Gold Pullback in play Aiming Growth for 3400Gold prices initially rejected from recent highs and found strong support, indicating limited downside. Despite the recovery, gold remains under pressure due to rising U.S. bond yields and a stronger U.S. dollar. The higher-than-expected inflation data from the U.S. has reduced the likelihood of an early Fed rate cut, which is weighing on the metal.
Technical Analysis:
If the 1H candle closes above 3350, the price is likely to push back into the bullish zone.
Potential upside targets: 3378 and 3400
You any see more details in the chart.
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GOLDCFD trade ideas
XAU/USD Chart Analysis: Volatility at a Yearly LowXAU/USD Chart Analysis: Volatility at a Yearly Low
The daily chart of XAU/USD shows that the Average Directional Index (ADX) has reached its lowest level since the beginning of 2025, indicating a significant decline in gold price volatility.
Yesterday’s release of the US Producer Price Index (PPI) initially triggered a sharp spike in gold prices, but the gains were short-lived, with the price quickly reverting to previous levels. This price action aligns with a broader market narrative of equilibrium—where supply and demand are in relative balance, and the market appears to be efficiently pricing in key influencing factors, including geopolitical tensions and tariff-related developments.
However, this fragile balance may soon be disrupted.
Technical Analysis of XAU/USD
From a broader technical perspective, gold remains within a long-term ascending channel (highlighted in blue) in 2025. Key observations include:
→ Attempts to rebound from the lower boundary of the channel (marked with arrows) lack conviction. Bulls are not capitalising on these opportunities to reignite the uptrend, suggesting a potential exhaustion of buying interest.
→ A trendline drawn across the major highs of 2025 has proven to be a strong resistance level. All recent breakout attempts have failed at this barrier.
As a result, the XAU/USD chart is showing signs of forming a large-scale triangle pattern, with its axis centred around the $3,333 level. If bulls continue to falter in extending the multi-month rally, it could encourage bears to challenge the lower boundary of the ascending channel, increasing the risk of a downside breakout.
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July 14, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunitySummary:
Gold is currently showing signs of high-level consolidation. The primary strategy remains buying on pullbacks to support. Keep a close eye on the 3450–3452 resistance zone — if price fails to break above, shorting from that area offers good risk-reward. If it breaks and holds, bulls may push toward the 3393 target. On the downside, key supports are at 3310, 3285, and 3245. Stay flexible and reactive to how price behaves around these key levels. Avoid oversized positions and focus on risk control.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 3400 – Psychological level
• 3393 – Resistance
• 3380 – Resistance
• 3370 – Key resistance
• 3350 – Midpoint
• 3344 – Key support
• 3330 – Key support
• 3310 – Support
• 3300 – Psychological support
📈 Intraday Strategy:
• SELL if price breaks below 3349 → target 3344, then 3340, 3334, 3330
• BUY if price holds above 3360 → target 3365, then 3370, 3375, 3380
👉 If you’d like to learn how I time my entries and place stop-losses, give this post a like — if there's enough interest, I might publish a dedicated post on it soon!
Disclaimer: This is my personal opinion, not financial advice. Always trade with proper risk management.
Gold price moves sideways above 3320⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices advanced during the North American session, gaining 0.78%, supported by headlines suggesting US President Donald Trump had discussed firing Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell. Although Trump later denied the reports, calling it “highly unlikely” unless fraud was involved, the speculation lifted demand for the precious metal. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading around $3,348, after briefly reaching a daily high of $3,377 following Trump-related headlines.
According to Bloomberg, Trump floated the idea during a meeting with GOP lawmakers focused on cryptocurrency regulation, noting that most attendees reportedly supported Powell’s removal.
Beyond political drama, softer US economic data and ongoing geopolitical tensions also underpinned gold’s gains. The latest US Producer Price Index (PPI) came in below expectations but remained above the Fed’s 2% inflation target. Meanwhile, Israeli airstrikes in Syria helped limit downside pressure on bullion, though Gold’s upside remained capped below the $3,400 level following the recent US consumer inflation report.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price moves sideways in the price range of 3306 - 3380, accumulating and waiting for information on US tariffs and interest rates
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3381- 3379 SL 3386
TP1: $3370
TP2: $3360
TP3: $3350
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3306-$3304 SL $3299
TP1: $3318
TP2: $3330
TP3: $3343
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
XAUUSD 2H | Smart Money Buy from Strong DemandXAUUSD 2H | Support Rejection with Upside Targets 🎯
Price respected the key support zone and is now showing bullish momentum. Two clear target levels are marked above. Ideal buy opportunity after rejection confirmation from demand zone. Watch for clean continuation toward 3370 and 3390.
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #SmartMoneyConcepts #SMC #Forex #PriceAction #BuySetup
Gold---sell near 3355, target 3330-3320Gold market analysis:
The gold buying and selling game in the past two days is quite fierce. The daily line is washed back and forth, with a combination of one Yin and one Yang. The upper and lower shadows of the daily line are relatively long. Yesterday, the daily line closed with a standard hammer candle pattern. After breaking the strong support of 3320, the price did not continue to fall, but bottomed out at 3308 and began to rise strongly, which eventually led to the short-term selling dream being shattered again. The daily line and K showed alternating conversions. The short-term trend is vague, but the long-term trend is still buying. This wave of repairs has the participation of fundamentals and the repair of gold itself. In the big cycle, it is difficult to form a daily selling trend without breaking the position of 3281. In addition, the fundamentals all support gold. I think the possibility of a deep fall in gold in the near future is very small. We are just a follower. In the short term, we focus on the intraday trend to operate. Yesterday, the daily line had a tail, and the possibility of continuing to fall today is small. Let's look at the repair rebound in the Asian session first. The first suppression position for buying rebound is around 3357. This position is also a form suppression and an indicator suppression. The other suppressions are around 3366 and 3377. Note that gold is not unilateral. When encountering great pressure, we must also consider selling opportunities. Today, I think it will rebound first and then fall back.
Support 3327 and 3320, strong support 3308, pressure 3344.3357.3366.3377, and the strength and weakness dividing line of the market is 3340.
Fundamental analysis:
There are not many fundamentals this week. The data released yesterday still suppressed gold as a whole, but the gold tail market still bottomed out and rebounded.
Operation suggestions:
Gold---sell near 3355, target 3330-3320
Major resistance ahead?The Gold (XAU/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the overlap support.
Pivot: 3,343.09
1st Support: 3,307.61
1st Resistance: 3,363.76
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DeGRAM | GOLD held the trend line📊 Technical Analysis
● Bulls defended the channel‐base 3 280 zone, breaking the six-week falling wedge and reclaiming 3 312; structure flips to higher-highs within the rising channel.
● A close above the wedge lip at 3 355 should unlock the grey range ceiling where the May trend-cap and 3 430 – 3 450 intersect. Pull-backs into 3 300-3 312 are expected to attract bids while the wedge retest holds.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● US headline-CPI cooled for a second month, knocking 2-yr real yields to one-month lows and trimming Fed-cut timing, while PBoC data show June net gold purchases resuming—both reviving spot demand.
✨ Summary
Long 3 300-3 320; breakout >3 355 eyes 3 430 → 3 450. Invalidate on an H4 close below 3 280.
-------------------
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Gold continues to test resistance levels for a breakoutThe global trend is bullish, with gold undergoing a local correction. The price is attempting to avoid the liquidation zones located below.
The fourth retest of the trend resistance over the past two weeks is forming.
Regarding the current situation, gold is consolidating near the resistance level of 3329, a break of which could trigger growth.
Buyers are interested in gold due to the current geopolitical circumstances...
Scenario : If the bullish pattern remains intact and gold stays within the 3329-3315 range and continues to move towards resistance, another retest of 3329-3330 could lead to a breakout and growth.
How to find stable trading opportunities in gold fluctuations?Today, the rhythm of gold going short first and then long is perfectly grasped. Congratulations to those who followed the trading plan for reaping good returns. We are still holding long orders at present, and the overall position is arranged around the idea of stepping back to low and long. From the current market structure, the 3325-3320 area below is an important dividing line for the bulls to be strong, and it is also a key support level that determines the subsequent direction. If this area stabilizes, the short-term structure will still be bullish and unchanged, and the rhythm of stepping back to low and long is expected to continue. It is expected that gold will rebound to 3340-3350 and the upper target again. If 3320 is lost, it is recommended to stop loss as soon as possible, and the defense position is recommended to be set below 3315 to prevent the short-term structure from turning short and bringing further callback risks. The core of this round of trend is that only by holding the support can we be qualified to talk about rebound; if the support is lost, we need to turn decisively to prevent being passive. The current market volatility has intensified, but the direction has not yet completely broken. The focus of operation is still on entering the market around key points, switching positions between long and short positions to find the rhythm, blindly chasing orders and emotional operations will be taboos in the current market. Opportunities are not absent, but they belong to those who are always ready. The structure is not broken and the low and long will not change.
Good opportunity to wait for recovery and buy GoldOANDA:XAUUSD Confirmation of breaking Key level 3330 on Friday has formed an Uptrend in Gold. Reaction at GAP 3368 is obvious in an uptrend. Gold trend is favoring buying to 3388 and 3400 next week.
Support: 3345-3331
Resistance: 3387-3400
BUY Trigger: Retest and Reject support 3345
BUY Trigger: 3331 ( Strong support zone)
Target: 3400
SELL Trigger: rejection 3387 with bearish confirmation
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GOLD UPDATE Hello friends🙌
📉Regarding the decline we had, which we also analyzed for you and said that the price is falling...
✔Now, with the support hunt identified, you can see that the price has returned strongly and broken the identified resistance and managed to reach higher ceilings, which also created a QM pattern, which increases the likelihood of the upward trend continuing.
Now with capital and risk management you can move towards your specified goals.
🔥Follow us for more signals🔥
*Trade safely with us*
Back above $3,300, GOLD may remain neutral, tax focusOANDA:XAUUSD reclaimed the psychologically important level of $3,300/ounce last week, but while gold is still receiving some support as a safe haven amid economic and geopolitical risks, its upside momentum may be limited as the market shifts its attention to other commodities.
Gold prices ended last week on a generally bullish note, rising back above $3,300 an ounce after US President Trump unexpectedly announced a series of new trade policies. Spot gold prices rose about 0.5% last week on Friday.
Although the market initially doubted Trump’s self-imposed July 9 deadline, the overall market reaction remained steady and the renewed risk appetite helped the S&P 500 hit a new record high, somewhat undermining gold’s safe-haven appeal. The July deadline has been pushed back to August 1, but the global trade conflict is far from over. Gold has regained support after initial pressure after Trump announced a new trade policy on copper imports, along with a series of news stories about the relationship between Trump and the FED sent to readers throughout the past week.
A sharp rise in copper prices will also add to inflationary pressures, exacerbate economic uncertainty and raise concerns about recession and stagflation. In this context, gold is expected to continue to receive support from potential risks.
In addition to fierce competition in the commodity market, gold may remain fundamentally neutral in the short term, as economic data will support the Fed's neutral monetary policy. The key market focus next week will be the June Consumer Price Index (CPI). The Fed has made it clear that it is in no rush to raise interest rates while inflation risks remain high.
However, traders still need to be cautious and closely monitor the situation surrounding the tariff war initiated by Trump, which will directly affect the price of gold. In case of negative news, the gold price will receive support and vice versa if positive news appears in the market.
Over the weekend, US President Trump once again used the tariff tactic, announcing that he would impose a 30% tax on imports from the EU and Mexico, causing a strong reaction from the international community. This move not only casts a shadow over the relationship between Europe and the United States, as well as between the United States and Mexico, but also adds further uncertainty to the global trade model. EU politicians, businesses and academics were quick to respond, calling for unity to protect their interests, while Mexico stressed the need to maintain national sovereignty and pledged to respond calmly.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold has a 3-day rally, and the upside momentum has reached the important target resistance at the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level. Gold's upside momentum is also limited by this Fibonacci retracement level, specifically it has slightly dropped to $3,355/oz.
But overall, gold is still not in a position to form a specific trend, and the indicators and positions are mainly showing the possibility of continuing to accumulate sideways.
For gold to have the conditions for a new bullish cycle, it needs to bring price activity above the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level, then the target will be around $3,400 in the short term, more than $3,430.
Meanwhile, a pullback, which sees gold sell below the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement, would open the door to a bearish cycle, with a target of around $3,246 in the short term, rather than the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement.
RSI hovering around 50 also suggests a hesitant market sentiment, so the short-term bias for gold is neutral.
Along with that, notable positions will also be listed as follows.
Support: $3,350 – $3,310 – $3,300
Resistance: $3,371 – $3,400 – $3,430
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3406 - 3404⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3410
→Take Profit 1 3398
↨
→Take Profit 2 3392
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3340 - 3342⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3336
→Take Profit 1 3348
↨
→Take Profit 2 3354
GOLD tests $3,310 then recovers, continues sidewaysInternational OANDA:XAUUSD fell to the support level of 3,310 USD, then recovered and continued to stabilize sideways due to the stronger US Dollar and market tensions eased after US President Trump said it was "extremely unlikely" to fire Federal Reserve Chairman Powell.
As of the time of writing, spot OANDA:XAUUSD was trading at 3,339 USD/oz.
Reuters reported on Wednesday that Trump is still open to the possibility of firing Powell. However, Trump said on Wednesday that he has no intention of firing Powell at this time, but did not completely rule out the possibility and reiterated his criticism of the Fed chairman for not lowering interest rates.
Data showed US producer prices unexpectedly held steady in June, as the impact of higher import tariffs on goods was offset by weakness in the services sector.
The unchanged US PPI in June showed wholesale prices were stabilising, suggesting the economic impact of tariffs may be smaller than initially feared.
The lower-than-expected core CPI and core PPI data did not provide the boost that was expected, which could mean that the market is focusing on other aspects. More broadly, as the Fed gradually eases policy, real yields could continue to fall, and gold will maintain its upward trend. However, if the market continues to reprice expectations for a hawkish rate cut, this could trigger a short-term correction.
SPDR Gold Trust, the world's largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund (ETF), said its holdings rose 0.33% to 950.79 tonnes on Wednesday from 947.64 tonnes in the previous session.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold rebounded after falling and tested the support level noted by readers in yesterday's edition at 3,310 USD. The recovery brought gold prices back to work around the EMA21, continuing the sideways accumulation trend.
Structurally there is no change, as for gold to qualify for an upside move it needs to break resistance at the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level then the short term target is the raw price point of $3,400. Meanwhile for gold to complete its bearish cycle it needs to sell below the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level then the short term target would be around $3,246, more than the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level.
The relative strength index (RSI) is also unchanged with the RSI activity around 50, indicating a hesitant market sentiment without leaning towards any particular trend.
Intraday, the technical outlook for gold prices continues to be a sideways accumulation trend, and the notable positions will be listed as follows.
Support: 3,310 – 3,300 – 3,292 USD
Resistance: 3,350 – 3,371 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3386 - 3384⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3390
→Take Profit 1 3378
↨
→Take Profit 2 3372
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3276 - 3278⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3272
→Take Profit 1 3284
↨
→Take Profit 2 3290
XAU/USD (Gold vs USD) on the 1-hour timeframe..XAU/USD (Gold vs USD) on the 1-hour timeframe, the setup clearly shows a bearish breakdown from an ascending channel, supported by Ichimoku Cloud analysis.
---
📉 Target Points (as marked on your chart):
1. First Target Point: Around $2,335
2. Second Target Point: Around $2,312
---
🔍 Analysis Breakdown:
Price has broken below the Ichimoku cloud – a bearish signal.
The ascending channel is broken to the downside.
Support zones and target levels are clearly marked:
The first target aligns with a previous support level.
The second target is a deeper support area, likely the base of the previous strong rally.
---
📌 Summary:
🥇 First Target: $2,335
🥈 Second Target: $2,312
📉 Bias: Bearish (continuation likely if momentum holds and no strong reversal signs appear)
Let me know if you want suggested stop-loss, entry confirmation ideas, or risk management tips.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great finish to the week!!!
After completing our Bearish targets throughout the week, we got the swing perfectly, like we analysed and was waiting for our Bullish target to be complete.
- We got the Bullish target at 3358 HIT perfectly completing this range!!
BULLISH TARGET
3358 - DONE
BEARISH TARGETS
3330 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3330 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3306 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3306 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3283 - DONE
We will now come back Sunday with a full multi timeframe analysis to prepare for next week’s setups, including updated views on the higher timeframes, EMA alignments, and structure expectations going forward.
Thanks again for all your likes, comments, and follows.
Wishing you all a fantastic weekend!!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
recovery, towards 3400, gold price⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) extended their gains to around $3,365 during the early Asian session on Monday, as investors flocked to safe-haven assets in response to an escalation in global trade tensions.
The move comes after US President Donald Trump intensified the trade war over the weekend, announcing a 30% tariff on imports from the European Union and Mexico, effective August 1. This followed last week’s declarations of a 35% duty on Canadian goods and a sweeping 15%–20% tariff proposal on most trading partners, in addition to a 50% tariff on copper imports. Mounting concerns over the economic fallout from these aggressive trade measures have fueled demand for gold, a traditional refuge during times of uncertainty.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Continued price increase, tariff pressure helps gold to be positive again
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3384- 3386 SL 3391
TP1: $3376
TP2: $3364
TP3: $3352
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3308-$3310 SL $3303
TP1: $3319
TP2: $3328
TP3: $3340
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Market Volatile Amid Geopolitical Tensions & Fed Rumors Gold 17/07 – Market Volatile Amid Geopolitical Tensions & Fed Rumors
🌍 Macro Sentiment: Uncertainty Continues
The global gold market opened Thursday with high volatility following headlines that former U.S. President Donald Trump was considering firing Fed Chair Jerome Powell. Though Trump later denied the claim, the initial rumor spiked fear in financial markets.
At the same time:
🇮🇱 Israel launched airstrikes on Syria, escalating regional tensions.
🇪🇺 The EU proposed new tariffs on U.S. imports, increasing global economic friction.
🏦 Inflation concerns persist as BlackRock warns about delayed price pressures from earlier tariff hikes.
📉 These factors have turned gold into a temporary safe haven, but investors should remain cautious as the market is still undecided about direction.
🔎 Technical Outlook – Key Patterns to Watch
The H1 chart reveals price action respecting a wide consolidation range with visible liquidity sweeps on both ends. The market is forming a clean structure of lower highs, hinting at bearish bias unless bulls reclaim upper resistance zones.
Sell-side liquidity has been swept around the 3,320 level.
Order Block Sell Zone remains active at 3,342 – 3,344, potentially leading to a short-term drop.
If price breaks above 3,357 – 3,363 (VPOC & OB zone), a new bullish leg may form.
🎯 Trade Plan for Today
🟩 Buy Opportunity Zone
Entry: 3,312 – 3,310
Stop Loss: 3,306
Take Profits:
→ 3,316 → 3,320 → 3,324 → 3,328 → 3,335 → 3,340 → 3,350
📌 This zone has shown strong demand historically. Look for bullish candle confirmation on the lower timeframe (M15–H1).
🟥 Sell Opportunity Zone
Entry: 3,362 – 3,364
Stop Loss: 3,368
Take Profits:
→ 3,358 → 3,354 → 3,350 → 3,345 → 3,340
📌 This area overlaps with a VPOC level and prior order block – watch for price rejection patterns (e.g., bearish engulfing, fake breakouts).
⚠️ Risk Note
With geopolitical and monetary policy headlines dominating sentiment, price may spike erratically. Avoid overleveraging and always respect your SL/TP.
💬 What’s Your Take?
Do you think gold will break below 3,300 and head toward deeper FVG zones?
Or will bulls regain control and aim for 3,377 liquidity?
👇 Drop your analysis and let’s build the best gold trading community together!
Gold is coming to our target✏️ OANDA:XAUUSD As analyzed on Monday, the market touched the BUY zone at 3345 and continued the bullish wave structure, heading toward the 3400 level. If gold breaks above 3373, it will likely continue its strong upward momentum. Therefore, it is advised to avoid trading against the trend once the 3373 level is broken.
On the other hand, if gold breaks below the key support level at 3343 (yesterday's U.S. session barrier), the current uptrend may temporarily pause. In that case, gold will need to find new momentum to establish a fresh market trend.
📉 Key Levels
SUPPORT: 3343 - 3330 - 3313
RESISTANCE: 3373-3387-3400
Hold BUY order 3345 with target 3400
SELL trigger: Rejection of prices 3373, 3387 with confirmation from sellers
SELL 3400 Strong resistance zone
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XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.