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July 18, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential Opportunity🔍 Key Levels to Watch: • 3375 – Top of range • 3366 – Resistance • 3358 – Resistance • 3350 – Midpoint • 3345 – Resistance • 3336 – Support • 3330–3332 – Support zone • 3320 – Intraday key support • 3310 – Key support • 3300 – Psychological level 📈 Intraday Strategy: • SELL if price breaks below 3336 → target 3332, then 3330, 3325, 3320 • BUY if price holds above 3345 → target 3348, then 3352, 3358, 3366 👉 If you find this helpful or traded using this plan, a like would mean a lot and keep me motivated. Thanks for the support! Disclaimer: This is my personal opinion, not financial advice. Always trade with proper risk management.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Ombabibi
Re-attempt to buy?Trade Journal Entry – XAUUSD (Gold Spot) Date: July 17, 2025 Platform: TradingView (Demo Account) Timeframe: 1H/4H Direction: Long Bias Status: Stopped Out – Awaiting New Setup Result of Last Trade: +£33 New Plan: Wait for buy opportunity in Asian or London session Previous Trade Outcome Entry was valid at POI based on bullish setup logic. Trade failed to break structure to the upside convincingly. Stop-out occurred after price pushed below mitigation zone (~3,316). However, due to early partials and trade management, the result was a net profit of £33. Updated Outlook Price has rebounded aggressively from just below Daily Low. Current price near 3,339.305 — strong push back into prior structure. Buyside liquidity and POI overhead acting as short-term magnet. Ideal pathing (marked with black arrows): → Sweep POI → Retest structure (likely near 3,327–3,330) → Continuation toward 3,365+, targeting liquidity void above. Entry Plan Await price to revisit POI, potentially after liquidity run. Ideal confirmation setup: - SFP or bullish engulfing on M15–H1 - Volume divergence or re-accumulation pattern Target entry during Asian or early London session when liquidity is typically engineered. Management Approach - Keep risk tight on re-entry (0.5% max risk) - SL below new HL formed during retest - TP: 3,365 / extended 3,380–3,390 depending on session follow-through - If no clean retest, skip trade — don’t chase Emotional Reflection Felt more in control than previous attempts. Took the stop like a professional. No revenge trades — staying focused on structure and quality. Grateful that proper risk management led to a small win despite being stopped out. Reflection Questions - Did I adjust my expectations quickly once structure failed? - Am I giving the market enough space and time to form clean entries? - Will I stay patient for session-specific setups?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by NoFaceNoCase2020
XAUUSD:Go long Based on the 4-hour analysis, the short-term support below for today remains focused on the area around 3318-25, while the short-term resistance above focuses on the 3340-45 level. The key resistance above is at 3380. Overall, this range remains the main framework for our participation in the trade, with positions generally being cautious and waiting for key levels to enter. I will provide specific trading strategies during the session, so please stay tuned. Given that the current market has retraced to 3325 and then rebounded, we can go long in the 3325-30 range. Trading Strategy: BUY@3325-30 TP:3340-45 More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗ Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Boooob_
Trump's five major factors! Will gold continue to rise?The past six months may have been dizzying, but a clear theme has emerged since U.S. President Donald Trump returned to the White House: It’s good news for the gold market. Although gold prices broke through $3,500 an ounce nearly three months ago, setting a new record high, five key factors that have emerged since the start of Trump’s second term are likely to continue to support gold prices in the coming months. These factors may even prove that the precious metal is becoming a core asset class in investors’ portfolio strategies. David Miller, co-founder and chief investment officer of Catalyst Funds, said that as the market enters the third quarter, gold remains a standout asset class that “provides both a hedge against the potential risks of geopolitical conflict and a break from the erosion of fiat currencies.” The first key factor supporting gold is demand from central banks, which indicates that the market has weakened confidence in the U.S. dollar. Miller pointed out in emailed comments that central bank demand is surging, and the BRICS countries, especially China and India, are accelerating the accumulation of gold reserves “as part of a broader de-dollarization strategy.” According to a report released by the World Gold Council on Wednesday, the People’s Bank of China’s official gold holdings have climbed for eight consecutive months. David Russell, head of global market strategy at TradeStation, said the global tariffs threatened and implemented by Trump have accelerated the "de-dollarization process." De-dollarization refers to efforts by some countries to reduce their reliance on the U.S. dollar as a reserve currency. "Trade is becoming less dependent on the U.S. end market and less dependent on the dollar. This is more like the 19th century than the era after World War I and World War II," Russell said in emailed comments. "This trend back to the old model is creating structural demand for gold after decades of neglect. Fiat currencies are in decline," he added. Russell also said the decline in the credit quality of developed country governments, such as the United States, is also a major concern for the market. "We have lost our AAA rating from the three major rating agencies because of growing deficits and looming pressure on unfunded liabilities such as Social Security," he said, referring in part to Moody's downgrading its top credit rating for the United States in May. "After decades of procrastination, we are running out of ways to go." That said, trade policy is a third factor affecting gold. Russell said that "large budget deficits or increased tariffs" would reduce demand for U.S. Treasuries, supporting gold prices. With both 2-year and 10-year Treasury yields falling so far this year and real rates under pressure from inflation, "the opportunity cost of holding gold is falling," noted Catalyst Funds' Miller. That's leading to a fourth potential support for gold -- a resurgent interest in gold exchange-traded funds and other alternatives. In the first half of 2025, North America led the growth in global gold ETF inflows, according to the World Gold Council. Global physically-backed gold ETFs saw inflows of $38 billion in the first half of this year, marking the strongest half-year performance since the first half of 2020, according to the World Gold Council. Finally, from a technical perspective, gold prices have held above $3,250 an ounce for much of June, Miller said. That shows signs of "a potential breakout as equity market volatility returns," he said. Gold for August delivery closed at $3,359.10 an ounce on Wednesday. “Gold is not just a crisis hedge, it is becoming a core asset class in modern portfolio strategies.” Miller said that the current macroeconomic environment “justifies a meaningful allocation to gold and gold-related strategies.” He said: “The combination of fragile stock market sentiment, uncertain policy direction and structural macro headwinds reinforces our view that gold is not just a crisis hedge, it is becoming a core asset class in modern portfolio strategies.” PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD ICMARKETS:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD VELOCITY:GOLD
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Charlie_Senior_Analyst
XAUUSD , Bullish Setup , R:R 17Hello friends I am back after a long time and I want to share the results of my efforts of several years with you. Gold is starting a 5th wave of bullishness and yesterday it gave us the necessary confirmations by rejecting the previous ceiling. I have identified the best buying position for you now. With a reward to risk 17 Take advantage of this opportunity. If you are interested in Elliott waves or work in this field at a professional level, contact me and share your analysis with me. I hope we will all be profitable together.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by MohammadHossein70
POST-CPI CAPTION (TRADINGVIEW)🧩 POST-CPI CAPTION (TRADINGVIEW) XAU/USD | 15min | Post-CPI Reaction Trade Headline CPI came in slightly hot (+2.7% YoY), but core softened (+0.2% MoM). Expecting USD strength → bearish gold. Watching $3,371–3,380 for a short entry on CHoCH + volume rejection. Targets $3,350 → $3,337. Soft retrace + clean structure flip may open longs back to $3,400, but only on clear demand reaction. #SMC #XAUUSD #CPI #LiquiditySweep #OrderFlow #SmartMoney
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by sam_trades_smc
Gold price fluctuated upward today: target 3400 pointsGold price fluctuated upward today: target 3400 points Fundamentals: CPI data: US CPI rose 0.3% month-on-month in June (the largest increase since January), and the core CPI annual rate rose to 2.9%, which strengthened the market's cooling of the Fed's expectations for rate cuts (the probability of a rate cut in September fell to 53%). US dollar index: rose to 98.70 (a three-week high), suppressing the attractiveness of gold. Trump's tariff policy: plans to impose tariffs of "slightly above 10%" on several small countries, and the EU plans to impose retaliatory tariffs of US$84.1 billion on US goods, supporting the safe-haven demand for gold. Technical aspects: (1) Short-term trend (4-hour line) Support level: 3320, if it falls below, it will fall to 3300 or even 3222. Resistance level: 3350 (short-term pressure level), after breaking through, it is expected to challenge 3375-3400. MACD and RSI: Showing a tug-of-war between bulls and bears, tending to fluctuate upward in the short term. (2) Medium- and long-term trends (weekly chart) The rising channel remains intact, the Bollinger Band opening widens, and the medium-term target is $3,400-3,700. Today's focus US June PPI data (if it exceeds expectations, it may further suppress expectations of interest rate cuts). Speech by Fed officials (pay attention to policy direction). Progress of the trade war (if the tariff conflict escalates, gold may receive safe-haven buying). Summary and operational suggestions Short-term: Gold prices fluctuate in the 3300-3400 range, pay attention to the breakthrough of the 3320 support level and the 3350 resistance level. Strategy: Buy on dips (try to go long with a light position near 3330 points, with a stop loss below 3320 points). Go long after breaking through 3350 (target 3375-3400). If it falls below 3320, it may further correct back to the 3300-3250 area.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by louisa111222
Gold is accelerating downward, pay attention to important supporThe U.S. inflation data for June was released overnight. The actual data showed that U.S. inflation rebounded slightly in June, but it did not exceed expectations. After the data was released, Trump made a speech at Truth A post on Social said that given the low consumer prices, the Fed should lower interest rates. He has been calling for a rate cut for some time, so the market still has some uncertainty about the timing of the Fed's subsequent rate cuts, but the probability is in September. The probability of keeping interest rates unchanged this month is high. The US dollar index is also supported and continues to rebound. Gold fluctuated higher from around 3344 in the morning of the previous trading day. During the European session, it refreshed the intraday high and touched the 3366 line under pressure and maintained repeated narrow consolidation. After the data was released, it first rebounded quickly to the 3360 line and then quickly fell back. After two repetitions, it finally moved downward. In the evening, it fell below the intraday low and once touched around 3320 and then stabilized and rebounded. The daily line closed with a middle shadow. Technically, the continuation of the previous convergence triangle after the break is currently returning to the downward channel again. Pay attention to the pressure of 3342/44 during the day, and pay attention to the support near 3308 below. If it falls below 3308 again, it will return to the downward channel.
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
1
7/16: Will Gold Reclaim 3350 or Fall to 3250?During today’s session, gold briefly broke through the 3352–3358 resistance zone, but due to news-driven pressure during the pullback, bullish momentum weakened, and the price retreated to the MA60 support level on the daily chart. Given the significant retracement, there is a possibility that a short-term bottom may form during the upcoming Asian session, potentially leading to a retest of the 3337-3343/3352-3358 resistance area: If the price breaks above this zone and holds above it after a pullback, the bullish trend could resume; However, if it fails to break through or is rejected again, caution is warranted, as this could signal a larger-scale downtrend on the weekly chart, possibly targeting the 3250 area.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by China_MsWang
XAU/USD(20250715) Today's AnalysisMarket news: Sources said that after Trump's latest trade tax threat, the European Central Bank will discuss a more negative scenario next week than expected in June. The ECB is still expected to keep interest rates unchanged at its meeting on July 24. Discussions on rate cuts are still postponed to September. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 3353.05 Support and resistance levels: 3386.70 3374.12 3365.96 3340.13 3331.97 3319.40 Trading strategy: If it breaks through 3353.05, consider buying in, the first target price is 3365.96 If it breaks through 3340.13, consider selling in, the first target price is 3331.97
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by NicolaZhu
Gold prices are under pressure at $3,380 todayGold prices are under pressure at $3,380 today Safe-haven demand rises Trump announced that he will impose a 30% tariff on EU and Mexican goods from August 1, and a 20% to 50% tariff on Canada, Japan, Brazil and other countries. The market is worried about the escalation of the trade war, pushing up gold prices. Gold prices soared to $3,374 in the Asian session today (the highest since June 23). Fed policy expectations The minutes of the June FOMC meeting showed that there were differences within the Fed on the issue of interest rate cuts, and the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged in July was 93.3%. Market expectations for interest rate cuts have cooled, limiting the rise in gold prices. US dollar trend Last Friday, the US dollar index closed up 0.3% at 97.85, approaching the 98 mark, which puts pressure on gold in the short term. 3. Technical analysis Short-term trend Support: $3,340-3,350 (21-day moving average), $3,326 (50-day moving average). Resistance level: $3377 (23.6% Fibonacci retracement level), $3400 (psychological barrier). MACD golden cross formed, indicating that there is still room for growth. Key observation points If the gold price stands above $3377, it may challenge $3400; If it falls below $3340, it may test the support level of $3320-3300. Comprehensive analysis from the current sentiment: Day trading ideas: Try to go long at a low price, and treat it with a volatile long-term idea. Today's gold price is likely to break through 3380, and today's target is likely to be 3400+ Fourth, pay attention to the market outlook Trump issued a policy statement on Russia today (may involve new sanctions). US June CPI data (released on Tuesday, affecting the Fed's policy expectations). Subsequent development of the trade war (the EU and Mexico may take countermeasures).
OANDA:XAUUSD
by louisa111222
XAU/USD 14 July 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on two separate occasions forming a double top which is a bearish reversal pattern. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase. Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025. Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. H4 Timeframe - Price has failed to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS. The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price. As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK