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Following Price Flow to the Next TargetPrice swept liquidity below the previous day’s low and then powered back up, breaking structure to the upside. Now it’s sitting above the 50 EMA, moving through fair value gaps left by the rally. I’m watching for a possible pullback into the FVG zone near the EMA. If that level holds, price could look to reach for the liquidity above around 3,365. But here’s what matters most. Even if this ends up being a losing trade, I’d rather take that loss knowing I stuck to my plan than catch a random win by breaking my rules. Because long-term, winning trades that come from impulse actually set you up for future damage. They teach bad habits. Losses that happen inside your system? Those are simply the cost of doing business. They protect your discipline and keep your edge intact. Over time, that’s exactly what allows you to stay in the game and grow your account.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by J4mesWick
XAUUSD Sniper Outlook – July 7, 2025"Structure over noise. Patience is power. Welcome back to the battlefield." 👋 Hey traders! After a low-volume week due to the US Independence Day holiday, we now re-enter the battlefield with structure tightening under major resistance — and with Fed commentary on the radar. No CPI. No NFP. But don't sleep on the setups — liquidity is quietly shifting. 🧭 Here’s what we’ve got ahead: 🔔 Key Events – July 8–12: 🟡 Monday–Tuesday: BRICS Summit (geo/political exposure) 🔵 Wednesday: FOMC Minutes – potential policy clues 🔴 Thursday: Unemployment Claims + Fed speakers (Muserlian, Waller) ⚪ Friday: Federal Budget Balance We’re likely entering a reactive environment — fueled by internal structure shifts, not major macro catalysts. Perfect for smart money setups. 🧠 HTF Structure & Bias 🔹 Daily Bias: Price remains capped under the key daily supply 3344–3351, which rejected cleanly before the holiday. Unless that flips into support, bias remains neutral to bearish. EMAs 5/21 are curling sideways. RSI is flattening, and structure shows fading momentum. 🔹 H4 Bias: We’re consolidating below a CHoCH + LH series, inside premium territory. The rejection from 3344 was precise, and unless broken, pressure favors the downside. Price is rotating between the H4 EQ and the 3325–3332 intraday OB. Momentum is slowing — watch for re-accumulation or rejection depending on reaction at key zones. 🔴 Supply Zones (Sell Scenarios) 1. 3344 – 3351 This is the Daily + H4 supply from last week. EMA alignment + FVG + liquidity sweep confluence. Perfect sniper rejection area if price trades up and stalls. Look for M15/M30 CHoCH confirmations. 2. 3380 – 3394 Untouched H1-H4 OB in premium. Not related to CPI/NFP — just pure inducement wick potential from above. If tapped after midweek liquidity push (e.g. FOMC Minutes), watch for overreaction entries. 🟢 Demand Zones (Buy Scenarios) 1. 3325 – 3332 Last week’s discount reaction zone. H1 OB + internal CHoCH zone. If swept and protected by bullish PA (M15 BOS), this becomes the best R/R long back into 3344. Already tested Friday, but still holds weight for Monday. 2. 3286 – 3272 H4 OB + daily demand + RSI oversold zone. If we get a full breakdown early week, expect this area to act as a reaccumulation pocket for bulls — but only with confirmation. ⚔️ Decision Zone – 3299 – 3305 This is the weekly flip area. If bulls defend 3305 → bullish short-term bias returns. If 3299 fails → downside continues into 3280s. 🧠 Summary & Gameplan 🧷 No CPI. No NFP. That means cleaner technical moves — no fake news spikes, just pure structure. Expect Monday to be reactionary (post-holiday), and Wednesday–Thursday to bring intraday setups post-FOMC minutes. ✅ If price is in premium, watch for bearish rejections at 3344/3380. ✅ If price dips into discount, wait for confirmation longs at 3325 or 3286. ✅ Stay patient in mid-range. Don’t force trades inside chop zones. 🧲 If this gave you real clarity — don’t just scroll on. Hit the ❤️ button, smash Follow, and tell us in the comments: 👉 Which zone do you trust more — the 3325 reentry or the 3380 inducement trap? Let the gold tribe know 👇 — 📢 Disclosure: This analysis is based on the Trade Nation TradingView feed. I’m part of their Influencer Program and receive a monthly fee. ⚠️ Educational content only — not financial advice. — GoldFxMinds 💛 Patience | Discipline | Fearless Execution
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
XAU/USD) order block back up trand Read The captionSMC trading point update Technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe, focusing on a potential reversal from a key support/order block zone. Here's a full breakdown --- Chart Analysis – XAU/USD (1H) 1. Key Zone: Support Level / Order Block (Yellow Box) The price is currently testing a strong support zone that previously acted as a bullish order block (demand area). This zone is also near a diagonal trendline and a prior breakout level, adding confluence to the setup. 2. Reversal Anticipation (Black Zigzag Path) The chart suggests two possible scenarios from the support area: A bullish bounce leading price up toward: Target 1: 3,343.05 (near 200 EMA) Target 2: 3,364.62 (upper resistance) A break below the yellow support zone, triggering a deeper move toward: Key support: 3,247.55 3. RSI Oversold Signal RSI (14) is at 32.66, which is near oversold territory, signaling potential for a bullish reversal if buying pressure steps in. 4. EMA (200 - Blue Line) EMA at 3,330.95 currently acts as dynamic resistance. If price bounces from the order block, this EMA may serve as the first reaction level before further upside. Mr SMC Trading point --- Summary Bias: Bullish bounce if price holds above 3,296.04 (order block support). Entry Zone: Current price near 3,301 or confirmation bounce candle. Targets: TP1: 3,343.05 TP2: 3,364.62 Invalidation: Strong break and close below 3,296.04 may open the path to 3,247.55. RSI: Favoring reversal conditions (near oversold). --- Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
13
Although the bulls are strong, don't chase them at high levelsGold trend analysis: The market is fluctuating repeatedly now, and it is possible to rise or fall, but under the bullish trend, the main force is still rising. Therefore, this week's trading is to fall back and do more at a low price. Whether it is the previous 3285, 3306, or 3315, there are good profits. Although it is temporarily unable to break out of the bullish volume, at least the trend remains unchanged, and there will definitely be a large upward space in the future. Today is Friday, and we still pay attention to the possibility of bullish volume. This week, we have been emphasizing that if it rises during the week, we will see the 3370 high point. If 3370 breaks, there are still 3380 and 3400 above. On Friday, we will see whether this idea is realized. From a technical point of view, there was a sharp pull this morning, with the big sun breaking through the upper track of the downward channel 3326 in the above figure, and then stepping back to confirm stabilization and bottoming out, which means that the breakthrough is effective, so you can directly follow the bullish trend in the morning, and during the European session, it repeatedly went up and down around the 3345-3332 range. With the experience of yesterday's trend, today we have been waiting for it to approach the 10-day moving average and then continue to be bullish on dips, and the entry point is basically good; currently it has broken through the resistance level of 3345 in the European session, so it depends on whether it can stand directly on it tonight. Once it stands, it can gradually rush to 3370, and the second is 3374, etc.; Of course, if it just pierces but does not stabilize, it will continue to spiral slowly upward around the yellow channel in the figure, so continue to wait patiently for the 10-day moving average, which is also the lower track position to grasp the low and long; Therefore, tonight gold 3345-3333 continues to rise on dips, with 3330 top and bottom positions as nodes, resistance at 3370, further resistance at 3374, etc.; If there is an unexpected big negative inducement to empty the market like yesterday, pay attention to stabilization above 3320 and still bullish; Gold operation strategy: It is recommended to go long when it falls back to 3333-3345, and the target is 3360-3370.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel
The 3-Method Framework: Simplifying Technical AnalysisMost traders get caught up in complex indicator setups, thinking that more tools equal better results. We rely on moving averages to tell us if prices are trending up or down, and we depend on support and resistance levels to predict market movement. But what if I told you there's a simpler, more powerful way to read the market using pure price action? Today, I want to share my experience and understanding of bias and expectations for the next candle formation. This approach is refreshingly simple because we don't need to understand every single price movement - we just need to focus on what matters most. Method 1: Opening Price Comparison The first method is beautifully straightforward. For a bullish bias, the current opening price should be above the previous opening price. That's it. Sounds almost too simple, right? But simplicity often holds the greatest power in trading. For Gold yesterday, we simply needed to compare the latest opening price on the Daily timeframe with the previous opening price. It's that simple. Method 2: Mid-Level Analysis The second approach involves comparing mid-levels between candles. We compare the mid-level of the previous candle with the mid-level of the candle before that. I know it might sound a bit complicated when explained this way, but once you visualize it on your chart, the concept becomes crystal clear. Still on Gold, we just compare the 50% or mid-level of the previous candle with the candle two periods back from the latest candle on the daily chart. Method 3: Expansion Expectations The third method helps us anticipate expansion in price. Traditional complex methods require analyzing numerous factors, but this simplified approach only needs two candles before the current one. Here's how it works: we use the high and low of the candle two periods back, and the open and close (body) of the previous candle. If the previous candle's body sits within the high-low range of the two-candle-back formation, we can expect price expansion. The beauty of this method is that we don't care whether the price is bullish or bearish - we simply expect expansion to occur. Think of it like a compressed spring: when price gets squeezed within a previous range, it often seeks to break out in either direction. We're not predicting the direction, just the likelihood of significant movement. Still on Gold, I randomly selected all inside candles on the Daily timeframe. Remember, the purpose is only to expect expansion, not direction. If you want to use this for directional bias, make sure you apply the additional analysis required. Remember, there are no guarantees in trading, but this method provides valuable insight into potential market expansion. Advanced Combinations for Enhanced Analysis Combining Methods 1 and 2 creates our most accessible approach since you only need two candles. When both the opening price and mid-point from two candles ago indicate bullish conditions, we can expect the current candle to follow an OLHC bullish pattern. You can see the 3 examples I've provided in the image, and all of these are applicable across all timeframes, both daily and 4-hour. Combining all three methods offers a more sophisticated analysis, particularly useful for anticipating market reversals. This involves marking the current and previous opening prices, comparing mid-levels from the last two candles, and identifying the high/low range from two to three candles back. Now I'm adding Inside Candles from 2-3 periods back (My personal rule is maximum 3 candles before the current candle, or this analysis will lead to analysis paralysis). The Bullish and Bearish Rules Bullish Rule 1: Opening price above the previous opening price Mid-level of the previous candle above the mid-level of the previous candle before that. Inside candle formation (optional) Bearish Rule 1: Opening price below the previous opening price Mid-level of the previous candle below the mid-level of the previous candle before that. Inside candle formation (optional) The Secret Sauce: Timeframe Harmony Here's where the "devil is in the details" comes into play. You might find perfect bullish conditions on your chart, but the market still reverses. The secret lies in using this method on Daily and 4-hour timeframes simultaneously. Simply understand it from the chart. Simply understand it from the chart. If Rule 1 conditions are met on the daily chart, they must also align on the 4-hour chart. When the 4-hour contradicts the daily, follow the 4-hour signal as it might indicate a "sell on strength" or "buy on weakness" scenario. The formula is simple: must align with I've never tested this on 1-hour charts because the Daily and 4-hour combination provides sufficient accuracy for my trading approach. Enhanced Rules for Precision Rule 2 makes the inside candle formation mandatory rather than optional. Sometimes you'll encounter mixed signals where the mid-level suggests one direction while the opening price suggests another. The solution? Drop down to a lower timeframe for additional confirmation. I don't recommend using this method below the 4-hour timeframe, but you can certainly apply it to Monthly or Weekly charts for long-term bias determination. The key is analyzing both Daily AND 4-hour timeframes together, not just one or the other. When timeframes conflict, often just one key level provides the confirmation you need - typically a previous Monthly or Weekly high or low. Final Thoughts Pure price action mastery isn't about having the most sophisticated setup or the most indicators on your chart. It's about understanding the fundamental relationship between opening prices, mid-levels, and candle formations across meaningful timeframes. This approach has served me well because it cuts through market noise and focuses on what price is actually telling us. Start with these three methods, practice identifying the patterns, and gradually build your confidence in reading pure price action. Remember, consistent profitability comes from mastering simple, reliable methods rather than chasing complex strategies. Keep practicing, stay disciplined, and let price action guide your trading decisions. Good Luck! :)
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by agatarigan
Gold is ready to go up againHi traders, Last week gold went up again after a correction to finish (orange) Wave D just as I've said in my outlook. Next week we could see another move down for Wave E and after that the next impulsive wave 5 up. Or the last correction down was already wave E and gold started the next impulsive wave up. In both cases gold will shoot up after a correction down. Let's see what price does and react. Trade idea: Wait for a small correction down on a lower timeframe and a change in orderflow to bullish to trade longs. If you want to learn more about trading FVG's & liquidity sweeps with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis. Don't be emotional, just trade your plan! Eduwave
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EduwaveTrading
#GOLD UPDATESIn this analysis we're focusing on 2H timeframe for finding the upcoming changes in gold price. Here we can see clearly that gold price creates trendline resistance and also price sweep all the SSL and pre. daily LQ sweep. Now I'm waiting for retracement, If price retest my supply zone and give bearish sign or reversal confirmation than we'll execute our trades. This is a higher time frame outlook. Further analyze more deeply into smaller time frame and place our position from an perfect point. Always use stoploss for your trade. Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio. Keep an eye on these levels. Confirmation is key. #XAUUSD 2H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDShort
by TradeTacticsreal
Precisely look at 3365 and pay attention to the pullback chanceAt present, gold has risen as expected and reached the highest level near 3368. The upper 3375-3385 ​​constitutes a short-term resistance level. At present, the bullish momentum is still relatively strong, and the short-term support structure below has been formed. I still maintain the views of the previous transaction and wait for a second trading opportunity when it pulls back below. Although the 1H chart shows that the current trend remains strong and the retracement is small, it is necessary to remain cautious - even if the market is strong, it is not recommended to chase long easily, and the risk of a deep correction in the gold price must be guarded against. First, pay attention to the support area of ​​3345-3335 below. If it falls back to this level, you can consider going long with a light position. OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by HuntingWolves
Gold Price Holds Within Channel - Watching for Channel BreakGold is currently moving within a downward sloping channel, reflecting a period of controlled price movement. If the price continues to follow the channel, it may trend lower in the short term, with the next key support level seen around $3260. Alternatively, a breakout above the upper boundary of the channel may signal a shift in momentum, opening the way for further upside. Technical Levels to Watch: Support: $3260 Resistance: Channel top (watch for breakout confirmation) Outlook: Continuation within the channel suggests further downside, while a breakout could shift momentum in favor of buyers.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by FXTradingAnalysis
1
IMPORTANT BREAKOUT 〉BULLS ARE BACKAs illustrated, price has broken out of an important 4H and 1D trend line that had kept price bearish since the beginning of the month. Yesterday, gold made its way to a ket resistance level and broke it, CLOSING above it in the 4H timeframe, which is a key sign that bulls are back. An interesting sign is that price bounced from the 61.8 - 67% retracement of the last bullish impulse that had an extended correction. Should price manage to stay above 3250-3300 next week, , (a very strong psychological and algorithmic price range), the path to a new ATH is well opened and the probabilities arise on its favor. I try to visualize a potential buy area shown in green, and the invalidation of this idea would be the level from which price has bounced. -- I have been bullish on gold since 2023, ignoring any correction to be a "bearish market" and rather accumulation phases of longer term potential for growth. The world economy and geopolitical conflict along many other financial macroeconomic data and circumstances, are simply NOT pointing toward a better future, and gold is screaming so by continuing to rise, and central banks back this up by continuing to buy it physically. -- GOOD LUCK
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by PersaGold