GOLDCFD trade ideas
July 9, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunityAnalysis:
Gold is currently in a choppy downtrend. Watch the 3300 level closely — if price holds above it, bulls may still have strength.
However, if it breaks below 3297, bearish momentum is likely to accelerate.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 3365 – Resistance
• 3350 – Resistance
• 3345 – Intraday key resistance
• 3330–3333 – Intraday key support zone
• 3322 – Short-term resistance
• 3310 – Resistance
• 3300 – Psychological level
• 3295 – Key support
• 3285 – Support
• 3275 – Support
📈 Intraday Strategy:
• SELL if price breaks below 3300 → watch 3295, then 3287, 3282, 3275
• BUY if price holds above 3310 → watch 3315, then 3322, 3330, 3337
👉 If you want to know how I time entries and set stop-losses, hit the like button so I know there’s interest — I may publish a detailed post by the weekend if support continues!
Disclaimer: This is my personal opinion, not financial advice. Always trade with caution and manage your risk.
XAUUSD Approaches Key Resistance – Will 3,345 Hold or Break?As of July 11, 2025, gold (XAUUSD) is showing a mild recovery around 3,331 USD, following a rebound from the 3,318–3,322 USD support zone. This move comes amid a wave of macroeconomic data and global monetary policy expectations that continue to weigh heavily on gold’s intraday direction.
1. Key Fundamentals Impacting XAUUSD Today
Dollar Index (DXY) remains strong near 106.0 – sustaining pressure on gold due to a firm greenback.
U.S. 10-year Treasury yields are holding above 4.36%, reflecting persistent market expectations that the Fed may keep interest rates elevated in the near term.
June CPI data (YoY) came in at 2.4%, slightly below forecast (2.5%), increasing hopes for a potential rate cut in Q4 – a short-term bullish catalyst for gold
Geopolitical tensions remain subdued, limiting safe-haven inflows into gold in the medium term.
Upcoming U.S. PPI data this week could trigger volatility, depending on whether it surprises to the dovish or hawkish side.
2. Technical Analysis – XAUUSD on H4 Timeframe
Support zone: 3,316 – 3,322 USD, aligning with the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the latest bullish leg.
Resistance zone: 3,345 USD – a confluence of previous highs and 0.618 Fibonacci level of the prior correction wave.
EMA outlook: Short-term EMA is turning upward, indicating potential bullish momentum building.
RSI: Recovering toward 60 but not yet overbought – a sign of healthy upside potential, though confirmation is still needed.
3. Trade Scenarios to Consider
Bullish Breakout Scenario (if price breaks 3,345 USD):
Entry: Buy on H4 candle close above 3,345 USD
Target: 3,357 – 3,370 USD
Stop-loss: Below 3,322 USD
Bearish Rejection Scenario (if price fails at 3,345 USD):
Entry: Sell on bearish reversal candlestick (e.g., pin bar, engulfing) at 3,345 USD
Target: Revisit support at 3,318 – 3,309 USD
Stop-loss: Above 3,350 USD
Gold is trading in a decision zone between short-term support and a major resistance barrier. While macro fundamentals are slightly leaning bullish after soft CPI data, strong dollar strength and high bond yields still cap upside momentum. Traders are advised to wait for price confirmation at 3,345 USD before committing to directional setups.
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XAUUSD_15M_SellGold Analysis Short-term Time Frame Elliott Wave Analysis Style The market could enter a decline due to the completion of five waves from the major wave 5, and as long as the price maintains the resistance of 3342, the trend could turn bearish and move towards the target of 3322 and finally 3315.
Gold fluctuates, consolidation in the 3330-3310 range📰 News information:
1. Waller meeting on interest rate cuts
2. Trump tariff issues
📈 Technical Analysis:
Waller will participate in the meeting in more than two hours and pay attention to whether there is any news of interest rate cut. The key is to operate around the 3330-3310 range. Continue to pay attention to the support of 3310-3305 at night. If gold falls below 3310,-3305 again, the downward trend will continue, and it is expected to touch 3280 again, or even 3250. If it rebounds above 3330, it is likely to continue to rise.
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TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
"Gold (XAUUSD) is moving down to grab liquidity."Looking for Impulse Down.
Gold/XauUsd: This chart shows a clear Market Structure Shift (MSS) following a liquidity sweep (SMT) near the highs. Price is now respecting a bearish order block and forming lower highs, indicating smart money distribution.
Targeting sell-side liquidity at 3274.75 and 3246.50. Until price reclaims the most recent supply (above 3,300), the bearish bias remains intact.
Educational Use Only: This breakdown is for study and informational purposes and is not financial advice.
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XAUUSD - Sell or Buy ? Hello everyone, great to see you again!
Today, OANDA:XAUUSD remains under notable pressure as the U.S. continues to signal a tougher trade stance. The latest move: the U.S. President announced a 50% import tariff on copper and a potential 200% tariff on pharmaceuticals, following a previous tariff notice ranging from 25% to 40% sent to 14 countries — including Japan, South Korea, Thailand, and Malaysia.
This isn’t just about protectionism. These measures fuel fears of global inflation, supply chain disruptions, and a broader economic slowdown. With surging prices in raw materials and essential goods, consumers may be forced to cut back spending, a classic warning sign for future growth.
In this environment, investors had hoped gold would shine again as a safe haven asset. However, the recent bullish momentum has been underwhelming, signaling ongoing market hesitation.
📉 On the H4 chart, XAUUSD is being squeezed into a descending pattern, which typically carries a high probability of a downside breakout. If the current support fails, the next target could fall below the 32xx area.
On the flip side, if supportive news emerges — such as a hint of rate cuts from the Fed — gold must break above the $3,335 level to revive bullish sentiment.
🔎 What do you think? Will gold break lower — or bounce back? Drop your thoughts below!
Gold At 3305? That’s Where I Make My Move
The trend is still bullish, but this selloff’s showing signs of exhaustion on the daily.
❌ Not jumping in here — R/R is weak.
✅ I’d rather buy the dip into support at 3300–3305.
🎯 Targeting a clean bounce back to 3340 if we get the setup.
Let’s be patient — the real move is coming
GOLD CONFIRM TRADE🔍 Chart Analysis Summary:
Current Price: ~3,336
Key Resistance (Supply Zone): 3,340 – 3,353
Major Resistance Above: 3,388 – 3,395
Key Support (Demand Zone): 3,320 – 3,330
Major Support Below: 3,294 – 3,305
⚔️ Trade Setup Ideas:
📉 Sell Setup (High Probability Intraday Short)
Scenario: Price is near the lower supply zone (3,340–3,353), showing rejection.
Entry: 3,340 – 3,345 (on bearish candle confirmation or rejection wick)
Stop Loss: Above 3,353 (zone high or recent swing high)
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 3,330 (first minor support)
TP2: 3,320 (demand zone)
TP3: 3,295 (major support)
📌 Confirmation Tips:
Look for bearish engulfing / rejection candles
RSI divergence or weakness
Break of 3,330 support confirms continuation
📈 Buy Setup (If Price Drops to Demand)
Scenario: Price drops back into demand zone 3,320–3,330 with bullish reaction.
Entry: 3,322 – 3,328 (bullish wick or engulfing candle)
Stop Loss: Below 3,320
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 3,340
TP2: 3,353 (supply)
TP3: 3,388 (major resistance)
📌 Confirmation Tips:
Bullish price action near 3,322 zone
Momentum buildup from demand
Use M15/M30 for refined entry
GOLD is in bearish conditions, pressured by aggressive tariffsOn Wednesday (July 9) in the Asian market, the spot OANDA:XAUUSD suddenly fell sharply in the short term, and the gold price just fell below 3,290 USD / ounce.
Although US President Trump announced that the first tariff letters had been sent to some US trading partners, the gold price fell below 3,290 USD / ounce due to the weakening demand for safe-haven gold. Trump postponed the tariff deadline to August 1, easing trade tensions.
The recovery in the dollar TVC:DXY and rising US Treasury yields also weighed on gold, sending prices sharply lower after hitting a high of $3,345 an ounce.
The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note TVC:US10Y rose to its highest in more than two weeks, making gold, which does not pay interest, less attractive as an investment.
The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note rose to 4.415%. The US real yield also rose 4 basis points to 2.073%.
TVC:DXY , which tracks the greenback's performance against a basket of currencies, rose 0.20% to 97.70. The rise in the Dollar Index means that gold priced in dollars has become less attractive because they are inversely correlated.
Japan and South Korea said on Tuesday they would try to speed up trade talks with the United States in a bid to soften President Donald Trump's stance on new tariffs set to take effect on August 1.
But optimism about a trade deal boosted market risk appetite, limiting gold's upside.
Traders are awaiting the release of the minutes of the Federal Reserve's latest meeting on Wednesday, followed by data on initial jobless claims for the week ended July 5.
Investors now expect the Fed to cut interest rates by 50 basis points before the end of the year, starting in October.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold fell below the 3,300USD whole price point and the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level, which are the initial conditions for gold prices to have a prospect for a bearish trend.
Currently, with the position below 3,300USD, gold may continue to decline with the next target around 3,246USD in the short term, more than the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level.
The current resistances of gold prices are the pressure from the EMA21 line, followed by the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement. These are also the resistance positions that readers paid attention to in the previous issue.
In addition, the RSI is pointing down from 50, currently 50 is considered the nearest resistance and the fact that the RSI is pointing down is quite far from the oversold zone, indicating that there is still room for a decline ahead.
During the day, although the trend is not yet completely clear, gold is showing conditions that are more inclined towards a decline, along with that, the notable positions will be listed as follows.
Support: 3,292 - 3,246 USD
Resistance: 3,300 - 3,340 - 3,350 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3346 - 3344⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3350
→Take Profit 1 3338
↨
→Take Profit 2 3332
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3245 - 3247⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3241
→Take Profit 1 3253
↨
→Take Profit 2 3259
XAU/USD 1H Outlook
FVG Fill (3320–3318)
Price is expected to drop into the unfilled Fair Value Gap between 3320 and 3318.
London/NY Liquidity Hunt
After filling the FVG, look for a swift bullish impulse during the London and New York sessions to trigger stop-runs and collect liquidity.
Downward Correction to 3305 & 3298
Once the liquidity grab completes, expect a retracement:
First target: 3305
On a break below 3305, next target is the unfilled FVG at 3298
Summary:
Drop → FVG fill (3320–3318) → Bullish liquidity hunt (London/NY) → Retracement toward 3305 (then 3298)
The risks of shorting at low levels have been informed!Today, I have reminded you many times not to chase short positions at low levels. Now you can see that gold has bottomed out and rebounded. We also bought gold in batches at 3285-3295, and the long positions also made perfect profits. I believe that friends who follow my articles can see that I have always emphasized not to short at low levels. It is also obvious to everyone that we bought long positions near 3295-3285. In the future, we will continue to pay attention to the suppression of the upper 3318-3325 line. If the rebound does not break, we will look for opportunities to short. I hope everyone can grasp the entry position and hold the profit. The rebound will first look at the previous break point of the 3325 line, and then short when the rebound is suppressed! If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope I can help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate with me!
From the current analysis of gold trend, today's upper short-term resistance focuses on the hourly top and bottom conversion position of 3318-3325. The intraday rebound relies on this position to go short once and look down. The lower short-term support focuses on 3280. The overall support relies on the 3280-3325 area to maintain the main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycles. In the mid-line position, keep watching and do less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait for the opportunity to enter the market after the key points are in place.
Gold operation strategy: short gold rebounds near 3318-3325, target 3305-3295.
Gold will retest $3,451 in the coming week I my opinion that based on my 4H analysis, Gold will retest $3,451 in the coming week but we need to pay attention to those daily key support zones. Gold usually does deep retracement and that makes the unmitigated Bullish OB a good zone for patient buyers/ Play safe.
GOLD: Long Trade with Entry/SL/TP
GOLD
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long GOLD
Entry - 3315.7
Sl - 3312.0
Tp - 3322.6
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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Perfect prediction, pay attention to the high short entry pointTrump extended the tariff agreement to August 1 and began to collect tariffs again. Although it eased market tensions, his remarks will not be extended after the expiration, and he issued a tariff threat, which increased global trade uncertainty and pushed up risk aversion. There was no clear direction coming out of the Fed's meeting minutes last night, but the potential bias was bullish.
At the beginning of the Asian session this morning, I also indicated that gold would rise and then fall. At present, it has reached the highest point near 3325 and then began to retreat, but the 4H golden cross has just been formed. There is still a certain pressure above 3333. If the gold price repeatedly competes for this position, we can continue to short without hesitation. The second short position today is near 3340-3345. There is potential momentum for the bulls in the short term. If the European session continues to fluctuate below 3333, then the entry of short positions will be slightly more stable. Yesterday, short orders were given at the key points of 3321 and 3333, and TP looked at 3310. If the bulls re-emerge below 3310-3305, you can consider short-term long positions and target 3330-3335.
GOLD – Demand-Driven Strength Amid Economic DataGOLD – Demand-Driven Strength Amid Economic Data
Gold (XAUUSD) continues to show bullish momentum today, driven by increased demand and buying interest following a backdrop of recent economic data.
Key Price Levels to Watch:
Resistance Zones: 3320 and 3345 / 3293
Technical Outlook: The recent decline is forming an interesting bullish correction pattern, and as long as bulls maintain price within the upward trend channel, the structure remains constructive.
You may find more details in the chart Ps Support with like and comments.