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My B.B.C.This Big Beautiful Chart or B.B.C.™ shows possible extensions for this wave, when extending into all time highs there's not a lot to go on, but the 1.618 fib extension is my go-to. Paired with RSI and trend channels you can start to get an idea of where resistance and pullbacks may be. RSI has bearish divergence so it appears we are losing investor confidence at this price level, upper movement to the next level will require some powerful news like rate cuts or more tariffs. Canada and Mexico produce 330 tonnes of gold annually while the USA produces 160 so these tariffs could very well lift the price even higher like they did with copper
TVC:GOLD
by PoorMemory
GOLD Remains BullishPrice made a HH at 3365, confirming structure shift back to bullish. The last HL is at 3305, making it the protected level for bulls. H4 OB: 3305–3322 (origin of the recent impulsive leg — ideal pullback zone) Supply Zone: 3432–3445 (next unmitigated supply target) Bullish if price pulls into demand zone and holds, expect continuation to 3432+ H1 OB: 3325– 3335 (potential re-entry zone) Watch for reaction on pull back M15 Micro bullish flow is intact; price is consolidating around 3360 Breakout Buy: M15 BOS above 3365 with retest = entry trigger 🟢Entry Zone: 3325– 3335 SL: Below 3305 TP1: 3365 TP2: 3432 TP3: 3445
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Dynamic-Dani
Gold Setup for longs and shorts This video covers gold on the local range whereby I expect price to eventually complete the move to the downside and clear the equal lows from MAy and June as well as take care of the poor lows and fill Quart Pivots . I talk also about the Tradingview session volume profile chart and how this feature can really be a simple yet powerful guide for taking scalp trades off of specific levels and I show a couple of examples of the respect PA has for hitting those daily POC . I Welcome any questions you may have
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SJTRADESFUTURES
2
Gold is set to experience another round of increase.Over the past week, gold has been consolidating within a defined range, fluctuating between two key zones. A break above the marked resistance zone (around $3380-3390) would confirm the start of the next bullish wave, opening the path toward higher targets. As long as price remains above the identified support zone, our outlook stays bullish. Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: Breakout above $3380 needed to confirm continuation Support: Holding this zone is essential to maintain the bullish structure
FX:XAUUSDLong
by DickAmelia
Gold price will reach 3400 next weekGold price will reach 3400 next week Would you rather believe in your own beliefs or in what Trump says? Trump's attitude towards Powell: "Fire him!" yesterday, "I didn't say that!" today, "Actually he is a genius!" tomorrow - this is more difficult to predict than the gold market. " "If the Fed cuts interest rates, Trump will say it is his credit; If the Fed raises interest rates, it must be a conspiracy of the "deep government." ” As shown in Figure 4h Gold prices are under pressure near 3375 and are currently converging near 3350. The entire macro triangle convergence structure is slowly coming to an end. Next week, a new round of big market will surely break out. And this weekend, there is a high probability that new major events + black swan events will occur. 4-hour level short-term trading logic Bull-bear watershed: US$3350 (closing price on Friday this week) Upward breakthrough: Pay attention to the pressure zone of US$3370→3380. If the breakthrough fails, the upward expectation will look to 3400+. Downward breakthrough: Pay attention to 3315-3 The $320 support zone, if lost, will turn bearish to $3,280. Core driving events: Fed policy game (key time: July 22-25) July 22: Fed Governor Waller's speech (previously called for a 25 basis point rate cut in July) Market focus: If the "immediate rate cut" stance is strengthened, gold prices may break through the $3,370 resistance level. July 24: Fed Beige Book released Potential impact: If the report shows regional economic weakness (especially manufacturing/employment), safe-haven buying of gold will increase. July 25: US Q2 Initial GDP value (expected to grow 1.8% year-on-year) Scenario simulation: If the data is lower than 1.5%, stagflation trading may push gold prices up by more than 1.5% in a single day Geopolitical risk (Trump policy interference) July 23: Trump team may announce details of tariffs on the EU Historical law: For every 1% increase in tariff expectations, gold volatility will increase by 0.3%, but the market has partially digested 30% tariffs. Middle East situation: If the ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hamas breaks down, gold prices may respond quickly and rise by 1%-2%. Summary: Next week, gold is likely to maintain a range of $3310-3380, but there is an event-driven breakthrough opportunity. Key observation nodes: Waller's speech on July 22 (rate cut expectation calibration) Beige Book on July 24 (economic resilience verification) GDP data on July 25 (stagflation trading trigger point)
OANDA:XAUUSD
by louisa111222
3 possible scenarios for next weekI am seeing a potential of sideways market may be present next week due to last friday gold did not mange to close bullish. The week close as bearish and inside previous week candle. so whats my plan to trade next week. Key levels is what I will look for. key levels as follows. 3400-3500 - 3408 - 3422 - 3445 - 3450 - 3500 3300-3399 - 3301 - 3310 - 3321 - 3328 - 3331 - 3344 - 3347 - 3361 - 3378 - 3393 - 3399 3200-3300 - 3296 - 3287 - 3275 - 3266 - 3256 - 3248 - 3230 - 3218 - 3205 3100-3200 - 3195 - 3188 - 3167 - 3153 - 3120 - 3100 so here it goes when the market reach at certain key levels and provide a reversal or rejections. Then I'll take the 2nd entry as 1st entry is usually higher risk. target only 50-100 pips as potential for it to return to the position again is high as that is shown in last week it kept hitting resistance and support couple of times before breaking either.
TVC:GOLD
by HAN_Simply_Trade
XAU/USD 18 July 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on two separate occasions forming a double top which is a bearish reversal pattern. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase. Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025. Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. H4 Timeframe - Price has failed to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS. The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price. As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Xausd techinical analysis.The chart you've shared is a 1-hour Gold (XAU/USD) price analysis showing a potential bullish reversal pattern with some key technical features: 🔍 Key Observations: 1. Falling Wedge Pattern (Bullish Reversal) The pink trendlines indicate a falling wedge — a bullish reversal pattern. Price has broken out above the wedge, indicating potential upward momentum. 2. Order Blocks (O.B) Marked at both the bottom (support) and top (resistance). The lower O.B near 3310 acted as strong demand/support. The upper O.B near 3350 could be the next key resistance. 3. FVG (Fair Value Gap) Labeled in red — indicates an imbalance that price often comes back to fill. This has already happened, which may have fueled the bounce. 4. Fibonacci Level 0.618 Fibonacci retracement line (blue) acted as a
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Rickypher
Short for Gold to TargetsSimple trading Using patrons fibonacci RSI and Trendlines We see a rising wedge we calculate the first high to the low of the wedge and use that to predict a target, we use the fibonacci to find the 61.8%, I have put for myself different values in the fib settings to find targets that works for the market and for me. With precision the first high to low of the wedge I copy to find the target and matched with my fib setting. We have enough space on the RSI to make the correction what needed is to get space for the uptrend. Target 2 is based on the weekly fib what needed is to test on the 61.8 to complete the behavior of the market and follow the uptrend again. We getting better in understanding the psychology of the markets behavior. How we see the trendlines react we know there is a understanding on patrons.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by JSth3Kid
Gold Just Flipped Is the Drop Coming?🚨 Gold Market Update – Are You Ready? 🚨 Yesterday, the gold market swept the liquidity from the previous days taking out stop orders and clearing out weak positions. After the sweep, price closed lower, showing clear signs of weakness. 📉 But that’s not all... In the process, it also broke through a key bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) an area where buyers had previously shown strength. That FVG is now inverted, meaning it could act as a strong resistance level going forward. With this shift in structure, there's a real possibility that gold could drop further, potentially hunting the liquidity resting near previous lows. The market might be gearing up for a deeper move. 🔥 So the question is: Are YOU ready for the next leg down? 📌 As always Do Your Own Research (DYOR) This is not financial advice just reading the tape.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Peter_Wade
XAUUSD what's going on? sittuation for 17/07/2025🔹 Current Price Action (M30 & H1): Price is stuck in a tight range between 3335–3345. Volume is dropping — showing no strong pressure from either buyers or sellers. %R indicator is in the oversold zone (below -80), but there’s no sharp bounce yet. On H1, there's a weak attempt to recover — small candles with upper wicks = uncertain growth or selling pressure at highs. 🔍 Possible Scenarios for Today: ✅ Scenario #1: Fake Breakout Down, Then Reversal Up If price holds above 3329–3331 and we see a strong bullish candle with volume, it might be worth trying a long. 🎯 Targets: 3348, then 3355 🛑 Stop-loss: below 3328 ⛔ Scenario #2: Break Below 3328, Move Lower If M30 or H1 closes confidently below 3328, that could signal a drop towards 3315–3305. Look to short on the retest of the broken level. 🎯 Targets: 3316, then 3306 📌 Priority Right Now: We're in balance — no clear bias. But if we break and hold below 3328, shorts become more attractive. If price breaks and holds above 3345, that opens up upside potential.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AlgoTrader_Sergey
Gold - BUYS and SELL - did you make money with us?🟩 TRADE RECAP: GOLD (XAUUSD) — ELFIEDT RSI + REVERSION Timeframe: 15-minute Indicator Used: ELFIEDT RSI + Reversion Date: July 15–16 Market: Gold (XAUUSD) ⸻ 🟢 TRADE 1 – LONG SETUP (“UP” Signal) 📍 Location: Left side of chart (July 15, ~18:00) 🟢 Label: “UP” 🟦 Blue Entry Box: Bullish Reversion Zone 🟥 Red SL Box: Risk-defined stop zone below the signal bar ✅ Why This Trade Was Taken: • 📉 Price sharply sold off into extreme oversold conditions. • 📊 RSI with Standard Deviation Reversion: The RSI value pierced below the 3-standard-deviation envelope, triggering a BUY signal. • 🟢 “UP” label was automatically printed by the ELFIEDT indicator. • 🧠 System confirms that price is statistically stretched below mean, ideal for mean-reversion trades. • 📈 Entry was executed immediately at the close of the signal bar. • 🛡️ Stop loss was placed below the signal bar’s low, as per system rules. 🎯 Outcome: • Price reversed strongly back toward the mean. • Trade moved cleanly in favor, validating the signal and model. ⸻ 🔴 TRADE 2 – SHORT SETUP (“DOWN” Signal) 📍 Location: Right side of chart (July 16, ~18:00) 🔴 Label: “DOWN” 🟦 Blue Entry Box: Bearish Reversion Zone 🟥 Red SL Box: Risk-defined stop zone above signal bar ✅ Why This Trade Was Taken: • 📈 Sharp bullish spike pushed price far above equilibrium. • 📊 RSI exceeded the upper 3-standard-deviation threshold, triggering a SELL signal. • 🔴 “DOWN” label appeared based on confluence of overbought + RSI reversal structure. • 📉 The bearish candle close confirmed exhaustion at the top. • 📍 Entry was taken at the close of the “DOWN” signal bar. • 🛡️ Stop was placed above the high of the trigger bar, per indicator rules. 🎯 Outcome: • Price quickly rejected the highs and dropped into profit territory. • Tight structure with clean entry allowed favorable risk:reward. ⸻ 🔍 About the Indicator: ELFIEDT RSI + Reversion This system is built on the principle that price tends to revert to its mean when it becomes statistically stretched — confirmed by: • ✅ RSI divergence • ✅ Break of trendlines • ✅ Reversion from extreme zones using a 3 SD envelope • ✅ Directional confirmations from candle structure and session timing 📊 Signals include: • 📍 “UP” and “DOWN” trade labels • 📦 Entry and SL box overlays • 🎨 Candle color overlays based on 50MA and RSI alignment • 🔔 Alerts at signal bar close (non-repainting 📸 Visual Recap: 🔹 The chart shows: • ✅ Clear visual entries with SL and TP zones • ✅ “UP” and “DOWN” labels for intuitive guidance • ✅ No repainting – signals locked at close
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by ElfieTrader
Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy | July 15✅ Fundamental Analysis 🔹Gold prices surged and then retreated yesterday, mainly due to risk-off sentiment triggered by Trump’s announcement of a potential 30% tariff on EU imports. However, this sentiment was offset by the EU’s softened stance, indicating that “negotiation is still possible.” Additionally, the strength in both the U.S. Dollar Index and Treasury yields added pressure on gold. 🔹Geopolitical risks continue to rise. The EU is preparing to impose retaliatory tariffs on €72 billion worth of U.S. goods, while Trump has threatened a 100% tariff on Russian products. The ongoing Russia–Ukraine conflict also has the potential to escalate further, adding underlying support for gold. 🔹Today, the U.S. CPI data will be released — a key event for market participants. A higher-than-expected CPI figure will likely reinforce expectations that the Fed will maintain high interest rates, which is bearish for gold. Conversely, a weaker-than-expected reading may boost rate-cut expectations and support gold prices. ✅ Technical Analysis 🔸Gold failed to break the key resistance at $3375. The daily candlestick closed with a long upper shadow and a bearish body, indicating strong selling pressure from above. The MACD is showing early signs of a bearish crossover, suggesting short-term weakness. 🔴 Key Resistance Levels: $3360–3365, $3375 (critical level) 🟢 Key Support Levels: $3340, $3325 (major downside support) ✅ Trading Strategy Reference 🔺 Long Position Strategy: 🔰 If the price pulls back and stabilizes around $3335–3340, consider entering a light long position. Set a stop-loss below $3325 and aim for a target of $3355–3365. 🔰 If the price breaks above $3365 and holds, consider following the breakout with a long position, targeting $3375–3385. 🔻 Short Position Strategy: 🔰 If the price rebounds to $3360–3365 and faces resistance, consider shorting. Set a stop-loss above $3365 and aim for a target of $3340. If that level breaks, look for $3330. 🔰 If the price breaks below $3330, consider a momentum short toward the $3320 zone. ✅ Gold is likely to remain in a consolidation range during the European session. Maintain a buy-low, sell-high strategy with light positions and strict stop-losses. Pay close attention to the support at $3340 and resistance at $3365. Before the U.S. CPI data release, it's recommended to manage risk and control position sizes to avoid unexpected volatility. 🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions. If you have any questions or need one-on-one guidance, feel free to contact me🤝
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldTradePro
XAU/USD 15 July Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on two separate occasions forming a double top which is a bearish reversal pattern. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase. Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025. Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. H4 Timeframe - Price has failed to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS. The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price. As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK