Long Position on Dow Jones Industrial Average
Initiating a long position at 44,456, supported by robust economic data and stronger-than-expected corporate earnings. These indicators point to continued resilience in the U.S. economy, potentially allowing the Federal Reserve to consider rate cuts sooner than previously anticipated — a positive catalyst for equities.
📌 Entry: 44,456
🛑 Stop Loss: 44,207
🎯 Take Profit: 44,900
Monitoring price action closely as market sentiment continues to shift in response to macroeconomic developments.
DOW trade ideas
Shakeout On The WayUnlike the SPX, the DJI didn't make a higher-high. Why is this? I think partially because it's price weighted as opposed to market cap weighted like the Nasdaq or SPX. The other part would be CPI numbers.
So what's next for the DJI? I see hidden bullish divs long term and hidden bearish divs short term, this a common shake out tactic I see to liquidate longs and shorts. I'll be looking to load up on the trade at the bottom of the channel and play the range as it develops.
As always: stay calm, don't panic, and don't forget you can always use a stop loss
The fear and green index is at 74, when people are greedy be fearful.
US30 Bearish Below 44490 – Watching 44180 US30 Analysis
US30 remains bearish below 44490, with downside targets at 44180 and 43960.
A 1H close below 44180 would confirm continuation toward 43630.
To turn bullish, price must break above 44490.
Pivot: 44430
Resistance: 44460, 44550, 44760
Support: 44180, 43960, 43630
Safe Entry DJIObvious Movement I Guess.
P.High(Previous High) Act As good Support for price to Respect.
Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone:
We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone:
Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle.
Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone.
Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up.
2- How to Buy Stock (safe way):
On 1H TF when Marubozu/Doji Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in.
Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu/Doji Candle, because price will always and always re-test the
US30 Sell Setup – Watching Key Retracement ZonePrice is pulling back into a key sell zone (44,480–44,550) after a strong bearish move.
✅ Confluences:
• Previous liquidity zone
• 50–61.8% Fib retracement
• EMA rejection overhead
Plan: Waiting for bearish confirmation before short entry.
🎯 Targets:
TP1: 44,300
TP2: 44,150
TP3: 44,000
❌ Invalidation: Break above 44,600.
Patience = Precision. No confirmation, no trade.
#US30 #DowJones #TradingSetup #SmartMoneyConcepts #PriceAction #LiquidityZones #ForexTrading #DayTrading #IndicesTrading #SupplyAndDemand #TechnicalAnalysis #Fibonacci #MarketStructure #ScalpSetup #SwingTrade #RiskManagement #TradingEducation
Dow Jones: Shaking amid rumors of Powell’s dismissalIon Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades
The main Wall Street indices closed Thursday’s session with mixed results. Comments from Trump stating he had no plans to fire Powell but “doesn’t rule anything out” except in cases of fraud, along with Powell’s declaration that he will serve his full term until mid-2026, pressured the market. The U.S. market has been dealing with these dismissal tensions for seven months, which made the Dow Jones appear weaker, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq managed to stay in positive territory, supported by strong earnings from key companies. At the session’s start, the Dow Jones fell 0.09% to 44,202 points, while the S&P 500 rose 0.04% to 6,266 points and the Nasdaq gained 0.17% to 20,777 points. However, the Dow Jones closed at 44,484.49 points (+0.52%), the S&P 500 at 6,297.36 points (+0.54%), and the Nasdaq at 20,885.65 points (+0.75%). The day was marked by rumors from the White House, where an official stated that Trump would “probably soon” fire Jerome Powell. The news triggered an intraday drop of over 260 points in the Dow Jones, although markets later moderated losses after clarifications from the former president himself.
An early dismissal of Powell would likely impact the market very negatively and generate significant chaos. Trump’s interest in pressuring the Fed for rate cuts, although he cannot legally dismiss the central bank’s president, has been on the table since the start of his term. This has caused pronounced volatility movements. Meanwhile, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield fell to 4.449%, as the market reduced the probability of a rate cut in September from 66% to 55% (CME FedWatch).
On the macroeconomic front, June retail sales rose 0.6%, far exceeding the expected 0.1%. Weekly jobless claims stood at 221,000, also below expectations. With these results, Trump has little leverage to challenge the Fed.
Notable corporate results:
PepsiCo surprised positively with EPS of $2.12 (vs. $2.03 expected) and rose 5.7% at the open.
United Airlines advanced 3.6%, beating earnings expectations with EPS of $3.87, although revenues slightly disappointed.
GE Aerospace raised its 2025 EPS forecast to a range of $5.60–5.80, driven by strong aftermarket demand.
Netflix reported after the close, with expectations of $7.09 EPS and $11.06 billion in revenue.
TSMC led chip sector gains, rising more than 3% after announcing record profits thanks to AI. AMD, NVIDIA, and Super Micro also traded higher.
Technical Analysis
Observing the Dow Jones daily chart (Ticker AT: USAIND), since late April the index has moved upward toward its long-term control zone around 42,230 points, where the Point of Control (POC) acts as support for the current rally. In recent days, candles have used the 50-day moving average as support. The price expansion that began on June 6 with a golden cross appears solid. The bullish delta pressure zones from February and last year’s Christmas rally coincide with the current trading zone, suggesting a potential fourth attempt to break the current all-time highs at 45,110.09 points in pursuit of 46,000. If this price area is not breached, a pullback toward the POC zone could occur, and if that level fails to hold, a drop toward 39,600 points may follow.
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La información facilitada no constituye un análisis de inversiones. El material no se ha elaborado de conformidad con los requisitos legales destinados a promover la independencia de los informes de inversiones y, como tal, debe considerarse una comunicación comercial.
Toda la información ha sido preparada por ActivTrades ("AT"). La información no contiene un registro de los precios de AT, o una oferta o solicitud de una transacción en cualquier instrumento financiero. Ninguna representación o garantía se da en cuanto a la exactitud o integridad de esta información.
Cualquier material proporcionado no tiene en cuenta el objetivo específico de inversión y la situación financiera de cualquier persona que pueda recibirlo. La rentabilidad pasada y las estimaciones no sinónimo ni un indicador fiable de la rentabilidad futura. AT presta un servicio exclusivamente de ejecución. En consecuencia, toda persona que actúe sobre la base de la información facilitada lo hace por su cuenta y riesgo. Los tipos de interés pueden cambiar. El riesgo político es impredecible. Las acciones de los bancos centrales pueden variar. Las herramientas de las plataformas no garantizan el éxito.
US30 Weekly Sell Setup: 44400 Entry, 45051 SL and 42400 TargetThis is a proposed sell setup for US30 with longer time frames weekly and H4 timeframe target. The strategy anticipates a significant downward move, capitalizing on current market conditions and key technical levels.
Entry Point: Sell at 44450
Stop Loss (SL): 45051
Target (TP1): 42400
Target (TP2): Deep down if the support fails to hold
Reasoning & Details:
Resistance at 44400-44500: The US30 has been consolidating around the 44400-44500 region. This area has consistently acted as a significant resistance level, as evidenced by multiple rejections in recent trading. A failure to sustain price above this level, or a confirmed bearish candlestick pattern in this zone, would strongly reinforce the sell setup.
Weekly H4 Timeframe Perspective: The target of 42400 is based on a weekly analysis, suggesting that this is not a short term scalp but rather a move expected to unfold over several days or even weeks. This longer timeframe allows for wider price swings and potential pullbacks without invalidating the overall bearish thesis, focusing on the broader trend.
Stop Loss Placement (45055): The stop loss at 45055 is strategically placed above recent highs and psychological resistance levels, specifically around the 45000-45100 area. This placement aims to protect capital by exiting the trade if the market unexpectedly breaks above critical resistance, indicating a continuation of the uptrend. 45042.77 is an identified resistance. Placing the stop loss slightly above this provides a reasonable buffer.
Initial Target at 42400 (Key Support): This target aligns with a key support level that, if reached, would represent a substantial decline from the entry point. identified 42430 as a critical resistance, which could now act as a support if broken from above. A strong move to this level would indicate significant bearish momentum.
Further Downside Potential (Beyond 42000): A critical aspect of this idea is the potential for further price depreciation if the 42000 support level fails to hold. Should price break convincingly below 42000, it would signal a deeper bearish move, opening the door for a more extended sell-off. This suggests a potential for a cascading effect, where a break of this major psychological and technical support could lead to significant further declines, potentially towards 41155 or even 40215 as indicated by some pessimistic forecasts.
Note; This is a trading idea based on technical analysis and current market observations. Trading in financial markets carries inherent risks. Always conduct your own thorough research and manage your risk appropriately.
DowJones bullish continuation breakout support at 43990Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 45000
Resistance Level 2: 45440
Resistance Level 3: 46000
Support Level 1: 43990
Support Level 2: 43700
Support Level 3: 43420
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
US30 Market Recap – 07/14/2025📍 US30 Market Recap – 07/14/2025
We’ve officially broken down out of the consolidation range between 44,220–44,867 📉
The structure is now shifting bearish, with price printing a series of lower highs and lower lows, and EMAs flipping to the downside. Sellers are in control heading into the week.
📊 Current Structure:
Bearish market shift confirmed below 44,220
EMAs (20 & 50) now angled downward and acting as dynamic resistance
Trendline support from June rally is broken
Last bounce attempt from 44,260 was weak and quickly faded
🔑 Key Levels:
🔽 Support: 43,800 → 43,600 → 43,300
🔼 Resistance: 44,220 → 44,400 zone
🧭 Pivot zone: Watch 44,000 psychological level for reactions
💡 Trade Setup Ideas:
🔻 Short Setup (Trend Continuation):
Entry: Retest + rejection near 44,220 or descending EMAs
TP1: 43,800
TP2: 43,600
SL: Above 44,300
⚠️ Avoid longing unless we reclaim and hold above 44,400 with strong momentum.
Dow Jones Industrial Average Index - 4 Hour Chart4-hour chart of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) shows a recent price movement as of July 13, 2025. The index is currently at 44,315.0, reflecting a decline of 285.5 points (-0.64%). The chart highlights a sell signal at 44,312.0 and a buy signal at 44,318.0, with a shaded area indicating a potential downward trend from a recent peak. Key price levels include 44,855.7 (high) and 43,902.2 (low), with a support level around 44,315.0.
DOW JONES repeating May's pattern.Dow Jones (DJI) has been testing its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) since yesterday, following 2 straight weeks of trading strongly above it.
If it holds and rebounds, the pattern will draw even more similarities with May's Channel Up, which after the May 06 Low, it resumed the uptrend to peak on a +9.27% rise from the bottom, before breaking below the 4H MA50.
Since the current rise is -0.70% weaker (+4.94% against +5.66%) from May's fractal, we can assume that as long as the 4H MA50 holds, we can expect a peak at 46400.
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