zone Bounce📊 GOLD UPDATE – Demand Zone Bounce
Price respected the 3349–3351.8 demand zone and is now climbing toward key resistance at 3366.912.
🟩 Demand Zone Held: 3349–3351.8
📈 Target: Resistance Level 3366.912
📉 Backup Demand: 3342–3345 & 3339–3346 (in case of pullback)
This reaction reinforces the importance of level precision and smart zone selection. Let's watch for confirmation near resistance.
Affected by tariffs, gold rose again.On Saturday, Trump announced that he would impose a 30% tariff on goods imported from the European Union and Mexico from August 1. This news triggered a rise in risk aversion in the market. As a traditional safe-haven asset, gold was once again sought after. The price continued the rise on Friday and continued to open high in the early Asian session. As of now, the highest price reached around 3373.
From the current market point of view, after breaking through the triangle pattern last Friday, there was a sharp rise. The price successfully stood on the short-term moving average, showing an overall bullish trend. However, it should be noted that the short-term moving average has not yet formed an upward cross, which means that there is a high possibility of a confirmation process in the future. Looking back at the trend in the past two months, gold rarely opens high and then continues to rise. Most of them open high and go low. Therefore, under the current situation, although it is bullish overall, it is not advisable to blindly chase more. It is more suitable to wait for a decline before arranging more orders. The key lies in grasping the decline position.
From the perspective of pressure level, 3380-3385 is the first pressure level, and the second pressure level is 3395-3400. The support level below is around 3345, which is also the pressure level that has been emphasized in the early stage, and the top and bottom conversion position. For today's operation, Quaid recommends low-to-long.
Operation strategy:
Short near 3380, stop loss 3390, profit range 3360-3345
Long near 3345, stop loss 3335, profit range 3360-3380
1D, chart analysis.
Drawn from the major swing low ($3,500):
0.236 Level = $3,418 → minor resistance
0.618 Level = $3,274 → critical retracement (gold bounced near this)
1.000 Level = $3,131 → absolute support
These levels suggest the retracement may be over, and price could be prepping for a new push.
Analysis and strategy of gold trend on July 21:
In-depth analysis of gold market and precise trading strategy
Analysis of core contradictions
Game of long and short forces:
Short forces: Strong economic data (retail sales +0.6%, unemployment benefits 221,000) pushed the US dollar index to 98.95, and the US Treasury yield rose to 4.495%
Bull forces: The safe-haven buying caused by inflation expectations formed a strong takeover, and the 3300 mark showed strong support
Market signal interpretation:
The deep V reversal shows the characteristics of "false breakthrough", and smart funds take the opportunity to absorb funds
The negative correlation between US Treasury yields and gold has temporarily failed, reflecting the market's confusion about the Fed's policy expectations
Technical three-dimensional analysis
Daily level:
MACD double-line golden cross, the upward momentum column is mildly increased
KDJ golden cross runs above 60, not entering the overbought area
Key watershed: 3320 (bullish defense line) vs 3375 (previous high resistance)
4-hour level:
The rising channel is complete, and the low point gradually moves up (3309→3320)
The angle after the KDJ golden cross is steep, indicating sufficient short-term momentum
30-minute short-term:
3350 constitutes the intraday long-short balance point
If the Asian session falls and the callback does not fall below 3342, the strong structure will be maintained
Precise trading strategy
Main long plan:
Ideal entry: 3332-3335 (Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level)
Defense point: 3318 (Daily EMA30 support)
Target ladder: 3355 (Start reducing positions and take profits) → 3372 (stop profit 50%) → 3398 (trend target)
Secondary short opportunity:
Trigger condition: first touch 3373 + shooting star pattern
Stop loss setting: 3383 (previous high + 3 US dollars to filter false breakthroughs)
Profit space: 3350-3340 (quick in and quick out)
Breakthrough trading strategy:
Break above 3380: chase longs when stepping back to 3370, target 3400 integer level
Break below 3315: short when the price rebounds to 3325, target 3290 support
Key price matrix
Support level 3330 long-short boundary
Support level 3310 trend lifeline
Resistance level 3365 previous day high
Resistance level 3375 weekly level strong resistance
Special tips for risk management:
Position control: single transaction does not exceed 3% of the principal
Time window: US market volatility is usually magnified by 30%
Emergency warning:
Speech by Fed officials may trigger a $50 fluctuation
The escalation of geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East will trigger safe-haven buying
Operational suggestions: The current market is in a key direction selection window, and it is recommended to adopt a combination strategy of "breakthrough follow + callback buy". Focus on the breakthrough of the 3365-3375 area during the US trading period. If three consecutive 15-minute K-lines stand at 3370, the upward space will be opened. Conservative investors can wait for a pullback to the 3330-3335 area to arrange mid-term long positions.
Gold is indecisive Gold is indecisive
As the chart pattern has the indication of the market is ready for a price correction.
the slow and steady breakout up wards is visible too.
for the moment the momentum is more of a sideways. hence its safe to sell high and buy low.
no trade zone in between. for example potential good sell area will be 3377-79 or buys on 3310-12 or 3288-90.
until a proper clear direction for a goo swing trade to break its triangle compression.
Long and short fluctuations, the market is waiting for a break📰 News information:
1. Powell responds to White House issues
2. Will other countries impose reciprocal sanctions on tariffs?
📈 Technical Analysis:
Although the MACD indicator of the gold hourly line formed a golden cross, the market reached a high of around 3361, and the RSI indicator was close to the overbought area, so we need to be cautious about corrections. From the 4H chart, the MACD second golden cross is on the zero axis. Currently, we are paying attention to the moving average SMA5 near 3343, and the SMA60 support line 3332. If the 4H upward trend falls back, we need to go long. At present, gold is still running above, and there is no good participation point in the short term, but on the whole, we should pay attention to the support of 3345-3332 below, and we can consider going long if it retreats and stabilizes. We continue to pay attention to the resistance pressure of 3375-3385 above, and we can try to go short if it does not break.
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 3375-3385
TP 3365-3355
BUY 3345-3332
TP 3365-3375-3385
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Bet The Farm!Gold's consolidation period in a wave 4 sideways pattern is about to conclude.
Anybody short this asset is about to get burned, a more than 90% probability of an upward surge is imminent.
There are multiple support touch points on this upward trend line...does it get any clearer?
Appreciate a thumbs up...God Bless you all!
Excellent profits booked As I mentioned in yesterday’s commentry session:
My strategy is still the same – buying every dip in Gold around my key level yesterday at 3312, which the market respects well and as our first target was 3345
I'm aiming for a breakout to the upside.
Very happy with the profits so far.
My medium-term targets remain 3380 &3,400 and I’ll keep buying every local low until then.
Also I mentioned if 3310 turns flips on down side then buy at 3290 will be the perfect buy.
Xauusd and gold wasn next move police📈 TradingView Professional Bullish Idea – XAUUSD (Gold/USD)
Timeframe: 1H
Bias: Bullish, with confirmation from FVG & CHoCH
Structure:
Strong Break of Market Structure (BMS)
CHoCH (Change of Character) confirming bullish shift
Fair Value Gap (FVG) filled and respected
Price above EMA 50 & 100, showing momentum alignment
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📌 Trade Plan (Professional Format)
> ENTRY ZONE:
Watch for bullish continuation above 3,339–3,343 FVG zone
Confirmation: Strong candle close above FVG with volume support
> TP Targets:
🎯 TP1: 3,350.00 (previous minor high – already hit)
🎯 TP2: 3,361.00 (liquidity target)
🎯 TP3: 3,375.00 (upper imbalance target)
> STOP LOSS:
🛑 Below 3,324.00 (below previous BMS & demand block)
> Invalidation:
Price closes below 3,322 with volume → invalidates bullish thesis
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🔍 Idea Summary
> Price has respected demand zone with strong BMS & CHoCH.
FVG filled with bullish reaction suggests possible continuation.
As long as price stays above the EMA cluster and demand, bulls are in control.