XAU/USD) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of XAU/USD (Gold) on the 1-hour timeframe. Here’s a breakdown
---
Technical Analysis Summary
Descending Channel Breakout
Price action previously formed a descending wedge/channel, shown by the two black trendlines.
A bullish breakout occurred above the trendline, signaling a shift in momentum from bearish to bullish.
Key Support Zone
The yellow highlighted zone (around $3,338–$3,340) is marked as the “new key support level”.
Price is expected to retest this area (confluence with 200 EMA), which aligns with standard bullish breakout behavior.
The green arrow indicates potential bounce confirmation.
Bullish Projection
After the retest, price is projected to climb steadily toward the target point at $3,394.52.
The setup anticipates around 56.27 points upside, or roughly +1.69% gain from the support zone.
---
Target
$3,394.52 – defined using the previous range breakout height and horizontal resistance.
---
Trade Idea
Entry: On bullish confirmation near $3,338 support zone.
Stop Loss: Just below the yellow zone (e.g., under $3,330).
Take Profit: Near $3,394.
Mr SMC Trading point
---
Conclusion
This is a classic breakout-retest-play, supported by trendline structure, a key horizontal support zone, and RSI strength. As long as price respects the highlighted support, the bullish outlook remains valid.
Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
GOLDCFD trade ideas
Gold continues to test resistance levels for a breakoutThe global trend is bullish, with gold undergoing a local correction. The price is attempting to avoid the liquidation zones located below.
The fourth retest of the trend resistance over the past two weeks is forming.
Regarding the current situation, gold is consolidating near the resistance level of 3329, a break of which could trigger growth.
Buyers are interested in gold due to the current geopolitical circumstances...
Scenario : If the bullish pattern remains intact and gold stays within the 3329-3315 range and continues to move towards resistance, another retest of 3329-3330 could lead to a breakout and growth.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
DeGRAM | GOLD held the trend line📊 Technical Analysis
● Bulls defended the channel‐base 3 280 zone, breaking the six-week falling wedge and reclaiming 3 312; structure flips to higher-highs within the rising channel.
● A close above the wedge lip at 3 355 should unlock the grey range ceiling where the May trend-cap and 3 430 – 3 450 intersect. Pull-backs into 3 300-3 312 are expected to attract bids while the wedge retest holds.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● US headline-CPI cooled for a second month, knocking 2-yr real yields to one-month lows and trimming Fed-cut timing, while PBoC data show June net gold purchases resuming—both reviving spot demand.
✨ Summary
Long 3 300-3 320; breakout >3 355 eyes 3 430 → 3 450. Invalidate on an H4 close below 3 280.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
GOLD - CUT n REVERSE area, what's next??#GOLD ... perfect move as per our video analysis and now market just reached at his today most expensive area, that is 3340-41
Keep close that area and only holding of that area can lead us towards further bounce otherwise not.
So keep in mind we should didn't holda our longs below 3340-41
And obviously we will go for cut n reverse below 3340-41 in confirmation.
Good luck
Trade wisely
Breaking News - Trump vs. PowellJul 16 2025 16:56:19 CET: CBS CITING SOURCES:
TRUMP ASKED REPUBLICAN LAWMAKERS IF HE SHOULD FIRE FED'S POWELL
OANDA:XAUUSD sees upside +35$/oz after Trump has asked the republican lawmakers if he should fire Powell.
TVC:DXY weakens against TVC:EXY and TVC:JXY after Trumps question.
Volatility is increased.
Gold Eyes 3365 – Breakout or Rejection?GOLD | Technical Outlook
Gold maintains bullish momentum as long as it trades above 3355, aiming to test the 3365 resistance level.
However, signs of rejection at 3365 may emerge, especially if the 4H candle closes below this level. In that case, expect a period of sideways consolidation between 3365 and 3342.
A confirmed 1H candle close above 3365 would signal bullish continuation toward 3373, with an extended target at 3395.
Key Levels:
• Pivot: 3355
• Resistance: 3365 / 3375 / 3395
• Support: 3342 / 3333
Outlook:
• Bullish above 3355
• Breakout above 3365 confirms further upside
• Rejection at 3365 may lead to short-term range-bound movement
XAUUSD: Market analysis and strategy for July 17.Gold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance: 3382, support below 3300
Four-hour chart resistance: 3375, support below 3320
One-hour chart resistance: 3352, support below 3320.
Trump's remarks in the NY market on Wednesday ignited the market. First, it was reported that Powell would be fired, and then it was reported that Trump denied the news. Gold quickly rose to 3375 and then quickly fell back. Under the impact of the news, the price fluctuated very quickly, jumping up and down quickly.
From the current market trend, the day before yesterday, it fell to 3319 and stopped falling and rebounded. Yesterday, it tested 3319 again and quickly pulled up. Yesterday, the price hit the high point of this week near 3375 again and fell back quickly. There is support below and resistance above. If it approaches the 3320 support for the third time today, it is likely to fall below, and then trigger a long stop loss, and it may fall rapidly at that time.
If it falls below 3319, it will look at the 3280~3300 range.
SELL:3319 SL:3324
SELL:3352 SL:3357
3380 gold price recovered at the beginning of the week⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) trade with modest gains around $3,350 in early Asian hours on Monday, supported by persistent uncertainty surrounding global trade negotiations as the US tariff deadline approaches. Lingering concerns over fresh levies are likely to sustain demand for the safe-haven metal. Investors now look ahead to comments from Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell, scheduled for Tuesday, for clearer policy direction.
On Sunday, US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick confirmed that August 1 remains the firm deadline for countries to comply with Washington’s tariff demands. While President Trump’s earlier announcements saw shifting deadlines, the White House now insists this date is final. This cloud of uncertainty continues to bolster gold’s appeal as a hedge in volatile markets.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold prices continued to recover last weekend, mainly still accumulating above 3300.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3380- 3382 SL 3387
TP1: $3370
TP2: $3360
TP3: $3350
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3322-$3320 SL $3315
TP1: $3333
TP2: $3345
TP3: $3356
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold (XAU/USD) – 4H Time Frame Trade Idea📈MJTrading:
Gold is currently testing support at the main ascending trend line on the 4-hour chart. Price action suggests a potential bounce, but the setup remains probabilistic—ideal for traders who operate on higher time frames and manage risk with discipline.
🔹 Trade Setup
Entry: 3340
Stop Loss: 3309
Take Profit 1: 3368
Take Profit 2: 3400
🔍 Technical Context
Price is respecting the long-standing trend line, hinting at bullish continuation.
Risk-reward ratio is favorable, especially for swing traders.
A break below the trend line invalidates the setup—hence the tight SL.
⚠️ Note: While the trend supports upside potential, failure to hold the trend line could trigger deeper retracement. Trade the probabilities, not the certainties.
In case it's not shown properly on your monitor because of different resolutions:
Psychology Always Maters:
#MJTrading #Gold #XAUUSD #Trend #Trendline #Forex #Chart #ChartAnalysis #Buy #Long
Gold prices fall in the short term – What's next?Hello everyone, what’s your take on gold?
Today, gold continues to attract short-term selling pressure as USD buying momentum returns and expectations for Fed rate cuts diminish. On the other hand, an overall positive risk sentiment is also seen as another factor weighing on the precious metal.
At the time of writing, gold is trading around the EMA 34 and 89 near 3,336 USD. With no major updates expected, the market is likely to remain steady throughout the day.
From a technical perspective, the bearish trend persists, with prices capped below the trendline. A series of lower highs and lower lows could push XAUUSD to retest deeper levels, potentially reaching the 3,300 USD mark. However, lingering trade uncertainties may limit losses for this safe-haven asset.
This is just my view on the market, not financial advice.
XAU/USD - Potential TargetsDear Friends in Trading,
How I see it,
1) A clean and decisive break above PIVOT area is required for broader upside.
2) If price remains below PIVOT area the potential for more downside is high.
2) Watch 3300- 3290 DEMAND closely.
3) If this demand area is breached - 3270 is next.
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight.
Thank you for taking the time to study my analysis.
Latest Gold Price Update TodayHello everyone, what do you think about the price of gold today?
As the new week begins, gold continues the upward trend started at the end of Friday’s session. As of now, the precious metal is trading around 3356 USD, with the uptrend still being supported.
From a carefully analyzed technical perspective, gold successfully broke out of the downward channel, taking advantage of the weakening USD. The price increase is convincing in the short term, especially after testing and confirming the previous breakout as a new support zone (around 3345 USD).
The upward target is expected to continue, with key levels to watch being 3372 USD and the H4 resistance at 3390 USD.
What do you think about the price of gold today? Feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
Good luck!
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for July 18Gold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance: 3382, support: 3310
Four-hour chart resistance: 3375, support: 3332
One-hour chart resistance: 3365, support: 3345.
From a technical perspective, the price of gold has recently formed a wide range of fluctuations in the range of 3310-3365 US dollars, reflecting the unclear market direction. At present, the short-term moving average of gold is supported at 3332, and other periodic indicators are also in a bullish arrangement. The overall decline at the hourly level is limited, and the bulls still have the momentum to rebound.
3310 on the daily chart constitutes a key support. If it falls below, it may fall to the July low of 3287-3282. On the upside, if the resistance level of 3366 US dollars is effectively broken, it may trigger short stop losses and push the gold price back to the 3400 US dollar mark. Pay attention to the resistance of 3366-3377 above and the support of 3345/3332 below
BUY: 3345near
SELL: 3365near
High Probability Short for Asia: Major Profit at 3318 Description:
Gold remains under pressure below multiple descending trendlines and is consolidating above key support. With volatility high, there’s a strong chance of a breakdown during the Asia session.
Trade Plan:
Wait for a retest of the 3,340–3,355 resistance zone (yellow box).
Watch for a bearish rejection (such as a strong wick, bearish engulfing, or high selling volume) at this zone—do not short blindly.
Enter short after confirmed rejection.
Trade Management:
Take a big part of your profit at 3,318 (first blue support line).
Once 3,318 is hit, immediately move your stop-loss to breakeven (your entry) for the remaining position.
Let the rest run toward the next targets: 3,301 and 3,299, and possibly as low as 3,247 if the breakdown is strong.
Key Points:
High-probability move is expected during the Asia session.
Trade only on confirmation, not at random levels.
If price reclaims and holds above 3,355, bearish idea is invalid.
Summary:
Look for a confirmed rejection near 3,340–3,355. Take most profit at 3,318, move stop-loss to breakeven, and hold the rest for a potential deeper drop.
XAUUSD H1 BUYING SETUPScenario:
Gold is showing strong buying momentum 📈. The best entry points are around the H1 FVG (Fair Value Gap) and Order Block (OB) zones. Wait for confirmation signals in either of these areas.
Gold could take off 🚀 from the FVG or OB. Once you see confirmation in any of these zones, take the entry ✅.
Use a small lot size and follow strict risk management rules ⚠️💰.
Stay disciplined and trade smart! 🧠📊
Gold rises strongly, aiming for a new high!Last Friday, gold continued to rise strongly, breaking through 3320 in the Asia-Europe session and accelerating its rise. The European session broke through the 3340 mark continuously. The US session broke through 3369 and then fell back. The daily line closed with a big positive line. It broke through the high for three consecutive days and returned to above 3360. The unilateral bullish pattern was re-established. Today, the gold price jumped high and broke through 3370 and then fluctuated at a high level. Although it rushed up, the strength was limited. It must be adjusted after a short-term retracement before it can continue to rise. Therefore, in terms of operation, we continue to maintain the main idea of retreating and multiplying. Pay attention to the 3340-3345 area for short-term support during the day, and look at the 3330 line for strong support. If it does not break, it will continue to be a good opportunity to buy low and do more. Taking advantage of the trend is still the current main tone. As long as the daily level does not break 3330, the bullish structure will not be destroyed.
🔹Support focus: 3340-3345, key support level 3330
🔹Resistance focus: 3380-3393 area
1️⃣ If the price falls back to 3340-3350, a light long position will be intervened, with the target of 3365-3370. A strong breakthrough can see a new high;
2️⃣ If the price rises to 3380-3393 and is under pressure, a short-term short position adjustment can be tried, with a short-term target of around 3360.
The specific real-time points and position arrangements will be updated at the bottom. Interested friends are advised to pay attention to my strategy tips in a timely manner and seize every opportunity reasonably.
Gold Price Reversal Setup: Breakout Retest with Bullish Targets.This 1-hour gold (XAU/USD) chart shows a potential bullish setup. Price is currently near support at 3,320.191, with possible reversal signals forming. The chart highlights a previous breakout zone around 3,354.004. If price rebounds, targets are set at TP1 (3,354.004) and TP2 (3,377.426). Key events and technical signals suggest a potential move upward.
XAU / USD 1 Hour ChartHello traders. Looking at the push up from the overnight sessions, I am waiting to see if we push back down or do we start moving up. So for me, I am watching the $3354 area. If we can break and close above that, and with volume and favorable conditions for gold, we could partially fill, or fill the wick to the left marked on the chart. Let's see how things play out. There is no big new today here in the US. Watching the 30 min, the hourly and the 4 hour candles to see if I can get a good entry for scalp buy / sell trades. BIg G gets a shout out. Be well and trade the trend. Happy Friday.
Gold price fluctuates! Gold operation guide!Market news:
In the early Asian session on Thursday (July 17), spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading around $3,341 per ounce. Rumors that Trump plans to fire Federal Reserve Chairman Powell caused violent market fluctuations. The US dollar once plummeted, and then narrowed the decline; while the London gold price gave up most of its gains after soaring. If Powell is fired in advance, it may be unfavorable to the US dollar, because it will shake the outside world's confidence in the US financial system and the safe-haven status of the US dollar.
Trump's repeated statements have caused the international gold price to experience violent fluctuations in a short period of time. The market's concerns about the independence of the Federal Reserve have become an important driving force for the rise in gold prices. However, geopolitical tensions still support gold prices. Israel launched an airstrike on Damascus, Syria on Wednesday, destroying the Ministry of Defense building, which is very close to the Syrian presidential palace. Trump's trade policy has further injected uncertainty into the gold market.
Technical Review:
The news that Trump's big mouth "considered replacing Federal Reserve Chairman Powell" caused violent fluctuations in the financial market. Although the storm subsided after Trump's denial, Wall Street has sounded the alarm. Rumors that Trump will fire Powell caused market volatility, and the US dollar index plunged and closed down 0.36% during the session. Spot gold was on a roller coaster ride, rising sharply from 3320 to 3377 in the late trading, then plunged back to 3336 and then rose again to 3357 before closing sideways around the 3350 mark.Technical daily chart structure alternates between positive and negative cycles to maintain the adjustment of the Bollinger band middle track, the indicator is neutral, the Bollinger band closes, and the RSI indicator is flat. The four-hour chart and hourly chart indicators are neutral. Affected by market news, the gold price alternates between long and short cycles and fluctuates widely, the moving average is glued, the RSI indicator middle axis is flat, and the Bollinger band is flat and closed. Gold maintains a wide range of fluctuations, selling at high prices and buying at low prices.
Today's analysis:
The gold market last night was quite exciting. In the middle of the night, Trump claimed that he would fire Powell. After the news came out, gold soared by more than 50 US dollars in a short period of time, but the market was only controlled by emotions in a short period of time. After all, the chairman of the Federal Reserve is independent, and Trump cannot have the right to fire Powell. Once the emotions passed, although gold fell sharply, it also pushed up the trend of gold prices to a certain extent! At present, after the strong rise of gold in 1 hour, it quickly fell back and closed with a long upper shadow line. The change in gold buying did not successfully stabilize. Then this market is actually a kind of catharsis of the news. The confidence of gold buying in directly rising again is not very sufficient. The gold 1-hour moving average is still in the form of dead cross selling. So gold rebounds or continues to sell.The gold 1-hour pattern excludes the influence of the upper shadow line stimulated by yesterday's news. In fact, the whole rhythm is still fluctuating and falling. The upper shadow time is not long, and it is probably just a temptation to buy. After the ups and downs of gold last night, it rebounded again to the 3360 line or continued to fall under pressure. So gold continued to rebound under pressure and continued to sell at high prices below 3360.
Operation ideas:
Buy short-term gold at 3325-3328, stop loss at 3317, target at 3350-3370;
Sell short-term gold at 3357-3360, stop loss at 3368, target at 3340-3320;
Key points:
First support level: 3330, second support level: 3319, third support level: 3303
First resistance level: 3358, second resistance level: 3370, third resistance level: 3386