Gold (XAUUSD) Long Setup – 4H ChartTrade Type: Buy (Long)
Entry: Market Buy or Re-entry near 3332–3335
Target: Above 3360 (TP1: 3360, TP2: 3370+, final target near 3380–3400 zone)
Stop Loss: Below 3325 (Recommended: 3322–3324 for margin)
Re-entry Zone: If price pulls back to 3332–3335, look for bullish confirmation for re-entry
Setup Analysis: Favorable risk-reward structure with clear upside potential toward the 3380+ resistance zone
Context:
Strong recovery from previous lows
Bullish momentum building above 3343 resistance
Volume and price structure suggest breakout continuation
Pullback entries offer strategic positioning
Date: July 11, 2025
Shared by: @Pookie_xau
GOLDCFD trade ideas
Gold Price Analysis July 10🔹 XAUUSD Analysis – D1
Yesterday's D1 candle showed a strong recovery, closing above 3313, thereby significantly weakening the previous downtrend structure. Currently, the price is reacting very strongly at the trendline around 3284. Buying pressure is clearly appearing, pushing gold back to trading in a wide range.
In the short term, the 3328 area will play an important resistance role. If the price cannot break this area, the possibility of a correction down to the Gap price area this morning is quite high. The peak-bottom trading method is still giving suitable signals in the current market context.
🔹 Important zones:
Support: 3312 – 3295 – 3279
Resistance: 3328 – 3339 – 3349 – 3363
💡 Strategy:
Confirm the trading signal when the price clearly rejects the resistance zones to ensure the highest winning rate.
GOLD continues to recover, tariff war changes unpredictablyInternational OANDA:XAUUSD continued to rise, boosted by a slight decline in the US Dollar and US Treasury yields. At the same time, investors are closely monitoring the developments in trade negotiations as US President Trump expands the tariff war.
As of the time of writing, spot OANDA:XAUUSD increased by 0.3% to 3,333 USD/oz. The general weakness of the US Dollar, the decline in US Treasury yields and renewed concerns about the escalation of the trade war have helped stabilize gold prices.
On Thursday evening (July 10) local time, US President Donald Trump once again increased pressure on trading partners. He announced that he would impose a 35% tariff on imported goods from Canada, and the USD/CAD exchange rate rose sharply in the short term.
Trump posted on his social media platform Truth Social that a 35% tariff would be imposed on imported goods from Canada, effective from August 1, 2025.
It is still unclear whether the current exemptions for goods traded under the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) will be extended or terminated.
Due to the impact of escalating trade tensions, spot gold prices also rose by more than 10 dollars in the short term at the beginning of the Asian trading session on Friday, and the current high price of gold has reached around 3,336 USD/ounce.
In an interview with NBC News on Thursday, Trump said he was also considering imposing a flat tariff of 15% to 20% on most of his trading partners, adding that the exact tariff rate was being worked out. The current flat tariff rate is 10%.
Trump sent letters to trading partners this week, announcing that the new tariffs would take effect on August 1 if they could not negotiate more favorable terms. He is expected to send letters to European Union member states soon.
Trump sent the first batch of tariff letters to 14 countries, including Japan and South Korea, on July 7, with tariffs ranging from 25% to 40%. He also said he would send more similar letters this week.
Minutes from the Fed's June 17-18 meeting showed that only a "few" Fed officials thought a rate cut was possible as early as this month, while most preferred to hold off until later in the year due to inflation concerns caused by Trump's tariffs.
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted unanimously to leave interest rates unchanged at its June meeting. The next policy meeting is scheduled for July 29-30.
Markets will focus on progress in Trump's tariff negotiations, key US economic data and speeches by Federal Reserve officials later in the day for fresh trading direction for gold prices.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold has had 2 sessions of recovery from the area around the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement, but the temporary upside momentum is still limited and does not qualify for a new bullish cycle.
In the short term, the EMA21 with the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement will act as the nearest resistance, if gold takes the price action to break above the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level it will qualify for a new bullish cycle with the target then being around $3,400 in the short term, more so than $3,430.
On the other hand, with the current neutral trend, once gold is sold below the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level again, it will have conditions to decline, and the target then is around 3,246 USD in the short term, more than the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level.
The RSI index is hovering around 50, also showing that the market sentiment is still hesitant to have a specific direction.
During the day, the sideways trend of gold prices will be noticed by the following positions.
Support: 3,300 - 3,292 USD
Resistance: 3,340 - 3,350 - 3,371 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3388 - 3386⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3392
→Take Profit 1 3380
↨
→Take Profit 2 3372
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3296 - 3298⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3292
→Take Profit 1 3304
↨
→Take Profit 2 3310
Gold – July 11 | H4 & M15 Aligned, Higher Highs in Sight🟡 Gold – Higher Highs in Sight | July 11 Analysis
As outlined in our July 10 analysis
( Gold – H4 OB Held, BoS Confirmed ),
price retested the 3313–3310.5 POI and continued upward in alignment with the broader bullish structure.
Gold is now trading around 3330–3335 , and both H4 and M15 remain in clear uptrends — forming a consistent sequence of higher highs and higher lows .
This post is intended purely for educational and structural observation —
not as trading advice or encouragement to enter trades.
Please use your own strategy, confirmation methods, and risk assessment before taking any action.
🔄 Structure Alignment
✅ H4: Bullish continuation
✅ M15: Trend aligned, forming HH–HL structure
🟢 Bias: Long-only setups (based on structure)
🔍 Key Supply & POI Zones
📌 3345–3346:
→ Strong supply zone
→ If price breaks above, we expect a new higher high
📍 If retracement occurs before breaking 3346:
→ Watch 3319.5–3321.5 (M15 POI)
→ Valid only if respected with M1 confirmation (ChoCh + BoS)
🎯 Trade Plan (Educational Observation)
🛑 No shorts — structure does not support counter-trading
🕒 Monitor: For price to revisit the 3319.5–3321.5 zone
✅ If respected + M1 confirms → structure favors long
🎯 Target: Move above 3346 , continuing the bullish sequence
🧠 Final Thoughts
Price structure remains in strong alignment — but the key is confirmation, not prediction.
Wait, observe, and only act within your own defined process.
📖 Trade the structure, not the emotion.
When the trend aligns, hesitation costs more than waiting.
📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
Weekly CRT on XauusdBuy the dip bros
The gold will fly
Just find entry and keep buying
Retracement, buy
buy
buy
buy and buy
Don't go to far trying to sell the market
The real direction is up
Confluences for buy:
20 day ipda range sweep of the previous day low
Weekly CRT
CRL was swept
1 hour cisd
Targeting CRH and ATH
GOLD On July 9, 2025, the FOMC Meeting Minutes from the June 17-18 session were released, providing insights into Federal Reserve policymakers' views on monetary policy, inflation, and economic risks.
Key Highlights from the FOMC Minutes:
The FOMC unanimously voted to hold the federal funds rate at 4.25%–4.5% .
There was a notable split among members regarding the impact of tariffs on inflation:
Some saw tariffs causing only a one-time price increase with no lasting inflation effect.
Most feared tariffs could lead to more persistent inflationary pressures
The committee acknowledged elevated uncertainty around tariff policy and its timing, size, and duration of inflation effects.
Labor market conditions were viewed as solid but with some softening expected due to policy uncertainty and tariffs.
The committee remains cautious about the trade-offs between inflation and employment goals, favoring a gradual approach to future rate cuts.
Only a narrow minority of policymakers supported an immediate rate cut with most preferring to wait for clearer economic signals.
Market Reaction and Price Action
Gold Price Action:
Gold prices reacted to the minutes with modest volatility, as persistent inflation concerns support gold’s safe-haven appeal.
Gold remains near elevated levels around $3,250 to $3,316 per ounce, consolidating after recent gains.
The cautious Fed stance and tariff uncertainty underpin demand for gold as a hedge against inflation and geopolitical risks.
Summary Table
Event Details
FOMC Rate Decision Held at 4.25%–4.5%
Inflation Views Split on tariff impact; risk of persistent inflation
Rate Cut Support Narrow support for immediate cut in July
Overall Outlook
The Fed minutes reinforce a cautious, data-dependent approach to monetary policy, with inflation risks balanced against growth concerns.
Gold benefits from ongoing inflation worries and geopolitical uncertainty, maintaining strong support.
#GOLD
XAU/USD – Long off Lower Channel + Fundamental Tailwind📌 Bias: Bullish (technical + macro alignment
🔹 Trade Setup
Entry Zone - 3 245 – 3 255
Stop-Loss - 3 240
TP1 - 3 375 (Last Month High)
TP2 - 3 475 (Upper Channel)
🧠 Technical Rationale
- Price is respecting a clean ascending channel
- Confluence at entry: lower trendline + last month’s low + hidden order block
- Liquidity sweep expected below 3 245 before bullish continuation
🌍 Fundamental Tailwinds (July 2025)
🏦 1. US Dollar Collapse
- The US Dollar Index (DXY) is down 10.8% YTD, its worst start since 1973
- Driven by:
- Trump’s erratic tariff policies and fiscal expansion
- Loss of confidence in US Treasuries as a safe haven
- Moody’s downgrade of US credit rating
“The dollar has transformed from a safe haven into a symbol of instability.” – ING strategist
🪙 2. Central Bank Gold Demand
- Global central banks continue accumulating gold to hedge against dollar devaluation
- This institutional demand underpins long-term bullish momentum
🔥 3. Geopolitical Risk Premium
- Ongoing tensions in the Middle East (Iran–Israel, Gaza) and Russia–Ukraine keep gold attractive as a safe-haven asset
- Even with temporary ceasefires, the risk premium remains embedded in price
📉 4. Fed Dovish Shift
- Fed Governor Waller signals a possible July rate cut, citing weak labor data and easing inflation
- Lower rates = weaker dollar = stronger gold
🧠 Final Thought
This setup isn’t just technically sound—it’s fundamentally explosive. You’re riding a macro wave of dollar weakness, geopolitical hedging, and central bank gold demand. If price reacts cleanly at 3 250, this could be your high-conviction entry of the month.
Gold is in the Bearish DirectionHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Gold is in the Bearish DirectionHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Gold Intraday Trading Plan 7/7/2025As expected yesterday, gold attempted to break 3330 for a few times but failed to do so. After retreat to 3310, it went up again. Right now it is testing the channel top. I will monitor the price closely at this level and the 4hrly close. If it close above 3330, I will buy towards 3365. If it close below 3317, I will sell towards 3270.
Short position profit, focus on 3355-3345 support📰 News information:
1. Focus on tomorrow's CPI data
2. Bowman's speech at the Federal Reserve
3. Tariff information outflows and countries' responses to tariff issues
📈 Technical Analysis:
The short-term bears have successfully hit the TP to realize profits, and the trading strategy is still valid. Continue to pay attention to the 3355-3345 support during the day. If effective support is obtained here, you can consider going long. For the rebound, the first TP can focus on the 3365 line. If the gold price breaks through 3380 in the future, it will not be far from 3400. If it falls below, pay attention to the support of 3330-3320 below. It is expected that this is the limit position of short-term bearishness. The impact of tariffs is still there, and the bullish trend remains optimistic in the short term, unless Europe, Japan and other countries have a new solution to tariffs.
🎯 Trading Points:
BUY 3355-3345
TP 3365-3380-3400
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
OANDA:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
Xausd techinical analysis.This chart shows the Gold Spot vs. U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe, with current price action around 3,311.195.
Key Observations:
1. Descending Trendline (blue):
Shows recent bearish structure with lower highs.
Price is now testing this trendline from below.
2. Support and Resistance Zones (purple boxes):
Support: Around 3,303 – 3,306 (recent consolidation area).
Resistance: Around 3,327 – 3,332 (previous high and zone of interest).
3. Breakout Setup:
Blue arrow indicates a possible bullish breakout scenario.
The price is projected to break above the descending trendline and move toward the upper resistance zone (~3,330+).
4. Volume/Events Icon:
Icons suggest potential news events or volatility (such as U.S. data or FOMC-related impact), possibly increasing breakout chances.
Implication:
This is a bullish scenario suggesting:
A breakout of the descending trendline.
Retest of the breakout level.
Continuation toward the resistance zone (~3,330).
Strategy:
If trading this:
Entry: On confirmation of breakout and retest above 3,310–3,312.
Target: 3,327–3,332.
Stop Loss: Below the recent support ~3,300.
Would you like help building a trade plan or checking the fundamentals behind this move?
XAUUSD 1H – Bullish Trend Continuation Setup (TCB Trend Phase)📈 XAUUSD 1H – Bullish Trend Continuation Setup (TCB Trend Phase)
Timeframe: 1H
Strategy Phase: ✅ Trend Phase (Pullback & Breakout)
🔍 Analysis:
Gold (XAUUSD) continues to hold its bullish trend structure, with price breaking above the descending trendline and forming higher highs and higher lows.
After a recent breakout, price pulled back to a key support + trendline confluence zone near 3,353, where it printed bullish continuation candles. This zone has also acted as a breakout-retest area, adding confidence.
The next major target lies around 3,425, just beneath the next supply/resistance zone.
📌 Trade Setup Summary:
Entry Zone: 3,360–3,370
Stop Loss: Below 3,352
Take Profit: 3,425
Risk-to-Reward: ~1:3+
Bias: Bullish continuation unless price breaks below structure
📋 TCB Checklist Review (Trend Phase):
✅ HTF Bullish Trend Confirmed (4H/1H)
✅ Pullback to Demand/Structure
✅ Breakout + Retest
✅ Trendline Confluence
✅ Clean RRR and no major chop
✅ No nearby HTF resistance until 3,425 zone
✅ Score: 100% A+ Setup
🧠 Trade Management Plan:
Move SL to breakeven at 1:1
Consider partial TP near 3,400
Re-enter if price forms another continuation setup
📚 Strategy: TCB (Trend – Countertrend – Breakout)
This trade follows the Trend Phase rules – trading pullbacks in a strong bullish market.
GOLD BUY SETUP • Premium Zone Rejection:
• Price has tapped into a higher-timeframe supply zone (~3,380–3,400), showing early signs of exhaustion.
• Bearish reaction here is consistent with smart money offloading positions.
• Equal Highs Liquidity Sweep:
• A sweep of engineered highs (₤₤₤) before the drop hints at a classic liquidity grab, possibly triggering sell-side momentum.
• Anticipated Pullback:
• Expecting a corrective move toward the demand zone (around 3,285–3,310), aligning with discounted entry pricing for long setups.
• Bullish Continuation Potential:
• If price respects the demand zone and forms a higher low, a bullish continuation toward new highs is likely.