JPYAUD trade ideas
AUD_JPY IS OVERBOUGHT|SHORT|
✅AUD_JPY is trading in a strong
Uptrend but the pair is now
Locally overbought so after the
Pair hits the horizontal resistance
Level of 97.350 we will be expecting
A pullback and a bearish correction
On Monday!
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
AUDUSD Technical Analysis: Bullish BreakoutAUDUSD has recently broken decisively above a key resistance zone that had previously cape price for several months. This bullish breakout followed a period of compression and range-bound price action, signalling strong accumulation and building momentum.
As long as price holds above the retested resistance zone, the bullish outlook remains intact. With the current structure and upward momentum, AUDUSD is likely to extend higher towards the next major target near 0.97006.
You can see more details in the chart Ps Support with like and comments for more analysis.
AUDJPY Wave Analysis – 11 July 2025
- AUDJPY broke resistance zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 98.00
AUDJPY currency pair recently broke the resistance zone between the resistance level 95.30 (which has been reversing the price from March) and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from July.
The breakout of this resistance zone continues the active impulse wave 3, which belongs to the intermediate impulse wave (C) from May.
Given the strongly bearish yen sentiment seen across the FX markets today, AUDJPY currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 98.00 (target price for the completion of wave 5).
AUDJPY continues vigorously to five-month highsThe yen has declined in most of its widely traded pairs in recent days as trade tension between the USA and Japan escalated again. JPY’s appeal as a haven appears to be lower compared to the situation early last quarter. Meanwhile the RBA unexpectedly held its cash rate on 8 July. Although the BoJ is fairly likely to hike to 0.75% at the end of July, it seems unlikely the differential in rates for AUDJPY will go below 2% for the foreseeable future.
Much like AUDUSD, volume and ATR have declined significantly here and the stochastic signals overbought, but the shape of the chart is quite different and the latest high was accompanied by a significant uptick in momentum. The 50% weekly Fibonacci retracement around ¥97.70 is an obvious possible resistance.
A sustained move lower seems less favourable based on the current situation of both fundamentals and the chart. The 38.2% Fibo slightly below ¥95 might now flip to being an area of support. However, there’s a significant amount of important data for AUDJPY coming out in the next few days: Australian consumer confidence on 15 July, then Japanese balance of trade and inflation on 17 and 18 July respectively. Surprising results might significantly change the technical picture.
This is my personal opinion, not the opinion of Exness. This is not a recommendation to trade.
AUDJPY: Short Trade with Entry/SL/TP
AUDJPY
- Classic bearish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell AUDJPY
Entry - 95.749
Stop - 96.149
Take - 94.847
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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AUD/JPY BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
The BB upper band is nearby so AUD/JPY is in the overbought territory. Thus, despite the uptrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bearish reaction from the resistance line above and a move down towards the target at around 95.252.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q3 D8 W28 Y25AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q3 D8 W28 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q3 W28 Y25AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q3 W28 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly Order Block Identified
✅Daily Order block identified
✅4H Order Block identified
✅15' Order block identified
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
RBA in focus: AUD JPY to continue up? It's a week bereft of major US data. In the main it'll be up to the 'risk environment' to determine proceedings (which currently means tariff headlines).
But we do have the RBA and RBNZ rate decisions to potentially create opportunities.
First up, during Tuesday's Asian session is the RBA, a central bank with a preference for high interest rates (hawkish).
*Reminder: (risk environment aside) high interest rates 'generally' equals strong currency.
Analyst concencious is for a 0.25bp cut.
I can envision two scenarios:
A rate cut with 'hawkish narrative' (non or limited cuts on the horizon).
No rate cut (hold), with data dependent forward guidance.
Both scenarios 'should' be AUD positive. Possibly creating another AUD JPY long trade.
Of course, especially after Friday's NFP, we know that anything can happen and the RBA could deliver a 'dovish cut'. But considering inflation is still relatively high in Australia, I would be surprised with that outcome.
And, of course, a lot depends on the overall 'risk environment'. We could very well have 200% tariffs across the board in 12 hours time. And I would only long the AUD in a 'positive risk environment'.
*Side note: With the S&P 'near all time highs', it's only natural that it could pull back a little. So, I'm more focused on the actual narrative at the moment rather than correlations.
**Second side note: I'm slowly starting to revisit the ' buy / sell stop anticipation trade'. And arguably, an 'AUD long' pre-rate decision is viable. (Whereby you place an 'AUD long' stop order pre event, if it's a dovish outcome the order doesn't trigger). It's not something I endorse in a 'live account' but it's a strategy worth considering. Particularly as I suspect 'red flag' US releases could become important moving forward.
Ultimately, no matter the type of trade you take, it's very important to remember that 50% will hit profit and 50% will stop out. That's why we use a higher risk/ reward per trade.
AUDJPY Rejected Key Resistance – Eyes on Downside TargetsThe AUDJPY pair faced rejection from the 95.048 resistance zone, showing potential for a bearish move. If this level continues to hold, price may slide toward the next key support levels at 94.681 and 94.537.
⚠️ Invalidation: A break and hold above 95.274 may cancel the bearish scenario.
This idea is for educational purposes only.
Live trade: AUD JPY long 84.72
20 pip stop loss, 25 pip profit target
The AUD started the week under pressure as the US president singled out the BRICS nations tariffs. (The AUD falling in sympathy with china).
It has since been telegraphed that in general, tariff negotiations are going well, the market is expecting good news. And any 'risk off' moves are reversing.
Arguably, any currency could be traded Vs the JPY as a 'risk on' trade. I've chosen the AUD as it currently has short term momentum Vs the other currencies.
It's a 20 pip stop loss with 25 pip profit target 1.2: 1 risk reward.
The risk to the trade is negative sentiment (probably caused by negative tariff news). Or the fact there isn't a swing to speak of the hide the stop loss behind.
If the trade is still ongoing, I will closed the it before the RBA interest rate meeting to avoid holding risk during the event.
AUDJPY bullish continuation for expect
OANDA:AUDJPY we are have strong bullish push from 22.April, price is start reversing from 14.5., currently how looks price is find ground on strong zone 92.100, based on PA what can see we will have strong bullish push here.
SUP zone: 92.550
RES zone: 95.500, 96.300
AUDJPY OUTLOOKOn the monthly charts, the AUDJPY has shifted in market structure indicating the long term outlook is bearish. In the interim (weekly), price action is pushing higher to mitigate price inefficiency and fair value gaps. After mitigation, we will look for sell opportunities targeting liquidity below the relative equal lows.