USDJPY Will Fall! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 147.628.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 146.784 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
JPYUSD trade ideas
USD/JPY Robbery Route | Enter at Dip, Exit Before Police💥USD/JPY Forex Money Heist Plan 🎯 — Ninja Robbery at 146.000💥
🌟 Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! 🌟
Dear Market Bandits, Money Makers & Risky Robbers 🤑💰💸✈️
Welcome to another Thief Trader-style operation. We've cracked open the USD/JPY vault (aka "The Gopher" 💹), and here's the blueprint to pull off this forex heist like true professionals. 💼🎭💵
🚨 Strategy Overview
This isn't just a trade – it’s a well-researched, precision-timed robbery mission based on technicals, macro analysis, sentiment, and the bigger global picture.
Expect action near critical zones – especially the moving average barricade, where police (aka risk) is waiting. Stay sharp.
🔓 Entry Point – Unlock the Vault
📈 Watch for bullish pullbacks near 146.000.
Whether it's a dip, zone test, or wick bounce — you’re looking to layer buy limit orders like a seasoned thief using DCA tactics.
Enter on swings or any bullish confirmation.
Heist Window is Open.
🛑 Stop Loss – Escape Route
📍 SL near 143.000 (1D swing low) — adjust based on your capital and position size.
💡 Don’t go blind — SL is your backup plan, not an optional accessory.
Custom-fit it based on how many entries you’re stacking.
🎯 Target – Vault Exit Point
🏁 151.000 or exit before resistance heat catches on.
No greedy thieves here — precision exit is key.
Lock profits, vanish in style. 🕶️💼💸
🧲 Scalpers Take Note
Only long side raids are valid. Scalping against the trend? That's walking into a trap.
Use trailing SLs and protect your loot.
Small bag or big vault — play your game smart. 🎯💰
📢 Fundamental Boosters
USD/JPY’s bullish run isn’t random — it’s backed by:
📊 Macro shifts,
📈 COT reports,
🧠 Sentiment drivers,
📉 Intermarket trends,
And a whole mix of thief-level intel 🔍
🧭 Dive deeper before acting. The map’s been provided. 🔗🌍
🗞 News Traps Ahead – Move Cautiously
🚫 Avoid new trades during major releases
🔁 Use trailing SLs on open positions
💡 Position management is a thief’s best defense. Risk management keeps you in the game. 🎯🧠
🔥💖 Support the Heist Crew
Smash that ❤️🔥 Boost Button to keep our robbery engine running.
Each boost = strength for our crew.
💬 Share the love, spread the intel, and trade like a rogue with brains. 🤝💵
👀 Stay tuned for more high-profile FX heists from Thief Trader.
Until next time — loot wisely, vanish clean. 🐱👤💨
Continuation of downtrend. Waiting for confirmation SELL USDJPY✏️ OANDA:USDJPY is starting a corrective downtrend. Yesterday's New York session's selling pressure surpassed the buying liquidity zone around 147,000. This further confirms the possibility of the pair continuing its downward correction. Some recovery waves in today's Asia-Europe session are considered a good opportunity to SELL towards the target of 144,300 (trailline zone of the h4 frame). Pay attention to the important breakout price zone of 145,900.
📉 Key Levels
Support: 145,900-144,300
Resitance: 147,000-147,800
SELL trigger: Rejection from 147,000
SELL 147,700 (Strong resistance + SMA 20)
Target 144,400
SELL DCA: Break 145,900
Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
#USDJPY: Price is currently accumulating ! Wait For DistributionAt present, the USDJPY currency pair appears to be in an accumulation phase, as evidenced by the absence of significant price movement throughout the current week. Several factors contribute to this trend.
Firstly, several significant economic events are scheduled for this week, particularly tomorrow and Friday. These developments hold substantial implications for the future trajectory of the USDJPY pair. Consequently, there exists a possibility that the price may experience a decline prior to initiating a bullish trend.
Secondly, there are two primary areas where the price could reverse its course. The extent to which the USD reacts to the economic data will serve as an indicator of the potential reversal zones.
It is imperative that you conduct your own analysis before making any financial decisions. This chart should be utilised solely for educational purposes and does not guarantee any specific outcome.
Regarding the stop loss, as this is a swing trade, it is advisable to employ a larger stop loss if the price reaches entry zones. The take profit level can be determined based on your entry type and analysis.
We wish you the best of luck in your trading endeavours and emphasise the importance of trading safely.
Kindly share this analysis with others through likes, comments, and social media platforms. If you have any questions or require further assistance, please do not hesitate to comment below. We are here to provide support.
Team Setupsfx_
❤️🚀
USDJPY SHORTSThe weekly chart shows a clear head and shoulders formation forming under a major bearish descending triangle, with strong rejection from the 149.034–150.000 Sell Zone. Price action continues to print lower highs, and the horizontal support near 140 is weakening under repeated pressure.
Technical Breakdown Highlights:
• Multiple rejections forming the classic head and shoulders reversal structure.
• Price is coiling under resistance, compressing in a bearish triangle, signaling seller strength.
• Bearish momentum could trigger a breakdown toward the 119.950 support zone—nearly 2,700+ pips from current levels.
• 20 EMA is below the 200 EMA—bearish alignment.
⸻
🧠 Macro & Micro Fundamentals Supporting This Setup:
🔻 Macro (Fundamental Pressure on USD):
• The Federal Reserve is shifting dovish as inflation cools and unemployment begins to rise. Markets are now pricing in multiple rate cuts in 2025, which could weaken the USD significantly.
• The 10-year Treasury yield is falling, further reducing USD attractiveness.
• Global de-dollarization and capital flight to alternative assets (gold, crypto, BRICS currencies) adds long-term pressure on USD.
💴 Micro (Supportive Tailwinds for JPY):
• The Bank of Japan is gradually tightening—it has begun to move away from negative interest rates and yield curve control. Any shift in BoJ policy will strengthen the yen dramatically due to Japan’s massive capital flows.
• Japan remains one of the largest global creditors—capital repatriation from Japanese institutions during risk-off cycles supports the JPY.
• Safe haven demand during any geopolitical or recessionary volatility also favors the yen.
⸻
🎯 Target: 120.000
⛔️ Invalid if Weekly Closes >150.000
⏳ Timing: Breakdown likely between Q3 2025 and early 2026 if macro alignment holds.
USDJPY Breakouts nee level breakouts📊USDJPY Forecast – 4H Timeframe
USDJPY has broken out of the descending channel with bullish momentum and also cleared the key resistance at 147.100 📈
📍 Entry on Retracement:
Waiting for a pullback to the breakout zone for a cleaner entry — structure turning bullish ✅
🎯 Next Resistance / Target Levels:
🔹 147.600
🔹 147.900
🔹 149.000 – key supply zone to watch for reaction
Price action is leading the way — watching for bullish confirmation before continuation
Are you tracking this breakout too? Drop your thoughts below
👍 Like | 🔔 Follow | 💭 Comment for more live trade ideas
#usdjpy
USDJPY SELL
USD/JPY
Editorial Tools Latest
USD/JPY Forecast and News
share
Join
NEW
Japanese Yen hangs near multi-month low against USD ahead of Japan election on Sunday
The Japanese Yen drifts lower against its American counterpart for the second straight day on Friday and remains within striking distance of an over three-month low touched earlier this week. Investors now seem convinced that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) would forgo raising interest rates this year amid worries about the economic fallout from higher US tariffs
From a technical perspective, the USD/JPY pair showed some resilience below the 100-hour Simple Moving Average (SMA) earlier this week, and the subsequent move up favors bullish traders. Moreover, oscillators are holding comfortably in positive territory and are still away from being in the overbought zone. However, the overnight failure to build on the momentum beyond the 149.00 mark warrants some caution. Hence, it will be prudent to wait for some follow-through buying beyond the 149.15-149.20 region, or a multi-month peak, before positioning for a move towards reclaiming the 150.00 psychological mark.
On the flip side, the 148.20-148.25 region, or the 100-hour SMA, could offer immediate support ahead of the 148.00 mark. Some follow-through selling, leading to a slide below the 147.70 area, could make the USD/JPY pair vulnerable to accelerate the fall towards testing sub-147.00 levels. Acceptance below the latter might shift the bias in favor of bearish trades and drag spot prices to the 146.60 intermediate support en route to the 146.20 area, the 146.00 mark, and the 100-day SMA, currently pegged near the 145.80 region
1 SUPPORT147.642
2 SUPPORT 147.311
3 SUPPORT 146917
1 RESISTANCE 148.206
2 RESISTANCE 147.972
USDJPY BUY TRADE PLAN🔥 USDJPY TRADE PLAN 🔥
📅 Date: July 24, 2025
📋 Trade Plan Overview:
Plan ID Type Direction Confidence R:R Status
USDJPY2407-ID Intra-Day Buy ⭐⭐⭐⭐ 80% 3.6:1 ✅ Active (Confirmed)
Guidance:
Prioritize this Buy Plan as price is reacting to a clean H4 demand + engulfing candle + fundamental JPY weakness. Total risk: 0.75–1%.
🆔 Primary Trade Plan: Intra-Day BUY
📈 Market Bias & Trade Type
Bias: Bullish
Trade Type: Continuation after correction into H4 OB
🔰 Confidence Level
Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (80%)
Breakdown:
🔹 H4 Bullish OB + Engulfing: 35%
🔹 JPY macro weakness + yield spread divergence: 20%
🔹 Volume buildup on LTF demand zone: 15%
🔹 Retail crowd short-biased: 10%
🔹 Sentiment score: +7.5/10
📌 Status
✅ Active – Entry Confirmed (H4 Engulfing)
📍 Entry Zones
🟩 Primary Buy Zone:
145.85 – 146.15 (H4 Demand + Previous LTF BOS Retest)
Current Price: 146.60 (slightly above, ideal retest already occurred OR wait for another re-test of 146.30-50 zone)
❗ Stop Loss
📍 SL: 144.85
(Just below secondary zone & structural wick buffer, 60–70 pips risk)
🎯 Take Profit Targets
🎯 Target Level R:R Notes
🥇 TP1 147.35 ~1.0:1 H1 Supply imbalance
🥈 TP2 148.05 ~2.1:1 H4 Resistance/Orderblock
🥉 TP3 148.60 ~3.6:1 D1 Wick High – swing extension
🧠 Management Strategy
Risk: 0.75–1% of $
Lots: Adjust for ~60–70 pips SL
Breakeven: Move SL to BE after TP1
Partials:
40% TP1
40% TP2
20% trail to TP3
Exit Early If: DXY rallies aggressively or USDJPY H1 prints reversal signal
⚠️ Confirmation Checklist
✅ H4 Bullish Engulfing Candle (Confirmed)
🔄 Tick chart volume cluster support
✅ Entry during London → NY overlap
❌ No high-impact red USD/JPY news in next 2 hours
💡 Look for additional M30 continuation on pullback
⏳ Validity
Plan valid: 24–36 hours
Expires: End of July 25 (or H4 break below 144.85)
Confirmed as active on H4
❌ Invalidation
Full H4 body close below 144.85
Sharp sell-off on high DXY momentum
Reversal signal + divergence on H1 near 147.30–148.00
🌐 Fundamental & Sentiment Snapshot
COT: Net Long USD, Net Short JPY widening
Yield Spread: Favors USD; JPY yields still compressed
Retail: 71% short USDJPY → Contrarian Buy
DXY: Soft intraday after CPI pullback
Macro Events: BOJ dovish stance remains, no USD red news today
Sentiment Score: +7.5/10
Historical: 76% win rate on this structure with engulfing confirmation
📋 Final Trade Summary
USDJPY offers a high-probability continuation long off a clean H4 demand block that was retested with engulfing confirmation. Momentum and bias align bullishly, retail is counter-trend, and volume supports continuation. This setup provides a favorable R:R with clear invalidation and 3 well-defined profit targets. Excellent structure for intra-day to swing capture.
USDJPY Analysis : Trendline Breakout, Liquidity Trap & MMC Zone🔍 Full Technical Breakdown:
In today’s USDJPY 2H chart, the market is unfolding exactly as per Mirror Market Concepts (MMC). We’ve identified a clean trendline breakout, and now price is reacting between the Central Zone (50%) and the Next Reversal Zone, where liquidity is expected to be filled. Let's break down each zone and movement to understand how price is being manipulated and where we can take action.
🔵 1. Trendline Confirmation – The First Sign of Strength
The trendline was tested multiple times from the top, acting as resistance. But recently, price broke above this line with strength, signaling a potential bullish reversal. You've rightly marked it as "Trendline Confirmation" — this is where structure shifted from bearish to bullish.
This is a classic MMC principle — breakout above manipulated resistance, followed by a pullback for re-entry.
The breakout wasn’t just a wick; it had body strength, indicating real buyer presence.
Now, price is pulling back to retest the trendline from above, a typical MMC behavior before continuing upward.
⚖️ 2. Central Zone – The 50% Trap
This zone represents the midpoint of the last major impulsive move. It's where most traders get confused, and institutions re-balance their entries.
You've highlighted: “It Can Reverse From Its 50% Zone” – and that’s accurate.
According to MMC, this is where smart money traps late sellers, takes liquidity, and initiates the next bullish leg.
If price holds above the 147.200–147.500 zone, we could see buyers stepping in aggressively.
🟩 3. Liquidity Fill – Next Reversal Zone
If price doesn’t hold the Central Zone, we don’t panic — this is where MMC becomes powerful.
Beneath current structure lies liquidity — previous stop hunts and unfilled orders.
That area is your Next Reversal Zone around 146.200–146.400.
It’s a liquidity trap — market might dip there just to manipulate emotional traders, then reverse with force.
This is exactly where you’ve written “Liquidity Will Fill” — meaning smart money might fill orders there before moving up.
🧭 Possible Price Paths:
🔼 Bullish Scenario (High Probability):
Trendline retest holds as support.
Price bounces from the 50% Central Zone.
Targets: 148.800 – 149.200 (previous highs and clean breakout zone).
Confirmation: Bullish engulfing candle or strong wick rejection at Central Zone.
🔽 Bearish Trap Scenario (MMC-Based):
Price dips below Central Zone into liquidity zone.
Traps sellers and triggers stop-losses.
Reverses sharply from Next Reversal Zone (Liquidity Zone).
This is where smart money positions themselves for the real move up.
🧠 MMC Insight:
This structure is textbook MMC – clean manipulation zones, false breakout traps, and a trending bias powered by smart liquidity plays.
Trendline breakout = initial intent
Central zone = confusion zone
Liquidity trap = entry for smart money
📢 The goal is not to predict, but to react with precision when the market reveals its hand.
🕒 Timeframe: 2H
📌 Strategy: Mirror Market Concepts (MMC) | Trendline + Liquidity + Midpoint Trap
📈 Bias: Bullish, but waiting for confirmation at either Central or Liquidity Zone
🔍 Sentiment: Cautiously Optimistic
U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen - 4h Chart (FOREX.com)4-hour chart from FOREX.com shows the exchange rate between the U.S. Dollar (USD) and the Japanese Yen (JPY). The current rate is 148.184, reflecting a decrease of 0.623 (-0.42%) as of 01:29:16. The chart highlights recent price movements over the past few hours, with a shaded area indicating a consolidation phase around the current level.
USDJPY Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for USDJPY is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 147.83
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 147.34
My Stop Loss - 148.12
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USDJPY: Short Trading Opportunity
USDJPY
- Classic bearish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell USDJPY
Entry - 146.78
Stop - 146.96
Take - 146.43
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
USDJPY : More Upside Ahead?USDJPY : More Upside Ahead?
USDJPY remains firmly in a bullish trend, largely driven by renewed tariff concerns.
The yen weakened sharply after U.S. President Donald Trump reaffirmed plans to impose 25% tariffs on Japanese goods starting August 1st.
Since that announcement, USDJPY has rallied nearly 200 pips before encountering some profit-taking.
Despite the brief pause, the broader trend remains intact, and the pair appears poised for further gains.
Key upside targets to watch:
146.95
147.80
148.40
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USD/JPY - 15MIN Sweep, Reclaim, LaunchUSD/JPY on the 15M chart shows a clean liquidity sweep followed by a strong reclaim and entry confirmation. Price is now pushing toward TP1 near the descending trendline and could extend to TP2, a key supply zone. Classic SMC structure in motion.
USD/JPY – Sweep, Reclaim, Launch 🚀
USD/JPY: The 150.00 Rejection SignalThe chart for USD/JPY looks like a simple one-way street going up. But underneath the surface, my quantitative models are in a state of conflict, and that's a high-clarity signal that something is about to change.
This isn't a signal to short right now. This is a signal to be patient and watch for a very specific setup that the "smart money" models are anticipating.
The Quant Conflict 🤖
My analysis involves several different mathematical models. Here's the situation:
One model, which is great at tracking trends, is still signaling BUY , following the obvious upward momentum.
However, two other, more complex models that analyze the relationships between economic data are now flashing a SELL signal. They are detecting underlying weakness that the price chart isn't showing yet.
When the simple trend model and the complex structural models disagree, it often means a major turning point is near. We are siding with the smarter models, but we need price action to confirm their warning.
The Game Plan 📊
We will use the 150.00 level as our "line in the sand." We are waiting for the market to fail at this level and then break down, which would confirm the bearish quant signal. This is our high-probability entry trigger.
Here is the exact setup we are waiting for:
📉 THE SETUP: A patient short position, waiting for confirmation of a breakdown.
👉 ENTRY: We enter only on a confirmed daily close below 148.00.
⛔️ STOP LOSS: Place the stop just above the psychological wall at 150.25.
🎯 TAKE PROFIT: Our primary target is the major support level at 145.00.
This is a setup where patience pays. We are letting the market do the hard work and show its hand before we commit. Let's watch this one closely.
Bullish on usdjpyI am currently long USDJPY. It's Thursday, and there’s still plenty of buy-side liquidity left. The highs from Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday remain unchallenged. We've also traded into a weekly PD array (weekly FVG), respecting the C.E. and moving away, which signals a local low for me. Additionally, we're breaking out of a falling wedge, with the breakout target being the top of the wedge. Lastly, DXY is beginning to show bullish market structure shifts on the 15m and 1h timeframes. I am targeting those relative equal highs. Invalidation lies at the most recent swing low.
USDJPY Q3 | D24 | W30 | Y25📊USDJPY Q3 | D24 | W30 | Y25
Daily Forecast🔍📅
Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈
Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭.
It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias.
This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us.
📈 Risk Management Protocols
🔑 Core principles:
Max 1% risk per trade
Only execute at pre-identified levels
Use alerts, not emotion
Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2
🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk.
🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight
"Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants."
Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work.
FRGNT
FX:USDJPY