HelenP. I Gold will break resistance level and continue to growHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. After a strong bullish impulse, the price managed to break above the local resistance zone and reach the 3365 level. This zone had previously acted as a barrier for upward movement, but now the price is consolidating just below it, forming a possible correction setup. I see that price followed a clear trend line during its recent rally, and multiple times this line acted as dynamic support. The buyers respected it and entered the market with each touch. Currently, Gold is hovering near the upper boundary of the resistance zone. I expect that before continuing to grow, the price may make a slight correction toward the trend line, using it again as a support for a potential rebound. This would also allow the market to gather more liquidity before targeting new highs. Once the correction completes and the trend line holds, I expect gold to rise again, break through the 3365 resistance level, and continue its upward movement toward 3400 points, which is my main goal for this setup. Given the strong trend, the bullish impulse, and clear support from the trend line, I remain optimistic and anticipate further growth. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment.❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
GOLDCFD trade ideas
Market Trends from 2020 to 2025How Bitcoin, NASDAQ, Gold, and Silver Really Performed Since 2020
It’s been a wild few years in the markets. From early 2020 to mid-2025, investors have had to navigate uncertainty, changing interest rates, tech booms, and the rise of digital assets. Looking back, it’s clear that some assets took off while others just quietly held their ground.
So, what happened if you had invested in Bitcoin, the NASDAQ, gold, or silver five years ago?
Bitcoin (BTC): +1,297.87%
No surprise here. Bitcoin absolutely stole the show. Despite all the ups and downs (and there were plenty), BTC ended up with nearly 1,300% gains. It had a huge surge in late 2020 and 2021, crashed hard, and then climbed even higher starting in 2023.
This kind of return doesn’t come without risk. Bitcoin was by far the most volatile of the group. But for those who held on, the reward was massive. It also marked a big shift in how people think about money and investing.
"Crypto is no longer just a fringe idea."
NASDAQ: +175.26%
Tech stocks had a strong run, too. The NASDAQ gained around 175%, driven by innovation, digital expansion, and eventually, the AI boom. While there were some bumps along the way (especially when interest rates went up), the general trend was up and to the right.
Unlike Bitcoin, the NASDAQ was more predictable, less explosive.
Gold: +127.39%
Gold did what gold usually does. It held its value and slowly moved higher. Over five years, it returned about 127%, which is pretty solid for a “safe haven” asset. It didn’t grab headlines like crypto or tech stocks, but it stayed reliable through the chaos.
Silver: +124.50%
Silver had a similar story to gold, but with a bit more fluctuation. It benefited from both investor demand and industrial use, and it ended up with just over 124% in gains. Not bad for a metal that often gets overshadowed by its shinier cousin ;).
What It All Means
If you were in Bitcoin, you saw huge gains, but also had to stomach major volatility. Tech investors did well too, especially those who stayed in through the dips. Meanwhile, gold and silver offered steadier, more defensive returns.
One big takeaway: the investment landscape is changing. Traditional assets still matter, but new ones like crypto are reshaping what portfolios can look like.
In the end, it’s about balancing risk and reward!
and figuring out what kind of investor you are.
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Nice! Our idea from yesterday worked well giving the short trade into the level we wanted, to then break below the bias level and give us our 2 Gold Excalibur targets and 1 of our red box targets shared with the wider community. We suggested our traders watch the level of 3310 for a potential RIP, and that's exactly what we got upside.
Now, we have support at the 3330-27 level and resistance above at 3340-3. We have a red box above as well so we'll be waiting to see if the close is significant enough for us to target higher tomorrow! For now, keep an eye on the retracement into the 3335-2 level initially.
RED BOXES:
Break above 3335 for 3341, 3355, 3362, 3370 and 3376 in extension of the move
Break below 3320 for 3310✅, 3304, 3297 and 3294 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
XAU/USD technical analysis setup Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of (XAU/USD) on the 6-hour timeframe, focusing on a key resistance zone that could trigger either a bullish breakout or a bearish reversal.
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Analysis Summary
Current Price: $3,357.95
Trend Context: Price is testing a strong resistance zone with a possible breakout or rejection in play.
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Scenario 1 – Bullish Breakout
1. Resistance Zone: $3,357–$3,372
Multiple previous rejections.
A confirmed close above $3,372.77 signals bullish strength.
2. Upside Targets:
Target 1: $3,393.87
Target 2: $3,452.08
3. Indicators:
RSI at 63.74, approaching overbought but still with room to rally.
EMA 200 is trending upward, supporting bullish bias.
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Scenario 2 – Bearish Rejection
1. If price fails to close above $3,372.77, a rejection from resistance is likely.
2. Downside Targets:
Reversal projected toward the key support zone at $3,246.97
EMA 200 at $3,300.97 may provide temporary support before breakdown.
---
Trade Ideas
Direction Entry Level Stop-Loss Target 1 Target 2
Bullish Close above $3,372 Below $3,346 $3,393.87 $3,452.08
Bearish Rejection from $3,357–$3,372 Above $3,380 $3,300 → $3,246.97
Mr SMC Trading point
---
Summary
This is a critical decision point for Gold. A breakout above resistance can propel price to $3,450, while rejection could drive price back to $3,246. The reaction at the current zone will dictate the next major swing.
Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bearish Reversal Entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸Bearish Retest - 3347.5
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bearish Reversal Entry Detected )
GOLD DAILY CHART ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Daily Chart Follow Up – Structure Still in Full Control
Just a quick update on our daily structure roadmap. Price continues to respect our Goldturn levels with surgical precision.
After the previous bounce off 3272, we’ve now seen over 800 pips of upside follow through. That level once again proved its weight, holding beautifully as support and launching price firmly back toward the upper boundary.
We now have a clear gap overhead at 3433, which sits right near the channel top a familiar rejection zone. With that in play, we’re expecting a range bound dynamic to develop between 3272 and 3433 in the short term.
Here’s what we’re focusing on next:
Range scenario active:
Until price breaks out cleanly, we anticipate swings between 3433 resistance and 3272 support to play out. This is the working range for now.
EMA5 cross and lock:
Watch for a clean EMA5 break and lock, this will be our technical confirmation for whether we’re breaking out of this range or just ping ponging inside it.
Structure remains intact:
No EMA5 breakdown off 3272 during the recent test means buyers remain in control. Until that changes, dips into 3272 continue to offer structured long setups.
Key Levels This Week
Support 3272 Proven bounce zone. As long as this holds, the structure favours upside.
Resistance 3433 Open gap + channel top confluence; expect reaction and potential fade unless we break cleanly with EMA5 confirmation.
As always, we continue to let structure guide the way, measured, deliberate, and data-driven.
Thanks again for all the continued support, every like, comment, and follow is truly appreciated.
Wishing you all a focused and profitable week ahead!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Step-By-Step Guide to Building a Winning Gold Trading Strategy
In the today's article, I will teach you how to create your first profitable gold trading strategy from scratch.
Step 1: Choose the type of analysis
The type of analysis defines your view on the market.
With technical analysis you rely on patterns, statistical data, technical indicators, etc. for making trading decisions.
Fundamental analysis focuses on factors that drive the prices of gold such as micro and macroeconomics, news and geopolitics.
A combination of technical and fundamental analysis implies the application of both methods.
For the sake of the example, we will choose pure technical approach.
Step 2: Specify the area of analysis
Technical and fundamental analysis are complex and multilayered subjects. That is why it is crucially important to choose the exact concepts and techniques that you will apply in gold trading.
For example, with a technical analysis, you can trade harmonic patterns, or apply a combination of key levels and technical indicators.
With fundamental analysis, you can build your trading strategy around trading the economic calendar or important news releases.
Here we will choose support & resistance levels and smart money concepts.
Step 3: Select a trading time frame
Your trading time frame will define your trading style. Focusing on hourly time frame, for example, you will primarily catch the intraday moves, while a daily time frame analysis will help you to spot the swing moves.
You can also apply the combination of several time frames.
We will choose the combination of a daily and an hourly time frames.
Step 4: Define your trading zones
By a trading zone, I mean an area or a level on a price chart from where you will look for trading opportunities.
For example, a technical indicator trader may apply moving average as the trading point.
For the sake of the example, we will choose support and resistance levels on a daily time frame as our trading areas.
Step 5: Choose confirmations
Confirmation is your entry reason . It is the set of conditions that indicates a highly probable projected outcome.
For an economic calendar traders, the increasing CPI (inflation) figures can be a solid reason to open a long position on Gold.
Our confirmation will be a local change of character on an hourly time frame.
Step 6: Define your stop loss placement, entry and target selection and desired reward to risk ratio
You should know exactly where should be your entry point, where will be your stop loss and where should be the target.
We will open a trading position immediately after a confirmed change of character, stop loss will lie below the lows if we buy or above the highs if we sell.
Target will be the next daily structure.
Minimal reward to risk ration should be 1.5.
Step 7: Define Your Lot Size and Risk Per Trade
You should have precise rules for the calculation of a lot size for each trade.
For our example, we will strictly risk 1% of our trading deposit per trade.
Step 8: Set trade management rules
When the trade is active, trade management rules define your action:
for example, whether you strictly wait for tp or sl, or you apply a trailing stop loss.
In our strategy, we will move stop loss to entry 10 minutes ahead of the release of the US news in the economic calendar.
Step 9: Back test your strategy
Study the historical data and back test at least 50 trading setups that meet your strategy criteria.
Make sure that the strategy has a positive win rate.
Step 10: Try a trading strategy on a demo account
Spend at least a month on demo account and make sure that you obtain positive overall results.
If you see consistent profits on a demo account, it is the signal for you that your strategy is ready , and it's time to start trading on a real account.
In case of negative results, modify your trading conditions and back test them again, or build a new strategy from scratch.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GOLD NEXT MOVE (expecting a bullish move)(18-07-2025)Go through the analysis carefully and do trade accordingly.
Anup 'BIAS for the day (18-07-2025)
Current price- 3350
"if Price stays above 3330, then next target is 3360, 3378 and 3407 and below that 3310 and 3280 ".
-POSSIBILITY-1
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening )
-POSSIBILITY-2
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening)
Best of luck
Never risk more than 1% of principal to follow any position.
Support us by liking and sharing the post.
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start to the week with our chart idea playing out as analysed.
We started the week with our Bullish target 3364 HIT, followed with no ema5 lock confirming the rejection. Bearish target remains open and may complete with the rejection.
We will continue with our plans to buy dips, utilising the support levels from the bearish targets and/or Goldturns. Also keeping in mind our 1h chart, although gave a nice push up , the full Bullish gap remains open.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3364 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3364 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3429
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3429 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3499
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3499 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3561
BEARISH TARGETS
3297
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3297 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3242
3171
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3171 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3089
3001
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
DeGRAM | GOLD correction from the resistance line📊 Technical Analysis
● Repeated rejections at the channel mid-band (3 346) and the higher swing-highs marked by red arrows form a descending wedge inside the bigger rising channel.
● Price has slipped back under the intraday up-trend and is tracking a fresh 30 m falling channel; a close below 3 328 completes the bear setup and points to the lower channel rail / former bounce base at 3 296.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● US retail-sales surprise (+0.5 % m/m) lifted 2-yr Treasury yields while Fed’s Daly warned “inflation progress isn’t enough”, reviving dollar demand and capping bullion.
✨ Summary
Short 3 340-3 345; sustained trade beneath 3 328 opens 3 296 → 3 255. Thesis void on a 30 m close above 3 355.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Gold- Still needs to resolve the range🔸 Still Rangebound, But Not for Long
In yesterday’s analysis, I mentioned that two scenarios are in play for Gold:
1. Bullish above 3375
2. Bearish under 3320
Throughout the session, price action leaned toward the bearish side, and I aligned with that by opening a short position. It ended with a minor loss — just 50 pips, which is negligible considering I'm looking for a potential 1,000 pip move in the bigger picture.
________________________________________
🔍 What's Next?
As the title says, Gold still needs to resolve the current range before a clear directional move unfolds.
The same key levels discussed yesterday remain valid and relevant.
And since it’s Friday, today’s daily and weekly candle close will be critical in shaping expectations for next week.
________________________________________
📈 Bullish Case: Close Above 3360
• A daily/weekly close around 3360 would bring strong pressure on the 3375 resistance.
• That could lead to a bullish breakout from the ascending triangle pattern.
• It would also leave behind a bullish weekly pin bar (last week was a bullish pin bar too).
• This scenario would bring 3450 into focus — with 3500 and even a new ATH on the table in the coming weeks.
________________________________________
📉 Bearish Case: Close Near 3300
• A close near 3300 would signal a failed rally attempt
• That would expose 3250 support short term, and 3150 medium term.
________________________________________
🧭 Final Thoughts
At the moment, I’m flat and waiting for clearer confirmation later in the day.
The next move big will be defined by the weekly close — it’s as simple as that.
P.S.: It’s just a hunch , but I’m still leaning toward a break under 3300 as the next major move.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3364 and a gap below at 3297. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3364
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3364 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3429
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3429 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3499
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3499 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3561
BEARISH TARGETS
3297
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3297 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3242
3171
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3171 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3089
3001
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
DeGRAM | GOLD broke the trend line📊 Technical Analysis
● The break of the July descending cap at 3 355 has held as support; price is stair-stepping along a steep intraday channel whose lower rail coincides with the 3 350 pivot.
● Momentum is pressing the 3 368–3 393 supply; clearing that band opens the March swing objective at 3 430, while pullbacks into 3 350-3 355 are buffered by the former trend-line.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● A second straight downside surprise in US PPI cooled 2-yr yields and the DXY, restoring carry appeal for non-yielding gold.
● World Gold Council notes June central-bank net purchases rose 6 % m/m, signalling persistent official demand.
✨ Summary
Long 3 350-3 360; hold above 3 355 targets 3 393 → 3 430. Bias void on an H1 close below 3 325.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
End of week update following up on yesterday’s 1H chart outlook.
✅ 3353 was hit and respected to the pip, just as we mapped out and highlighted yesterday.
We saw the EMA5 cross and lock above 3328, confirming continuation.
The market respected structure beautifully
Rejections gave us clean dip buying entries
EMA5 methodology guided our execution
High probability Goldturn levels played out exactly as planned
Our discipline and patience were rewarded, yet again. Another strong end to the week.
We will now come back Sunday with a full multi timeframe analysis to prepare for next week’s setups, including updated views on the higher timeframes, EMA alignments, and structure expectations going forward.
Thanks again for all your likes, comments, and follows.
Wishing you all a fantastic weekend!!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD (XAUUSD): Another Bullish Pattern
Gold perfectly respected a rising trend line on a daily and
bounce from that, as I predicted earlier.
I see a strong bullish pattern on that now.
The price formed a cup & handle pattern and closed
on Friday, testing its neckline.
The next bullish confirmation that you should look for is its breakout.
Daily candle close above 3367 level will provide a breakout validation.
A bullish continuation will be expected then.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
What a week on the markets with our KOG report plan working well, the red boxes moving with price, the Excalibur targets being completed and then most of the bias level targets completing as well.
Have a look at Sundays report and compare the move and levels shared, you'll see how well we've managed to track this. Only thing we haven't got (yet) is that curve ball, so let's see how we close today and open on Sunday.
For now, support below is at the 3340 level with resistance 3370. We may just see a late session move here so play caution.
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bullish above 3350 with targets above 3360✅, 3373✅, 3375✅ and 3383 for now
Bearish below 3350 with targets below 3340,✅ 3335✅, 3329✅, 3320✅ and 3310✅ for now
RED BOX TARGETS:
Break above 3365 for 3372✅, 3375✅, 3382, 3390 and 3406 in extension of the move
Break below 3350 for 3340✅, 3335✅, 3329✅, 3322✅ and 3310✅ in extension of the move
Wishing you all a great weekend and we'll see you on Sunday for the KOG Report. Please do take some time to hit the boost button, it's very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Madness on the markets. I can honestly say, if you're less experienced in these markets, and like some of you trading with large lots and large or no SL's, you're unfortunately going to get yourself into a little bit of a pickle.
Did it go to plan today? Yes, and no! We followed the path which worked, but then we wanted support to hold at the bias level 3340 to then push us back upside. We got a small bounce for 100pips on the red box indicators but ideally we wanted this to completed the move up before coming back down. We're now at crucial support 3320 with resistance at the 3335-40 region, which, if we hold here without breaching should be a decent retracement on this move.
Other than that, I can say our plan for today wasn't as we hoped, we took an SL but then got a 100pip bounce. It is what it is
RED BOXES:
Break above 3365 for 3372, 3375, 3388 and 3406 in extension of the move
Break below 3350 for 3335✅, 3330✅, 3326✅ and 3307 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
In trading, the long way is the shortcut⚠️ The Shortcut Is an Illusion — And It Will Cost You
In trading, everyone wants to arrive without traveling.
They want the profits, the freedom, and the Instagram lifestyle — even if it’s fake.
What they don’t want is the process that actually gets you there.
So they chase shortcuts:
• Copy signals without understanding the reason behind them
• Over-leverage on “the perfect setup”
• Buy indicators they don’t know how to use
• Skip journaling and backtesting
• Trade real money without trading psychology
And then they wonder…
Why is my account bleeding?
Why does this feel like a cycle I can't break?
Because:
Every shortcut in trading is just a fast track to disaster.
You will lose. You will restart. And it will take even longer than if you just did it right the first time.
🤡 The TikTok Fantasy: “1-Minute Strategy That Will Make You Millions in 2025”
This is the new wave:
A 60-second video showing you a magical indicator combo.
No context. No testing. No risk management.
Just fake PnL screenshots and promises of millionaire status before next summer.
“This 1-minute scalping strategy made me $12,000 today!”
And people fall for it… because it’s easier to believe in shortcuts than to accept that real trading is boring, repetitive, and hard-earned.
If it fits in a TikTok video, it’s not a strategy. It’s clickbait.
________________________________________
❓ Looking for a System Without Knowing the Basics
Here’s the paradox:
Most people are desperate to find a “profitable strategy” — but they haven’t even mastered the basic math of trading.
• They don’t know how pip value is calculated
• They don’t understand how leverage works
• They confuse margin with risk
• They size positions emotionally, not based on their account
• They can’t define what 1% risk per trade actually means in dollars
But they’re out here, loading indicators, watching YouTube “hacks,” and flipping accounts with 1:500 leverage.
Imagine trying to perform surgery before learning anatomy.
That’s what trying to trade a strategy without knowing pip cost looks like.
________________________________________
🛠️ The Long Way Is the Fastest Way
You want the real shortcut?
Here it is:
• Learn price structure deeply
• Backtest like a scientist
• Journal like a professional
• Risk small while you're learning
• Stay on demo until your edge is proven
• Master basic math: leverage, margin, pip value, position sizing
This is the long way.
But it’s the only way that doesn’t end in regret.
________________________________________
⏳ Most Traders Waste 2–5 Years Looking for a Shortcut
And in the end?
They crawl back to the long path.
Broke, humbled, and wishing they had just started there from the beginning.
The shortcut is a scam.
The long way is the only path that leads to consistency.
You either take it now… or take it later — after your account pays the price.
________________________________________
✅ Final Thought
Don’t ask how fast you can get profitable.
Ask how solid you can build your foundation.
Because in trading:
❌ The shortcut costs you everything
✅ The long way gives you everything
And the longer you avoid it, the longer it takes.
XAUUSD 1H | Bullish BOS & OB Retest | Targeting 3390+🚀 Gold (XAUUSD) 1H Timeframe is showing a clean Bullish Market Structure with multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS ↑) confirming upside momentum.
🔹 Price retraced back into a strong Demand Zone (OB) and has started pushing upward again, indicating strong buyer interest.
🔹 Clear Order Block Retest after BOS confirms Smart Money Entry.
🔹 Target is marked around 3390+, based on previous liquidity and imbalance zones.
📈 Expecting continuation of bullish trend until the marked Target Point is reached.
💡 This setup follows pure SMC principles: BOS → OB Retest → Expansion.
🟢 Buy Bias Active | 📊 High Probability Trade Setup
#XAUUSD #Gold #SMC #BreakOfStructure #OrderBlock #LiquidityGrab #TrustTechnicallyAnalysis
Gold returns to Sideway range waiting for new momentumOANDA:XAUUSD A sweep of liquidity back to the 3377 zone and then back into the triangle trading range. Currently, the market will wait for new momentum for the next trend. If the 3322 zone is still holding, the uptrend to 3400 is still there. This is an important price zone in today's trading day.
📉 Key Levels
BUY Trigger: rejection 3323 with bullrish confirmation
Target: 3373
SELL Trigger: Break and trading Bellow support 3321
Target: 3285
Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
Gold may rise a little and then drop to support levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. Initially, gold was trading within a large consolidating pennant, showing both upward and downward impulses as it moved between the converging trend lines. The price eventually saw a breakout from this pattern, followed by a strong impulse up, but this momentum stalled as it approached the major horizontal resistance level at 3390. This level, which corresponds with the upper seller zone, has proven to be a significant barrier for buyers, rejecting the price and confirming a strong seller presence in that area. Currently, the market is in a corrective phase after being rejected from the highs. The price is drifting upwards once again in what appears to be a final retest of the aforementioned seller zone. This slow upward movement lacks the impulsive strength of the previous trend, suggesting that buyers are losing control and sellers are preparing to defend the 3390 resistance level once more. I expect this corrective move to fail upon reaching the seller zone around 3390. After this retest, I anticipate a sharp reversal and the beginning of a new downward trend. The logical target for this move is the major support level at 3310, an area that has historically acted as a strong buyer zone. That is why my TP is set at 3310. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Gold breaks trendline and returns to uptrend. BUY NOW!✏️ OANDA:XAUUSD A deep sweep to 3310 and bounce back to the trading range. Gold is reacting at the Trendline around the price zone of 3344. This is an important price zone that if broken will return to the uptrend and head towards 3373 soon. 3332 plays an important role in the current bullish wave structure, which is a suitable SL placement point for BUY signals.
📉 Key Levels
Support: 3332-3312
Resistance: 3344-3357-3373-3389
BUY trigger: Break and trading above Resistance 3344 (trendline, top uptrend wave 1)
BUY DCA trigger: Break Resistance 3353
Target 3373
Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
The Most Accurate Gold Forecast on the MarketThis is a continuation of sorts of my educational article that received an "Editor's Pick" from TradingView and a large number of positive reactions from this amazing trading community. However, unlike that post, this is a trade idea that outlines clear entry conditions for when the price reaches a relevant manipulation zone and shows a reversal reaction. If you don't want to get into the details and trace the entire chain of events through which large capital brought the price to its current levels, feel free to skip the intro and go straight to the 4H chart with the long setup conditions.
To better understand the logic of "smart money," let's revisit the Gold daily timeframe from my educational article:
We will approach this analysis like detectives, following the facts and footprints in the style of Sherlock Holmes and Hercule Poirot.
So, let's begin our investigation. On the daily structure, we see a clear order flow confirming the intention of large capital to lead the price in continuation of the uptrend. After the latest impulse that began on February 28th and ended on April 3rd, the price corrected and mitigated the DEMAND1 manipulation zone. The "Whale" refueled with liquidity, eliminated some competitors, closed its losing short positions used for the manipulation, and gained energy for the next impulse that set a new ATH. The correction that mitigated the DEMAND1 zone was nothing other than the next manipulation, also in the form of a DEMAND zone, within which there is a still-valid daily order block. How can we assert that DEMAND 2 is a manipulation and not just a correction?
Firstly, the sharp nature of the move swept liquidity from the March 21st low. Secondly, the sharp upward impulse accompanied by a series of FVGs showed the Whale's true intention. And thirdly, the reversal from this DEMAND 2 zone, combined with the 61.8% Fib retracement level, resulted in the formation of the next manipulation in the form of the OB 1 order block. Further, we see the continuation of the order flow on this daily structure; the price reacts to OB1, forming another order block, OB2 . The impulse from OB2 sweeps liquidity from the May 6th high. Many might have expected a continuation of the impulse and a new ATH instead of a sweep of this high, but as often happens when too many participants pile into one direction, the price sharply reverses and liquidates their positions. This intense decline after sweeping the high looked something like a local trend change from bullish to bearish, but the sharp recovery after sweeping the liquidity from the June 9th low and forming a new order block, OB 3 , finally revealed what was really happening: it turned out to be a range . It's impossible to identify a range until it is fully formed. A range is another type of manipulation where internal and external liquidity is swept from both sides. In our case, there was first a deviation above (Deviation 1 on the chart), then a deviation below (Deviation 2), after which the price swept some internal liquidity and got stuck exactly in the middle of the range.
And finally, after all our investigations and deductions, we can say with absolute certainty, practically with 100% confidence divided by two, that ABSOLUTELY NO ONE KNOWS where the price will go from the current levels. Because the center of a range is a state of complete uncertainty. Moreover, I dare to suggest that even the Whales don't know where the price will go right now. They certainly have enormous funds to sharply move prices at the right moments to capture liquidity and conduct manipulations. At other times, they can nudge the market to create a trend and direct it like a chain reaction of falling dominoes. But the entire market is much larger, and if its sentiment changes drastically due to external factors, smart money won't waste its resources fighting it. Their goal is to make more money, nothing personal. Why else is the price stuck in the middle right now? Inflation data is coming out soon, which could push the price in an unpredictable direction. The Whales will wait to use this news-driven impulse to their advantage.
So, what have we concluded from this investigation? Was it all in vain since we can't even say with 51% probability where the price will go next? Of course not. We simply need to wait for the price to reach an area where the probability of it moving in a certain direction is significantly higher than 50% — that's all you need to be profitable in the long run. This probability will never be close to 100% because we don't know what's really happening in the depths of the market. Are the Whales accumulating positions in this range now, or are they selling off at high prices after the ATH? Unless you are one of the few direct participants in large capital, you can't know this. Moreover, you don't need to know it to make a consistent profit in the market. It is enough for us to predict the next move of smart money with high probability at certain moments, join their movement, and take our profit. It's like a weather forecast: the further from the current date, the lower the probability of it being accurate. It's the same with the market; a completely unpredictable combination of factors, news, and hidden internal processes can lead the price on a unique path, but always accompanied by smart money. It doesn't matter where the gold market goes next, whether to a new ATH or down to the next correction level. When the Whale reveals itself again by leaving a trail in the form of a manipulation, we can lie in wait near it and join its next move. Why is it generally a good idea to enter from manipulation zones? You are essentially stepping onto a field where the Whale has already cleared the liquidity, and it has returned to that place for other business — to close its losing positions. That is, a mitigated manipulation zone is a safer place to enter the market; there's a much lower chance the Whale will absorb your position. Right now, we have such a manipulation in the form of the OB 4 order block, and we can switch to the 4H timeframe to look at a potential entry zone in more detail.
4H CHART - SETUP CONDITIONS
So, we already know the general context: the price is inside a range. After the second deviation, it has already reacted to the order block formed after it, and we are waiting for the mitigation of the next one, OB 4 , which will serve as a pivot point for a potential setup. A reversal from this order block will confirm the order flow for the price to move at least to the upper boundary of the range. The presence of a manipulation zone alone is not enough to open a position; additional confirming conditions are always needed. As one such condition here, we can take the combination of mitigation with one of the Fibonacci retracement levels — 61.8% or 78.6%. Upon reaching each level, the price must hold (not be broken by the bodies of 1-4H candles) and show a reversal reaction. The final confirmation for entry will be an LTF confirm in the form of a break of structure (BOS) or the beginning of order flow on a lower timeframe. An important part of the context is that important US inflation news is coming out soon, and positions should not be opened right before it or for some time after (at least an hour).
Invalidation of the long scenario would be a break below the 78.6% level and OB 4.
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