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Japanese Yen / U.S. Dollar

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USD/JPY) bearish Trand analysis Read The captionSMC trading point update Technical analysis of USD/JPY on the 3-hour timeframe, highlighting a breakdown from trendline resistance and projecting a move toward a significant downside target. --- Technical Breakdown 1. Trendline Rejection Price sharply rejected from the descending resistance trendline near 148.00 (red arrow), forming a potential lower high. This suggests continuation of the broader downtrend structure. 2. Break Below EMA 200 Price has broken below the 200 EMA (144.752), signaling a shift in momentum from bullish to bearish. EMA is likely to act as dynamic resistance if price attempts a pullback. 3. Bearish Projection The chart outlines a measured move downward toward the target point at 139.955, implying a drop of over 5.36% (approximately 770 pips). The projected path shows lower highs and lower lows, confirming bearish structure. 4. RSI Confirmation RSI (14) is currently at 29.98, indicating oversold conditions, but this often supports strong momentum in trending markets—suggesting a possible continuation lower after minor retracements. Mr SMC Trading point --- Conclusion / Idea Summary Bias: Bearish Entry: After trendline rejection and EMA 200 break (~144.75) Target: 139.955 Invalidation: Break above 148.00 resistance trendline --- Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
Short
by SMC-Trading-Point
1
USDJPYCurrent Price Action: The USD/JPY pair is trading at 144.414, down -0.842 (-0.588%). The price is hovering near the 20-period BMA (144.384) and OXIDA level (141.784), suggesting a potential inflection point. Support and Resistance Levels: Immediate Resistance: 144.500, 145.000, 145.500. Strong Resistance: 146.000, 146.530, 147.000 (profit target). Immediate Support: 144.000, 143.850 (double-bottom level), 143.500. Strong Support: 144.270 (near current price), 143.850 (critical). Technical Indicators: BMA (20-period): The price is slightly above the BMA at 144.384, indicating neutral momentum. OXIDA: The OXIDA level at 141.784 is far below, acting as a long-term support. Market Sentiment: The downtrend is mild (-0.588%), but the proximity to key support (143.850-144.000) suggests potential consolidation or reversal if buyers step in. A break below 143.500 could signal further downside, while a rebound above 145.000 may target 146.000-147.000. Trading Strategy: Bullish Scenario: If price holds above 144.000, consider longs with targets at 145.000, 145.500, and 146.000. Stop loss below 143.850. Bearish Scenario: A break below 143.850 could lead to a test of 143.500. Shorts may target 143.000 with a stop above 144.270. Conclusion: The pair is in a short-term downtrend but near critical support. Watch for reactions at 144.000-144.500 to determine the next directional move. Risk management is key given the tight range.
Long
by Tdawly_Official
USDJPY 15M LAST OPPOTUNITY TO FLYHere where we re-invest THE HALF LOT we close earlier today on the trade that we took yesterday (THE REMAINING HALF STILL RUNNING {https://www.tradingview.website/chart/USDJPY/vYQEgzZy-USDJPY-LAST-LIQUDITY-GRAB-BEFORE-WE-FLY-TO-THE-MOON/} LINK), Same TARGET OF 149.79 But as usual will keep TAKING PROFIT along the way Will update every time i change something Please comment welcome and if you have any question just Halaa :) All the best and good night
Long
by donchichi1
Downtrend Slowing – Recovery Opportunity After Correction?USD/JPY: Downtrend Slowing – Recovery Opportunity After Correction? Hello TradingView community! Today, let's focus on analyzing the USD/JPY pair, which is showing interesting developments after its recent correction. 🌍 Macro Overview: USD/JPY Under Current Pressures The market is observing shifts in the dynamics of the USD/JPY pair: UOB Group's 24-Hour View: The USD experienced a sharp decline from 148.02 on Monday to 144.49, despite being "oversold". This indicates a slowing in the downtrend, though caution remains. Retest Expected: According to UOB Group, there's a likelihood of USD/JPY retesting the 144.50 level before a more sustained recovery can be expected. Downside Limited: A drop below 144.50 cannot be ruled out, but based on current momentum, any further weakness is unlikely to reach 144.00. Resistance Levels: On the upside, resistance levels are noted at 145.20 and 145.55. Overall, USD/JPY is in a phase of seeking equilibrium after a significant decline. 📊 Technical Analysis & USD/JPY Trading Plan Based on the USD/JPY chart (H4/M30) you provided: Overall Trend: The pair has undergone a relatively deep corrective decline after reaching a local peak, but appears to be seeking a strong support zone. Key Price Levels: Crucial Resistance (SELL Zone): Clearly at 144.894 - 145.178. This is an confluence area of Fibonacci levels and local highs where selling pressure could emerge strongly. Important Support (Potential BUY Zone): Around 143.800 - 143.500. This represents a potential bottoming area where demand might be strong enough to push the price higher. Projected Price Action: After the sharp decline, USD/JPY might retest the 144.50 area. If it holds above key support levels, an upward move towards resistance zones is plausible, as indicated by the arrows on the chart. 🎯 USD/JPY Trading Plan: BUY ZONE: 143.800 - 143.500 SL: 143.400 TP: 144.000 - 144.200 - 144.500 - 144.800 - 145.000 - 145.200 - 145.500 SELL ZONE: 144.894 - 145.178 SL: 145.300 TP: 144.700 - 144.500 - 144.200 - 144.000 - 143.800 - 143.500 ⚠️ Key Factors to Monitor: US and Japanese Economic Data: Upcoming reports on inflation and employment from both nations could significantly impact Fed and BoJ policy expectations. BoJ Policy Decisions: Any shifts in the Bank of Japan's stance will create strong volatility for the JPY. Global Risk Sentiment: Changes in overall market sentiment can also affect JPY crosses. Trade smart and stay informed! Wishing everyone a successful USD/JPY trading day!
Long
by MMFlowTrading
USD/JPY Bullish Reversal AnalysisUSD/JPY Bullish Reversal Analysis 📈💹 🔍 Technical Overview: The chart illustrates a strong bullish reversal pattern forming on USD/JPY after price reacted from a key support zone at 144.600. This level has held firm multiple times, marked by green arrows, signaling strong buying interest. 📐 Chart Patterns & Structure: ✅ A bullish harmonic pattern (possibly a bullish Bat or Gartley) is completing near the 144.600 zone. 🔄 Multiple rejection wicks and bullish engulfing patterns indicate a potential upside reversal. 🔵 Descending trendlines have been broken, confirming momentum shift. 🔁 Previous resistance turned support (near 145.000) is acting as a possible launchpad for the next move. 🎯 Upside Target: The projected move targets the resistance zone at 147.698, aligning with previous highs and a significant supply area. If price breaks above 145.900 convincingly, continuation toward this resistance is expected. 🔻 Downside Risk: A break below 144.600 would invalidate the bullish setup and expose price to the lower support range near 142.000–143.000. 📊 Conclusion: USD/JPY is showing signs of bullish reversal from a strong demand zone. If price sustains above 145.000 and breaks the minor consolidation, the pair could rally toward 147.698 🎯. Bias: Bullish ✅ Support: 144.600 Resistance: 147.698
Long
by MrStellanSight
5
Ceasefire Supports Yen’s StrengthThe Japanese Yen stayed strong near a one-week high around 145.5 on Wednesday, supported by risk-off sentiment and dovish commentary from the Bank of Japan. Several BOJ members favored steady rates with concerns over U.S. tariffs and their impact on Japan’s economy. May’s Services PPI remained above 3% yearly, strengthening speculation that the BOJ could still raise rates later this year. Meanwhile, lingering geopolitical uncertainty and expectations of Fed rate cuts continued to pressure the US Dollar. The key resistance is at $146.20, and the major support is at $144.85.
by ChartMage
OANDA:USDJPY Buy SetupUSDJPY Buy Setup – Bullish Structure & Daily Rebound USDJPY is showing signs of renewed bullish momentum after rejecting a significant daily low. Price action on the 1-hour timeframe has confirmed the formation of a higher low, followed by a clean break above a key daily support level—now turned support once again. This shift in market structure indicates a potential continuation of the uptrend, supported by higher highs and higher lows on the intraday chart. Technical Highlights: Strong rejection from a daily low zone Bullish structure confirmed on the 1H timeframe Price reclaiming a key support level and holding above it Momentum suggests potential continuation toward higher targets Trade Setup: Entry: 145.110 Stop Loss: 144.754 Target Levels: Take Profit 1: 145.709 Take Profit 2: 146.747 Take Profit 3: 148.014 This setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio within a well-defined bullish context. Wait for a solid candle confirmation if not already entered, and always manage your risk according to your trading plan. Drop your thoughts or questions in the comments, and if you found this valuable, hit boost and follow for more structured trade ideas. Wishing you precision and profits!
Long
by TradesbyJV
4
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 25, 2025 USDJPYEvents to pay attention to today: 17:00 EET.USD - Fed Chair Jerome Powell will deliver a speech 17:30 EET.USD - Crude oil inventory data from the Department of Energy USDJPY: The Japanese yen (JPY) remains in the lead against the US dollar during Wednesday's Asian session and remains close to the weekly high reached the day before, amid a combination of favourable factors. The summary of opinions from participants at the Bank of Japan (BoJ) meeting in June showed that some policymakers called for interest rates to be kept unchanged due to uncertainty about the impact of US tariffs on the Japanese economy. In addition, the fragile truce between Israel and Iran and trade uncertainty are supporting the Japanese yen as a safe-haven currency. Meanwhile, investors seem convinced that the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates again amid mounting inflationary pressure in Japan. These forecasts are confirmed by Japan's producer price index (PPI), which rose for the third consecutive month in May and remained above 3% year-on-year. In contrast, traders are factoring into their prices the likelihood that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will further lower the cost of borrowing this year. This, in turn, is causing US dollar (USD) bulls to tread cautiously and suggests that the path of least resistance for the lower-yielding Japanese yen remains upward. Trading recommendation: SELL 144.900, SL 145.100, TP 144.000
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
LONG - USD/JPYCurrently in the 4H timeframe I can see that the price itself has given me a shift of momentum and this indicates that there could a chance for a possible bullish movement. Now I have marked my zones base on fibonacci levels and gotten my zones to participate in the market. Base on the market structure we can see that the price has now shifted its direction coming from a bearish momentum and now is pushing into a bullish momentum. This is where we can try to look for an opportunity to buy within those zones. Why I am looking for a buy is because the price has already touched our support zone and respected the zone itself. Combining it together with Market Structure there seems to be a much more clearer view of how the market is moving. Entry Point - 144.341 Stop Loss - 142.387 Take Profit - 148.585
Long
by ilyasmuzaffar
USD/JPY 4-Hour Forex Chart4-hour chart from FOREX.com displays the exchange rate between the U.S. Dollar (USD) and the Japanese Yen (JPY) as of June 25, 2025. The current rate is 145.156, reflecting a 0.16% increase (+0.226). The chart highlights a recent sharp upward movement followed by a decline, with key support and resistance levels marked around 144.484 and 145.731, respectively. The shaded areas indicate potential trading ranges, with the current price hovering near the upper boundary.
Long
by Alee_Gold_Trader
1
Bullish bounce?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot which is an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Pivot: 144.35 1st Support: 143.09 1st Resistance: 145.29 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets